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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 22
Le HavreLe Havre
2–1
FT
ToulouseToulouse

Momentum

– Le HavreToulouse –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
22

Venue

Stadium
Stade Océane, Le Havre
Capacity
25,181
Surface
grass
Attendance
18,345

Teams

Coaches
Didier Digard · Carles Martínez Novell
Position
13 · 9
Formation
3-1-4-2 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Jérôme Brisard

Weather

Conditions
mist
Temperature
7.5° (feels 3.9°)
Wind
6.7
Humidity
100%

Where to watch · 191

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Le Havre

WDDLW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 4 · xG 3.59–6.1 · xPts 5.24

  • W H Strasbourg 2–1 xG 0.99–0.48 FRA L1
  • L A Lens 0–1 xG 0.54–2.07 FRA L1
  • D H Monaco 0–0 xG 0.24–0.64 FRA L1
  • D A Rennes 1–1 xG 0.43–2.18 FRA L1
  • W H Angers SCO 2–1 xG 1.38–0.75 FRA L1

Toulouse

LWWDL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 5 · xG 5.12–7.0 · xPts 5.33

  • L A Angers SCO 0–1 xG 0.66–1.12 FRA L1
  • D H Auxerre 0–0 xG 0.78–0.85 FRA L1
  • W A Brest 2–0 xG 0.43–0.9 FRA L1
  • W H Nice 5–1 xG 2.32–2.21 FRA L1
  • L H Lens 0–3 xG 0.92–1.91 FRA L1

All meetings · 8 matches since 2008

Le Havre 31 draws4 Toulouse

Goals 7–11 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 8 matches

Le Havre 31 draws4 Toulouse

Goals 7–11 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Le Havre 21 draws2 Toulouse

Goals 4–7 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Le Havre 2–1 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Toulouse 0–0 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Le Havre 1–4 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Toulouse 2–0 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Le Havre 1–0 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Toulouse 1–2 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Le Havre 0–1 Toulouse neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Toulouse 2–1 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricLe Havre all · 34Le Havre at home · 17Toulouse all · 33Toulouse away · 16
Results
Matches34173316
Points per game1.031.351.331.25
W / D / L7 / 14 / 135 / 8 / 412 / 8 / 136 / 2 / 8
Goals for / match0.941.181.421.38
Goals against / match1.291.061.391.38
Clean sheets24%24%27%19%
Failed to score41%35%30%25%
Both teams scored50%59%48%56%
Over 2.532%41%54%56%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.331.381.11
xG against / match1.531.171.261.38
xG difference-0.360.160.12-0.26
Finishing vs xG-0.24-0.150.040.26
xPts / match1.191.501.471.24
Points vs xPts-0.16-0.15-0.130.01
Game state
Scored first35%35%39%44%
PPG when scoring first2.082.672.381.86
PPG when conceding first0.290.500.610.78
Came back from behind28%50%38%33%
Leads held58%83%80%67%
Minutes leading14%18%24%24%
Minutes level60%58%45%47%
Minutes trailing26%24%31%29%
First goal (min)41394141
First goal conceded (min)38344044
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%55%57%41%
Goals conceded in 2nd half48%33%52%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.240.480.38
Late goals against0.260.120.300.38
Style
Possession47%47%42%41%
Shots10.912.012.810.9
On target3.63.94.33.8
Shot conversion9%10%11%13%
Shots inside box62%62%65%60%
Big chances created2.02.21.91.7
Corners4.34.84.53.8
xG from set plays31%38%38%36%
Goals from headers19%15%15%23%
Pressure index9.912.68.67.6
Dominant minutes43.951.438.235.5
Pass accuracy80%81%80%79%
Fouls13.713.414.414.8
Cards2.031.942.583.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Le Havre

0–15'46
16–30'46
31–45'611
46–60'56
61–75'76
76–90'69

Toulouse

0–15'95
16–30'49
31–45'78
46–60'58
61–75'66
76–90'1610

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Le Havre · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: at home +0.15

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.144
Early press (0-15, level)-0.064
Late push (76+, level)-0.302
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.102

Game state

When level+0.084
When behind+0.212
10 min after conceding+0.113
10 min after scoring+0.212

Situations

At home+0.153
4+ days rest+0.144

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.102
Evenly matched+0.182
As underdog+0.102

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.054
Conceded late (76+)-0.364

Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level +0.12

Toulouse · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.20) · stands out: when level +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.204
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)+0.262
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.182

Game state

When level+0.354
When behind+0.033
10 min after conceding-0.264
10 min after scoring+0.392

Situations

At home+0.422
Away-0.012
4+ days rest+0.204

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.422
v mid-tier opponents-0.012
Evenly matched+0.063

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.044
Conceded late (76+)+0.104

Ahead vs level -0.73 · Behind vs level -0.32

Le Havre

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-37 21%0.860.571.141.231.31
4-1-3-26 18%1.00.671.171.361.68
4-1-4-15 15%0.61.01.61.221.26
4-2-3-15 15%1.21.61.41.511.35
3-4-1-24 12%0.750.751.01.191.9

Toulouse

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 10

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-123 70%1.01.041.391.251.2
3-4-39 27%2.332.220.891.611.24
5-4-11 3%0.03.06.02.362.75

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.5Home 27% P 27%3.1Draw 31% P 31%2.3Away 42% P 42%

Double Chance

1.53Le Havre or Draw 31% P 29%1.36Le Havre or Toulouse 35% P 35%1.36Draw or Toulouse 35% P 36%

Draw No Bet

2.11 44%1.662 56%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 48%1.8No 52% P 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.3Over 41% P 41%1.61Under 59% P 59%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.52.2Over 42% P 42%1.61Under 58% P 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–30% · away 40–45% · 1,381 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home27%28%26%-1.7
Draw31%29%28%-1.1
Away42%43%46%+2.8

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes48%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.541%41%41%-0.4

Jérôme Brisard

Career
207 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
4.0 (3.73 yellow · 0.2 red)
Fouls / match
24.4 · 6.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.35
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 89 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.914.06-0.3828
Fouls / match23.424.3-0.39
Fouls per card6.16.0+0.13 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.360.36-0.0344
Time added7.46.7+0.5988
First card
32' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.1

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-16 10 200 62'6
2026-01-03 51 260 7'13
2025-12-05 20 200 26'9
2025-11-27 21 240 27'6
2025-11-22 52 260 3'7
2025-11-02 10 200 88'7
2025-10-29 100 300 16'12
2025-10-18 30 211 26'10
2025-09-24 50 150 40'5
2025-09-22 40 230 18'8