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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 33
RennesRennes
2–1
FT
ParisParis

Momentum

– RennesParis –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
33

Venue

Stadium
Roazhon Park, Rennes
Capacity
29,778
Surface
grass
Attendance
28,074

Teams

Coaches
Franck Haise · Antoine Kombouare
Position
5 · 11
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Thomas Léonard

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
11.9° (feels 11.6°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
94%

Where to watch · 156

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Rennes

WWWWL 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 13 GA 9 · xG 10.25–7.32 · xPts 8.25

  • L A Olympique Lyonnais 2–4 xG 0.9–2.16 FRA L1
  • W H Nantes 2–1 xG 1.5–2.08 FRA L1
  • W A Strasbourg 3–0 xG 3.35–0.75 FRA L1
  • W H Angers SCO 2–1 xG 1.29–1.16 FRA L1
  • W A Brest 4–3 xG 3.21–1.18 FRA L1

Paris

DWWLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 12 GA 4 · xG 8.17–6.6 · xPts 7.98

  • W H Brest 4–0 xG 1.69–0.68 FRA L1
  • L H LOSC Lille 0–1 xG 1.36–1.7 FRA L1
  • W A Metz 3–1 xG 1.41–0.94 FRA L1
  • W H Monaco 4–1 xG 2.44–2.15 FRA L1
  • D A Lorient 1–1 xG 1.28–1.15 FRA L1

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Rennes 20 draws0 Paris

Goals 3–1 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Rennes 20 draws0 Paris

Goals 3–1 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Rennes 20 draws0 Paris

Goals 3–1 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • W Rennes 2–1 Paris FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Paris 0–1 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricRennes all · 34Rennes at home · 17Paris all · 34Paris away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.742.001.291.12
W / D / L17 / 8 / 910 / 4 / 311 / 11 / 124 / 7 / 6
Goals for / match1.741.761.381.12
Goals against / match1.471.001.471.35
Clean sheets29%24%24%24%
Failed to score18%18%26%24%
Both teams scored59%71%62%71%
Over 2.571%65%56%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.561.711.321.12
xG against / match1.541.341.621.64
xG difference0.020.37-0.30-0.52
Finishing vs xG0.180.050.060.00
xPts / match1.431.651.251.11
Points vs xPts0.310.350.040.01
Game state
Scored first56%41%41%47%
PPG when scoring first2.263.002.141.75
PPG when conceding first1.081.380.630.33
Came back from behind40%62%33%25%
Leads held71%91%69%50%
Minutes leading36%31%23%21%
Minutes level41%46%49%58%
Minutes trailing23%23%28%20%
First goal (min)37434141
First goal conceded (min)40424047
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%63%55%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%53%58%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.530.410.24
Late goals against0.290.180.380.41
Style
Possession54%54%50%49%
Shots14.115.811.79.9
On target5.05.44.03.4
Shot conversion12%11%12%11%
Shots inside box62%60%67%64%
Big chances created2.42.82.41.9
Corners6.06.54.43.2
xG from set plays29%29%26%21%
Goals from headers19%32%4%0%
Pressure index14.115.510.58.3
Dominant minutes51.952.546.037.5
Pass accuracy84%84%84%84%
Fouls12.312.910.610.4
Cards1.821.592.351.88

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Rennes

0–15'78
16–30'151
31–45'510
46–60'1211
61–75'810
76–90'1210

Paris

0–15'73
16–30'99
31–45'59
46–60'510
61–75'76
76–90'1413

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Rennes · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.27) · stands out: when level +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.275
Early press (0-15, level)+0.245
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.014
When level+0.555
10 min after conceding-0.433
10 min after scoring-0.024

Situations

At home-0.123
Away+0.832
4+ days rest+0.275

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.252
v bottom-tier opponents+0.142
As favourite+0.444

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.095
Conceded when ahead+0.174
Conceded late (76+)-0.155

Ahead vs level -0.54

Paris · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.124
Early press (0-15, level)-0.364
Late push (76+, level)-0.313

Game state

When ahead-0.062
When level-0.154
10 min after scoring-0.242

Situations

At home-0.212
Away-0.042
4+ days rest-0.124

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.082
v bottom-tier opponents-0.162
As favourite-0.162

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded when ahead+0.222
Conceded late (76+)-0.194

Ahead vs level +0.09

Rennes

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-218 53%1.51.561.721.41.61
4-4-26 18%2.02.331.832.01.29
4-3-35 15%2.01.60.61.471.07
4-2-3-12 6%3.03.00.51.352.23
5-3-21 3%3.01.00.00.972.28

Paris

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-310 29%1.51.92.01.421.79
5-4-18 24%1.00.750.881.041.42
4-2-3-17 21%1.431.571.01.341.09
4-1-4-13 9%2.02.671.671.962.36
4-5-12 6%0.50.01.51.052.0

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.57Home 60% P 61%4.5Draw 21% P 20%5.0Away 19% P 18%

Double Chance

1.16Rennes or Draw 40%1.18Rennes or Paris FC 40%2.3Draw or Paris FC 20%

Draw No Bet

1.251 75%3.752 25%

Both Teams To Score

1.5Yes 62%2.5No 38%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.4Over 68% P 67%3.0Under 32% P 33%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51% P 54%1.9Under 49% P 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 17.5–20% · 138 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home61%61%65%+4.3
Draw20%21%18%-2.8
Away18%18%17%-1.5

In those fixtures: 3.5 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 70%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.567%66%69%+3.2

Thomas Léonard

Career
156 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.08 (3.84 yellow · 0.18 red)
Fouls / match
24.6 · 6.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 88 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.924.06-0.3432
Fouls / match24.524.3+0.17
Fouls per card6.26.0+0.28 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.320.36-0.4332
Time added6.86.7+0.1648
First card
35' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.29

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-05-02 51 210 27'7
2026-04-19 50 271 7'9
2026-04-04 20 220 41'7
2026-03-14 50 170 23'11
2026-03-01 40 260 17'13
2026-02-15 40 280 21'7
2026-01-25 · Paris 20 210 25'8
2025-12-05 61 320 10'8
2025-11-23 40 211 20'5
2025-11-02 · Rennes 20 240 83'7