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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 33
Paris Saint GermainPSG
1–0
FT
BrestBrest

Momentum

– PSGBrest –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
33

Venue

Stadium
Parc des Princes, Paris
Capacity
48,583
Surface
grass
Attendance
47,752

Teams

Coaches
Luis Enrique · Eric Roy
Position
1 · 12
Formation
4-3-3 · 3-4-3

Referee

Jérôme Brisard

Weather

Conditions
mist
Temperature
12.6° (feels 12.3°)
Wind
5.1
Humidity
94%

Where to watch · 156

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Paris Saint Germain

WWWDD 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 14 GA 7 · xG 11.03–6.97 · xPts 9.22

  • D A FC Bayern München 1–1 xG 1.37–1.8 UEFA CL
  • D H Lorient 2–2 xG 3.13–0.83 FRA L1
  • W H FC Bayern München 5–4 xG 2.02–2.41 UEFA CL
  • W A Angers SCO 3–0 xG 2.42–0.74 FRA L1
  • W H Nantes 3–0 xG 2.09–1.2 FRA L1

Brest

LLDDL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 15 · xG 3.47–11.06 · xPts 2.91

  • L A Paris 0–4 xG 0.68–1.69 FRA L1
  • D H Lens 3–3 xG 0.34–3.7 FRA L1
  • D A Nantes 1–1 xG 0.32–0.95 FRA L1
  • L H Rennes 3–4 xG 1.18–3.21 FRA L1
  • L A Auxerre 0–3 xG 0.94–1.52 FRA L1

All meetings · 22 matches since 2010

Paris Saint Germain 202 draws0 Brest

Goals 57–15 · 3.27 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 68%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Paris Saint Germain 91 draws0 Brest

Goals 30–8 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Paris Saint Germain 50 draws0 Brest

Goals 15–0 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Brest 0–1 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Paris Saint Germain 1–0 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Brest 0–3 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Paris Saint Germain 7–0 Brest UEFA CL · Knockout Round Play-offs · leg 2/2
  • W Brest 0–3 Paris Saint Germain neutral UEFA CL · Knockout Round Play-offs · leg 1/2
  • W Brest 2–5 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Paris Saint Germain 3–1 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Paris Saint Germain 2–2 Brest neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Brest 2–3 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Brest 1–2 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricParis Saint Germain all · 34Paris Saint Germain at home · 17Brest all · 34Brest away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.242.411.150.76
W / D / L24 / 4 / 613 / 2 / 210 / 9 / 153 / 4 / 10
Goals for / match2.182.411.260.88
Goals against / match0.850.711.621.88
Clean sheets53%65%26%12%
Failed to score6%0%32%41%
Both teams scored41%35%47%47%
Over 2.562%71%50%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.992.251.290.91
xG against / match0.980.801.541.66
xG difference1.011.45-0.25-0.75
Finishing vs xG0.180.16-0.03-0.02
xPts / match1.992.241.280.95
Points vs xPts0.250.18-0.13-0.19
Game state
Scored first85%88%47%35%
PPG when scoring first2.622.731.941.33
PPG when conceding first0.000.000.380.45
Came back from behind14%33%21%23%
Leads held83%87%56%38%
Minutes leading44%50%24%15%
Minutes level45%38%44%45%
Minutes trailing11%12%32%41%
First goal (min)38363547
First goal conceded (min)38253338
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%58%49%47%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%42%51%59%
Late goals for (76'+)0.530.590.240.24
Late goals against0.240.060.320.47
Style
Possession69%69%43%42%
Shots17.720.211.28.6
On target6.77.03.52.5
Shot conversion12%12%11%10%
Shots inside box63%61%63%63%
Big chances created3.73.52.21.5
Corners6.47.53.93.1
xG from set plays29%31%36%42%
Goals from headers15%12%21%13%
Pressure index27.430.38.16.1
Dominant minutes73.077.236.732.6
Pass accuracy91%91%78%78%
Fouls9.19.512.712.9
Cards1.181.241.851.94

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Paris Saint Germain

0–15'113
16–30'76
31–45'154
46–60'115
61–75'123
76–90'188

Brest

0–15'98
16–30'612
31–45'77
46–60'86
61–75'511
76–90'811

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Paris Saint Germain · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: when behind +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.475
Early press (0-15, level)+0.635
Late push (76+, level)-0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.203

Game state

When ahead+0.283
When level+0.405
When behind+0.673
10 min after conceding+0.143
10 min after scoring+0.665

Situations

At home+0.582
Away+0.433
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.232
v mid-tier opponents+0.472
As favourite+0.475

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.325
Conceded when ahead-0.223
Conceded late (76+)-0.424

Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level +0.26

Brest · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: when level +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.184
Early press (0-15, level)+0.424
Late push (76+, level)+1.122
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.012

Game state

When ahead-0.192
When level+0.654
When behind-0.073
10 min after conceding-0.204
10 min after scoring+0.453

Situations

At home+0.142
Away+0.212
4+ days rest+0.184

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.212
Evenly matched+0.303

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.124
Conceded when ahead+0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.204

Ahead vs level -0.84 · Behind vs level -0.72

Paris Saint Germain

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 36 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-333 97%2.32.240.852.030.97
3-5-21 3%0.00.01.00.661.17

Brest

Current: winless 1 · conceding 13

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 71%1.421.381.421.351.38
4-3-35 15%0.21.02.21.512.04
4-1-4-12 6%0.51.53.50.512.69
3-4-31 3%0.00.01.00.271.95
4-2-2-21 3%0.00.02.00.90.43

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.22Home 78% P 81%7.0Draw 14% P 12%11.0Away 9% P 7%

Double Chance

1.05PSG or Draw 46%1.1PSG or Brest 43%4.33Draw or Brest 11%

Draw No Bet

1.061 90%10.02 10%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53%2.0No 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.33Over 72% P 72%3.4Under 28% P 28%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

1.51.53Over 61%2.37Under 39%
2.52.1Over 44% P 48%1.66Under 56% P 52%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 80–82.5% · away 5–7.5% · 442 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home81%81%83%+1.6
Draw12%13%11%-1.8
Away7%6%6%+0.2

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 45% · over 2.5 65%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 70–72.5% · 478 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.572%71%70%-1.3

Jérôme Brisard

Career
207 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
4.0 (3.73 yellow · 0.2 red)
Fouls / match
24.4 · 6.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.35
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 89 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.914.06-0.3628
Fouls / match23.424.3-0.38
Fouls per card6.16.0+0.12 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.360.36-0.0444
Time added7.46.7+0.5988
First card
32' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.1

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-19 · Paris Saint Germain 60 181 13'10
2026-04-05 31 240 38'7
2026-03-15 70 230 16'15
2026-03-01 50 240 30'16
2026-02-15 61 230 2'12
2026-01-16 · Paris Saint Germain 10 200 62'6
2026-01-03 51 260 7'13
2025-12-05 20 200 26'9
2025-11-27 21 240 27'6
2025-11-22 52 260 3'7