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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 22

Momentum

RennesPSG
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
22

Venue

Stadium
Roazhon Park, Rennes
Capacity
29,778
Surface
grass
Attendance
28,545

Teams

Coaches
Sebastien Tambouret · Luis Enrique
Position
6 · 1
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Benoît Bastien

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
8.1° (feels 5.8°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
98%

Where to watch · 285

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Rennes

WDLLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 10 · xG 8.28–5.97 · xPts 8.34

  • L A Lens 1–3 xG 1.18–1.28 FRA L1
  • L A Monaco 0–4 xG 0.74–1.92 FRA L1
  • L H Lorient 0–2 xG 2.32–1.2 FRA L1
  • D H Le Havre 1–1 xG 2.18–0.43 FRA L1
  • W A LOSC Lille 2–0 xG 1.86–1.13 FRA L1

Paris Saint Germain

LWDWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 10 GA 4 · xG 10.47–5.4 · xPts 9.88

  • W H Olympique Marseille 5–0 xG 3.03–0.84 FRA L1
  • W A Strasbourg 2–1 xG 1.11–2.09 FRA L1
  • D H Newcastle United 1–1 xG 3.09–1.16 UEFA CL
  • W A Auxerre 1–0 xG 1.49–0.51 FRA L1
  • L A Sporting CP 1–2 xG 1.75–0.8 UEFA CL

All meetings · 42 matches since 2005

Rennes 158 draws19 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 41–65 · 2.52 per match · BTTS 45% · over 2.5 43%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Rennes 32 draws5 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 12–20 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Rennes 11 draws3 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 7–15 · 4.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • D Rennes 2–2 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Rennes 3–1 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 5–0 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Rennes 1–4 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 3–1 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Paris Saint Germain 1–1 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Rennes 1–3 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Paris Saint Germain 0–2 Rennes neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Rennes 1–0 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 1–0 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricRennes all · 34Rennes at home · 17Paris Saint Germain all · 34Paris Saint Germain away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.742.002.242.06
W / D / L17 / 8 / 910 / 4 / 324 / 4 / 611 / 2 / 4
Goals for / match1.741.762.181.94
Goals against / match1.471.000.851.00
Clean sheets29%24%53%41%
Failed to score18%18%6%12%
Both teams scored59%71%41%47%
Over 2.571%65%62%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.561.711.991.74
xG against / match1.541.340.981.16
xG difference0.020.371.010.58
Finishing vs xG0.180.050.180.20
xPts / match1.431.651.991.74
Points vs xPts0.310.350.250.32
Game state
Scored first56%41%85%82%
PPG when scoring first2.263.002.622.50
PPG when conceding first1.081.380.000.00
Came back from behind40%62%14%0%
Leads held71%91%83%79%
Minutes leading36%31%44%37%
Minutes level41%46%45%52%
Minutes trailing23%23%11%11%
First goal (min)37433841
First goal conceded (min)40423846
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%63%55%52%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%53%55%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.530.530.47
Late goals against0.290.180.240.41
Style
Possession54%54%69%68%
Shots14.115.817.715.2
On target5.05.46.76.4
Shot conversion12%11%12%13%
Shots inside box62%60%63%66%
Big chances created2.42.83.73.8
Corners6.06.56.45.2
xG from set plays29%29%29%26%
Goals from headers19%32%15%18%
Pressure index14.115.527.424.6
Dominant minutes51.952.573.068.8
Pass accuracy84%84%91%91%
Fouls12.312.99.18.6
Cards1.821.591.181.12

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Rennes

0–15'78
16–30'151
31–45'510
46–60'1211
61–75'810
76–90'1210

Paris Saint Germain

0–15'113
16–30'76
31–45'154
46–60'115
61–75'123
76–90'188

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Rennes · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.27) · stands out: when level +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.275
Early press (0-15, level)+0.245
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.014
When level+0.555
10 min after conceding-0.423
10 min after scoring-0.024

Situations

At home-0.123
Away+0.832
4+ days rest+0.275

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.252
v bottom-tier opponents+0.142
As favourite+0.444

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.105
Conceded when ahead+0.174
Conceded late (76+)-0.155

Ahead vs level -0.54

Paris Saint Germain · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.475
Early press (0-15, level)+0.635
Late push (76+, level)-0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.203

Game state

When ahead+0.283
When level+0.405
When behind+0.673
10 min after conceding+0.143
10 min after scoring+0.675

Situations

At home+0.582
Away+0.433
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.232
v mid-tier opponents+0.472
As favourite+0.475

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.315
Conceded when ahead-0.223
Conceded late (76+)-0.424

Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level +0.26

Rennes

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-218 53%1.51.561.721.41.61
4-4-26 18%2.02.331.832.01.29
4-3-35 15%2.01.60.61.471.07
4-2-3-12 6%3.03.00.51.352.23
5-3-21 3%3.01.00.00.972.28

Paris Saint Germain

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 36 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-333 97%2.32.240.852.030.97
3-5-21 3%0.00.01.00.661.17

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

7.5Home 13% P 12%5.25Draw 18% P 17%1.36Away 69% P 71%

Double Chance

3.0Rennes or Draw 16% P 14%1.16Rennes or PSG 41% P 42%1.1Draw or PSG 43% P 44%

Draw No Bet

6.01 16%1.122 84%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59% P 60%2.25No 41% P 40%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.36Over 70% P 70%3.2Under 30% P 30%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.52.1Over 44% P 39%1.66Under 56% P 61%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 10–12.5% · away 70–72.5% · 229 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home12%11%9%-1.9
Draw17%18%15%-2.9
Away71%71%76%+4.8

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes60%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 70–72.5% · 477 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.570%71%70%-1.4

Benoît Bastien

Career
347 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.35 (4.09 yellow · 0.18 red)
Fouls / match
23.7 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.37
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 92 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.264.06+0.3472
Fouls / match24.624.3+0.19
Fouls per card5.86.0-0.29 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.380.36+0.1652
Time added7.36.7+0.5280
First card
31' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.22

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-08 40 210 13'7
2026-01-28 50 231 27'8
2026-01-24 40 340 37'6
2026-01-04 · Paris Saint Germain 10 111 49'9
2025-12-09 60 252 13'5
2025-12-06 20 211 83'8
2025-11-09 · Paris Saint Germain 81 180 35'10
2025-11-05 40 272 4'7
2025-11-01 72 260 26'9
2025-10-26 10 201 75'13