Rating 6.82 (55th pct) · G+A 3 + 6 (20% of team goals) · 77% of minutes
Team 1.42 ppg with (31) · 0.71 without (7)
La Liga · Matchweek 23
Momentum
– ValenciaReal Madrid –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| Valencia | at home | Stat | league | away | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.7 #13 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 59.4 #2 |
| 11.8 #13 | – | Shots total | 12.5 | – | 17.5 #2 |
| 3.2 #18 | – | Shots on target | 4.3 | – | 6.7 #2 |
| 5.1 #7 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 6.3 #3 |
| 12.1 #13 | – | Fouls | 12.6 | – | 9.9 #19 |
| 1.7 #14 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 2.0 #7 |
| 15.9 #13 | – | Tackles | 16.5 | – | 15.6 #15 |
| 86.0 #17 | – | Attacks | 95.4 | – | 114.0 #3 |
| 40.9 #14 | – | Dangerous attacks | 45.2 | – | 62.2 #1 |
| 405.9 #12 | – | Passes | 437.2 | – | 587.0 #2 |
| 1.9 #16 | – | Yellowcards | 2.2 | – | 1.9 #19 |
| 0.1 #11 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.2 #2 |
| 0.8 #10 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 1.5 #2 |
| – #12 | – | Btts | 56.6 | – | – #12 |
| – #10 | – | Cleansheet | 23.7 | – | – #2 |
| – #8 | – | Draw | 24.5 | – | – #19 |
| 1.4 #9 | – | Expected goals | 1.4 | – | 2.0 #2 |
| -0.1 #13 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.0 | – | 0.0 #9 |
| – #10 | – | Failed to score | 23.7 | – | – #18 |
| 1.2 #11 | 1.4 | Goals | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2.0 #2 |
| 1.4 #9 | 1.2 | Goals conceded | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.9 #20 |
| 0.3 #11 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #6 |
| 8.0 #15 | – | Interceptions | 8.3 | – | 6.8 #20 |
| – #10 | – | Lost | 37.8 | – | – #19 |
| 0.1 #9 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.3 #1 |
| 6.8 #14 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 7.0 #2 |
| 3.7 #6 | – | Shots blocked | 3.3 | – | 4.4 #2 |
| 7.7 #12 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.1 | – | 11.1 #2 |
| 4.8 #10 | – | Shots off target | 4.9 | – | 6.5 #2 |
| 4.1 #11 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 6.4 #1 |
| – #8 | – | Win | 37.8 | – | – #2 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 380 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.69 (home 1.57 · away 1.12)
- Home / draw / away
- 49% · 24% · 27%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 57% · 50%
- Cards / match
- 4.95 (reds 0.19)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Valencia · 2025/2026 · La Liga
Rating 6.79 (45th pct) · G+A 4 + 6 (22% of team goals) · 60% of minutes
Team 1.44 ppg with (25) · 1.0 without (13)
Rating 6.89 (74th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (4% of team goals) · 66% of minutes
Team 1.19 ppg with (26) · 1.5 without (12)
Real Madrid · 2025/2026 · La Liga
Rating 7.64 (98th pct) · G+A 25 + 5 (39% of team goals) · 76% of minutes
Team 2.24 ppg with (29) · 2.33 without (9)
Rating 7.33 (97th pct) · G+A 16 + 5 (27% of team goals) · 83% of minutes
Team 2.28 ppg with (32) · 2.17 without (6)
Rating 7.33 (98th pct) · G+A 5 + 8 (17% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Team 2.35 ppg with (31) · 1.86 without (7)
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 23
Venue
- Stadium
- Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia
- Capacity
- 49,430
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 47,515
Teams
- Coaches
- Carlos Corberán Vallet · Arbeloa
- Position
- 17 · 2
- Formation
- 4-4-2 · 4-4-2
Referee
Javier Alberola Rojas
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 13.1° (feels 11.8°)
- Wind
- 4.5
- Humidity
- 50%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Barcelona |
38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95 | 36 | 59 | 94 | WWLWL |
| 2 |  Real Madrid |
38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77 | 35 | 42 | 86 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  Villarreal |
38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72 | 46 | 26 | 72 | WDLLW |
| 4 |  Atlético de Madrid |
38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62 | 44 | 18 | 69 | WLWWL |
| 5 |  Real Betis |
38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59 | 48 | 11 | 60 | WDWLW |
| 6 |  Celta de Vigo |
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 54 | WWLDW |
| 7 |  Getafe |
38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 51 | LDWLW |
| 8 |  Rayo Vallecano |
38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 50 | WDDWW |
| 9 |  Valencia |
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 49 | LWDWW |
| 10 |  Real Sociedad |
38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59 | 61 | -2 | 46 | LDDLD |
| 11 |  Espanyol |
38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 46 | LLWWD |
| 12 |  Athletic Club |
38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43 | 58 | -15 | 45 | WLLDL |
| 13 |  Sevilla |
38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 60 | -14 | 43 | WWWLL |
| 14 |  Deportivo Alavés |
38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 43 | LDWWL |
| 15 |  Elche |
38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 | LDLWD |
| 16 |  Levante |
38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 42 | LWWWL |
| 17 |  Osasuna |
38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 42 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  Mallorca |
38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 42 | WDLLW |
| 19 |  Girona |
38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 41 | LDDLD |
| 20 |  Real Oviedo |
38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 29 | LDLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona |
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 10 | 47 | 57 | WWLWL |
| 2 | Real Madrid |
19 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 45 | 16 | 29 | 49 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Villarreal |
19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 46 | WDLLW |
| 4 | Atlético de Madrid |
19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 46 | WLWWL |
| 5 | Real Betis |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 36 | WDWLW |
| 6 | Elche |
19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 35 | LDLWD |
| 7 | Mallorca |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 33 | WDLLW |
| 8 | Osasuna |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 32 | LLLLL |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano |
19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 31 | WDDWW |
| 10 | Valencia |
19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 30 | LWDWW |
| 11 | Athletic Club |
19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 30 | WLLDL |
| 12 | Real Sociedad |
19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 29 | LDDLD |
| 13 | Getafe |
19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 27 | LDWLW |
| 14 | Deportivo Alavés |
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 27 | LDWWL |
| 15 | Levante |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 26 | LWWWL |
| 16 | Espanyol |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 26 | LLWWD |
| 17 | Sevilla |
19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 | WWWLL |
| 18 | Girona |
19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 24 | LDDLD |
| 19 | Celta de Vigo |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 23 | WWLDW |
| 20 | Real Oviedo |
19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 19 | LDLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid |
19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 19 | 13 | 37 | WLWWW |
| 2 | FC Barcelona |
19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 37 | WWLWL |
| 3 | Celta de Vigo |
19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 31 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Villarreal |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 26 | WDLLW |
| 5 | Real Betis |
19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 24 | WDWLW |
| 6 | Getafe |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 24 | LDWLW |
| 7 | Atlético de Madrid |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 23 | WLWWL |
| 8 | Espanyol |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 20 | LLWWD |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano |
19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 19 | WDDWW |
| 10 | Valencia |
19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 | LWDWW |
| 11 | Sevilla |
19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 18 | WWWLL |
| 12 | Real Sociedad |
19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 | LDDLD |
| 13 | Girona |
19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 17 | LDDLD |
| 14 | Levante |
19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 16 | LWWWL |
| 15 | Deportivo Alavés |
19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 16 | LDWWL |
| 16 | Athletic Club |
19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 15 | WLLDL |
| 17 | Osasuna |
19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 10 | LLLLL |
| 18 | Real Oviedo |
19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 42 | -25 | 10 | LDLLL |
| 19 | Mallorca |
19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 16 | 36 | -20 | 9 | WDLLW |
| 20 | Elche |
19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 | LDLWD |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Valencia
LDWWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 9.39–6.34 · xPts 8.79
- L
A
Real Betis
1–2
xG 2.02–2.1
ESP PL
- W
H
Espanyol
3–2
xG 2.03–1.39
ESP PL
- W
A
Getafe
1–0
xG 0.76–0.76
ESP PL
- D
H
Elche
1–1
xG 2.2–0.2
ESP PL
- L
A
Celta de Vigo
1–4
xG 2.38–1.89
ESP PL
WDDLDLDWWL 3W 4D 3L · 13 pts (1.3 ppg) · GF 12 GA 14 · xG 16.35–10.2 · xPts 17.95
- L
A
Real Betis
1–2
xG 2.02–2.1
ESP PL
- W
H
Espanyol
3–2
xG 2.03–1.39
ESP PL
- W
A
Getafe
1–0
xG 0.76–0.76
ESP PL
- D
H
Elche
1–1
xG 2.2–0.2
ESP PL
- L
A
Celta de Vigo
1–4
xG 2.38–1.89
ESP PL
- D
H
Mallorca
1–1
xG 1.71–0.27
ESP PL
- L
A
Atlético de Madrid
1–2
xG 1.2–1.09
ESP PL
- D
H
Sevilla
1–1
xG 1.66–0.32
ESP PL
- D
A
Rayo Vallecano
1–1
xG 0.71–1.75
ESP PL
- W
H
Levante
1–0
xG 1.68–0.44
ESP PL
Real Madrid
WWWLW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 14 GA 6 · xG 10.95–7.08 · xPts 9.36
- W
H
Rayo Vallecano
2–1
xG 1.77–1.0
ESP PL
- L
A
Benfica
2–4
xG 1.33–2.87
UEFA CL - W
A
Villarreal
2–0
xG 1.84–0.62
ESP PL
- W
H
Monaco
6–1
xG 3.46–1.79
UEFA CL - W
H
Levante
2–0
xG 2.55–0.8
ESP PL
LLWWWWWWLW 7W 0D 3L · 21 pts (2.1 ppg) · GF 24 GA 12 · xG 21.04–14.07 · xPts 18.19
- W
H
Rayo Vallecano
2–1
xG 1.77–1.0
ESP PL
- L
A
Benfica
2–4
xG 1.33–2.87
UEFA CL
- W
A
Villarreal
2–0
xG 1.84–0.62
ESP PL
- W
H
Monaco
6–1
xG 3.46–1.79
UEFA CL
- W
H
Levante
2–0
xG 2.55–0.8
ESP PL
- W
H
Real Betis
5–1
xG 2.51–0.85
ESP PL
- W
H
Sevilla
2–0
xG 2.49–1.26
ESP PL
- W
A
Deportivo Alavés
2–1
xG 1.67–1.07
ESP PL
- L
H
Manchester City
1–2
xG 1.75–2.29
UEFA CL - L
H
Celta de Vigo
0–2
xG 1.67–1.51
ESP PL
All meetings · 42 matches since 2005
Goals 52–90 · 3.38 per match · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 69%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 9–24 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 5–11 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- L Valencia 0–2 Real Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Real Madrid 4–0 Valencia ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Real Madrid 1–2 Valencia ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Valencia 1–2 Real Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- D Valencia 2–2 Real Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Real Madrid 5–1 Valencia ESP PL · Regular Season
- W Valencia 1–0 Real Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Real Madrid 2–0 Valencia ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Real Madrid 4–1 Valencia ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Valencia 1–2 Real Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Valencia all · 38 | Valencia at home · 19 | Real Madrid all · 38 | Real Madrid away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 38 | 19 | 38 | 19 |
| Points per game | 1.29 | 1.58 | 2.26 | 1.95 |
| W / D / L | 13 / 10 / 15 | 8 / 6 / 5 | 27 / 5 / 6 | 11 / 4 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.21 | 1.42 | 2.03 | 1.68 |
| Goals against / match | 1.45 | 1.21 | 0.92 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheets | 24% | 21% | 37% | 42% |
| Failed to score | 24% | 16% | 10% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 63% | 55% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 37% | 55% | 53% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.35 | 1.62 | 1.98 | 1.74 |
| xG against / match | 1.25 | 1.02 | 1.14 | 1.25 |
| xG difference | 0.10 | 0.60 | 0.83 | 0.49 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.14 | -0.20 | 0.05 | -0.06 |
| xPts / match | 1.47 | 1.78 | 1.87 | 1.67 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.18 | -0.20 | 0.39 | 0.28 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 42% | 47% | 71% | 63% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | 2.11 | 2.85 | 2.83 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.76 | 1.10 | 0.80 | 0.33 |
| Came back from behind | 40% | 58% | 40% | 33% |
| Leads held | 68% | 73% | 90% | 85% |
| Minutes leading | 17% | 21% | 44% | 36% |
| Minutes level | 57% | 62% | 45% | 48% |
| Minutes trailing | 26% | 17% | 11% | 15% |
| First goal (min) | 52 | 53 | 38 | 43 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 43 | 54 | 48 | 45 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 74% | 82% | 57% | 59% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 67% | 83% | 60% | 58% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.39 | 0.58 | 0.50 | 0.53 |
| Late goals against | 0.34 | 0.32 | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | 49% | 59% | 58% |
| Shots | 11.8 | 13.8 | 17.5 | 16.0 |
| On target | 3.2 | 3.4 | 6.7 | 5.6 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 10% | 12% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 65% | 64% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 2.6 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 6.0 | 6.3 | 6.1 |
| xG from set plays | 32% | 31% | 34% | 24% |
| Goals from headers | 22% | 18% | 10% | 6% |
| Pressure index | 10.8 | 13.5 | 22.3 | 20.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 44.7 | 53.2 | 63.9 | 59.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 81% | 89% | 88% |
| Fouls | 12.1 | 12.6 | 9.9 | 10.1 |
| Cards | 1.95 | 1.79 | 2.05 | 1.74 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Valencia
0–15'53
16–30'48
31–45'37
46–60'812
61–75'1112
76–90'1513
Real Madrid
0–15'72
16–30'104
31–45'168
46–60'156
61–75'106
76–90'199
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Valencia · 6 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.23) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.60
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.236
Early press (0-15, level)-0.276
Late push (76+, level)-0.544
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.103
Game state
When level-0.236
When behind-0.264
10 min after conceding-0.604
10 min after scoring+0.462
Situations
At home-0.323
Away-0.163
4+ days rest-0.265
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.224
Evenly matched-0.223
As underdog-0.253
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.386
Conceded late (76+)+0.055
Congested vs rested +0.13 · Ahead vs level +0.06 · Behind vs level -0.04
Real Madrid · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.48) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.02
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.487
Early press (0-15, level)+0.317
Late push (76+, level)+0.733
Game state
When ahead+0.346
When level+0.677
10 min after conceding-0.016
10 min after scoring+1.026
Situations
At home+0.244
Away+0.703
4+ days rest+0.456
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.693
v bottom-tier opponents+0.702
As favourite+0.487
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.056
Conceded late (76+)-0.496
Congested vs rested +0.16 · Ahead vs level -0.33 · Behind vs level -1.19
Valencia
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 24 63% | 1.25 | 1.21 | 1.42 | 1.3 | 1.27 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 24% | 1.78 | 1.33 | 0.78 | 1.54 | 0.92 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 5% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.79 | 1.49 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.48 | 2.51 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.05 | 0.63 |
Real Madrid
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 3 · scoring 3 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 18 47% | 2.28 | 2.22 | 1.06 | 1.77 | 1.19 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 24% | 1.78 | 1.44 | 1.22 | 1.74 | 1.23 |
| 4-3-3 | 7 18% | 2.71 | 1.86 | 0.14 | 2.24 | 0.8 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.46 | 1.42 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.62 | 1.15 |
| Metric | Valencia all · 10 | Valencia at home · 10 | Real Madrid all · 10 | Real Madrid away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.40 | 2.70 | 1.60 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 4 | 4 / 2 / 4 | 9 / 0 / 1 | 5 / 1 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.10 | 1.20 | 2.60 | 1.50 |
| Goals against / match | 1.50 | 1.60 | 0.90 | 1.40 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% | 30% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 40% | 10% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 50% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 50% | 70% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.92 | 1.40 | 2.47 | 1.95 |
| xG against / match | 1.25 | 1.41 | 1.10 | 1.41 |
| xG difference | -0.33 | 0.00 | 1.37 | 0.54 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.18 | -0.20 | 0.13 | -0.45 |
| xPts / match | 1.20 | 1.45 | 2.16 | 1.68 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.20 | -0.05 | 0.54 | -0.08 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 20% | 30% | 90% | 70% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 2.29 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 1.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 43% | 43% | 0% | 0% |
| Leads held | 100% | 80% | 100% | 71% |
| Minutes leading | 10% | 14% | 59% | 38% |
| Minutes level | 64% | 61% | 40% | 47% |
| Minutes trailing | 26% | 25% | 1% | 15% |
| First goal (min) | 48 | 47 | 21 | 29 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 46 | 57 | 46 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 64% | 83% | 38% | 40% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 60% | 75% | 67% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 45% | 43% | 56% | 53% |
| Shots | 10.3 | 12.8 | 18.4 | 15.0 |
| On target | 3.2 | 3.2 | 7.4 | 5.3 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 9% | 14% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 60% | 64% | 72% | 76% |
| Big chances created | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4.3 | 3.3 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 4.8 | 6.1 | 5.9 |
| xG from set plays | 26% | 31% | 19% | 24% |
| Goals from headers | 18% | 8% | 4% | 15% |
| Pressure index | 8.1 | 10.5 | 18.4 | 15.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 37.8 | 47.1 | 61.8 | 54.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 80% | 90% | 88% |
| Fouls | 10.1 | 12.0 | 8.8 | 10.5 |
| Cards | 1.90 | 1.50 | 1.30 | 3.20 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Valencia
0–15'13
16–30'23
31–45'10
46–60'03
61–75'32
76–90'44
Real Madrid
0–15'50
16–30'61
31–45'52
46–60'21
61–75'11
76–90'74
Valencia
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-4-1 | 4 40% | 0.25 | 0.25 | 2.25 | 0.89 | 1.61 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 30% | 2.33 | 2.67 | 1.67 | 1.2 | 0.97 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.97 | 1.09 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.09 | 0.98 |
Real Madrid
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 3 · scoring 3 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 2.5 | 2.83 | 1.0 | 2.72 | 0.99 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.57 | 1.55 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.99 |
| Metric | Valencia all · 40 | Valencia at home · 20 | Real Madrid all · 54 | Real Madrid away · 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 40 | 20 | 54 | 27 |
| Points per game | 1.22 | 1.35 | 2.15 | 1.81 |
| W / D / L | 13 / 10 / 17 | 7 / 6 / 7 | 37 / 5 / 12 | 15 / 4 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 1.10 | 1.15 | 2.20 | 1.81 |
| Goals against / match | 1.43 | 1.40 | 1.09 | 1.30 |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 20% | 32% | 33% |
| Failed to score | 28% | 30% | 11% | 15% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 55% | 59% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 35% | 63% | 56% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.31 | 1.51 | 2.08 | 1.81 |
| xG against / match | 1.26 | 1.12 | 1.30 | 1.34 |
| xG difference | 0.05 | 0.39 | 0.78 | 0.47 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.21 | -0.36 | 0.13 | 0.00 |
| xPts / match | 1.43 | 1.68 | 1.83 | 1.66 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.21 | -0.33 | 0.32 | 0.16 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 38% | 35% | 72% | 63% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.07 | 2.14 | 2.67 | 2.53 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.70 | 0.92 | 0.79 | 0.56 |
| Came back from behind | 37% | 50% | 29% | 27% |
| Leads held | 72% | 78% | 86% | 79% |
| Minutes leading | 15% | 16% | 43% | 34% |
| Minutes level | 60% | 63% | 46% | 51% |
| Minutes trailing | 26% | 21% | 12% | 15% |
| First goal (min) | 52 | 55 | 34 | 38 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 44 | 53 | 48 | 43 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 73% | 83% | 53% | 55% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 65% | 79% | 58% | 57% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.38 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.48 |
| Late goals against | 0.38 | 0.45 | 0.30 | 0.41 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | 47% | 57% | 58% |
| Shots | 11.8 | 13.2 | 17.5 | 15.7 |
| On target | 3.2 | 3.3 | 6.8 | 5.8 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 9% | 13% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 64% | 65% | 66% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 1.9 | 1.9 | 3.6 | 3.2 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 5.4 | 6.2 | 5.9 |
| xG from set plays | 31% | 29% | 29% | 24% |
| Goals from headers | 20% | 17% | 10% | 13% |
| Pressure index | 10.8 | 12.8 | 20.2 | 19.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 43.8 | 49.0 | 60.9 | 60.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 81% | 89% | 88% |
| Fouls | 11.9 | 12.4 | 10.1 | 10.2 |
| Cards | 2.00 | 1.80 | 2.24 | 2.48 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Valencia
0–15'54
16–30'49
31–45'37
46–60'611
61–75'1111
76–90'1515
Real Madrid
0–15'115
16–30'284
31–45'1716
46–60'229
61–75'149
76–90'2716
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Valencia · 40 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.48
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0440
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0340
Late push (76+, level)-0.1719
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1320
Game state
When ahead-0.0918
When level+0.0140
When behind-0.1227
10 min after conceding-0.3730
10 min after scoring+0.4829
Situations
Against ten men-0.446
At home-0.0720
Away-0.0220
3 days rest or fewer-0.103
4+ days rest-0.0437
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.306
v mid-tier opponents-0.0420
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.188
Evenly matched-0.0615
As underdog-0.1417
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1540
Conceded when ahead+0.0718
Conceded late (76+)-0.1038
Congested vs rested -0.06 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level -0.13
Real Madrid · 54 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.48) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.78
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.4854
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2354
Late push (76+, level)+0.5216
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1511
Game state
When ahead+0.4843
When level+0.4954
When behind+0.4717
10 min after conceding+0.4236
10 min after scoring+0.7847
Situations
With ten men+0.375
Against ten men+0.137
At home+0.3827
Away+0.5827
3 days rest or fewer+0.3416
4+ days rest+0.5438
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0915
v mid-tier opponents+0.5519
v bottom-tier opponents+0.598
As favourite+0.5844
Evenly matched+0.205
As underdog-0.065
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1854
Conceded when ahead-0.1743
Conceded late (76+)-0.3244
Congested vs rested -0.20 · Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level -0.02
Valencia
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 22 55% | 1.32 | 1.27 | 1.45 | 1.32 | 1.3 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 22% | 1.78 | 1.11 | 0.78 | 1.5 | 0.93 |
| 5-4-1 | 4 10% | 0.25 | 0.25 | 2.25 | 0.89 | 1.61 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 5% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.79 | 1.49 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.05 | 0.63 |
Real Madrid
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 3 · scoring 3 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 25 46% | 2.12 | 2.12 | 1.16 | 1.79 | 1.39 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 14 26% | 2.0 | 2.29 | 1.29 | 2.15 | 1.05 |
| 4-3-3 | 10 18% | 2.5 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 2.49 | 1.28 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 4% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.88 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 3.28 | 1.44 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
4.75Home 20% P 18%4.2Draw 23% P 23%1.65Away 57% P 59%
Double Chance
2.3Valencia or Draw 20% P 21%1.18Valencia or Real Madrid 40% P 39%1.16Draw or Real Madrid 40% P 41%
Draw No Bet
4.01 23%1.222 77%
Both Teams To Score
1.7Yes 55% P 56%2.05No 45% P 44%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.66Over 57% P 57%2.2Under 43% P 43%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 33%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%
Number of Cards
4.52.1Over 44% P 39%1.66Under 56% P 61%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 17.5–20% · away 57.5–60% · 326 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 18% | 19% | 15% | -3.2 |
| Draw | 23% | 23% | 21% | -1.4 |
| Away | 59% | 59% | 63% | +4.6 |
In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 59%
Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56% | 56% | 57% | +1.1 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 56% | 56% | -0.2 |
Javier Alberola Rojas
- Career
- 55 matches · 5 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.78 (3.55 yellow · 0.18 red)
- Fouls / match
- 25.8 · 6.8 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.38
- Cards to home side
- 47%
Style in La Liga (5-year window · 92 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.92 | 5.07 | -1.80 | 4 |
| Fouls / match | 26.2 | 25.7 | +0.20 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.8 | 5.1 | +2.09 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.38 | 0.33 | +0.61 | 86 |
| Time added | 7.1 | 7.7 | -0.56 | 18 |
- First card
- 38' on average
- Card timing
- 12% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 48% (league 48%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.18
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 39' | 5 |
| 2026-01-29 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 40' | 4 |
| 2026-01-25 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 1 | 16' | 11 |
| 2026-01-04 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 37' | 6 |
| 2025-12-21 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 39' | 7 |
| 2025-12-06 | 4 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 29' | 5 |
| 2025-12-01 · Valencia | 2 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 71' | 5 |
| 2025-11-27 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 67' | 6 |
| 2025-11-09 | 6 | 1 | 23 | 1 | 42' | 13 |
| 2025-11-06 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 48' | 4 |