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La Liga · Matchweek 5
MallorcaMallorca
1–1
FT
Atlético de MadridATM

Momentum

– MallorcaATM –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
5

Venue

Stadium
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
Capacity
26,020
Surface
grass
Attendance
21,027

Teams

Coaches
Arrasate · D. Simeone
Position
19 · 13
Formation
5-3-2 · 4-4-2

Referee

Francisco José Hernández Maeso

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
27.7° (feels 29.3°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
63%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Barcelona 383116 953659 94 WWLWL
2 Real Madrid 382756 773542 86 WLWWW
3 Villarreal 3822610 724626 72 WDLLW
4 Atlético de Madrid 3821611 624418 69 WLWWL
5 Real Betis 3815158 594811 60 WDWLW
6 Celta de Vigo 38141212 53485 54 WWLDW
7 Getafe 3815617 3238-6 51 LDWLW
8 Rayo Vallecano 38121412 4144-3 50 WDDWW
9 Valencia 38131015 4655-9 49 LWDWW
10 Real Sociedad 38111314 5961-2 46 LDDLD
11 Espanyol 38121016 4355-12 46 LLWWD
12 Athletic Club 3813619 4358-15 45 WLLDL
13 Sevilla 3812719 4660-14 43 WWWLL
14 Deportivo Alavés 38111017 4456-12 43 LDWWL
15 Elche 38101315 4957-8 43 LDLWD
16 Levante 3811918 4761-14 42 LWWWL
17 Osasuna 3811918 4450-6 42 LLLLL
18 Mallorca 3811918 4757-10 42 WDLLW
19 Girona 3891415 3955-16 41 LDDLD
20 Real Oviedo 3861121 2660-34 29 LDLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Mallorca

DLDLL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 9 · xG 5.75–8.1 · xPts 5.48

  • L A Espanyol 2–3 xG 2.44–2.0 ESP PL
  • L A Real Madrid 1–2 xG 0.92–1.78 ESP PL
  • D H Celta de Vigo 1–1 xG 1.11–0.41 ESP PL
  • L H FC Barcelona 0–3 xG 0.29–1.96 ESP PL
  • D A Rayo Vallecano 0–0 xG 0.99–1.96 ESP PL

Atlético de Madrid

LDDWL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 5.55–6.7 · xPts 6.76

  • L A Liverpool 2–3 xG 0.73–3.31 UEFA CL
  • W H Villarreal 2–0 xG 0.73–0.66 ESP PL
  • D A Deportivo Alavés 1–1 xG 1.49–0.97 ESP PL
  • D H Elche 1–1 xG 1.33–0.42 ESP PL
  • L A Espanyol 1–2 xG 1.27–1.34 ESP PL

All meetings · 28 matches since 2005

Mallorca 89 draws11 Atlético de Madrid

Goals 26–36 · 2.21 per match · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 32%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Mallorca 31 draws6 Atlético de Madrid

Goals 6–13 · 1.9 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Mallorca 01 draws4 Atlético de Madrid

Goals 1–8 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • L Atlético de Madrid 3–0 Mallorca ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Mallorca 1–1 Atlético de Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Atlético de Madrid 2–0 Mallorca ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Mallorca 0–1 Atlético de Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Mallorca 0–1 Atlético de Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Atlético de Madrid 1–0 Mallorca ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Atlético de Madrid 3–1 Mallorca ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Mallorca 1–0 Atlético de Madrid neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Mallorca 1–0 Atlético de Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Atlético de Madrid 1–2 Mallorca neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
MetricMallorca all · 38Mallorca at home · 19Atlético de Madrid all · 38Atlético de Madrid away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.111.741.821.21
W / D / L11 / 9 / 189 / 6 / 421 / 6 / 116 / 5 / 8
Goals for / match1.241.631.631.21
Goals against / match1.501.111.161.42
Clean sheets16%21%37%32%
Failed to score24%10%13%16%
Both teams scored63%68%53%58%
Over 2.563%58%50%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.231.651.491.05
xG against / match1.591.241.261.62
xG difference-0.370.410.23-0.56
Finishing vs xG0.01-0.010.140.16
xPts / match1.131.591.521.06
Points vs xPts-0.020.150.290.15
Game state
Scored first42%53%76%74%
PPG when scoring first1.942.602.141.57
PPG when conceding first0.480.780.750.00
Came back from behind25%56%27%0%
Leads held61%82%68%43%
Minutes leading19%25%34%24%
Minutes level47%50%54%61%
Minutes trailing34%25%12%15%
First goal (min)46493137
First goal conceded (min)37404150
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%64%53%39%
Goals conceded in 2nd half46%33%50%56%
Late goals for (76'+)0.340.580.370.26
Late goals against0.390.260.260.32
Style
Possession47%48%53%52%
Shots10.912.913.110.8
On target4.24.95.13.9
Shot conversion11%13%12%11%
Shots inside box67%71%70%65%
Big chances created2.13.13.12.1
Corners3.74.06.55.2
xG from set plays30%32%24%24%
Goals from headers19%13%21%22%
Pressure index8.611.517.111.8
Dominant minutes36.944.055.645.2
Pass accuracy80%80%85%84%
Fouls12.312.011.212.3
Cards2.392.162.292.63

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Mallorca

0–15'47
16–30'59
31–45'1015
46–60'33
61–75'128
76–90'1315

Atlético de Madrid

0–15'135
16–30'77
31–45'910
46–60'84
61–75'118
76–90'1410

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Mallorca

No pressure profile yet.

Atlético de Madrid · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: v mid-tier opponents +0.61

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+1.242
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.403

Game state

When ahead+0.436
When level+0.357
When behind+0.363
10 min after conceding-0.144
10 min after scoring+0.576

Situations

At home+0.573
Away+0.234
4+ days rest+0.226

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.614
As favourite+0.415

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.237
Conceded when ahead-0.266
Conceded late (76+)-0.486

Congested vs rested +1.46 · Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level +0.01

Mallorca

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-120 53%1.01.151.61.081.56
4-3-1-29 24%1.671.561.01.411.52
5-3-24 10%0.251.01.751.12.13
4-4-23 8%1.01.332.331.471.78
4-3-2-11 3%3.02.01.02.880.83

Atlético de Madrid

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-224 63%1.881.881.081.521.11
4-1-4-13 8%1.00.331.330.891.22
4-2-3-13 8%0.01.02.331.01.99
4-3-33 8%2.01.331.671.392.04
5-3-23 8%3.02.00.672.471.06

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

5.0Home 19% P 19%3.6Draw 26% P 27%1.75Away 54% P 54%

Double Chance

2.0Mallorca or Draw 23% P 23%1.28Mallorca or Atletico Madrid 36% P 37%1.16Draw or Atletico Madrid 40% P 40%

Draw No Bet

3.51 27%1.282 73%

Both Teams To Score

2.05Yes 45% P 47%1.7No 55% P 53%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 44%1.66Under 57% P 56%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.756 - 8 32%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 17.5–20% · away 52.5–55% · 176 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home19%19%24%+5.3
Draw27%27%26%-1.3
Away54%54%50%-4.0

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 44%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes47%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Francisco José Hernández Maeso

Career
61 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
4.34 (4.23 yellow · 0.07 red)
Fouls / match
24.8 · 5.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.28
Cards to home side
51%

Style in La Liga (5-year window · 58 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.285.08-1.2314
Fouls / match24.825.7-0.73
Fouls per card6.15.1+1.14 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.290.34-0.5225
Time added8.17.7+0.4564
First card
36' on average
Card timing
11% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.17

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-08-29 20 250 41'11
2025-08-17 20 201 6'10
2025-05-18 20 160 30'11
2025-05-09 50 170 26'8
2025-04-24 10 140 72'10
2025-04-12 30 140 7'4
2025-03-30 · Mallorca 80 310 12'10
2025-03-09 40 290 63'6
2025-02-23 60 260 41'7
2025-02-08 90 240 12'11