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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 22
Olympique MarseilleOM
2–2
FT
StrasbourgStrasbourg

Momentum

– OMStrasbourg –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
22

Venue

Stadium
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille
Capacity
67,395
Surface
grass
Attendance
59,238

Teams

Coaches
Jacques Abardonado · Gary O'Neil
Position
4 · 8
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

François Letexier

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
10.0° (feels 8.9°)
Wind
5.4
Humidity
68%

Where to watch · 198

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Olympique Marseille

LWLDL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 14 · xG 6.37–7.63 · xPts 6.34

  • L A Paris Saint Germain 0–5 xG 0.84–3.03 FRA L1
  • D A Paris 2–2 xG 2.61–1.4 FRA L1
  • L A Club Brugge 0–3 xG 1.11–1.15 UEFA CL
  • W H Lens 3–1 xG 0.91–0.49 FRA L1
  • L H Liverpool 0–3 xG 0.9–1.56 UEFA CL

Strasbourg

DWWLL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 7 · xG 7.65–7.1 · xPts 6.92

  • L A Le Havre 1–2 xG 0.48–0.99 FRA L1
  • L H Paris Saint Germain 1–2 xG 2.09–1.11 FRA L1
  • W A LOSC Lille 4–1 xG 3.0–1.96 FRA L1
  • W H Metz 2–1 xG 0.87–1.11 FRA L1
  • D A Nice 1–1 xG 1.22–1.93 FRA L1

All meetings · 22 matches since 2005

Olympique Marseille 1011 draws1 Strasbourg

Goals 41–23 · 2.91 per match · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 46%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Olympique Marseille 36 draws1 Strasbourg

Goals 19–11 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Olympique Marseille 22 draws1 Strasbourg

Goals 9–5 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Olympique Marseille 4–0 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Marseille 2–2 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Strasbourg 1–2 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Marseille 1–1 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Strasbourg 1–0 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Marseille 1–1 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Strasbourg 1–1 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Marseille 2–2 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Strasbourg 2–2 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Olympique Marseille 4–0 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricOlympique Marseille all · 34Olympique Marseille at home · 17Strasbourg all · 34Strasbourg away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.742.181.561.35
W / D / L18 / 5 / 1111 / 4 / 215 / 8 / 116 / 5 / 6
Goals for / match1.852.411.711.65
Goals against / match1.321.181.381.65
Clean sheets26%29%26%12%
Failed to score24%6%18%18%
Both teams scored50%65%65%76%
Over 2.562%71%65%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.701.781.461.42
xG against / match1.201.051.331.61
xG difference0.490.740.13-0.19
Finishing vs xG0.160.630.240.23
xPts / match1.691.831.441.25
Points vs xPts0.040.340.120.10
Game state
Scored first59%71%56%41%
PPG when scoring first2.402.422.052.00
PPG when conceding first0.791.600.920.89
Came back from behind31%67%31%40%
Leads held72%69%65%60%
Minutes leading38%47%26%21%
Minutes level41%40%52%46%
Minutes trailing21%14%22%34%
First goal (min)36364144
First goal conceded (min)46463935
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%61%57%57%
Goals conceded in 2nd half69%70%62%61%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.710.410.59
Late goals against0.440.590.350.35
Style
Possession57%58%54%56%
Shots15.115.811.510.9
On target5.76.34.64.2
Shot conversion12%15%15%15%
Shots inside box64%64%69%69%
Big chances created3.03.43.02.8
Corners5.25.64.23.5
xG from set plays26%26%23%26%
Goals from headers10%12%16%21%
Pressure index17.619.414.212.2
Dominant minutes58.361.054.752.8
Pass accuracy87%87%88%88%
Fouls12.712.911.112.6
Cards2.532.411.942.41

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Olympique Marseille

0–15'95
16–30'106
31–45'73
46–60'1010
61–75'106
76–90'1715

Strasbourg

0–15'47
16–30'106
31–45'115
46–60'914
61–75'103
76–90'1412

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Olympique Marseille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.56

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.105
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.064

Game state

When level+0.245
When behind-0.024
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.563

Situations

At home+0.282
Away-0.033
4+ days rest+0.105

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.173
As favourite+0.282
As underdog-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.065
Conceded late (76+)-0.325

Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level -0.27

Strasbourg · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.02

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.044
Early press (0-15, level)+0.114
Late push (76+, level)-0.532

Game state

When ahead+0.393
When level-0.044
When behind-0.063
10 min after conceding-0.144
10 min after scoring+1.023

Situations

At home+0.082
Away+0.002
4+ days rest+0.044

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.053
Evenly matched-0.022
As underdog+0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.214
Conceded when ahead+0.053
Conceded late (76+)+0.044

Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level -0.02

Olympique Marseille

Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%2.172.441.171.91.23
3-4-2-19 26%1.441.671.441.521.09
3-4-1-22 6%1.51.01.01.310.95
3-5-1-11 3%1.01.01.01.811.38
3-2-4-11 3%0.00.01.02.280.97

Strasbourg

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 12

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-117 50%1.591.761.471.61.46
3-4-2-110 29%1.11.61.41.551.24
4-4-1-12 6%1.52.02.01.021.73
5-3-21 3%3.01.00.00.740.21
3-1-4-21 3%3.01.00.01.340.72

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.6h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.05Home 46% P 51%3.75Draw 25% P 25%3.3Away 29% P 25%

Double Chance

1.28Marseille or Draw 37% P 38%1.25Marseille or Strasbourg 38% P 38%1.83Draw or Strasbourg 26% P 25%

Draw No Bet

1.41 66%2.752 34%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58% P 59%2.2No 42% P 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 57%2.2Under 43% P 43%

Total Corners

6.0Under 6 15%2.626 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 32%6.012 - 14 15%15.0Over 14 6%

Number of Cards

4.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 22.5–25% · 500 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home51%51%53%+2.3
Draw25%25%23%-2.6
Away25%23%24%+0.3

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 55%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes59%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.557%56%56%-0.2

François Letexier

Career
253 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
4.35 (4.09 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
23.3 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.39
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 86 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.444.06+0.7184
Fouls / match22.924.3-0.68
Fouls per card5.26.0-1.21 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.380.36+0.2056
Time added7.26.7+0.4472
First card
31' on average
Card timing
19% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.36

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-08 50 190 8'6
2026-02-01 50 260 42'9
2026-01-28 20 191 45'8
2025-12-14 · Olympique Marseille 30 220 40'6
2025-11-29 30 281 39'7
2025-11-26 10 200 44'7
2025-11-09 · Strasbourg 71 290 35'8
2025-11-01 40 170 27'5
2025-10-22 20 90 52'6
2025-10-19 31 251 34'5