Rating 7.15 (93th pct) · G+A 8 + 4 (19% of team goals) · 56% of minutes
Team 1.86 ppg with (22) · 1.75 without (16)
La Liga · Matchweek 6
Momentum
– ATMRAY –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Atlético de Madrid | at home | Stat | league | away | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.3 #5 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 53.5 #4 |
| 13.1 #6 | – | Shots total | 12.5 | – | 14.0 #4 |
| 5.1 #3 | – | Shots on target | 4.3 | – | 4.8 #4 |
| 6.5 #2 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 5.7 #5 |
| 11.2 #16 | – | Fouls | 12.6 | – | 13.4 #7 |
| 2.1 #5 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 2.1 #5 |
| 17.0 #10 | – | Tackles | 16.5 | – | 18.0 #3 |
| 101.2 #5 | – | Attacks | 95.4 | – | 93.2 #12 |
| 52.7 #4 | – | Dangerous attacks | 45.2 | – | 44.9 #9 |
| 505.5 #3 | – | Passes | 437.2 | – | 417.3 #9 |
| 2.2 #9 | – | Yellowcards | 2.2 | – | 2.6 #3 |
| 0.1 #11 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.2 #2 |
| 1.1 #4 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 0.8 #14 |
| – #15 | – | Btts | 56.6 | – | – #18 |
| – #2 | – | Cleansheet | 23.7 | – | – #4 |
| – #15 | – | Draw | 24.5 | – | – #2 |
| 1.5 #4 | – | Expected goals | 1.4 | – | 1.4 #6 |
| 0.1 #6 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.0 | – | -0.3 #20 |
| – #15 | – | Failed to score | 23.7 | – | – #4 |
| 1.6 #4 | 2.0 | Goals | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 #17 |
| 1.2 #16 | 0.9 | Goals conceded | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.2 #16 |
| 0.3 #7 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.2 #18 |
| 8.2 #11 | – | Interceptions | 8.3 | – | 8.5 #9 |
| – #16 | – | Lost | 37.8 | – | – #14 |
| 0.1 #14 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #14 |
| 6.9 #4 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #6 |
| 2.5 #17 | – | Shots blocked | 3.3 | – | 3.4 #7 |
| 9.1 #4 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.1 | – | 7.7 #11 |
| 5.5 #5 | – | Shots off target | 4.9 | – | 5.7 #3 |
| 4.0 #12 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 6.2 #2 |
| – #4 | – | Win | 37.8 | – | – #10 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 380 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.69 (home 1.57 · away 1.12)
- Home / draw / away
- 49% · 24% · 27%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 57% · 50%
- Cards / match
- 4.95 (reds 0.19)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Atlético de Madrid · 2025/2026 · La Liga
Rating 6.99 (82th pct) · G+A 2 + 2 (6% of team goals) · 65% of minutes
Team 2.12 ppg with (24) · 1.29 without (14)
Rating 6.94 (73th pct) · G+A 4 + 6 (16% of team goals) · 62% of minutes
Team 1.76 ppg with (25) · 1.92 without (13)
Rayo Vallecano · 2025/2026 · La Liga
Rating 7.13 (99th pct) · G+A 2 + 1 (7% of team goals) · 94% of minutes
Rating 6.88 (65th pct) · G+A 10 + 1 (27% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Team 1.45 ppg with (31) · 0.71 without (7)
Rating 6.97 (85th pct) · G+A 0 + 4 (10% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Team 1.35 ppg with (31) · 1.14 without (7)
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 6
Venue
- Stadium
- Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid
- Capacity
- 70,460
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 54,098
Teams
- Coaches
- D. Simeone · Iñigo Pérez
- Position
- 12 · 14
- Formation
- 5-3-2 · 4-4-2
Referee
Alejandro José Hernández Hernández
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 18.9° (feels 17.5°)
- Wind
- 6.3
- Humidity
- 26%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Barcelona |
38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95 | 36 | 59 | 94 | WWLWL |
| 2 |  Real Madrid |
38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77 | 35 | 42 | 86 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  Villarreal |
38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72 | 46 | 26 | 72 | WDLLW |
| 4 |  Atlético de Madrid |
38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62 | 44 | 18 | 69 | WLWWL |
| 5 |  Real Betis |
38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59 | 48 | 11 | 60 | WDWLW |
| 6 |  Celta de Vigo |
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 54 | WWLDW |
| 7 |  Getafe |
38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 51 | LDWLW |
| 8 |  Rayo Vallecano |
38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 50 | WDDWW |
| 9 |  Valencia |
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 49 | LWDWW |
| 10 |  Real Sociedad |
38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59 | 61 | -2 | 46 | LDDLD |
| 11 |  Espanyol |
38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 46 | LLWWD |
| 12 |  Athletic Club |
38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43 | 58 | -15 | 45 | WLLDL |
| 13 |  Sevilla |
38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 60 | -14 | 43 | WWWLL |
| 14 |  Deportivo Alavés |
38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 43 | LDWWL |
| 15 |  Elche |
38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 | LDLWD |
| 16 |  Levante |
38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 42 | LWWWL |
| 17 |  Osasuna |
38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 42 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  Mallorca |
38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 42 | WDLLW |
| 19 |  Girona |
38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 41 | LDDLD |
| 20 |  Real Oviedo |
38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 29 | LDLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona |
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 10 | 47 | 57 | WWLWL |
| 2 | Real Madrid |
19 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 45 | 16 | 29 | 49 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Villarreal |
19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 46 | WDLLW |
| 4 | Atlético de Madrid |
19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 46 | WLWWL |
| 5 | Real Betis |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 36 | WDWLW |
| 6 | Elche |
19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 35 | LDLWD |
| 7 | Mallorca |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 33 | WDLLW |
| 8 | Osasuna |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 32 | LLLLL |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano |
19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 31 | WDDWW |
| 10 | Valencia |
19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 30 | LWDWW |
| 11 | Athletic Club |
19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 30 | WLLDL |
| 12 | Real Sociedad |
19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 29 | LDDLD |
| 13 | Getafe |
19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 27 | LDWLW |
| 14 | Deportivo Alavés |
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 27 | LDWWL |
| 15 | Levante |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 26 | LWWWL |
| 16 | Espanyol |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 26 | LLWWD |
| 17 | Sevilla |
19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 | WWWLL |
| 18 | Girona |
19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 24 | LDDLD |
| 19 | Celta de Vigo |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 23 | WWLDW |
| 20 | Real Oviedo |
19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 19 | LDLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid |
19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 19 | 13 | 37 | WLWWW |
| 2 | FC Barcelona |
19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 37 | WWLWL |
| 3 | Celta de Vigo |
19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 31 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Villarreal |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 26 | WDLLW |
| 5 | Real Betis |
19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 24 | WDWLW |
| 6 | Getafe |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 24 | LDWLW |
| 7 | Atlético de Madrid |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 23 | WLWWL |
| 8 | Espanyol |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 20 | LLWWD |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano |
19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 19 | WDDWW |
| 10 | Valencia |
19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 | LWDWW |
| 11 | Sevilla |
19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 18 | WWWLL |
| 12 | Real Sociedad |
19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 | LDDLD |
| 13 | Girona |
19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 17 | LDDLD |
| 14 | Levante |
19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 16 | LWWWL |
| 15 | Deportivo Alavés |
19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 16 | LDWWL |
| 16 | Athletic Club |
19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 15 | WLLDL |
| 17 | Osasuna |
19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 10 | LLLLL |
| 18 | Real Oviedo |
19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 42 | -25 | 10 | LDLLL |
| 19 | Mallorca |
19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 16 | 36 | -20 | 9 | WDLLW |
| 20 | Elche |
19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 | LDLWD |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Atlético de Madrid
DDWLD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 6.53–5.83 · xPts 7.94
- D
A
Mallorca
1–1
xG 2.25–0.47
ESP PL
- L
A
Liverpool
2–3
xG 0.73–3.31
UEFA CL - W
H
Villarreal
2–0
xG 0.73–0.66
ESP PL
- D
A
Deportivo Alavés
1–1
xG 1.49–0.97
ESP PL
- D
H
Elche
1–1
xG 1.33–0.42
ESP PL
LDDWLD 1W 3D 2L · 6 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 7.8–7.17 · xPts 9.26
- D
A
Mallorca
1–1
xG 2.25–0.47
ESP PL
- L
A
Liverpool
2–3
xG 0.73–3.31
UEFA CL
- W
H
Villarreal
2–0
xG 0.73–0.66
ESP PL
- D
A
Deportivo Alavés
1–1
xG 1.49–0.97
ESP PL
- D
H
Elche
1–1
xG 1.33–0.42
ESP PL
- L
A
Espanyol
1–2
xG 1.27–1.34
ESP PL
Rayo Vallecano
LWDLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 6.03–6.32 · xPts 6.67
- D
H
Celta de Vigo
1–1
xG 0.96–0.87
ESP PL
- L
A
Osasuna
0–2
xG 1.36–1.44
ESP PL
- D
H
FC Barcelona
1–1
xG 1.8–1.78
ESP PL
- W
H
Neman Grodno
4–0
xG 1.53–0.57
UEFA ECL - L
A
Athletic Club
0–1
xG 0.38–1.66
ESP PL
WWLWDLD 3W 2D 2L · 11 pts (1.57 ppg) · GF 10 GA 6 · xG 10.74–7.43 · xPts 11.57
- D
H
Celta de Vigo
1–1
xG 0.96–0.87
ESP PL
- L
A
Osasuna
0–2
xG 1.36–1.44
ESP PL
- D
H
FC Barcelona
1–1
xG 1.8–1.78
ESP PL
- W
H
Neman Grodno
4–0
xG 1.53–0.57
UEFA ECL
- L
A
Athletic Club
0–1
xG 0.38–1.66
ESP PL
- W
A
Neman Grodno
1–0
xG 1.67–0.43
UEFA ECL
- W
A
Girona
3–1
xG 3.04–0.68
ESP PL
All meetings · 22 matches since 2011
Goals 48–18 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 54%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 22–9 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 9–7 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- L Rayo Vallecano 3–0 Atlético de Madrid neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Atlético de Madrid 3–2 Rayo Vallecano ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Atlético de Madrid 3–0 Rayo Vallecano ESP PL · Regular Season
- D Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Atlético de Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Atlético de Madrid 2–1 Rayo Vallecano neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Rayo Vallecano 0–7 Atlético de Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Rayo Vallecano 1–2 Atlético de Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- D Atlético de Madrid 1–1 Rayo Vallecano ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Rayo Vallecano 0–1 Atlético de Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Atlético de Madrid 2–0 Rayo Vallecano neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Atlético de Madrid all · 38 | Atlético de Madrid at home · 19 | Rayo Vallecano all · 38 | Rayo Vallecano away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 38 | 19 | 38 | 19 |
| Points per game | 1.82 | 2.42 | 1.32 | 1.00 |
| W / D / L | 21 / 6 / 11 | 15 / 1 / 3 | 12 / 14 / 12 | 5 / 4 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 1.63 | 2.05 | 1.08 | 0.89 |
| Goals against / match | 1.16 | 0.89 | 1.16 | 1.53 |
| Clean sheets | 37% | 42% | 32% | 21% |
| Failed to score | 13% | 10% | 32% | 47% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 47% | 45% | 37% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 53% | 37% | 47% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.49 | 1.93 | 1.43 | 1.19 |
| xG against / match | 1.26 | 0.91 | 1.35 | 1.61 |
| xG difference | 0.23 | 1.02 | 0.08 | -0.41 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.14 | 0.12 | -0.35 | -0.30 |
| xPts / match | 1.52 | 1.99 | 1.44 | 1.13 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.29 | 0.43 | -0.12 | -0.13 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 76% | 79% | 42% | 26% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.14 | 2.67 | 2.38 | 2.60 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.75 | 1.50 | 0.47 | 0.38 |
| Came back from behind | 27% | 57% | 37% | 23% |
| Leads held | 68% | 88% | 67% | 71% |
| Minutes leading | 34% | 44% | 17% | 14% |
| Minutes level | 54% | 48% | 59% | 48% |
| Minutes trailing | 12% | 8% | 24% | 39% |
| First goal (min) | 31 | 26 | 50 | 43 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 41 | 31 | 39 | 28 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 53% | 62% | 54% | 47% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 41% | 57% | 52% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.37 | 0.47 | 0.26 | 0.16 |
| Late goals against | 0.26 | 0.21 | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 53% | 55% | 53% | 52% |
| Shots | 13.1 | 15.4 | 14.0 | 11.5 |
| On target | 5.1 | 6.3 | 4.8 | 3.9 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 13% | 8% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 70% | 73% | 55% | 56% |
| Big chances created | 3.1 | 4.0 | 2.7 | 2.3 |
| Corners | 6.5 | 7.8 | 5.7 | 4.7 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 24% | 25% | 25% |
| Goals from headers | 21% | 20% | 15% | 6% |
| Pressure index | 17.1 | 22.3 | 12.6 | 9.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 55.6 | 65.9 | 50.4 | 41.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 86% | 82% | 82% |
| Fouls | 11.2 | 10.1 | 13.4 | 14.8 |
| Cards | 2.29 | 1.95 | 3.03 | 3.63 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Atlético de Madrid
0–15'135
16–30'77
31–45'910
46–60'84
61–75'118
76–90'1410
Rayo Vallecano
0–15'26
16–30'66
31–45'117
46–60'56
61–75'77
76–90'1012
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Atlético de Madrid · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: v mid-tier opponents +0.61
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+1.242
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.403
Game state
When ahead+0.436
When level+0.357
When behind+0.363
10 min after conceding-0.144
10 min after scoring+0.576
Situations
At home+0.573
Away+0.234
4+ days rest+0.226
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.614
As favourite+0.415
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.237
Conceded when ahead-0.266
Conceded late (76+)-0.486
Congested vs rested +1.46 · Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level +0.01
Rayo Vallecano · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.67
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.076
Early press (0-15, level)+0.306
Late push (76+, level)-0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.553
Game state
When ahead-0.135
When level+0.036
When behind-0.064
10 min after conceding-0.376
10 min after scoring+0.676
Situations
Against ten men+0.352
At home-0.083
Away-0.043
4+ days rest-0.055
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.052
v mid-tier opponents-0.103
Evenly matched-0.103
As underdog-0.052
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.246
Conceded when ahead+0.155
Conceded late (76+)+0.396
Congested vs rested -0.10 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.10
Atlético de Madrid
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 24 63% | 1.88 | 1.88 | 1.08 | 1.52 | 1.11 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 8% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.33 | 1.0 | 1.99 |
| 5-3-2 | 3 8% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.67 | 2.47 | 1.06 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 8% | 2.0 | 1.33 | 1.67 | 1.39 | 2.04 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 8% | 1.0 | 0.33 | 1.33 | 0.89 | 1.22 |
Rayo Vallecano
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 24 63% | 1.5 | 1.21 | 1.08 | 1.47 | 1.37 |
| 4-4-2 | 5 13% | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.39 | 1.63 |
| 4-3-3 | 5 13% | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.48 | 1.19 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 8% | 1.67 | 1.67 | 0.67 | 1.4 | 0.91 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.38 | 1.66 |
| Metric | Atlético de Madrid all · 10 | Atlético de Madrid at home · 10 | Rayo Vallecano all · 10 | Rayo Vallecano away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.90 | 1.70 | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 1 / 3 | 5 / 2 / 3 | 4 / 2 / 4 | 3 / 1 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 1.90 | 1.60 | 1.50 | 1.10 |
| Goals against / match | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 40% | 10% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% | 80% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 50% | 60% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.56 | 1.83 | 1.26 | 1.34 |
| xG against / match | 1.54 | 1.37 | 1.83 | 2.07 |
| xG difference | 0.01 | 0.46 | -0.57 | -0.73 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.34 | -0.23 | 0.24 | -0.24 |
| xPts / match | 1.37 | 1.67 | 1.08 | 0.99 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.53 | 0.03 | 0.32 | 0.01 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 80% | 60% | 60% | 50% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.38 | 2.17 | 1.33 | 1.40 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 0.60 |
| Came back from behind | 25% | 50% | 33% | 14% |
| Leads held | 75% | 71% | 50% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 39% | 31% | 34% | 19% |
| Minutes level | 44% | 51% | 36% | 39% |
| Minutes trailing | 17% | 18% | 30% | 42% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 40 | 28 | 38 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 56 | 40 | 37 | 30 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 58% | 69% | 47% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 64% | 50% | 50% | 45% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.60 | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 54% | 51% | 49% | 47% |
| Shots | 14.1 | 15.9 | 12.1 | 12.5 |
| On target | 5.2 | 4.9 | 4.8 | 4.7 |
| Shot conversion | 14% | 10% | 12% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 63% | 55% | 57% |
| Big chances created | 2.8 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 2.7 |
| Corners | 5.9 | 6.0 | 4.1 | 3.5 |
| xG from set plays | 25% | 16% | 21% | 19% |
| Goals from headers | 11% | 0% | 13% | 18% |
| Pressure index | 13.9 | 16.7 | 10.2 | 10.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 53.6 | 57.5 | 44.9 | 39.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 84% | 80% | 77% |
| Fouls | 10.9 | 11.0 | 13.8 | 16.0 |
| Cards | 2.20 | 2.10 | 2.90 | 3.10 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Atlético de Madrid
0–15'20
16–30'41
31–45'24
46–60'24
61–75'32
76–90'63
Rayo Vallecano
0–15'33
16–30'44
31–45'12
46–60'54
61–75'11
76–90'14
Atlético de Madrid
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 5 50% | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.72 | 1.69 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.75 | 2.4 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 0.39 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 1.46 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.97 | 0.35 |
Rayo Vallecano
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 80% | 1.25 | 1.38 | 1.88 | 1.33 | 2.01 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.35 | 0.56 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.57 | 1.63 |
| Metric | Atlético de Madrid all · 56 | Atlético de Madrid at home · 28 | Rayo Vallecano all · 53 | Rayo Vallecano away · 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 56 | 28 | 53 | 26 |
| Points per game | 1.80 | 2.32 | 1.47 | 1.00 |
| W / D / L | 31 / 8 / 17 | 21 / 2 / 5 | 21 / 15 / 17 | 7 / 5 / 14 |
| Goals for / match | 1.88 | 2.36 | 1.30 | 1.08 |
| Goals against / match | 1.30 | 1.04 | 1.26 | 1.77 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 32% | 32% | 19% |
| Failed to score | 14% | 7% | 23% | 31% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 61% | 51% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 68% | 49% | 62% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.63 | 2.12 | 1.43 | 1.23 |
| xG against / match | 1.41 | 1.18 | 1.37 | 1.76 |
| xG difference | 0.21 | 0.93 | 0.06 | -0.53 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.25 | 0.24 | -0.13 | -0.15 |
| xPts / match | 1.49 | 1.90 | 1.45 | 1.09 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.31 | 0.42 | 0.02 | -0.09 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 71% | 79% | 53% | 42% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.25 | 2.64 | 2.18 | 1.82 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.67 | 1.17 | 0.64 | 0.36 |
| Came back from behind | 29% | 54% | 35% | 22% |
| Leads held | 72% | 88% | 66% | 54% |
| Minutes leading | 34% | 43% | 25% | 19% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 46% | 51% | 43% |
| Minutes trailing | 15% | 11% | 24% | 38% |
| First goal (min) | 32 | 29 | 41 | 36 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 38 | 38 | 28 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 55% | 61% | 52% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 58% | 48% | 54% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.46 | 0.61 | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| Late goals against | 0.29 | 0.25 | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 52% | 54% | 52% | 49% |
| Shots | 13.8 | 16.6 | 14.5 | 11.8 |
| On target | 5.3 | 6.6 | 5.0 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 14% | 14% | 9% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | 70% | 56% | 55% |
| Big chances created | 3.1 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 2.4 |
| Corners | 6.0 | 7.0 | 5.5 | 4.4 |
| xG from set plays | 26% | 24% | 24% | 22% |
| Goals from headers | 18% | 17% | 12% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 16.5 | 21.5 | 13.8 | 10.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 52.5 | 62.3 | 51.5 | 40.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 86% | 81% | 80% |
| Fouls | 11.0 | 10.2 | 13.8 | 15.4 |
| Cards | 2.07 | 1.71 | 3.08 | 3.73 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Atlético de Madrid
0–15'195
16–30'1211
31–45'1615
46–60'1514
61–75'1712
76–90'2616
Rayo Vallecano
0–15'99
16–30'811
31–45'1611
46–60'1213
61–75'98
76–90'1515
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Atlético de Madrid · 56 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.31) · stands out: against ten men -0.62
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.3156
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2856
Late push (76+, level)+0.1617
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1717
Game state
When ahead+0.3343
When level+0.3556
When behind+0.1424
10 min after conceding-0.0838
10 min after scoring+0.6048
Situations
With ten men-0.116
Against ten men-0.624
At home+0.4628
Away+0.1728
3 days rest or fewer+0.3423
4+ days rest+0.2933
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0512
v mid-tier opponents+0.4224
v bottom-tier opponents+0.296
As favourite+0.4735
Evenly matched+0.1613
As underdog-0.108
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0756
Conceded when ahead-0.0743
Conceded late (76+)-0.2350
Congested vs rested +0.04 · Ahead vs level -0.01 · Behind vs level -0.21
Rayo Vallecano · 53 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.51
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1553
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1953
Late push (76+, level)-0.0624
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0417
Game state
When ahead+0.1731
When level+0.1853
When behind+0.0526
10 min after conceding-0.0836
10 min after scoring+0.5141
Situations
With ten men+0.136
Against ten men+0.305
At home+0.2427
Away+0.0526
3 days rest or fewer+0.0514
4+ days rest+0.1839
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.227
v mid-tier opponents+0.0520
v bottom-tier opponents+0.138
As favourite+0.3324
Evenly matched+0.0612
As underdog-0.0517
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0353
Conceded when ahead-0.0631
Conceded late (76+)-0.0747
Congested vs rested -0.13 · Ahead vs level -0.01 · Behind vs level -0.13
Atlético de Madrid
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 38 68% | 1.76 | 2.05 | 1.34 | 1.69 | 1.39 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 5 9% | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.01 | 1.12 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 7% | 1.75 | 1.75 | 2.0 | 1.78 | 2.16 |
| 5-3-2 | 3 5% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.67 | 2.47 | 1.06 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 4% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.87 | 2.31 |
Rayo Vallecano
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 36 68% | 1.44 | 1.28 | 1.28 | 1.44 | 1.49 |
| 4-3-3 | 10 19% | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.56 | 0.97 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 4 8% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.75 | 1.19 | 1.09 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 6% | 0.33 | 1.0 | 1.67 | 1.27 | 1.65 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.44Home 66% P 66%4.33Draw 22% P 21%8.0Away 12% P 13%
Double Chance
1.08Atletico Madrid or Draw 43% P 44%1.2Atletico Madrid or Rayo Vallecano 39% P 40%2.62Draw or Rayo Vallecano 18% P 17%
Draw No Bet
1.121 84%6.02 16%
Both Teams To Score
2.1Yes 44% P 44%1.66No 56% P 56%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%
Number of Cards
3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 65–67.5% · away 12.5–15% · 566 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 66% | 66% | 69% | +3.3 |
| Draw | 21% | 20% | 20% | -0.7 |
| Away | 13% | 14% | 11% | -2.7 |
In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 58%
Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44% | 44% | 48% | +4.3 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 49% | 50% | +1.3 |
Alejandro José Hernández Hernández
- Career
- 279 matches · 15 seasons
- Cards / match
- 5.74 (5.44 yellow · 0.14 red)
- Fouls / match
- 24.7 · 4.0 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.37
- Cards to home side
- 47%
Style in La Liga (5-year window · 93 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 6.24 | 5.07 | +1.93 | 100 |
| Fouls / match | 26.0 | 25.7 | +0.09 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.2 | 5.1 | -1.48 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.38 | 0.33 | +0.56 | 82 |
| Time added | 8.2 | 7.7 | +0.56 | 82 |
- First card
- 29' on average
- Card timing
- 14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 47% (league 48%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.17
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-15 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 2 | 43' | 10 |
| 2025-08-23 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 44' | 10 |
| 2025-08-19 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 77' | 10 |
| 2025-08-12 | 7 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 45' | 10 |
| 2025-05-18 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 45' | 11 |
| 2025-05-11 | 7 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 29' | 17 |
| 2025-05-04 | 9 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 6' | 10 |
| 2025-04-21 | 5 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 26' | 9 |
| 2025-04-17 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 9' | 5 |
| 2025-04-04 · Rayo Vallecano | 4 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 28' | 8 |