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La Liga · Matchweek 20
MallorcaMallorca
3–2
FT
Athletic ClubATH

Momentum

– MallorcaATH –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
20

Venue

Stadium
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
Capacity
26,020
Surface
grass
Attendance
14,284

Teams

Coaches
Arrasate · Ernesto Valverde Tejedor
Position
13 · 8
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

José Luis Guzmán Mansilla

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
12.9° (feels 12.7°)
Wind
0.0
Humidity
93%

Where to watch · 611

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Barcelona 383116 953659 94 WWLWL
2 Real Madrid 382756 773542 86 WLWWW
3 Villarreal 3822610 724626 72 WDLLW
4 Atlético de Madrid 3821611 624418 69 WLWWL
5 Real Betis 3815158 594811 60 WDWLW
6 Celta de Vigo 38141212 53485 54 WWLDW
7 Getafe 3815617 3238-6 51 LDWLW
8 Rayo Vallecano 38121412 4144-3 50 WDDWW
9 Valencia 38131015 4655-9 49 LWDWW
10 Real Sociedad 38111314 5961-2 46 LDDLD
11 Espanyol 38121016 4355-12 46 LLWWD
12 Athletic Club 3813619 4358-15 45 WLLDL
13 Sevilla 3812719 4660-14 43 WWWLL
14 Deportivo Alavés 38111017 4456-12 43 LDWWL
15 Elche 38101315 4957-8 43 LDLWD
16 Levante 3811918 4761-14 42 LWWWL
17 Osasuna 3811918 4450-6 42 LLLLL
18 Mallorca 3811918 4757-10 42 WDLLW
19 Girona 3891415 3955-16 41 LDDLD
20 Real Oviedo 3861121 2660-34 29 LDLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Mallorca

DWDLL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 5.0–7.55 · xPts 5.27

  • L A Rayo Vallecano 1–2 xG 0.68–2.31 ESP PL
  • L H Girona 1–2 xG 1.65–1.48 ESP PL
  • D A Valencia 1–1 xG 0.27–1.71 ESP PL
  • W H Elche 3–1 xG 1.75–0.51 ESP PL
  • D A Real Oviedo 0–0 xG 0.66–1.55 ESP PL

Athletic Club

WDLLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 5 · xG 7.13–4.8 · xPts 8.46

  • D A Osasuna 1–1 xG 1.49–0.86 ESP PL
  • L H Espanyol 1–2 xG 1.84–0.86 ESP PL
  • L A Celta de Vigo 0–2 xG 2.01–1.05 ESP PL
  • D H Paris Saint Germain 0–0 xG 0.73–1.52 UEFA CL
  • W H Atlético de Madrid 1–0 xG 1.06–0.51 ESP PL

All meetings · 28 matches since 2005

Mallorca 610 draws12 Athletic Club

Goals 26–38 · 2.29 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 43%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Mallorca 25 draws3 Athletic Club

Goals 9–14 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Mallorca 12 draws2 Athletic Club

Goals 5–9 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Mallorca 3–2 Athletic Club ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Athletic Club 2–1 Mallorca ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Athletic Club 1–1 Mallorca ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Mallorca 0–0 Athletic Club ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Athletic Club 4–0 Mallorca ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Mallorca 0–0 Athletic Club ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Mallorca 1–1 Athletic Club ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Athletic Club 0–0 Mallorca neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Mallorca 3–2 Athletic Club ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Athletic Club 2–0 Mallorca neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
MetricMallorca all · 38Mallorca at home · 19Athletic Club all · 38Athletic Club away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.111.741.180.79
W / D / L11 / 9 / 189 / 6 / 413 / 6 / 194 / 3 / 12
Goals for / match1.241.631.131.11
Goals against / match1.501.111.531.95
Clean sheets16%21%16%10%
Failed to score24%10%34%42%
Both teams scored63%68%53%53%
Over 2.563%58%47%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.231.651.401.22
xG against / match1.591.241.061.36
xG difference-0.370.410.34-0.14
Finishing vs xG0.01-0.01-0.27-0.11
xPts / match1.131.591.581.27
Points vs xPts-0.020.15-0.40-0.48
Game state
Scored first42%53%37%21%
PPG when scoring first1.942.602.361.50
PPG when conceding first0.480.780.480.57
Came back from behind25%56%27%25%
Leads held61%82%81%67%
Minutes leading19%25%18%10%
Minutes level47%50%51%51%
Minutes trailing34%25%32%39%
First goal (min)46494440
First goal conceded (min)37404437
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%64%58%62%
Goals conceded in 2nd half46%33%62%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.340.580.370.32
Late goals against0.390.260.370.58
Style
Possession47%48%49%47%
Shots10.912.913.712.4
On target4.24.94.54.1
Shot conversion11%13%8%9%
Shots inside box67%71%69%70%
Big chances created2.13.12.21.9
Corners3.74.05.85.2
xG from set plays30%32%27%31%
Goals from headers19%13%12%19%
Pressure index8.611.513.011.6
Dominant minutes36.944.052.446.0
Pass accuracy80%80%79%78%
Fouls12.312.013.513.6
Cards2.392.162.262.32

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Mallorca

0–15'47
16–30'59
31–45'1015
46–60'33
61–75'128
76–90'1315

Athletic Club

0–15'39
16–30'52
31–45'1011
46–60'612
61–75'510
76–90'1414

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Mallorca

No pressure profile yet.

Athletic Club · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.40) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.09

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.405
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.353

Game state

When ahead+0.222
When level+0.595
When behind+0.323
10 min after conceding-0.203
10 min after scoring+1.094

Situations

At home+0.613
Away+0.112
4+ days rest+0.314

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.392
v mid-tier opponents+0.872
As favourite+1.032
Evenly matched+0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.065
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.175

Congested vs rested +0.44 · Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level -0.27

Mallorca

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-120 53%1.01.151.61.081.56
4-3-1-29 24%1.671.561.01.411.52
5-3-24 10%0.251.01.751.12.13
4-4-23 8%1.01.332.331.471.78
4-3-2-11 3%3.02.01.02.880.83

Athletic Club

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-137 97%1.221.161.491.411.05
4-1-4-11 3%0.00.03.01.151.62

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.8Home 25% P 26%3.0Draw 31% P 30%2.15Away 44% P 44%

Double Chance

1.66Mallorca or Draw 28% P 28%1.36Mallorca or Athletic Bilbao 34% P 35%1.25Draw or Athletic Bilbao 37% P 37%

Draw No Bet

2.621 35%1.442 65%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 47%1.8No 52% P 53%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.3Over 41% P 40%1.61Under 59% P 60%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50% P 46%1.83Under 50% P 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 42.5–45% · 322 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home26%27%26%-0.8
Draw30%29%32%+2.9
Away44%44%42%-2.0

In those fixtures: 2.3 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 39%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes47%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 37.5–40% · 1,310 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.540%39%39%+0.7

José Luis Guzmán Mansilla

Career
17 matches · 1 seasons
Cards / match
6.35 (5.88 yellow · 0.24 red)
Fouls / match
24.6 · 3.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.41
Cards to home side
40%

Style in La Liga (5-year window · 17 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.065.08+1.6296
Fouls / match24.625.7-0.83
Fouls per card4.15.1-1.60 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.34+1.0093
Time added10.37.7+2.69100
First card
27' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
40% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.71

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-21 20 210 24'5
2025-12-08 40 220 15'5
2025-11-22 · Mallorca 40 250 41'11
2025-11-03 40 340 25'8
2025-10-19 · Athletic Club 50 210 29'11
2025-10-05 30 340 60'8
2025-09-23 50 180 38'9
2025-09-13 71 300 52'18
2025-08-23 · Mallorca 60 240 14'8