Rating 6.95 (75th pct) · G+A 10 + 3 (30% of team goals) · 69% of minutes
Team 1.29 ppg with (28) · 0.9 without (10)
La Liga · Matchweek 19
Momentum
– ATHReal Madrid –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| Athletic Club | at home | Stat | league | away | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.6 #11 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 59.4 #2 |
| 13.7 #5 | – | Shots total | 12.5 | – | 17.5 #2 |
| 4.5 #7 | – | Shots on target | 4.3 | – | 6.7 #2 |
| 5.8 #4 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 6.3 #3 |
| 13.5 #6 | – | Fouls | 12.6 | – | 9.9 #19 |
| 1.4 #18 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 2.0 #7 |
| 15.0 #17 | – | Tackles | 16.5 | – | 15.6 #15 |
| 114.3 #2 | – | Attacks | 95.4 | – | 114.0 #3 |
| 53.4 #3 | – | Dangerous attacks | 45.2 | – | 62.2 #1 |
| 409.5 #10 | – | Passes | 437.2 | – | 587.0 #2 |
| 2.0 #14 | – | Yellowcards | 2.2 | – | 1.9 #19 |
| 0.2 #2 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.2 #2 |
| 0.8 #12 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 1.5 #2 |
| – #15 | – | Btts | 56.6 | – | – #12 |
| – #15 | – | Cleansheet | 23.7 | – | – #2 |
| – #15 | – | Draw | 24.5 | – | – #19 |
| 1.4 #7 | – | Expected goals | 1.4 | – | 2.0 #2 |
| -0.3 #18 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.0 | – | 0.0 #9 |
| – #3 | – | Failed to score | 23.7 | – | – #18 |
| 1.1 #15 | 1.2 | Goals | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2.0 #2 |
| 1.5 #5 | 1.1 | Goals conceded | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.9 #20 |
| 0.3 #3 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #6 |
| 9.4 #1 | – | Interceptions | 8.3 | – | 6.8 #20 |
| – #2 | – | Lost | 37.8 | – | – #19 |
| 0.1 #9 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.3 #1 |
| 6.7 #18 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 7.0 #2 |
| 3.9 #3 | – | Shots blocked | 3.3 | – | 4.4 #2 |
| 9.4 #3 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.1 | – | 11.1 #2 |
| 5.3 #6 | – | Shots off target | 4.9 | – | 6.5 #2 |
| 4.3 #9 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 6.4 #1 |
| – #8 | – | Win | 37.8 | – | – #2 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 380 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.69 (home 1.57 · away 1.12)
- Home / draw / away
- 49% · 24% · 27%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 57% · 50%
- Cards / match
- 4.95 (reds 0.19)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Athletic Club · 2025/2026 · La Liga
Rating 6.96 (83th pct) · G+A 0 + 6 (14% of team goals) · 79% of minutes
Team 1.39 ppg with (31) · 0.29 without (7)
Rating 6.89 (72th pct) · G+A 6 + 3 (21% of team goals) · 49% of minutes
Team 1.45 ppg with (20) · 0.89 without (18)
Real Madrid · 2025/2026 · La Liga
Rating 7.64 (98th pct) · G+A 25 + 5 (39% of team goals) · 76% of minutes
Team 2.24 ppg with (29) · 2.33 without (9)
Rating 7.33 (97th pct) · G+A 16 + 5 (27% of team goals) · 83% of minutes
Team 2.28 ppg with (32) · 2.17 without (6)
Rating 7.33 (98th pct) · G+A 5 + 8 (17% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Team 2.35 ppg with (31) · 1.86 without (7)
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 19
Venue
- Stadium
- San Mamés Barria, Bilbao
- Capacity
- 53,289
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 51,313
Teams
- Coaches
- Ernesto Valverde Tejedor · Xabi Alonso
- Position
- 8 · 2
- Formation
- 4-1-4-1 · 4-2-2-2
Referee
Jesús Gil Manzano
Weather
- Conditions
- few clouds
- Temperature
- 8.2° (feels 4.9°)
- Wind
- 6.3
- Humidity
- 82%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Barcelona |
38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95 | 36 | 59 | 94 | WWLWL |
| 2 |  Real Madrid |
38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77 | 35 | 42 | 86 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  Villarreal |
38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72 | 46 | 26 | 72 | WDLLW |
| 4 |  Atlético de Madrid |
38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62 | 44 | 18 | 69 | WLWWL |
| 5 |  Real Betis |
38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59 | 48 | 11 | 60 | WDWLW |
| 6 |  Celta de Vigo |
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 54 | WWLDW |
| 7 |  Getafe |
38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 51 | LDWLW |
| 8 |  Rayo Vallecano |
38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 50 | WDDWW |
| 9 |  Valencia |
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 49 | LWDWW |
| 10 |  Real Sociedad |
38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59 | 61 | -2 | 46 | LDDLD |
| 11 |  Espanyol |
38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 46 | LLWWD |
| 12 |  Athletic Club |
38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43 | 58 | -15 | 45 | WLLDL |
| 13 |  Sevilla |
38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 60 | -14 | 43 | WWWLL |
| 14 |  Deportivo Alavés |
38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 43 | LDWWL |
| 15 |  Elche |
38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 | LDLWD |
| 16 |  Levante |
38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 42 | LWWWL |
| 17 |  Osasuna |
38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 42 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  Mallorca |
38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 42 | WDLLW |
| 19 |  Girona |
38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 41 | LDDLD |
| 20 |  Real Oviedo |
38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 29 | LDLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona |
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 10 | 47 | 57 | WWLWL |
| 2 | Real Madrid |
19 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 45 | 16 | 29 | 49 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Villarreal |
19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 46 | WDLLW |
| 4 | Atlético de Madrid |
19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 46 | WLWWL |
| 5 | Real Betis |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 36 | WDWLW |
| 6 | Elche |
19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 35 | LDLWD |
| 7 | Mallorca |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 33 | WDLLW |
| 8 | Osasuna |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 32 | LLLLL |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano |
19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 31 | WDDWW |
| 10 | Valencia |
19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 30 | LWDWW |
| 11 | Athletic Club |
19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 30 | WLLDL |
| 12 | Real Sociedad |
19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 29 | LDDLD |
| 13 | Getafe |
19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 27 | LDWLW |
| 14 | Deportivo Alavés |
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 27 | LDWWL |
| 15 | Levante |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 26 | LWWWL |
| 16 | Espanyol |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 26 | LLWWD |
| 17 | Sevilla |
19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 | WWWLL |
| 18 | Girona |
19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 24 | LDDLD |
| 19 | Celta de Vigo |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 23 | WWLDW |
| 20 | Real Oviedo |
19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 19 | LDLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid |
19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 19 | 13 | 37 | WLWWW |
| 2 | FC Barcelona |
19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 37 | WWLWL |
| 3 | Celta de Vigo |
19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 31 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Villarreal |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 26 | WDLLW |
| 5 | Real Betis |
19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 24 | WDWLW |
| 6 | Getafe |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 24 | LDWLW |
| 7 | Atlético de Madrid |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 23 | WLWWL |
| 8 | Espanyol |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 20 | LLWWD |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano |
19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 19 | WDDWW |
| 10 | Valencia |
19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 | LWDWW |
| 11 | Sevilla |
19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 18 | WWWLL |
| 12 | Real Sociedad |
19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 | LDDLD |
| 13 | Girona |
19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 17 | LDDLD |
| 14 | Levante |
19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 16 | LWWWL |
| 15 | Deportivo Alavés |
19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 16 | LDWWL |
| 16 | Athletic Club |
19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 15 | WLLDL |
| 17 | Osasuna |
19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 10 | LLLLL |
| 18 | Real Oviedo |
19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 42 | -25 | 10 | LDLLL |
| 19 | Mallorca |
19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 16 | 36 | -20 | 9 | WDLLW |
| 20 | Elche |
19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 | LDLWD |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Athletic Club
LWLDW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 3 GA 6 · xG 7.4–4.64 · xPts 8.7
- W
A
Levante
2–0
xG 2.37–1.2
ESP PL
- D
A
Slavia Praha
0–0
xG 1.3–0.76
UEFA CL - L
A
FC Barcelona
0–4
xG 1.26–1.64
ESP PL
- W
H
Real Oviedo
1–0
xG 1.72–0.26
ESP PL
- L
A
Newcastle United
0–2
xG 0.74–0.78
UEFA CL
WDWLLLWLDW 4W 2D 4L · 14 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 12 · xG 13.84–9.16 · xPts 16.42
- W
A
Levante
2–0
xG 2.37–1.2
ESP PL
- D
A
Slavia Praha
0–0
xG 1.3–0.76
UEFA CL
- L
A
FC Barcelona
0–4
xG 1.26–1.64
ESP PL
- W
H
Real Oviedo
1–0
xG 1.72–0.26
ESP PL
- L
A
Newcastle United
0–2
xG 0.74–0.78
UEFA CL
- L
A
Real Sociedad
2–3
xG 1.14–1.63
ESP PL
- L
H
Getafe
0–1
xG 0.5–0.73
ESP PL
- W
H
Qarabağ
3–1
xG 2.53–0.51
UEFA CL - D
A
Elche
0–0
xG 0.31–1.29
ESP PL
- W
H
Mallorca
2–1
xG 1.96–0.36
ESP PL
Real Madrid
LDDWD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 9.12–7.51 · xPts 7.64
- D
A
Girona
1–1
xG 2.39–0.89
ESP PL
- W
A
Olympiacos F.C.
4–3
xG 1.66–1.5
UEFA CL - D
A
Elche
2–2
xG 3.66–1.41
ESP PL
- D
A
Rayo Vallecano
0–0
xG 1.08–1.38
ESP PL
- L
A
Liverpool
0–1
xG 0.34–2.34
UEFA CL
WWWWWLDDWD 6W 3D 1L · 21 pts (2.1 ppg) · GF 18 GA 9 · xG 23.14–11.85 · xPts 19.86
- D
A
Girona
1–1
xG 2.39–0.89
ESP PL
- W
A
Olympiacos F.C.
4–3
xG 1.66–1.5
UEFA CL
- D
A
Elche
2–2
xG 3.66–1.41
ESP PL
- D
A
Rayo Vallecano
0–0
xG 1.08–1.38
ESP PL
- L
A
Liverpool
0–1
xG 0.34–2.34
UEFA CL
- W
H
Valencia
4–0
xG 3.12–0.58
ESP PL
- W
H
FC Barcelona
2–1
xG 3.46–1.42
ESP PL
- W
H
Juventus
1–0
xG 2.62–0.94
UEFA CL - W
A
Getafe
1–0
xG 1.72–0.54
ESP PL
- W
H
Villarreal
3–1
xG 3.1–0.86
ESP PL
All meetings · 42 matches since 2005
Goals 29–99 · 3.05 per match · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 60%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 6–19 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 4–11 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- L Real Madrid 4–2 Athletic Club ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Athletic Club 0–3 Real Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Real Madrid 1–0 Athletic Club ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Athletic Club 2–1 Real Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Real Madrid 2–0 Athletic Club ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Athletic Club 0–2 Real Madrid neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
- D Real Madrid 1–1 Athletic Club ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Athletic Club 0–2 Real Madrid neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Athletic Club 1–2 Real Madrid neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Real Madrid 1–0 Athletic Club ESP PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Athletic Club all · 38 | Athletic Club at home · 19 | Real Madrid all · 38 | Real Madrid away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 38 | 19 | 38 | 19 |
| Points per game | 1.18 | 1.58 | 2.26 | 1.95 |
| W / D / L | 13 / 6 / 19 | 9 / 3 / 7 | 27 / 5 / 6 | 11 / 4 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.13 | 1.16 | 2.03 | 1.68 |
| Goals against / match | 1.53 | 1.11 | 0.92 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheets | 16% | 21% | 37% | 42% |
| Failed to score | 34% | 26% | 10% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 53% | 55% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 42% | 55% | 53% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.40 | 1.59 | 1.98 | 1.74 |
| xG against / match | 1.06 | 0.76 | 1.14 | 1.25 |
| xG difference | 0.34 | 0.83 | 0.83 | 0.49 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.27 | -0.43 | 0.05 | -0.06 |
| xPts / match | 1.58 | 1.90 | 1.87 | 1.67 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.40 | -0.32 | 0.39 | 0.28 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 37% | 53% | 71% | 63% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.36 | 2.70 | 2.85 | 2.83 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.48 | 0.33 | 0.80 | 0.33 |
| Came back from behind | 27% | 30% | 40% | 33% |
| Leads held | 81% | 90% | 90% | 85% |
| Minutes leading | 18% | 25% | 44% | 36% |
| Minutes level | 51% | 51% | 45% | 48% |
| Minutes trailing | 32% | 24% | 11% | 15% |
| First goal (min) | 44 | 48 | 38 | 43 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 44 | 51 | 48 | 45 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 58% | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 62% | 62% | 60% | 58% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.37 | 0.42 | 0.50 | 0.53 |
| Late goals against | 0.37 | 0.16 | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 49% | 50% | 59% | 58% |
| Shots | 13.7 | 15.1 | 17.5 | 16.0 |
| On target | 4.5 | 5.0 | 6.7 | 5.6 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 8% | 12% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 69% | 67% | 64% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 2.6 |
| Corners | 5.8 | 6.3 | 6.3 | 6.1 |
| xG from set plays | 27% | 24% | 34% | 24% |
| Goals from headers | 12% | 4% | 10% | 6% |
| Pressure index | 13.0 | 14.3 | 22.3 | 20.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 52.4 | 58.7 | 63.9 | 59.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 81% | 89% | 88% |
| Fouls | 13.5 | 13.4 | 9.9 | 10.1 |
| Cards | 2.26 | 2.21 | 2.05 | 1.74 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Athletic Club
0–15'39
16–30'52
31–45'1011
46–60'612
61–75'510
76–90'1414
Real Madrid
0–15'72
16–30'104
31–45'168
46–60'156
61–75'106
76–90'199
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Athletic Club · 5 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.40) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.09
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.405
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.353
Game state
When ahead+0.222
When level+0.595
When behind+0.323
10 min after conceding-0.203
10 min after scoring+1.094
Situations
At home+0.613
Away+0.112
4+ days rest+0.314
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.392
v mid-tier opponents+0.872
As favourite+1.032
Evenly matched+0.262
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.065
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.175
Congested vs rested +0.44 · Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level -0.27
Real Madrid · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.02
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.477
Early press (0-15, level)+0.317
Late push (76+, level)+0.733
Game state
When ahead+0.346
When level+0.677
10 min after conceding-0.016
10 min after scoring+1.026
Situations
At home+0.244
Away+0.703
4+ days rest+0.456
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.693
v bottom-tier opponents+0.702
As favourite+0.477
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.056
Conceded late (76+)-0.496
Congested vs rested +0.16 · Ahead vs level -0.33 · Behind vs level -1.19
Athletic Club
Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 37 97% | 1.22 | 1.16 | 1.49 | 1.41 | 1.05 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.15 | 1.62 |
Real Madrid
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 3 · scoring 3 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 18 47% | 2.28 | 2.22 | 1.06 | 1.77 | 1.19 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 24% | 1.78 | 1.44 | 1.22 | 1.74 | 1.23 |
| 4-3-3 | 7 18% | 2.71 | 1.86 | 0.14 | 2.24 | 0.8 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.46 | 1.42 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.66 | 1.41 |
| Metric | Athletic Club all · 10 | Athletic Club at home · 10 | Real Madrid all · 10 | Real Madrid away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.10 | 1.40 | 2.70 | 1.60 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 5 | 4 / 2 / 4 | 9 / 0 / 1 | 5 / 1 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.40 | 1.20 | 2.60 | 1.50 |
| Goals against / match | 1.60 | 1.10 | 0.90 | 1.40 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% | 30% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 20% | 10% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 50% | 70% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.47 | 1.67 | 2.47 | 1.95 |
| xG against / match | 1.16 | 0.94 | 1.10 | 1.41 |
| xG difference | 0.31 | 0.73 | 1.37 | 0.54 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.07 | -0.47 | 0.13 | -0.45 |
| xPts / match | 1.58 | 1.79 | 2.16 | 1.68 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.49 | -0.39 | 0.54 | -0.08 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 20% | 40% | 90% | 70% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.29 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.63 | 0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 38% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| Leads held | 100% | 100% | 100% | 71% |
| Minutes leading | 13% | 21% | 59% | 38% |
| Minutes level | 46% | 51% | 40% | 47% |
| Minutes trailing | 41% | 28% | 1% | 15% |
| First goal (min) | 51 | 54 | 21 | 29 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 33 | 47 | 57 | 46 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 79% | 75% | 38% | 40% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 62% | 64% | 67% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 47% | 49% | 56% | 53% |
| Shots | 13.9 | 15.3 | 18.4 | 15.0 |
| On target | 4.5 | 5.4 | 7.4 | 5.3 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 8% | 14% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 71% | 69% | 72% | 76% |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | 2.4 | 4.3 | 3.3 |
| Corners | 6.7 | 7.0 | 6.1 | 5.9 |
| xG from set plays | 20% | 18% | 19% | 24% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 8% | 4% | 15% |
| Pressure index | 14.8 | 16.9 | 18.4 | 15.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 54.2 | 60.2 | 61.8 | 54.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 81% | 90% | 88% |
| Fouls | 12.2 | 11.8 | 8.8 | 10.5 |
| Cards | 1.70 | 2.20 | 1.30 | 3.20 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Athletic Club
0–15'04
16–30'20
31–45'12
46–60'44
61–75'23
76–90'53
Real Madrid
0–15'50
16–30'61
31–45'52
46–60'21
61–75'11
76–90'74
Athletic Club
Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.47 | 1.16 |
Real Madrid
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 3 · scoring 3 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 2.5 | 2.83 | 1.0 | 2.72 | 0.99 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.99 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.57 | 1.55 |
| Metric | Athletic Club all · 46 | Athletic Club at home · 22 | Real Madrid all · 54 | Real Madrid away · 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 46 | 22 | 54 | 27 |
| Points per game | 1.11 | 1.45 | 2.15 | 1.81 |
| W / D / L | 14 / 9 / 23 | 9 / 5 / 8 | 37 / 5 / 12 | 15 / 4 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 1.15 | 1.27 | 2.20 | 1.81 |
| Goals against / match | 1.57 | 1.18 | 1.09 | 1.30 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 23% | 32% | 33% |
| Failed to score | 35% | 23% | 11% | 15% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 59% | 59% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 50% | 63% | 56% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.36 | 1.53 | 2.08 | 1.81 |
| xG against / match | 1.14 | 0.87 | 1.30 | 1.34 |
| xG difference | 0.22 | 0.66 | 0.78 | 0.47 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.21 | -0.26 | 0.13 | 0.00 |
| xPts / match | 1.51 | 1.78 | 1.83 | 1.66 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.40 | -0.32 | 0.32 | 0.16 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 46% | 72% | 63% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.14 | 2.40 | 2.67 | 2.53 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.62 | 0.64 | 0.79 | 0.56 |
| Came back from behind | 30% | 38% | 29% | 27% |
| Leads held | 78% | 82% | 86% | 79% |
| Minutes leading | 17% | 24% | 43% | 34% |
| Minutes level | 49% | 50% | 46% | 51% |
| Minutes trailing | 34% | 26% | 12% | 15% |
| First goal (min) | 44 | 47 | 34 | 38 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 37 | 42 | 48 | 43 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 60% | 61% | 53% | 55% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 60% | 58% | 58% | 57% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.33 | 0.45 | 0.50 | 0.48 |
| Late goals against | 0.39 | 0.18 | 0.30 | 0.41 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | 50% | 57% | 58% |
| Shots | 13.3 | 15.3 | 17.5 | 15.7 |
| On target | 4.4 | 4.9 | 6.8 | 5.8 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 8% | 13% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | 66% | 66% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 2.3 | 2.5 | 3.6 | 3.2 |
| Corners | 5.5 | 6.3 | 6.2 | 5.9 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 20% | 29% | 24% |
| Goals from headers | 9% | 7% | 10% | 13% |
| Pressure index | 12.9 | 15.6 | 20.2 | 19.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 50.2 | 58.5 | 60.9 | 60.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 81% | 89% | 88% |
| Fouls | 13.8 | 13.7 | 10.1 | 10.2 |
| Cards | 2.28 | 2.36 | 2.24 | 2.48 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Athletic Club
0–15'413
16–30'84
31–45'912
46–60'815
61–75'910
76–90'1518
Real Madrid
0–15'115
16–30'284
31–45'1716
46–60'229
61–75'149
76–90'2716
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Athletic Club · 46 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.12) · stands out: with ten men +0.70
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1246
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2046
Late push (76+, level)+0.1416
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1123
Game state
When ahead-0.0718
When level+0.1746
When behind+0.1733
10 min after conceding-0.1237
10 min after scoring+0.2930
Situations
With ten men+0.704
Against ten men-0.204
At home+0.1222
Away+0.1324
3 days rest or fewer+0.219
4+ days rest+0.1037
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2312
v mid-tier opponents+0.3016
v bottom-tier opponents+0.167
As favourite+0.2320
Evenly matched+0.2415
As underdog-0.2711
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0246
Conceded when ahead+0.0118
Conceded late (76+)-0.1744
Congested vs rested +0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.24 · Behind vs level +0.00
Real Madrid · 54 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.48) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.78
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.4854
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2354
Late push (76+, level)+0.5216
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1511
Game state
When ahead+0.4843
When level+0.4954
When behind+0.4717
10 min after conceding+0.4236
10 min after scoring+0.7847
Situations
With ten men+0.375
Against ten men+0.137
At home+0.3827
Away+0.5827
3 days rest or fewer+0.3416
4+ days rest+0.5438
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0915
v mid-tier opponents+0.5519
v bottom-tier opponents+0.598
As favourite+0.5844
Evenly matched+0.205
As underdog-0.065
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1854
Conceded when ahead-0.1743
Conceded late (76+)-0.3244
Congested vs rested -0.20 · Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level -0.02
Athletic Club
Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 44 96% | 1.09 | 1.14 | 1.52 | 1.37 | 1.12 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.15 | 1.62 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.24 | 1.71 |
Real Madrid
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 3 · scoring 3 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 25 46% | 2.12 | 2.12 | 1.16 | 1.79 | 1.39 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 14 26% | 2.0 | 2.29 | 1.29 | 2.15 | 1.05 |
| 4-3-3 | 10 18% | 2.5 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 2.49 | 1.28 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 4% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.88 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.66 | 1.41 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
4.0Home 24% P 22%3.75Draw 25% P 26%1.85Away 51% P 52%
Double Chance
1.9Athletic Bilbao or Draw 25% P 24%1.25Athletic Bilbao or Real Madrid 37% P 37%1.22Draw or Real Madrid 38% P 39%
Draw No Bet
3.01 31%1.362 69%
Both Teams To Score
1.8Yes 52% P 53%1.95No 48% P 47%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.9Over 50% P 50%1.9Under 50% P 50%
Total Corners
9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%
Number of Cards
4.51.83Over 50% P 53%1.83Under 50% P 47%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 20–22.5% · away 50–52.5% · 274 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 22% | 22% | 15% | -7.0 |
| Draw | 26% | 27% | 27% | +0.4 |
| Away | 52% | 51% | 58% | +6.6 |
In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 51%
Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53% | 54% | 54% | -0.2 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 51% | 51% | -0.1 |
Jesús Gil Manzano
- Career
- 182 matches · 10 seasons
- Cards / match
- 5.09 (4.8 yellow · 0.16 red)
- Fouls / match
- 26.3 · 5.2 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.34
- Cards to home side
- 48%
Style in La Liga (5-year window · 97 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 5.46 | 5.08 | +0.66 | 79 |
| Fouls / match | 25.1 | 25.7 | -0.49 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.7 | 5.1 | -0.75 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.36 | 0.34 | +0.35 | 71 |
| Time added | 7.4 | 7.7 | -0.26 | 29 |
- First card
- 29' on average
- Card timing
- 16% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 47% (league 48%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.45
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-29 | 7 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 41' | 7 |
| 2025-11-08 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 40' | 6 |
| 2025-11-02 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 21' | 5 |
| 2025-10-21 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 24' | 7 |
| 2025-10-18 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 75' | 6 |
| 2025-10-01 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 39' | 8 |
| 2025-09-28 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 34' | 7 |
| 2025-09-25 | 4 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 42' | 6 |
| 2025-09-13 · Real Madrid | 3 | 1 | 24 | 1 | 6' | 11 |
| 2025-08-27 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 34' | 7 |