Rating 7.64 (98th pct) · G+A 25 + 5 (39% of team goals) · 76% of minutes
Team 2.24 ppg with (29) · 2.33 without (9)
La Liga · Matchweek 8
Momentum
– Real MadridVillarreal –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Real Madrid | at home | Stat | league | away | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.4 #2 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 44.5 #17 |
| 17.5 #2 | – | Shots total | 12.5 | – | 12.0 #11 |
| 6.7 #2 | – | Shots on target | 4.3 | – | 4.5 #7 |
| 6.3 #3 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 4.2 #14 |
| 9.9 #19 | – | Fouls | 12.6 | – | 11.9 #14 |
| 2.0 #7 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 1.8 #13 |
| 15.6 #15 | – | Tackles | 16.5 | – | 17.3 #9 |
| 114.0 #3 | – | Attacks | 95.4 | – | 79.8 #20 |
| 62.2 #1 | – | Dangerous attacks | 45.2 | – | 40.2 #15 |
| 587.0 #2 | – | Passes | 437.2 | – | 409.2 #11 |
| 1.9 #19 | – | Yellowcards | 2.2 | – | 2.1 #13 |
| 0.2 #2 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #14 |
| 1.5 #2 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 1.3 #3 |
| – #12 | – | Btts | 56.6 | – | – #4 |
| – #2 | – | Cleansheet | 23.7 | – | – #12 |
| – #19 | – | Draw | 24.5 | – | – #15 |
| 2.0 #2 | – | Expected goals | 1.4 | – | 1.6 #3 |
| 0.0 #9 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.0 | – | 0.3 #2 |
| – #18 | – | Failed to score | 23.7 | – | – #13 |
| 2.0 #2 | 2.4 | Goals | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.9 #3 |
| 0.9 #20 | 0.8 | Goals conceded | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.2 #15 |
| 0.3 #6 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #11 |
| 6.8 #20 | – | Interceptions | 8.3 | – | 9.2 #2 |
| – #19 | – | Lost | 37.8 | – | – #17 |
| 0.3 #1 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.2 #4 |
| 7.0 #2 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #5 |
| 4.4 #2 | – | Shots blocked | 3.3 | – | 2.7 #14 |
| 11.1 #2 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.1 | – | 8.4 #5 |
| 6.5 #2 | – | Shots off target | 4.9 | – | 4.8 #10 |
| 6.4 #1 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 3.5 #18 |
| – #2 | – | Win | 37.8 | – | – #3 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 380 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.69 (home 1.57 · away 1.12)
- Home / draw / away
- 49% · 24% · 27%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 57% · 50%
- Cards / match
- 4.95 (reds 0.19)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Real Madrid · 2025/2026 · La Liga
Rating 7.33 (97th pct) · G+A 16 + 5 (27% of team goals) · 83% of minutes
Team 2.28 ppg with (32) · 2.17 without (6)
Rating 7.33 (98th pct) · G+A 5 + 8 (17% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Team 2.35 ppg with (31) · 1.86 without (7)
Villarreal · 2025/2026 · La Liga
Rating 7.09 (88th pct) · G+A 8 + 8 (22% of team goals) · 70% of minutes
Team 2.0 ppg with (26) · 1.67 without (12)
Rating 6.89 (67th pct) · G+A 10 + 5 (21% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Team 1.9 ppg with (30) · 1.88 without (8)
Rating 7.0 (83th pct) · G+A 13 + 6 (26% of team goals) · 62% of minutes
Team 2.04 ppg with (23) · 1.67 without (15)
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 8
Venue
- Stadium
- Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
- Capacity
- 84,744
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 75,216
Teams
- Coaches
- Xabi Alonso · Marcelino
- Position
- 2 · 3
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Referee
Guillermo Cuadra Fernández
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 26.0° (feels 26.0°)
- Wind
- 2.8
- Humidity
- 20%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Barcelona |
38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95 | 36 | 59 | 94 | WWLWL |
| 2 |  Real Madrid |
38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77 | 35 | 42 | 86 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  Villarreal |
38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72 | 46 | 26 | 72 | WDLLW |
| 4 |  Atlético de Madrid |
38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62 | 44 | 18 | 69 | WLWWL |
| 5 |  Real Betis |
38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59 | 48 | 11 | 60 | WDWLW |
| 6 |  Celta de Vigo |
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 54 | WWLDW |
| 7 |  Getafe |
38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 51 | LDWLW |
| 8 |  Rayo Vallecano |
38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 50 | WDDWW |
| 9 |  Valencia |
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 49 | LWDWW |
| 10 |  Real Sociedad |
38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59 | 61 | -2 | 46 | LDDLD |
| 11 |  Espanyol |
38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 46 | LLWWD |
| 12 |  Athletic Club |
38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43 | 58 | -15 | 45 | WLLDL |
| 13 |  Sevilla |
38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 60 | -14 | 43 | WWWLL |
| 14 |  Deportivo Alavés |
38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 43 | LDWWL |
| 15 |  Elche |
38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 | LDLWD |
| 16 |  Levante |
38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 42 | LWWWL |
| 17 |  Osasuna |
38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 42 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  Mallorca |
38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 42 | WDLLW |
| 19 |  Girona |
38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 41 | LDDLD |
| 20 |  Real Oviedo |
38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 29 | LDLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona |
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 10 | 47 | 57 | WWLWL |
| 2 | Real Madrid |
19 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 45 | 16 | 29 | 49 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Villarreal |
19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 46 | WDLLW |
| 4 | Atlético de Madrid |
19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 46 | WLWWL |
| 5 | Real Betis |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 36 | WDWLW |
| 6 | Elche |
19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 35 | LDLWD |
| 7 | Mallorca |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 33 | WDLLW |
| 8 | Osasuna |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 32 | LLLLL |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano |
19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 31 | WDDWW |
| 10 | Valencia |
19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 30 | LWDWW |
| 11 | Athletic Club |
19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 30 | WLLDL |
| 12 | Real Sociedad |
19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 29 | LDDLD |
| 13 | Getafe |
19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 27 | LDWLW |
| 14 | Deportivo Alavés |
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 27 | LDWWL |
| 15 | Levante |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 26 | LWWWL |
| 16 | Espanyol |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 26 | LLWWD |
| 17 | Sevilla |
19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 | WWWLL |
| 18 | Girona |
19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 24 | LDDLD |
| 19 | Celta de Vigo |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 23 | WWLDW |
| 20 | Real Oviedo |
19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 19 | LDLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid |
19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 19 | 13 | 37 | WLWWW |
| 2 | FC Barcelona |
19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 37 | WWLWL |
| 3 | Celta de Vigo |
19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 31 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Villarreal |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 26 | WDLLW |
| 5 | Real Betis |
19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 24 | WDWLW |
| 6 | Getafe |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 24 | LDWLW |
| 7 | Atlético de Madrid |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 23 | WLWWL |
| 8 | Espanyol |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 20 | LLWWD |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano |
19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 19 | WDDWW |
| 10 | Valencia |
19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 | LWDWW |
| 11 | Sevilla |
19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 18 | WWWLL |
| 12 | Real Sociedad |
19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 | LDDLD |
| 13 | Girona |
19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 17 | LDDLD |
| 14 | Levante |
19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 16 | LWWWL |
| 15 | Deportivo Alavés |
19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 16 | LDWWL |
| 16 | Athletic Club |
19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 15 | WLLDL |
| 17 | Osasuna |
19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 10 | LLLLL |
| 18 | Real Oviedo |
19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 42 | -25 | 10 | LDLLL |
| 19 | Mallorca |
19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 16 | 36 | -20 | 9 | WDLLW |
| 20 | Elche |
19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 | LDLWD |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Real Madrid
WWWLW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 15 GA 7 · xG 12.62–6.23 · xPts 9.96
- W
A
Kairat
5–0
xG 3.03–0.42
UEFA CL - L
A
Atlético de Madrid
2–5
xG 0.58–2.1
ESP PL
- W
A
Levante
4–1
xG 3.28–1.44
ESP PL
- W
H
Espanyol
2–0
xG 1.74–1.15
ESP PL
- W
H
Olympique Marseille
2–1
xG 3.99–1.12
UEFA CL
WWWWWWWLW 8W 0D 1L · 24 pts (2.67 ppg) · GF 23 GA 9 · xG 21.16–10.9 · xPts 18.02
- W
A
Kairat
5–0
xG 3.03–0.42
UEFA CL
- L
A
Atlético de Madrid
2–5
xG 0.58–2.1
ESP PL
- W
A
Levante
4–1
xG 3.28–1.44
ESP PL
- W
H
Espanyol
2–0
xG 1.74–1.15
ESP PL
- W
H
Olympique Marseille
2–1
xG 3.99–1.12
UEFA CL
- W
A
Real Sociedad
2–1
xG 2.25–2.78
ESP PL
- W
H
Mallorca
2–1
xG 1.78–0.92
ESP PL
- W
A
Real Oviedo
3–0
xG 2.6–0.56
ESP PL
- W
H
Osasuna
1–0
xG 1.91–0.42
ESP PL
Villarreal
LWWWD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 5 · xG 8.88–6.38 · xPts 8.25
- D
H
Juventus
2–2
xG 2.12–1.46
UEFA CL - W
H
Athletic Club
1–0
xG 1.7–1.09
ESP PL
- W
A
Sevilla
2–1
xG 1.59–1.11
ESP PL
- W
H
Osasuna
2–1
xG 3.03–2.03
ESP PL
- L
A
Tottenham Hotspur
0–1
xG 0.45–0.69
UEFA CL
WWDLLWWWD 5W 2D 2L · 17 pts (1.89 ppg) · GF 15 GA 8 · xG 15.82–9.24 · xPts 15.98
- D
H
Juventus
2–2
xG 2.12–1.46
UEFA CL
- W
H
Athletic Club
1–0
xG 1.7–1.09
ESP PL
- W
A
Sevilla
2–1
xG 1.59–1.11
ESP PL
- W
H
Osasuna
2–1
xG 3.03–2.03
ESP PL
- L
A
Tottenham Hotspur
0–1
xG 0.45–0.69
UEFA CL
- L
A
Atlético de Madrid
0–2
xG 0.66–0.73
ESP PL
- D
A
Celta de Vigo
1–1
xG 0.98–0.88
ESP PL
- W
H
Girona
5–0
xG 2.78–0.28
ESP PL
- W
H
Real Oviedo
2–0
xG 2.52–0.97
ESP PL
All meetings · 40 matches since 2006
Goals 83–48 · 3.27 per match · BTTS 62% · over 2.5 60%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 20–12 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 13–6 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- W Villarreal 0–2 Real Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Real Madrid 3–1 Villarreal ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Villarreal 1–2 Real Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Real Madrid 2–0 Villarreal ESP PL · Regular Season
- D Villarreal 4–4 Real Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Real Madrid 4–1 Villarreal ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Real Madrid 2–3 Villarreal ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Villarreal 2–1 Real Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- D Villarreal 0–0 Real Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- D Real Madrid 0–0 Villarreal ESP PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Real Madrid all · 38 | Real Madrid at home · 19 | Villarreal all · 38 | Villarreal away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 38 | 19 | 38 | 19 |
| Points per game | 2.26 | 2.58 | 1.89 | 1.37 |
| W / D / L | 27 / 5 / 6 | 16 / 1 / 2 | 22 / 6 / 10 | 7 / 5 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 2.03 | 2.37 | 1.89 | 1.26 |
| Goals against / match | 0.92 | 0.84 | 1.21 | 1.42 |
| Clean sheets | 37% | 32% | 21% | 16% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 10% | 16% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 58% | 63% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 58% | 58% | 42% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.98 | 2.22 | 1.62 | 1.26 |
| xG against / match | 1.14 | 1.04 | 1.29 | 1.36 |
| xG difference | 0.83 | 1.18 | 0.33 | -0.10 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.05 | 0.15 | 0.27 | 0.00 |
| xPts / match | 1.87 | 2.08 | 1.58 | 1.34 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.39 | 0.50 | 0.32 | 0.03 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 71% | 79% | 68% | 58% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.85 | 2.87 | 2.50 | 2.27 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.80 | 1.50 | 0.58 | 0.13 |
| Came back from behind | 40% | 50% | 29% | 22% |
| Leads held | 90% | 94% | 79% | 64% |
| Minutes leading | 44% | 52% | 38% | 28% |
| Minutes level | 45% | 41% | 44% | 46% |
| Minutes trailing | 11% | 7% | 18% | 26% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 33 | 36 | 42 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 48 | 52 | 48 | 46 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 57% | 56% | 46% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 60% | 62% | 61% | 59% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.50 | 0.47 | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| Late goals against | 0.24 | 0.21 | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 59% | 61% | 44% | 41% |
| Shots | 17.5 | 19.0 | 12.0 | 9.4 |
| On target | 6.7 | 7.7 | 4.5 | 3.2 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 12% | 16% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 64% | 63% | 70% | 70% |
| Big chances created | 3.1 | 3.6 | 2.8 | 2.3 |
| Corners | 6.3 | 6.5 | 4.2 | 3.0 |
| xG from set plays | 34% | 41% | 22% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 10% | 13% | 7% | 4% |
| Pressure index | 22.3 | 23.8 | 10.3 | 4.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 63.9 | 68.1 | 40.2 | 27.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 89% | 90% | 82% | 81% |
| Fouls | 9.9 | 9.7 | 11.9 | 12.2 |
| Cards | 2.05 | 2.37 | 2.18 | 2.74 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Real Madrid
0–15'72
16–30'104
31–45'168
46–60'156
61–75'106
76–90'199
Villarreal
0–15'93
16–30'125
31–45'1810
46–60'1310
61–75'107
76–90'1011
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Real Madrid · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.02
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.477
Early press (0-15, level)+0.317
Late push (76+, level)+0.733
Game state
When ahead+0.346
When level+0.677
10 min after conceding-0.016
10 min after scoring+1.026
Situations
At home+0.244
Away+0.703
4+ days rest+0.456
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.693
v bottom-tier opponents+0.702
As favourite+0.477
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.056
Conceded late (76+)-0.496
Congested vs rested +0.16 · Ahead vs level -0.33 · Behind vs level -1.19
Villarreal · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.43) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.77
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.437
Early press (0-15, level)+0.447
Late push (76+, level)-0.104
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.254
Game state
When ahead+0.754
When level+0.427
When behind+0.317
10 min after conceding-0.307
10 min after scoring+0.776
Situations
At home+0.162
Away+0.545
3 days rest or fewer+0.932
4+ days rest+0.235
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.042
v mid-tier opponents+0.632
v bottom-tier opponents+0.932
As favourite+0.554
As underdog+0.042
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.334
Conceded late (76+)-0.027
Congested vs rested +0.71 · Ahead vs level +0.33 · Behind vs level -0.11
Real Madrid
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 3 · scoring 3 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 18 47% | 2.28 | 2.22 | 1.06 | 1.77 | 1.19 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 24% | 1.78 | 1.44 | 1.22 | 1.74 | 1.23 |
| 4-3-3 | 7 18% | 2.71 | 1.86 | 0.14 | 2.24 | 0.8 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.46 | 1.42 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.66 | 1.41 |
Villarreal
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 21
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 37 97% | 1.86 | 1.89 | 1.22 | 1.62 | 1.3 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.59 | 1.11 |
| Metric | Real Madrid all · 10 | Real Madrid at home · 10 | Villarreal all · 10 | Villarreal away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.70 | 2.50 | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| W / D / L | 9 / 0 / 1 | 8 / 1 / 1 | 2 / 2 / 6 | 2 / 4 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 2.60 | 2.70 | 1.90 | 1.30 |
| Goals against / match | 0.90 | 1.10 | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 0% | 20% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 80% | 80% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 80% | 80% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.47 | 2.40 | 1.88 | 1.71 |
| xG against / match | 1.10 | 1.29 | 1.51 | 1.43 |
| xG difference | 1.37 | 1.12 | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.13 | 0.30 | 0.02 | -0.41 |
| xPts / match | 2.16 | 2.03 | 1.59 | 1.52 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.54 | 0.47 | -0.79 | -0.52 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 90% | 80% | 40% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 2.75 | 0.75 | 1.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 1.50 | 0.83 | 0.71 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
| Leads held | 100% | 89% | 33% | 40% |
| Minutes leading | 59% | 53% | 20% | 21% |
| Minutes level | 40% | 39% | 50% | 52% |
| Minutes trailing | 1% | 8% | 30% | 28% |
| First goal (min) | 21 | 35 | 38 | 41 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 57 | 55 | 36 | 45 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 38% | 52% | 37% | 38% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 67% | 64% | 45% | 53% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.70 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 56% | 56% | 58% | 51% |
| Shots | 18.4 | 19.4 | 13.5 | 11.9 |
| On target | 7.4 | 8.9 | 5.9 | 4.5 |
| Shot conversion | 14% | 14% | 14% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 72% | 66% | 69% | 71% |
| Big chances created | 4.3 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 6.1 | 6.5 | 7.1 | 5.7 |
| xG from set plays | 19% | 24% | 34% | 35% |
| Goals from headers | 4% | 0% | 12% | 9% |
| Pressure index | 18.4 | 18.0 | 15.7 | 11.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 61.8 | 58.9 | 55.5 | 45.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 90% | 90% | 88% | 85% |
| Fouls | 8.8 | 8.5 | 9.2 | 10.4 |
| Cards | 1.30 | 1.20 | 1.80 | 1.90 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Real Madrid
0–15'50
16–30'61
31–45'52
46–60'21
61–75'11
76–90'74
Villarreal
0–15'11
16–30'42
31–45'78
46–60'13
61–75'21
76–90'45
Real Madrid
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 3 · scoring 3 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 2.5 | 2.83 | 1.0 | 2.72 | 0.99 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.99 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.57 | 1.55 |
Villarreal
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 21
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 9 90% | 0.89 | 1.89 | 1.89 | 1.93 | 1.37 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.42 | 2.75 |
| Metric | Real Madrid all · 54 | Real Madrid at home · 27 | Villarreal all · 48 | Villarreal away · 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 54 | 27 | 48 | 25 |
| Points per game | 2.15 | 2.48 | 1.48 | 1.20 |
| W / D / L | 37 / 5 / 12 | 22 / 1 / 4 | 21 / 8 / 19 | 8 / 6 / 11 |
| Goals for / match | 2.20 | 2.59 | 1.69 | 1.28 |
| Goals against / match | 1.09 | 0.89 | 1.54 | 1.64 |
| Clean sheets | 32% | 30% | 12% | 12% |
| Failed to score | 11% | 7% | 21% | 28% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 63% | 67% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 70% | 67% | 56% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.08 | 2.34 | 1.67 | 1.43 |
| xG against / match | 1.30 | 1.25 | 1.45 | 1.53 |
| xG difference | 0.78 | 1.09 | 0.22 | -0.10 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.13 | 0.25 | 0.02 | -0.15 |
| xPts / match | 1.83 | 2.00 | 1.53 | 1.36 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.32 | 0.48 | -0.05 | -0.16 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 72% | 82% | 56% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.67 | 2.77 | 2.19 | 2.40 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.79 | 1.20 | 0.57 | 0.40 |
| Came back from behind | 29% | 33% | 30% | 31% |
| Leads held | 86% | 92% | 68% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 43% | 52% | 29% | 22% |
| Minutes level | 46% | 40% | 46% | 48% |
| Minutes trailing | 12% | 8% | 24% | 30% |
| First goal (min) | 34 | 30 | 38 | 44 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 48 | 52 | 44 | 42 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 53% | 51% | 51% | 53% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 58% | 58% | 60% | 58% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.50 | 0.52 | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.19 | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 57% | 57% | 46% | 45% |
| Shots | 17.5 | 19.3 | 12.5 | 10.8 |
| On target | 6.8 | 7.7 | 4.7 | 3.9 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 66% | 69% | 69% |
| Big chances created | 3.6 | 4.0 | 2.8 | 2.6 |
| Corners | 6.2 | 6.6 | 4.3 | 3.7 |
| xG from set plays | 29% | 32% | 24% | 29% |
| Goals from headers | 10% | 7% | 8% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 20.2 | 20.7 | 11.2 | 8.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 60.9 | 61.6 | 41.9 | 36.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 89% | 90% | 83% | 82% |
| Fouls | 10.1 | 10.0 | 11.9 | 12.0 |
| Cards | 2.24 | 2.00 | 2.25 | 2.60 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Real Madrid
0–15'115
16–30'284
31–45'1716
46–60'229
61–75'149
76–90'2716
Villarreal
0–15'85
16–30'117
31–45'2118
46–60'1518
61–75'118
76–90'1518
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Real Madrid · 54 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.48) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.78
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.4854
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2354
Late push (76+, level)+0.5216
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1511
Game state
When ahead+0.4843
When level+0.4954
When behind+0.4717
10 min after conceding+0.4236
10 min after scoring+0.7847
Situations
With ten men+0.375
Against ten men+0.137
At home+0.3827
Away+0.5827
3 days rest or fewer+0.3416
4+ days rest+0.5438
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0915
v mid-tier opponents+0.5519
v bottom-tier opponents+0.598
As favourite+0.5844
Evenly matched+0.205
As underdog-0.065
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1854
Conceded when ahead-0.1743
Conceded late (76+)-0.3244
Congested vs rested -0.20 · Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level -0.02
Villarreal · 48 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: against ten men +0.90
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0148
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1048
Late push (76+, level)-0.0117
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2319
Game state
When ahead+0.0431
When level+0.0648
When behind-0.1227
10 min after conceding-0.3541
10 min after scoring+0.3538
Situations
With ten men-0.414
Against ten men+0.903
At home+0.0723
Away-0.0425
3 days rest or fewer+0.0111
4+ days rest+0.0137
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2412
v mid-tier opponents+0.0119
v bottom-tier opponents+0.288
As favourite+0.2026
Evenly matched-0.1511
As underdog-0.2711
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1948
Conceded when ahead+0.1831
Conceded late (76+)+0.0943
Congested vs rested +0.00 · Ahead vs level -0.03 · Behind vs level -0.18
Real Madrid
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 3 · scoring 3 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 25 46% | 2.12 | 2.12 | 1.16 | 1.79 | 1.39 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 14 26% | 2.0 | 2.29 | 1.29 | 2.15 | 1.05 |
| 4-3-3 | 10 18% | 2.5 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 2.49 | 1.28 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 4% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.88 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.66 | 1.41 |
Villarreal
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 21
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 45 94% | 1.49 | 1.67 | 1.51 | 1.66 | 1.43 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 4% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.86 | 1.29 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.42 | 2.75 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.38Home 68% P 69%5.0Draw 19% P 18%7.5Away 13% P 13%
Double Chance
1.1Real Madrid or Draw 43% P 43%1.16Real Madrid or Villarreal 41% P 41%3.0Draw or Villarreal 16% P 16%
Draw No Bet
1.141 83%5.52 17%
Both Teams To Score
1.61Yes 58% P 60%2.2No 42% P 40%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.44Over 66% P 67%2.75Under 34% P 33%
Total Corners
13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%
Number of Cards
3.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 67.5–70% · away 12.5–15% · 243 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 69% | 68% | 68% | -0.1 |
| Draw | 18% | 18% | 18% | -0.3 |
| Away | 13% | 13% | 14% | +0.4 |
In those fixtures: 3.4 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 65%
Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60% | 59% | 60% | +1.5 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 66% | 69% | +3.2 |
Guillermo Cuadra Fernández
- Career
- 158 matches · 8 seasons
- Cards / match
- 5.21 (4.9 yellow · 0.17 red)
- Fouls / match
- 26.2 · 5.0 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.39
- Cards to home side
- 47%
Style in La Liga (5-year window · 87 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 5.62 | 5.08 | +0.92 | 86 |
| Fouls / match | 25.1 | 25.7 | -0.50 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.5 | 5.1 | -1.06 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.4 | 0.34 | +0.87 | 89 |
| Time added | 7.1 | 7.7 | -0.57 | 18 |
- First card
- 32' on average
- Card timing
- 15% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 47% (league 48%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.32
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-28 | 6 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 17' | 10 |
| 2025-09-14 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 41' | 3 |
| 2025-08-28 | 8 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 29' | 5 |
| 2025-08-24 · Villarreal | 3 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 53' | 8 |
| 2025-08-14 | 5 | 1 | 27 | 0 | 18' | 7 |
| 2025-05-24 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 65' | 9 |
| 2025-05-15 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 70' | 6 |
| 2025-05-04 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 35' | 7 |
| 2025-04-20 · Villarreal | 5 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 41' | 9 |
| 2025-04-05 · Real Madrid | 4 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 10' | 9 |