Rating 7.09 (88th pct) · G+A 8 + 8 (22% of team goals) · 70% of minutes
Team 2.0 ppg with (26) · 1.67 without (12)
La Liga · Matchweek 21
Momentum
– VillarrealReal Madrid –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Villarreal | at home | Stat | league | away | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.5 #17 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 59.4 #2 |
| 12.0 #11 | – | Shots total | 12.5 | – | 17.5 #2 |
| 4.5 #7 | – | Shots on target | 4.3 | – | 6.7 #2 |
| 4.2 #14 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 6.3 #3 |
| 11.9 #14 | – | Fouls | 12.6 | – | 9.9 #19 |
| 1.8 #13 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 2.0 #7 |
| 17.3 #9 | – | Tackles | 16.5 | – | 15.6 #15 |
| 79.8 #20 | – | Attacks | 95.4 | – | 114.0 #3 |
| 40.2 #15 | – | Dangerous attacks | 45.2 | – | 62.2 #1 |
| 409.2 #11 | – | Passes | 437.2 | – | 587.0 #2 |
| 2.1 #13 | – | Yellowcards | 2.2 | – | 1.9 #19 |
| 0.1 #14 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.2 #2 |
| 1.3 #3 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 1.5 #2 |
| – #4 | – | Btts | 56.6 | – | – #12 |
| – #12 | – | Cleansheet | 23.7 | – | – #2 |
| – #15 | – | Draw | 24.5 | – | – #19 |
| 1.6 #3 | – | Expected goals | 1.4 | – | 2.0 #2 |
| 0.3 #2 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.0 | – | 0.0 #9 |
| – #13 | – | Failed to score | 23.7 | – | – #18 |
| 1.9 #3 | 2.5 | Goals | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2.0 #2 |
| 1.2 #15 | 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.9 #20 |
| 0.3 #11 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #6 |
| 9.2 #2 | – | Interceptions | 8.3 | – | 6.8 #20 |
| – #17 | – | Lost | 37.8 | – | – #19 |
| 0.2 #4 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.3 #1 |
| 6.8 #5 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 7.0 #2 |
| 2.7 #14 | – | Shots blocked | 3.3 | – | 4.4 #2 |
| 8.4 #5 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.1 | – | 11.1 #2 |
| 4.8 #10 | – | Shots off target | 4.9 | – | 6.5 #2 |
| 3.5 #18 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 6.4 #1 |
| – #3 | – | Win | 37.8 | – | – #2 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 380 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.69 (home 1.57 · away 1.12)
- Home / draw / away
- 49% · 24% · 27%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 57% · 50%
- Cards / match
- 4.95 (reds 0.19)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Villarreal · 2025/2026 · La Liga
Rating 6.89 (67th pct) · G+A 10 + 5 (21% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Team 1.9 ppg with (30) · 1.88 without (8)
Rating 7.0 (83th pct) · G+A 13 + 6 (26% of team goals) · 62% of minutes
Team 2.04 ppg with (23) · 1.67 without (15)
Real Madrid · 2025/2026 · La Liga
Rating 7.64 (98th pct) · G+A 25 + 5 (39% of team goals) · 76% of minutes
Team 2.24 ppg with (29) · 2.33 without (9)
Rating 7.33 (97th pct) · G+A 16 + 5 (27% of team goals) · 83% of minutes
Team 2.28 ppg with (32) · 2.17 without (6)
Rating 7.33 (98th pct) · G+A 5 + 8 (17% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Team 2.35 ppg with (31) · 1.86 without (7)
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 21
Venue
- Stadium
- Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal
- Capacity
- 23,500
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 20,432
Teams
- Coaches
- Marcelino · Arbeloa
- Position
- 4 · 2
- Formation
- 4-4-2 · 4-3-3
Referee
César Soto Grado
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 8.8° (feels 6.6°)
- Wind
- 3.9
- Humidity
- 48%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Barcelona |
38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95 | 36 | 59 | 94 | WWLWL |
| 2 |  Real Madrid |
38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77 | 35 | 42 | 86 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  Villarreal |
38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72 | 46 | 26 | 72 | WDLLW |
| 4 |  Atlético de Madrid |
38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62 | 44 | 18 | 69 | WLWWL |
| 5 |  Real Betis |
38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59 | 48 | 11 | 60 | WDWLW |
| 6 |  Celta de Vigo |
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 54 | WWLDW |
| 7 |  Getafe |
38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 51 | LDWLW |
| 8 |  Rayo Vallecano |
38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 50 | WDDWW |
| 9 |  Valencia |
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 49 | LWDWW |
| 10 |  Real Sociedad |
38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59 | 61 | -2 | 46 | LDDLD |
| 11 |  Espanyol |
38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 46 | LLWWD |
| 12 |  Athletic Club |
38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43 | 58 | -15 | 45 | WLLDL |
| 13 |  Sevilla |
38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 60 | -14 | 43 | WWWLL |
| 14 |  Deportivo Alavés |
38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 43 | LDWWL |
| 15 |  Elche |
38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 | LDLWD |
| 16 |  Levante |
38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 42 | LWWWL |
| 17 |  Osasuna |
38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 42 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  Mallorca |
38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 42 | WDLLW |
| 19 |  Girona |
38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 41 | LDDLD |
| 20 |  Real Oviedo |
38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 29 | LDLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona |
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 10 | 47 | 57 | WWLWL |
| 2 | Real Madrid |
19 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 45 | 16 | 29 | 49 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Villarreal |
19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 46 | WDLLW |
| 4 | Atlético de Madrid |
19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 46 | WLWWL |
| 5 | Real Betis |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 36 | WDWLW |
| 6 | Elche |
19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 35 | LDLWD |
| 7 | Mallorca |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 33 | WDLLW |
| 8 | Osasuna |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 32 | LLLLL |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano |
19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 31 | WDDWW |
| 10 | Valencia |
19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 30 | LWDWW |
| 11 | Athletic Club |
19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 30 | WLLDL |
| 12 | Real Sociedad |
19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 29 | LDDLD |
| 13 | Getafe |
19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 27 | LDWLW |
| 14 | Deportivo Alavés |
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 27 | LDWWL |
| 15 | Levante |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 26 | LWWWL |
| 16 | Espanyol |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 26 | LLWWD |
| 17 | Sevilla |
19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 | WWWLL |
| 18 | Girona |
19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 24 | LDDLD |
| 19 | Celta de Vigo |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 23 | WWLDW |
| 20 | Real Oviedo |
19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 19 | LDLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid |
19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 19 | 13 | 37 | WLWWW |
| 2 | FC Barcelona |
19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 37 | WWLWL |
| 3 | Celta de Vigo |
19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 31 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Villarreal |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 26 | WDLLW |
| 5 | Real Betis |
19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 24 | WDWLW |
| 6 | Getafe |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 24 | LDWLW |
| 7 | Atlético de Madrid |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 23 | WLWWL |
| 8 | Espanyol |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 20 | LLWWD |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano |
19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 19 | WDDWW |
| 10 | Valencia |
19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 | LWDWW |
| 11 | Sevilla |
19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 18 | WWWLL |
| 12 | Real Sociedad |
19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 | LDDLD |
| 13 | Girona |
19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 17 | LDDLD |
| 14 | Levante |
19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 16 | LWWWL |
| 15 | Deportivo Alavés |
19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 16 | LDWWL |
| 16 | Athletic Club |
19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 15 | WLLDL |
| 17 | Osasuna |
19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 10 | LLLLL |
| 18 | Real Oviedo |
19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 42 | -25 | 10 | LDLLL |
| 19 | Mallorca |
19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 16 | 36 | -20 | 9 | WDLLW |
| 20 | Elche |
19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 | LDLWD |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Villarreal
LWWLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 7.29–7.58 · xPts 6.85
- L
H
Ajax
1–2
xG 1.87–1.11
UEFA CL - L
A
Real Betis
0–2
xG 0.92–1.01
ESP PL
- W
H
Deportivo Alavés
3–1
xG 1.35–0.94
ESP PL
- W
A
Elche
3–1
xG 1.41–1.68
ESP PL
- L
H
FC Barcelona
0–2
xG 1.74–2.83
ESP PL
WLWWLLWWLL 5W 0D 5L · 15 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 16 GA 18 · xG 16.02–15.92 · xPts 14.45
- L
H
Ajax
1–2
xG 1.87–1.11
UEFA CL
- L
A
Real Betis
0–2
xG 0.92–1.01
ESP PL
- W
H
Deportivo Alavés
3–1
xG 1.35–0.94
ESP PL
- W
A
Elche
3–1
xG 1.41–1.68
ESP PL
- L
H
FC Barcelona
0–2
xG 1.74–2.83
ESP PL
- L
H
FC København
2–3
xG 2.7–1.23
UEFA CL - W
H
Getafe
2–0
xG 0.65–0.46
ESP PL
- W
A
Real Sociedad
3–2
xG 1.37–1.48
ESP PL
- L
A
Borussia Dortmund
0–4
xG 1.15–4.11
UEFA CL - W
H
Mallorca
2–1
xG 2.87–1.05
ESP PL
Real Madrid
WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 17 GA 3 · xG 12.68–5.78 · xPts 10.89
- W
H
Monaco
6–1
xG 3.46–1.79
UEFA CL - W
H
Levante
2–0
xG 2.55–0.8
ESP PL
- W
H
Real Betis
5–1
xG 2.51–0.85
ESP PL
- W
H
Sevilla
2–0
xG 2.49–1.26
ESP PL
- W
A
Deportivo Alavés
2–1
xG 1.67–1.07
ESP PL
WDWLLWWWWW 7W 1D 2L · 22 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 26 GA 11 · xG 21.77–13.12 · xPts 18.92
- W
H
Monaco
6–1
xG 3.46–1.79
UEFA CL
- W
H
Levante
2–0
xG 2.55–0.8
ESP PL
- W
H
Real Betis
5–1
xG 2.51–0.85
ESP PL
- W
H
Sevilla
2–0
xG 2.49–1.26
ESP PL
- W
A
Deportivo Alavés
2–1
xG 1.67–1.07
ESP PL
- L
H
Manchester City
1–2
xG 1.75–2.29
UEFA CL - L
H
Celta de Vigo
0–2
xG 1.67–1.51
ESP PL
- W
A
Athletic Club
3–0
xG 1.62–1.15
ESP PL
- D
A
Girona
1–1
xG 2.39–0.89
ESP PL
- W
A
Olympiacos F.C.
4–3
xG 1.66–1.5
UEFA CL
All meetings · 40 matches since 2006
Goals 48–83 · 3.27 per match · BTTS 62% · over 2.5 60%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 12–20 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 6–13 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- L Villarreal 0–2 Real Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Real Madrid 3–1 Villarreal ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Villarreal 1–2 Real Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Real Madrid 2–0 Villarreal ESP PL · Regular Season
- D Villarreal 4–4 Real Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Real Madrid 4–1 Villarreal ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Real Madrid 2–3 Villarreal ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Villarreal 2–1 Real Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- D Villarreal 0–0 Real Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- D Real Madrid 0–0 Villarreal ESP PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Villarreal all · 38 | Villarreal at home · 19 | Real Madrid all · 38 | Real Madrid away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 38 | 19 | 38 | 19 |
| Points per game | 1.89 | 2.42 | 2.26 | 1.95 |
| W / D / L | 22 / 6 / 10 | 15 / 1 / 3 | 27 / 5 / 6 | 11 / 4 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.89 | 2.53 | 2.03 | 1.68 |
| Goals against / match | 1.21 | 1.00 | 0.92 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheets | 21% | 26% | 37% | 42% |
| Failed to score | 16% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 63% | 63% | 55% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 74% | 55% | 53% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.62 | 1.98 | 1.98 | 1.74 |
| xG against / match | 1.29 | 1.22 | 1.14 | 1.25 |
| xG difference | 0.33 | 0.76 | 0.83 | 0.49 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.27 | 0.54 | 0.05 | -0.06 |
| xPts / match | 1.58 | 1.82 | 1.87 | 1.67 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.32 | 0.61 | 0.39 | 0.28 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 68% | 79% | 71% | 63% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.50 | 2.67 | 2.85 | 2.83 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.58 | 1.50 | 0.80 | 0.33 |
| Came back from behind | 29% | 40% | 40% | 33% |
| Leads held | 79% | 88% | 90% | 85% |
| Minutes leading | 38% | 49% | 44% | 36% |
| Minutes level | 44% | 42% | 45% | 48% |
| Minutes trailing | 18% | 10% | 11% | 15% |
| First goal (min) | 36 | 32 | 38 | 43 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 48 | 51 | 48 | 45 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 46% | 42% | 57% | 59% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 61% | 63% | 60% | 58% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.26 | 0.26 | 0.50 | 0.53 |
| Late goals against | 0.29 | 0.26 | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 48% | 59% | 58% |
| Shots | 12.0 | 14.5 | 17.5 | 16.0 |
| On target | 4.5 | 5.8 | 6.7 | 5.6 |
| Shot conversion | 16% | 17% | 12% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 70% | 71% | 64% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 2.8 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 2.6 |
| Corners | 4.2 | 5.4 | 6.3 | 6.1 |
| xG from set plays | 22% | 17% | 34% | 24% |
| Goals from headers | 7% | 8% | 10% | 6% |
| Pressure index | 10.3 | 15.8 | 22.3 | 20.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 40.2 | 52.6 | 63.9 | 59.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 84% | 89% | 88% |
| Fouls | 11.9 | 11.7 | 9.9 | 10.1 |
| Cards | 2.18 | 1.63 | 2.05 | 1.74 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Villarreal
0–15'93
16–30'125
31–45'1810
46–60'1310
61–75'107
76–90'1011
Real Madrid
0–15'72
16–30'104
31–45'168
46–60'156
61–75'106
76–90'199
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Villarreal · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.43) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.77
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.437
Early press (0-15, level)+0.447
Late push (76+, level)-0.104
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.254
Game state
When ahead+0.754
When level+0.427
When behind+0.317
10 min after conceding-0.307
10 min after scoring+0.776
Situations
At home+0.162
Away+0.545
3 days rest or fewer+0.932
4+ days rest+0.235
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.042
v mid-tier opponents+0.632
v bottom-tier opponents+0.932
As favourite+0.554
As underdog+0.042
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.334
Conceded late (76+)-0.027
Congested vs rested +0.71 · Ahead vs level +0.33 · Behind vs level -0.11
Real Madrid · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.02
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.477
Early press (0-15, level)+0.317
Late push (76+, level)+0.733
Game state
When ahead+0.346
When level+0.677
10 min after conceding-0.016
10 min after scoring+1.026
Situations
At home+0.244
Away+0.703
4+ days rest+0.456
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.693
v bottom-tier opponents+0.702
As favourite+0.477
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.056
Conceded late (76+)-0.496
Congested vs rested +0.16 · Ahead vs level -0.33 · Behind vs level -1.19
Villarreal
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 21
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 37 97% | 1.86 | 1.89 | 1.22 | 1.62 | 1.3 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.59 | 1.11 |
Real Madrid
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 3 · scoring 3 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 18 47% | 2.28 | 2.22 | 1.06 | 1.77 | 1.19 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 24% | 1.78 | 1.44 | 1.22 | 1.74 | 1.23 |
| 4-3-3 | 7 18% | 2.71 | 1.86 | 0.14 | 2.24 | 0.8 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.46 | 1.42 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.66 | 1.41 |
| Metric | Villarreal all · 10 | Villarreal at home · 10 | Real Madrid all · 10 | Real Madrid away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.10 | 2.70 | 1.60 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 6 | 7 / 0 / 3 | 9 / 0 / 1 | 5 / 1 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.90 | 2.80 | 2.60 | 1.50 |
| Goals against / match | 2.00 | 1.50 | 0.90 | 1.40 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | 30% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 0% | 10% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 100% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 100% | 70% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.88 | 2.01 | 2.47 | 1.95 |
| xG against / match | 1.51 | 1.30 | 1.10 | 1.41 |
| xG difference | 0.37 | 0.72 | 1.37 | 0.54 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.02 | 0.79 | 0.13 | -0.45 |
| xPts / match | 1.59 | 1.83 | 2.16 | 1.68 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.79 | 0.27 | 0.54 | -0.08 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 90% | 90% | 70% |
| PPG when scoring first | 0.75 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 2.29 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.83 | 3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
| Leads held | 33% | 70% | 100% | 71% |
| Minutes leading | 20% | 56% | 59% | 38% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 37% | 40% | 47% |
| Minutes trailing | 30% | 8% | 1% | 15% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 24 | 21 | 29 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 36 | 53 | 57 | 46 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 37% | 29% | 38% | 40% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 45% | 53% | 67% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 58% | 50% | 56% | 53% |
| Shots | 13.5 | 14.3 | 18.4 | 15.0 |
| On target | 5.9 | 6.2 | 7.4 | 5.3 |
| Shot conversion | 14% | 20% | 14% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 69% | 72% | 72% | 76% |
| Big chances created | 3.0 | 3.5 | 4.3 | 3.3 |
| Corners | 7.1 | 5.7 | 6.1 | 5.9 |
| xG from set plays | 34% | 24% | 19% | 24% |
| Goals from headers | 12% | 7% | 4% | 15% |
| Pressure index | 15.7 | 13.8 | 18.4 | 15.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 55.5 | 52.5 | 61.8 | 54.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 86% | 90% | 88% |
| Fouls | 9.2 | 10.2 | 8.8 | 10.5 |
| Cards | 1.80 | 1.70 | 1.30 | 3.20 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Villarreal
0–15'11
16–30'42
31–45'78
46–60'13
61–75'21
76–90'45
Real Madrid
0–15'50
16–30'61
31–45'52
46–60'21
61–75'11
76–90'74
Villarreal
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 21
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 9 90% | 0.89 | 1.89 | 1.89 | 1.93 | 1.37 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.42 | 2.75 |
Real Madrid
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 3 · scoring 3 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 2.5 | 2.83 | 1.0 | 2.72 | 0.99 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.99 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.57 | 1.55 |
| Metric | Villarreal all · 48 | Villarreal at home · 23 | Real Madrid all · 54 | Real Madrid away · 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 48 | 23 | 54 | 27 |
| Points per game | 1.48 | 1.78 | 2.15 | 1.81 |
| W / D / L | 21 / 8 / 19 | 13 / 2 / 8 | 37 / 5 / 12 | 15 / 4 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 1.69 | 2.13 | 2.20 | 1.81 |
| Goals against / match | 1.54 | 1.43 | 1.09 | 1.30 |
| Clean sheets | 12% | 13% | 32% | 33% |
| Failed to score | 21% | 13% | 11% | 15% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 74% | 59% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 78% | 63% | 56% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.67 | 1.92 | 2.08 | 1.81 |
| xG against / match | 1.45 | 1.36 | 1.30 | 1.34 |
| xG difference | 0.22 | 0.56 | 0.78 | 0.47 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.02 | 0.21 | 0.13 | 0.00 |
| xPts / match | 1.53 | 1.72 | 1.83 | 1.66 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.05 | 0.07 | 0.32 | 0.16 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 56% | 74% | 72% | 63% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.19 | 2.06 | 2.67 | 2.53 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.57 | 1.00 | 0.79 | 0.56 |
| Came back from behind | 30% | 27% | 29% | 27% |
| Leads held | 68% | 68% | 86% | 79% |
| Minutes leading | 29% | 37% | 43% | 34% |
| Minutes level | 46% | 45% | 46% | 51% |
| Minutes trailing | 24% | 18% | 12% | 15% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 33 | 34 | 38 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 44 | 46 | 48 | 43 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 51% | 49% | 53% | 55% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 60% | 61% | 58% | 57% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.31 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 0.48 |
| Late goals against | 0.38 | 0.39 | 0.30 | 0.41 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 46% | 47% | 57% | 58% |
| Shots | 12.5 | 14.3 | 17.5 | 15.7 |
| On target | 4.7 | 5.6 | 6.8 | 5.8 |
| Shot conversion | 14% | 15% | 13% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 69% | 69% | 66% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 2.8 | 3.1 | 3.6 | 3.2 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 5.0 | 6.2 | 5.9 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 19% | 29% | 24% |
| Goals from headers | 8% | 8% | 10% | 13% |
| Pressure index | 11.2 | 14.6 | 20.2 | 19.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 41.9 | 48.3 | 60.9 | 60.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 84% | 89% | 88% |
| Fouls | 11.9 | 11.7 | 10.1 | 10.2 |
| Cards | 2.25 | 1.87 | 2.24 | 2.48 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Villarreal
0–15'85
16–30'117
31–45'2118
46–60'1518
61–75'118
76–90'1518
Real Madrid
0–15'115
16–30'284
31–45'1716
46–60'229
61–75'149
76–90'2716
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Villarreal · 48 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: against ten men +0.90
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0148
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1048
Late push (76+, level)-0.0117
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2319
Game state
When ahead+0.0431
When level+0.0648
When behind-0.1227
10 min after conceding-0.3541
10 min after scoring+0.3538
Situations
With ten men-0.414
Against ten men+0.903
At home+0.0723
Away-0.0425
3 days rest or fewer+0.0111
4+ days rest+0.0137
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2412
v mid-tier opponents+0.0119
v bottom-tier opponents+0.288
As favourite+0.2026
Evenly matched-0.1511
As underdog-0.2711
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1948
Conceded when ahead+0.1831
Conceded late (76+)+0.0943
Congested vs rested +0.00 · Ahead vs level -0.03 · Behind vs level -0.18
Real Madrid · 54 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.48) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.78
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.4854
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2354
Late push (76+, level)+0.5216
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1511
Game state
When ahead+0.4843
When level+0.4954
When behind+0.4717
10 min after conceding+0.4236
10 min after scoring+0.7847
Situations
With ten men+0.375
Against ten men+0.137
At home+0.3827
Away+0.5827
3 days rest or fewer+0.3416
4+ days rest+0.5438
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0915
v mid-tier opponents+0.5519
v bottom-tier opponents+0.598
As favourite+0.5844
Evenly matched+0.205
As underdog-0.065
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1854
Conceded when ahead-0.1743
Conceded late (76+)-0.3244
Congested vs rested -0.20 · Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level -0.02
Villarreal
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 21
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 45 94% | 1.49 | 1.67 | 1.51 | 1.66 | 1.43 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 4% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.86 | 1.29 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.42 | 2.75 |
Real Madrid
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 3 · scoring 3 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 25 46% | 2.12 | 2.12 | 1.16 | 1.79 | 1.39 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 14 26% | 2.0 | 2.29 | 1.29 | 2.15 | 1.05 |
| 4-3-3 | 10 18% | 2.5 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 2.49 | 1.28 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 4% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.88 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.66 | 1.41 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
3.75Home 25% P 25%4.0Draw 24% P 24%1.85Away 51% P 51%
Double Chance
1.9Villarreal or Draw 25% P 24%1.22Villarreal or Real Madrid 38% P 38%1.25Draw or Real Madrid 37% P 38%
Draw No Bet
3.01 31%1.362 69%
Both Teams To Score
1.44Yes 65% P 68%2.62No 35% P 32%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.44Over 66% P 68%2.75Under 34% P 32%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%
Number of Cards
4.51.83Over 50% P 55%1.83Under 50% P 45%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 22.5–25% · away 50–52.5% · 348 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 25% | 24% | 27% | +3.4 |
| Draw | 24% | 25% | 29% | +3.7 |
| Away | 51% | 51% | 44% | -7.1 |
In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 54%
Both teams to score · yes 67.5–70% · 136 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 68% | 69% | 68% | -0.9 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 69% | 69% | +0.6 |
César Soto Grado
- Career
- 151 matches · 8 seasons
- Cards / match
- 5.48 (5.21 yellow · 0.17 red)
- Fouls / match
- 25.5 · 4.7 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.33
- Cards to home side
- 50%
Style in La Liga (5-year window · 103 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 5.48 | 5.08 | +0.70 | 82 |
| Fouls / match | 25.3 | 25.7 | -0.36 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.6 | 5.1 | -0.84 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.29 | 0.34 | -0.54 | 21 |
| Time added | 8.0 | 7.7 | +0.35 | 57 |
- First card
- 32' on average
- Card timing
- 15% in first 30' · 40% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 49% (league 48%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.26
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-11 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 45' | 8 |
| 2025-12-20 | 4 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 61' | 6 |
| 2025-12-13 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 32' | 8 |
| 2025-11-30 · Villarreal | 12 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 20' | 10 |
| 2025-11-09 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 47' | 7 |
| 2025-10-26 · Real Madrid | 10 | 2 | 21 | 1 | 23' | 15 |
| 2025-10-05 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 25' | 8 |
| 2025-09-23 · Villarreal | 5 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 42' | 9 |
| 2025-09-14 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 24' | 6 |
| 2025-08-23 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 29' | 13 |