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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 22
LOSC LilleLOSC Lille
1–1
FT
BrestBrest

Momentum

– LOSC LilleBrest –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
22

Venue

Stadium
Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
Capacity
50,186
Surface
grass
Attendance
44,145

Teams

Coaches
Bruno Génésio · Eric Roy
Position
6 · 12
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Hakim Ben El Hadj

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
-0.3° (feels -0.3°)
Wind
1.0
Humidity
84%

Where to watch · 197

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

LOSC Lille

LLWLD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 3 GA 7 · xG 7.62–4.85 · xPts 9.09

  • D A Metz 0–0 xG 1.94–0.52 FRA L1
  • L A Olympique Lyonnais 0–1 xG 0.64–0.39 FRA L1
  • W H SC Freiburg 1–0 xG 1.32–0.31 UEFA EL
  • L H Strasbourg 1–4 xG 1.96–3.0 FRA L1
  • L A Celta de Vigo 1–2 xG 1.76–0.63 UEFA EL

Brest

WLLDW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 6.81–5.26 · xPts 7.92

  • W H Lorient 2–0 xG 2.0–0.69 FRA L1
  • D A Nice 2–2 xG 1.65–1.1 FRA L1
  • L H Toulouse 0–2 xG 0.9–0.43 FRA L1
  • L A Olympique Lyonnais 1–2 xG 0.46–1.7 FRA L1
  • W H Auxerre 2–0 xG 1.79–1.34 FRA L1

All meetings · 19 matches since 2010

LOSC Lille 96 draws4 Brest

Goals 26–21 · 2.47 per match · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 42%

Last 10 · 10 matches

LOSC Lille 35 draws2 Brest

Goals 12–12 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

LOSC Lille 13 draws1 Brest

Goals 8–8 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D LOSC Lille 1–1 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Brest 3–3 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Brest 2–0 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W LOSC Lille 3–1 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Brest 1–1 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W LOSC Lille 1–0 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W LOSC Lille 2–1 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Brest 0–0 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Brest 2–0 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D LOSC Lille 1–1 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricLOSC Lille all · 34LOSC Lille at home · 17Brest all · 34Brest away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.791.711.150.76
W / D / L18 / 7 / 98 / 5 / 410 / 9 / 153 / 4 / 10
Goals for / match1.531.411.260.88
Goals against / match1.091.001.621.88
Clean sheets38%35%26%12%
Failed to score29%24%32%41%
Both teams scored38%47%47%47%
Over 2.538%29%50%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.581.711.290.91
xG against / match1.040.891.541.66
xG difference0.540.83-0.25-0.75
Finishing vs xG-0.05-0.30-0.03-0.02
xPts / match1.711.891.280.95
Points vs xPts0.09-0.18-0.13-0.19
Game state
Scored first53%47%47%35%
PPG when scoring first2.672.501.941.33
PPG when conceding first0.791.000.380.45
Came back from behind40%50%21%23%
Leads held86%80%56%38%
Minutes leading26%18%24%15%
Minutes level52%59%44%45%
Minutes trailing22%22%32%41%
First goal (min)48603547
First goal conceded (min)44473338
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half71%71%49%47%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%65%51%59%
Late goals for (76'+)0.680.650.240.24
Late goals against0.210.240.320.47
Style
Possession56%57%43%42%
Shots13.614.811.28.6
On target4.64.83.52.5
Shot conversion11%10%11%10%
Shots inside box70%73%63%63%
Big chances created2.83.12.21.5
Corners5.76.43.93.1
xG from set plays30%30%36%42%
Goals from headers10%8%21%13%
Pressure index15.215.88.16.1
Dominant minutes61.463.036.732.6
Pass accuracy85%85%78%78%
Fouls10.710.512.712.9
Cards2.412.061.851.94

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

LOSC Lille

0–15'53
16–30'54
31–45'57
46–60'99
61–75'57
76–90'237

Brest

0–15'98
16–30'612
31–45'77
46–60'86
61–75'511
76–90'811

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

LOSC Lille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.05) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.055
Early press (0-15, level)+0.255

Game state

When ahead-0.065
When level+0.025
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.385

Situations

At home+0.023
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.182
As favourite+0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.265
Conceded when ahead+0.155
Conceded late (76+)-0.155

Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.26

Brest · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: when level +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.184
Early press (0-15, level)+0.434
Late push (76+, level)+1.122
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.012

Game state

When ahead-0.192
When level+0.654
When behind-0.073
10 min after conceding-0.204
10 min after scoring+0.453

Situations

At home+0.142
Away+0.212
4+ days rest+0.184

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.212
Evenly matched+0.313

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.124
Conceded when ahead+0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.204

Ahead vs level -0.84 · Behind vs level -0.72

LOSC Lille

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-129 85%1.931.550.91.580.98
4-3-32 6%0.50.52.00.861.28
5-4-11 3%0.01.04.01.963.0
4-3-1-21 3%1.01.01.00.640.59
4-4-21 3%3.04.02.03.730.93

Brest

Current: winless 1 · conceding 13

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 71%1.421.381.421.351.38
4-3-35 15%0.21.02.21.512.04
4-1-4-12 6%0.51.53.50.512.69
4-2-2-21 3%0.00.02.00.90.43
4-4-21 3%3.02.00.01.791.34

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.5h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.6Home 60% P 60%3.9Draw 24% P 24%6.0Away 16% P 16%

Double Chance

1.12Lille or Draw 42% P 42%1.22Lille or Brest 38% P 38%2.37Draw or Brest 20% P 20%

Draw No Bet

1.181 79%4.52 21%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 50%1.8No 52% P 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 51%1.9Under 50% P 49%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 57.5–60% · away 15–17.5% · 555 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home60%59%57%-1.5
Draw24%25%28%+3.8
Away16%16%14%-2.2

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 49%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes50%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

Hakim Ben El Hadj

Career
153 matches · 13 seasons
Cards / match
4.07 (3.86 yellow · 0.12 red)
Fouls / match
25.9 · 5.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.26
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 70 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.064.06-0.0756
Fouls / match24.524.3+0.15
Fouls per card6.26.0+0.23 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.240.36-1.148
Time added6.96.7+0.2352
First card
32' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.29

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-25 60 260 9'10
2026-01-04 20 230 47'8
2025-12-07 21 200 53'6
2025-11-22 11 161 19'7
2025-11-09 40 242 32'6
2025-10-26 40 330 2'8
2025-08-22 –– 12– –8
2025-05-17 · Brest 50 251 26'10
2025-05-03 30 270 83'12
2025-04-27 · LOSC Lille 61 270 18'9