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La Liga · Matchweek 10
OsasunaOsasuna
2–3
FT
Celta de VigoCEL

Momentum

– OsasunaCEL –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
10

Venue

Stadium
Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona
Capacity
23,576
Surface
grass
Attendance
20,065

Teams

Coaches
Alessio Lisci · Claudio Giráldez
Position
13 · 18
Formation
3-4-3 · 3-4-3

Referee

Alejandro José Hernández Hernández

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
11.1° (feels 10.2°)
Wind
6.3
Humidity
71%

Where to watch · 629

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Barcelona 383116 953659 94 WWLWL
2 Real Madrid 382756 773542 86 WLWWW
3 Villarreal 3822610 724626 72 WDLLW
4 Atlético de Madrid 3821611 624418 69 WLWWL
5 Real Betis 3815158 594811 60 WDWLW
6 Celta de Vigo 38141212 53485 54 WWLDW
7 Getafe 3815617 3238-6 51 LDWLW
8 Rayo Vallecano 38121412 4144-3 50 WDDWW
9 Valencia 38131015 4655-9 49 LWDWW
10 Real Sociedad 38111314 5961-2 46 LDDLD
11 Espanyol 38121016 4355-12 46 LLWWD
12 Athletic Club 3813619 4358-15 45 WLLDL
13 Sevilla 3812719 4660-14 43 WWWLL
14 Deportivo Alavés 38111017 4456-12 43 LDWWL
15 Elche 38101315 4957-8 43 LDLWD
16 Levante 3811918 4761-14 42 LWWWL
17 Osasuna 3811918 4450-6 42 LLLLL
18 Mallorca 3811918 4757-10 42 WDLLW
19 Girona 3891415 3955-16 41 LDDLD
20 Real Oviedo 3861121 2660-34 29 LDLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Osasuna

LDLWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 7 · xG 6.21–7.75 · xPts 5.96

  • L A Atlético de Madrid 0–1 xG 1.18–1.77 ESP PL
  • W H Getafe 2–1 xG 0.65–0.97 ESP PL
  • L A Real Betis 0–2 xG 1.22–1.16 ESP PL
  • D H Elche 1–1 xG 1.14–0.81 ESP PL
  • L A Villarreal 1–2 xG 2.03–3.03 ESP PL

Celta de Vigo

LWDDW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 8 GA 6 · xG 7.0–7.37 · xPts 6.97

  • W H Nice 2–1 xG 1.51–1.39 UEFA EL
  • D H Real Sociedad 1–1 xG 0.4–1.51 ESP PL
  • D H Atlético de Madrid 1–1 xG 2.76–0.39 ESP PL
  • W H PAOK 3–1 xG 1.66–0.7 UEFA EL
  • L A Elche 1–2 xG 0.67–3.38 ESP PL

All meetings · 25 matches since 2005

Osasuna 105 draws10 Celta de Vigo

Goals 25–29 · 2.16 per match · BTTS 36% · over 2.5 36%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Osasuna 51 draws4 Celta de Vigo

Goals 13–14 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Osasuna 30 draws2 Celta de Vigo

Goals 9–8 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Celta de Vigo 1–2 Osasuna ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Celta de Vigo 1–2 Osasuna ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Osasuna 2–3 Celta de Vigo ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Celta de Vigo 1–0 Osasuna ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Osasuna 3–2 Celta de Vigo ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Osasuna 0–3 Celta de Vigo ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Celta de Vigo 0–2 Osasuna ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Osasuna 0–0 Celta de Vigo neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Celta de Vigo 1–2 Osasuna ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Celta de Vigo 2–0 Osasuna neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
MetricOsasuna all · 38Osasuna at home · 19Celta de Vigo all · 38Celta de Vigo away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.111.681.421.63
W / D / L11 / 9 / 189 / 5 / 514 / 12 / 128 / 7 / 4
Goals for / match1.161.631.391.26
Goals against / match1.321.261.261.05
Clean sheets18%26%26%32%
Failed to score32%0%16%16%
Both teams scored55%74%63%63%
Over 2.550%63%45%42%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.311.661.201.07
xG against / match1.351.031.411.54
xG difference-0.040.63-0.21-0.47
Finishing vs xG-0.15-0.030.190.19
xPts / match1.381.781.271.13
Points vs xPts-0.28-0.090.150.50
Game state
Scored first37%47%53%58%
PPG when scoring first1.932.222.102.09
PPG when conceding first0.591.200.631.00
Came back from behind28%54%40%50%
Leads held58%64%64%62%
Minutes leading19%28%24%22%
Minutes level57%53%53%59%
Minutes trailing24%19%23%19%
First goal (min)45474546
First goal conceded (min)48454242
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half52%52%64%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half66%67%56%55%
Late goals for (76'+)0.530.680.370.32
Late goals against0.240.260.260.21
Style
Possession47%49%50%48%
Shots11.814.810.18.6
On target4.05.34.03.7
Shot conversion10%11%14%15%
Shots inside box70%73%65%65%
Big chances created1.92.52.42.1
Corners3.74.53.83.1
xG from set plays39%35%25%23%
Goals from headers26%33%4%0%
Pressure index11.315.411.29.7
Dominant minutes44.754.645.738.9
Pass accuracy79%80%86%85%
Fouls13.413.511.713.2
Cards2.662.471.972.26

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Osasuna

0–15'72
16–30'28
31–45'127
46–60'110
61–75'214
76–90'209

Celta de Vigo

0–15'57
16–30'73
31–45'711
46–60'147
61–75'610
76–90'1410

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Osasuna · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.68

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.116
Early press (0-15, level)+0.056
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.362

Game state

When ahead-0.312
When level+0.036
When behind-0.164
10 min after conceding-0.124
10 min after scoring+0.683

Situations

At home-0.093
Away-0.143
4+ days rest-0.115

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.044
As favourite-0.093
As underdog-0.282

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.226
Conceded when ahead+0.052
Conceded late (76+)+0.155

Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.34 · Behind vs level -0.19

Celta de Vigo · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.20) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.70

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.207
Early press (0-15, level)+0.127
Late push (76+, level)+0.105
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.183

Game state

When ahead+0.122
When level+0.237
When behind+0.174
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.703

Situations

At home+0.073
Away+0.304
3 days rest or fewer+0.202
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.073
v bottom-tier opponents+0.313
As favourite+0.383
Evenly matched+0.123

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.047
Conceded when ahead-0.362
Conceded late (76+)-0.367

Congested vs rested -0.01 · Ahead vs level -0.10 · Behind vs level -0.06

Osasuna

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-122 58%1.231.361.361.431.36
3-4-37 18%0.571.141.711.491.67
3-4-2-12 5%1.50.50.50.771.2
3-5-22 5%1.51.01.50.931.07
3-1-4-21 3%1.01.01.01.140.81

Celta de Vigo

Current: winless 7 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-328 74%1.361.461.431.231.4
3-4-2-18 21%1.631.250.751.11.33
4-4-21 3%3.01.00.01.730.42
4-3-31 3%0.01.02.00.673.38

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.35Home 41% P 40%3.2Draw 30% P 30%3.2Away 30% P 30%

Double Chance

1.36Osasuna or Draw 35% P 35%1.36Osasuna or Celta Vigo 35% P 35%1.57Draw or Celta Vigo 30% P 30%

Draw No Bet

1.611 58%2.22 42%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 52%1.95No 48% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 45%1.72Under 55% P 55%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50% P 53%1.83Under 50% P 47%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 27.5–30% · 815 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home40%41%42%+0.5
Draw30%30%27%-2.4
Away30%29%31%+1.9

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 43%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%44%43%-1.2

Alejandro José Hernández Hernández

Career
279 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
5.74 (5.44 yellow · 0.14 red)
Fouls / match
24.7 · 4.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.37
Cards to home side
47%

Style in La Liga (5-year window · 94 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.245.08+1.91100
Fouls / match26.025.7+0.08
Fouls per card4.25.1-1.48 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.380.34+0.6386
Time added8.27.7+0.5579
First card
29' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.17

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-28 30 180 17'7
2025-09-24 80 180 50'9
2025-09-15 31 252 43'10
2025-08-23 40 181 44'10
2025-08-19 20 261 77'10
2025-08-12 70 290 45'10
2025-05-18 40 230 45'11
2025-05-11 70 320 29'17
2025-05-04 90 290 6'10
2025-04-21 50 240 26'9