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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 21
BrestBrest
2–0
FT
LorientLorient

Momentum

– BrestLorient –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
21

Venue

Stadium
Stade Francis-Le Ble, Brest
Capacity
15,097
Surface
grass
Attendance
14,944

Teams

Coaches
Eric Roy · Olivier Pantaloni
Position
12 · 9
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Gaël Angoula

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
7.2° (feels 5.1°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
100%

Where to watch · 192

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Brest

LWLLD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 9 · xG 5.65–5.81 · xPts 6.73

  • D A Nice 2–2 xG 1.65–1.1 FRA L1
  • L H Toulouse 0–2 xG 0.9–0.43 FRA L1
  • L A Olympique Lyonnais 1–2 xG 0.46–1.7 FRA L1
  • W H Auxerre 2–0 xG 1.79–1.34 FRA L1
  • L A Rennes 1–3 xG 0.84–1.24 FRA L1

Lorient

DDWWW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 8 GA 3 · xG 4.67–5.71 · xPts 6.1

  • W H Nantes 2–1 xG 0.62–0.9 FRA L1
  • W A Rennes 2–0 xG 1.2–2.32 FRA L1
  • W A Monaco 3–1 xG 1.07–1.21 FRA L1
  • D H Metz 1–1 xG 1.27–0.48 FRA L1
  • D A Strasbourg 0–0 xG 0.5–0.81 FRA L1

All meetings · 16 matches since 2010

Brest 72 draws7 Lorient

Goals 23–21 · 2.75 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 56%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Brest 51 draws4 Lorient

Goals 17–12 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Brest 31 draws1 Lorient

Goals 11–5 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Brest 2–0 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Lorient 3–3 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lorient 0–1 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Brest 4–0 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lorient 2–1 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Brest 1–2 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Brest 0–1 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lorient 1–2 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lorient 1–0 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Brest 3–2 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricBrest all · 34Brest at home · 17Lorient all · 34Lorient away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.151.531.320.88
W / D / L10 / 9 / 157 / 5 / 511 / 12 / 113 / 6 / 8
Goals for / match1.261.651.411.00
Goals against / match1.621.351.501.53
Clean sheets26%41%21%18%
Failed to score32%24%29%53%
Both teams scored47%47%53%35%
Over 2.550%47%44%35%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.291.681.351.08
xG against / match1.541.421.381.57
xG difference-0.250.25-0.03-0.49
Finishing vs xG-0.03-0.030.07-0.08
xPts / match1.281.611.341.07
Points vs xPts-0.13-0.08-0.01-0.18
Game state
Scored first47%59%47%29%
PPG when scoring first1.942.302.192.20
PPG when conceding first0.380.200.530.27
Came back from behind21%17%42%27%
Leads held56%70%65%60%
Minutes leading24%33%26%16%
Minutes level44%43%49%48%
Minutes trailing32%24%25%36%
First goal (min)35263738
First goal conceded (min)33274542
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%50%58%65%
Goals conceded in 2nd half51%39%67%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.240.380.53
Late goals against0.320.180.470.41
Style
Possession43%44%45%45%
Shots11.213.911.310.7
On target3.54.53.93.5
Shot conversion11%12%12%9%
Shots inside box63%63%63%61%
Big chances created2.23.02.01.5
Corners3.94.63.53.8
xG from set plays36%33%33%30%
Goals from headers21%25%6%0%
Pressure index8.110.210.19.6
Dominant minutes36.740.742.842.1
Pass accuracy78%78%84%84%
Fouls12.712.69.59.5
Cards1.851.761.681.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Brest

0–15'98
16–30'612
31–45'77
46–60'86
61–75'511
76–90'811

Lorient

0–15'46
16–30'76
31–45'95
46–60'811
61–75'77
76–90'1316

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Brest · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: when level +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.184
Early press (0-15, level)+0.434
Late push (76+, level)+1.122
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.012

Game state

When ahead-0.192
When level+0.654
When behind-0.073
10 min after conceding-0.204
10 min after scoring+0.453

Situations

At home+0.142
Away+0.212
4+ days rest+0.184

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.212
Evenly matched+0.313

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.124
Conceded when ahead+0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.204

Ahead vs level -0.84 · Behind vs level -0.72

Lorient · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.96

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.124
Early press (0-15, level)+0.374
Late push (76+, level)-0.152

Game state

When ahead-0.322
When level-0.144
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.963

Situations

At home-0.072
Away-0.182
4+ days rest-0.124

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.022
Evenly matched-0.232

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.214
Conceded when ahead+0.162
Conceded late (76+)-0.064

Ahead vs level -0.18 · Behind vs level +0.28

Brest

Current: winless 1 · conceding 13

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 71%1.421.381.421.351.38
4-3-35 15%0.21.02.21.512.04
4-1-4-12 6%0.51.53.50.512.69
4-2-2-21 3%0.00.02.00.90.43
4-4-21 3%3.02.00.01.791.34

Lorient

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-128 82%1.291.391.681.371.46
3-4-34 12%1.751.750.51.680.99
5-4-12 6%1.01.01.00.410.96

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.3Home 41% P 40%3.0Draw 32% P 31%3.5Away 27% P 29%

Double Chance

1.33Brest or Draw 35% P 35%1.36Brest or Lorient 34% P 35%1.53Draw or Lorient 31% P 30%

Draw No Bet

1.611 58%2.22 42%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 50%1.95No 48% P 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 43%1.66Under 57% P 57%

Total Corners

6.5Under 6 13%2.626 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%15.0Over 14 6%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51%1.9Under 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 27.5–30% · 815 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home40%41%42%+0.5
Draw31%30%27%-2.4
Away29%29%31%+1.9

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 43%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes50%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.543%44%43%-1.2

Gaël Angoula

Career
31 matches · 3 seasons
Cards / match
3.35 (3.26 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
22.6 · 6.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.32
Cards to home side
38%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 32 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.284.06-1.670
Fouls / match21.824.3-1.25
Fouls per card6.76.0+0.84 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.310.36-0.4828
Time added8.76.7+1.5392
First card
35' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
36% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.27

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-17 30 290 40'9
2025-12-14 · Lorient 10 90 50'9
2025-11-23 · Brest 50 192 56'8
2025-11-02 40 160 26'7
2025-10-19 40 170 8'8
2025-10-04 · Brest 30 230 10'8