Rating 7.13 (99th pct) · G+A 2 + 1 (7% of team goals) · 94% of minutes
La Liga · Matchweek 24
Momentum
– RAYATM –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Rayo Vallecano | at home | Stat | league | away | Atlético de Madrid |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.5 #4 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 53.3 #5 |
| 14.0 #4 | – | Shots total | 12.5 | – | 13.1 #6 |
| 4.8 #4 | – | Shots on target | 4.3 | – | 5.1 #3 |
| 5.7 #5 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 6.5 #2 |
| 13.4 #7 | – | Fouls | 12.6 | – | 11.2 #16 |
| 2.1 #5 | – | Offsides | 1.9 | – | 2.1 #5 |
| 18.0 #3 | – | Tackles | 16.5 | – | 17.0 #10 |
| 93.2 #12 | – | Attacks | 95.4 | – | 101.2 #5 |
| 44.9 #9 | – | Dangerous attacks | 45.2 | – | 52.7 #4 |
| 417.3 #9 | – | Passes | 437.2 | – | 505.5 #3 |
| 2.6 #3 | – | Yellowcards | 2.2 | – | 2.2 #9 |
| 0.2 #2 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #11 |
| 0.8 #14 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 1.1 #4 |
| – #18 | – | Btts | 56.6 | – | – #15 |
| – #4 | – | Cleansheet | 23.7 | – | – #2 |
| – #2 | – | Draw | 24.5 | – | – #15 |
| 1.4 #6 | – | Expected goals | 1.4 | – | 1.5 #4 |
| -0.3 #20 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.0 | – | 0.1 #6 |
| – #4 | – | Failed to score | 23.7 | – | – #15 |
| 1.1 #17 | 1.3 | Goals | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.6 #4 |
| 1.2 #16 | 0.8 | Goals conceded | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.2 #16 |
| 0.2 #18 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #7 |
| 8.5 #9 | – | Interceptions | 8.3 | – | 8.2 #11 |
| – #14 | – | Lost | 37.8 | – | – #16 |
| 0.1 #14 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #14 |
| 6.8 #6 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.9 #4 |
| 3.4 #7 | – | Shots blocked | 3.3 | – | 2.5 #17 |
| 7.7 #11 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.1 | – | 9.1 #4 |
| 5.7 #3 | – | Shots off target | 4.9 | – | 5.5 #5 |
| 6.2 #2 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 4.0 #12 |
| – #10 | – | Win | 37.8 | – | – #4 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 380 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.69 (home 1.57 · away 1.12)
- Home / draw / away
- 49% · 24% · 27%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 57% · 50%
- Cards / match
- 4.95 (reds 0.19)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Rayo Vallecano · 2025/2026 · La Liga
Rating 6.88 (65th pct) · G+A 10 + 1 (27% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Team 1.45 ppg with (31) · 0.71 without (7)
Rating 6.97 (85th pct) · G+A 0 + 4 (10% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Team 1.35 ppg with (31) · 1.14 without (7)
Atlético de Madrid · 2025/2026 · La Liga
Rating 7.15 (93th pct) · G+A 8 + 4 (19% of team goals) · 56% of minutes
Team 1.86 ppg with (22) · 1.75 without (16)
Rating 6.99 (82th pct) · G+A 2 + 2 (6% of team goals) · 65% of minutes
Team 2.12 ppg with (24) · 1.29 without (14)
Rating 6.94 (73th pct) · G+A 4 + 6 (16% of team goals) · 62% of minutes
Team 1.76 ppg with (25) · 1.92 without (13)
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 24
Venue
- Stadium
- Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganés · neutral
- Capacity
- 12,454
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 5,335
Teams
- Coaches
- Iñigo Pérez · D. Simeone
- Position
- 18 · 3
- Formation
- 4-1-4-1 · 4-1-4-1
Referee
Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea
Weather
- Conditions
- scattered clouds
- Temperature
- 11.8° (feels 10.6°)
- Wind
- 6.2
- Humidity
- 60%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Barcelona |
38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95 | 36 | 59 | 94 | WWLWL |
| 2 |  Real Madrid |
38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77 | 35 | 42 | 86 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  Villarreal |
38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72 | 46 | 26 | 72 | WDLLW |
| 4 |  Atlético de Madrid |
38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62 | 44 | 18 | 69 | WLWWL |
| 5 |  Real Betis |
38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59 | 48 | 11 | 60 | WDWLW |
| 6 |  Celta de Vigo |
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 54 | WWLDW |
| 7 |  Getafe |
38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 51 | LDWLW |
| 8 |  Rayo Vallecano |
38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 50 | WDDWW |
| 9 |  Valencia |
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 49 | LWDWW |
| 10 |  Real Sociedad |
38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59 | 61 | -2 | 46 | LDDLD |
| 11 |  Espanyol |
38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 46 | LLWWD |
| 12 |  Athletic Club |
38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43 | 58 | -15 | 45 | WLLDL |
| 13 |  Sevilla |
38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 60 | -14 | 43 | WWWLL |
| 14 |  Deportivo Alavés |
38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 43 | LDWWL |
| 15 |  Elche |
38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 | LDLWD |
| 16 |  Levante |
38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 42 | LWWWL |
| 17 |  Osasuna |
38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 42 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  Mallorca |
38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 42 | WDLLW |
| 19 |  Girona |
38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 41 | LDDLD |
| 20 |  Real Oviedo |
38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 29 | LDLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona |
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 10 | 47 | 57 | WWLWL |
| 2 | Real Madrid |
19 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 45 | 16 | 29 | 49 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Villarreal |
19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 46 | WDLLW |
| 4 | Atlético de Madrid |
19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 46 | WLWWL |
| 5 | Real Betis |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 36 | WDWLW |
| 6 | Elche |
19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 35 | LDLWD |
| 7 | Mallorca |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 33 | WDLLW |
| 8 | Osasuna |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 32 | LLLLL |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano |
19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 31 | WDDWW |
| 10 | Valencia |
19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 30 | LWDWW |
| 11 | Athletic Club |
19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 30 | WLLDL |
| 12 | Real Sociedad |
19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 29 | LDDLD |
| 13 | Getafe |
19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 27 | LDWLW |
| 14 | Deportivo Alavés |
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 27 | LDWWL |
| 15 | Levante |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 26 | LWWWL |
| 16 | Espanyol |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 26 | LLWWD |
| 17 | Sevilla |
19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 | WWWLL |
| 18 | Girona |
19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 24 | LDDLD |
| 19 | Celta de Vigo |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 23 | WWLDW |
| 20 | Real Oviedo |
19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 19 | LDLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid |
19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 19 | 13 | 37 | WLWWW |
| 2 | FC Barcelona |
19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 37 | WWLWL |
| 3 | Celta de Vigo |
19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 31 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Villarreal |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 26 | WDLLW |
| 5 | Real Betis |
19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 24 | WDWLW |
| 6 | Getafe |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 24 | LDWLW |
| 7 | Atlético de Madrid |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 23 | WLWWL |
| 8 | Espanyol |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 20 | LLWWD |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano |
19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 19 | WDDWW |
| 10 | Valencia |
19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 | LWDWW |
| 11 | Sevilla |
19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 18 | WWWLL |
| 12 | Real Sociedad |
19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 | LDDLD |
| 13 | Girona |
19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 17 | LDDLD |
| 14 | Levante |
19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 16 | LWWWL |
| 15 | Deportivo Alavés |
19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 16 | LDWWL |
| 16 | Athletic Club |
19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 15 | WLLDL |
| 17 | Osasuna |
19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 10 | LLLLL |
| 18 | Real Oviedo |
19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 42 | -25 | 10 | LDLLL |
| 19 | Mallorca |
19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 16 | 36 | -20 | 9 | WDLLW |
| 20 | Elche |
19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 | LDLWD |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Rayo Vallecano
DWLLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 10 · xG 6.79–5.97 · xPts 7.32
- L
A
Real Madrid
1–2
xG 1.0–1.77
ESP PL
- L
H
Osasuna
1–3
xG 0.65–1.31
ESP PL
- L
A
Celta de Vigo
0–3
xG 1.45–1.5
ESP PL
- W
H
Mallorca
2–1
xG 2.31–0.68
ESP PL
- D
H
Getafe
1–1
xG 1.38–0.7
ESP PL
LWDWLDWLLL 3W 2D 5L · 11 pts (1.1 ppg) · GF 10 GA 16 · xG 12.65–12.97 · xPts 13.64
- L
A
Real Madrid
1–2
xG 1.0–1.77
ESP PL
- L
H
Osasuna
1–3
xG 0.65–1.31
ESP PL
- L
A
Celta de Vigo
0–3
xG 1.45–1.5
ESP PL
- W
H
Mallorca
2–1
xG 2.31–0.68
ESP PL
- D
H
Getafe
1–1
xG 1.38–0.7
ESP PL
- L
A
Elche
0–4
xG 1.01–2.81
ESP PL
- W
H
Drita
3–0
xG 1.1–0.5
UEFA ECL - D
H
Real Betis
0–0
xG 2.06–1.08
ESP PL
- W
A
Jagiellonia Białystok
2–1
xG 1.34–1.21
UEFA ECL - L
A
Espanyol
0–1
xG 0.35–1.41
ESP PL
Atlético de Madrid
DWLDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 4 · xG 6.35–4.69 · xPts 8.24
- L
H
Real Betis
0–1
xG 0.86–0.65
ESP PL
- D
A
Levante
0–0
xG 0.8–0.44
ESP PL
- L
H
Bodø / Glimt
1–2
xG 2.05–2.56
UEFA CL - W
H
Mallorca
3–0
xG 1.32–0.43
ESP PL
- D
A
Galatasaray
1–1
xG 1.32–0.61
UEFA CL
WWWDWDWLDL 5W 3D 2L · 18 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 15 GA 8 · xG 12.69–11.82 · xPts 14.68
- L
H
Real Betis
0–1
xG 0.86–0.65
ESP PL
- D
A
Levante
0–0
xG 0.8–0.44
ESP PL
- L
H
Bodø / Glimt
1–2
xG 2.05–2.56
UEFA CL
- W
H
Mallorca
3–0
xG 1.32–0.43
ESP PL
- D
A
Galatasaray
1–1
xG 1.32–0.61
UEFA CL
- W
H
Deportivo Alavés
1–0
xG 1.82–0.87
ESP PL
- D
A
Real Sociedad
1–1
xG 0.9–1.86
ESP PL
- W
A
Girona
3–0
xG 0.91–0.81
ESP PL
- W
H
Valencia
2–1
xG 1.09–1.2
ESP PL
- W
A
PSV
3–2
xG 1.63–2.39
UEFA CL
All meetings · 22 matches since 2011
Goals 18–48 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 54%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 9–22 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 7–9 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- W Rayo Vallecano 3–0 Atlético de Madrid neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Atlético de Madrid 3–2 Rayo Vallecano ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Atlético de Madrid 3–0 Rayo Vallecano ESP PL · Regular Season
- D Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Atlético de Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Atlético de Madrid 2–1 Rayo Vallecano neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Rayo Vallecano 0–7 Atlético de Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Rayo Vallecano 1–2 Atlético de Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- D Atlético de Madrid 1–1 Rayo Vallecano ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Rayo Vallecano 0–1 Atlético de Madrid ESP PL · Regular Season
- L Atlético de Madrid 2–0 Rayo Vallecano neutral ESP PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano all · 38 | Rayo Vallecano at home · 19 | Atlético de Madrid all · 38 | Atlético de Madrid away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 38 | 19 | 38 | 19 |
| Points per game | 1.32 | 1.63 | 1.82 | 1.21 |
| W / D / L | 12 / 14 / 12 | 7 / 10 / 2 | 21 / 6 / 11 | 6 / 5 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 1.08 | 1.26 | 1.63 | 1.21 |
| Goals against / match | 1.16 | 0.79 | 1.16 | 1.42 |
| Clean sheets | 32% | 42% | 37% | 32% |
| Failed to score | 32% | 16% | 13% | 16% |
| Both teams scored | 45% | 53% | 53% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 | 37% | 26% | 50% | 47% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.43 | 1.66 | 1.49 | 1.05 |
| xG against / match | 1.35 | 1.09 | 1.26 | 1.62 |
| xG difference | 0.08 | 0.57 | 0.23 | -0.56 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.35 | -0.40 | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| xPts / match | 1.44 | 1.75 | 1.52 | 1.06 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.12 | -0.12 | 0.29 | 0.15 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 42% | 58% | 76% | 74% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.38 | 2.27 | 2.14 | 1.57 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.47 | 0.67 | 0.75 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 37% | 67% | 27% | 0% |
| Leads held | 67% | 64% | 68% | 43% |
| Minutes leading | 17% | 20% | 34% | 24% |
| Minutes level | 59% | 71% | 54% | 61% |
| Minutes trailing | 24% | 9% | 12% | 15% |
| First goal (min) | 50 | 55 | 31 | 37 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 39 | 54 | 41 | 50 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 54% | 58% | 53% | 39% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 57% | 67% | 50% | 56% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.26 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.26 |
| Late goals against | 0.32 | 0.32 | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 53% | 55% | 53% | 52% |
| Shots | 14.0 | 16.5 | 13.1 | 10.8 |
| On target | 4.8 | 5.8 | 5.1 | 3.9 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 8% | 12% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 55% | 55% | 70% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 2.7 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 2.1 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 6.6 | 6.5 | 5.2 |
| xG from set plays | 25% | 25% | 24% | 24% |
| Goals from headers | 15% | 21% | 21% | 22% |
| Pressure index | 12.6 | 15.7 | 17.1 | 11.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 50.4 | 59.7 | 55.6 | 45.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 81% | 85% | 84% |
| Fouls | 13.4 | 12.0 | 11.2 | 12.3 |
| Cards | 3.03 | 2.42 | 2.29 | 2.63 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Rayo Vallecano
0–15'26
16–30'66
31–45'117
46–60'56
61–75'77
76–90'1012
Atlético de Madrid
0–15'135
16–30'77
31–45'910
46–60'84
61–75'118
76–90'1410
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Rayo Vallecano · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.67
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.076
Early press (0-15, level)+0.306
Late push (76+, level)-0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.553
Game state
When ahead-0.135
When level+0.036
When behind-0.064
10 min after conceding-0.376
10 min after scoring+0.676
Situations
Against ten men+0.352
At home-0.083
Away-0.043
4+ days rest-0.055
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.052
v mid-tier opponents-0.103
Evenly matched-0.103
As underdog-0.052
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.246
Conceded when ahead+0.155
Conceded late (76+)+0.396
Congested vs rested -0.10 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.10
Atlético de Madrid · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: v mid-tier opponents +0.61
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+1.242
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.403
Game state
When ahead+0.436
When level+0.357
When behind+0.363
10 min after conceding-0.144
10 min after scoring+0.576
Situations
At home+0.573
Away+0.234
4+ days rest+0.226
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.614
As favourite+0.415
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.237
Conceded when ahead-0.266
Conceded late (76+)-0.486
Congested vs rested +1.46 · Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level +0.01
Rayo Vallecano
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 24 63% | 1.5 | 1.21 | 1.08 | 1.47 | 1.37 |
| 4-4-2 | 5 13% | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.39 | 1.63 |
| 4-3-3 | 5 13% | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.48 | 1.19 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 8% | 1.67 | 1.67 | 0.67 | 1.4 | 0.91 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.38 | 1.66 |
Atlético de Madrid
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 24 63% | 1.88 | 1.88 | 1.08 | 1.52 | 1.11 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 8% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.33 | 1.0 | 1.99 |
| 5-3-2 | 3 8% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.67 | 2.47 | 1.06 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 8% | 2.0 | 1.33 | 1.67 | 1.39 | 2.04 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 8% | 1.0 | 0.33 | 1.33 | 0.89 | 1.22 |
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano all · 10 | Rayo Vallecano at home · 10 | Atlético de Madrid all · 10 | Atlético de Madrid away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.40 | 1.90 | 1.20 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 4 | 7 / 3 / 0 | 6 / 1 / 3 | 4 / 0 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 1.50 | 1.80 | 1.90 | 1.50 |
| Goals against / match | 1.80 | 0.80 | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 50% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 0% | 10% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 50% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 40% | 80% | 80% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.26 | 1.53 | 1.56 | 1.12 |
| xG against / match | 1.83 | 1.29 | 1.54 | 1.68 |
| xG difference | -0.57 | 0.25 | 0.01 | -0.55 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.24 | 0.27 | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| xPts / match | 1.08 | 1.57 | 1.37 | 1.05 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.32 | 0.83 | 0.53 | 0.15 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 80% | 80% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.33 | 2.50 | 2.38 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.50 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 100% | 25% | 0% |
| Leads held | 50% | 78% | 75% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 34% | 42% | 39% | 24% |
| Minutes level | 36% | 51% | 44% | 46% |
| Minutes trailing | 30% | 7% | 17% | 31% |
| First goal (min) | 28 | 43 | 37 | 35 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 37 | 51 | 56 | 43 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 47% | 56% | 58% | 40% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 62% | 64% | 44% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.10 | 0.40 | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 49% | 53% | 54% | 50% |
| Shots | 12.1 | 16.9 | 14.1 | 11.1 |
| On target | 4.8 | 5.9 | 5.2 | 3.9 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 11% | 14% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 55% | 54% | 62% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 2.0 |
| Corners | 4.1 | 5.8 | 5.9 | 4.9 |
| xG from set plays | 21% | 23% | 25% | 33% |
| Goals from headers | 13% | 11% | 11% | 29% |
| Pressure index | 10.2 | 14.5 | 13.9 | 10.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 44.9 | 59.6 | 53.6 | 43.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 82% | 86% | 84% |
| Fouls | 13.8 | 13.0 | 10.9 | 11.5 |
| Cards | 2.90 | 2.80 | 2.20 | 2.60 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Rayo Vallecano
0–15'33
16–30'44
31–45'12
46–60'54
61–75'11
76–90'14
Atlético de Madrid
0–15'20
16–30'41
31–45'24
46–60'24
61–75'32
76–90'63
Rayo Vallecano
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 80% | 1.25 | 1.38 | 1.88 | 1.33 | 2.01 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.35 | 0.56 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.57 | 1.63 |
Atlético de Madrid
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 5 50% | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.72 | 1.69 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.75 | 2.4 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 0.39 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 1.46 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.97 | 0.35 |
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano all · 53 | Rayo Vallecano at home · 27 | Atlético de Madrid all · 56 | Atlético de Madrid away · 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 53 | 27 | 56 | 28 |
| Points per game | 1.47 | 1.93 | 1.80 | 1.29 |
| W / D / L | 21 / 15 / 17 | 14 / 10 / 3 | 31 / 8 / 17 | 10 / 6 / 12 |
| Goals for / match | 1.30 | 1.52 | 1.88 | 1.39 |
| Goals against / match | 1.26 | 0.78 | 1.30 | 1.57 |
| Clean sheets | 32% | 44% | 30% | 29% |
| Failed to score | 23% | 15% | 14% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 48% | 57% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 37% | 62% | 57% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.43 | 1.63 | 1.63 | 1.13 |
| xG against / match | 1.37 | 1.00 | 1.41 | 1.65 |
| xG difference | 0.06 | 0.63 | 0.21 | -0.51 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.13 | -0.11 | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| xPts / match | 1.45 | 1.79 | 1.49 | 1.09 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.02 | 0.13 | 0.31 | 0.20 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 53% | 63% | 71% | 64% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.18 | 2.41 | 2.25 | 1.78 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.64 | 1.13 | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| Came back from behind | 35% | 62% | 29% | 8% |
| Leads held | 66% | 74% | 72% | 53% |
| Minutes leading | 25% | 31% | 34% | 26% |
| Minutes level | 51% | 59% | 50% | 55% |
| Minutes trailing | 24% | 11% | 15% | 19% |
| First goal (min) | 41 | 46 | 32 | 36 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 51 | 42 | 46 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 52% | 54% | 55% | 46% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 54% | 62% | 58% | 64% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.28 | 0.37 | 0.46 | 0.32 |
| Late goals against | 0.28 | 0.26 | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 52% | 56% | 52% | 50% |
| Shots | 14.5 | 17.0 | 13.8 | 11.1 |
| On target | 5.0 | 5.9 | 5.3 | 4.0 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 9% | 14% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 56% | 56% | 68% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 2.6 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 2.1 |
| Corners | 5.5 | 6.6 | 6.0 | 5.0 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 26% | 26% | 29% |
| Goals from headers | 12% | 15% | 18% | 22% |
| Pressure index | 13.8 | 17.6 | 16.5 | 11.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 51.5 | 62.4 | 52.5 | 42.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 82% | 85% | 84% |
| Fouls | 13.8 | 12.2 | 11.0 | 11.8 |
| Cards | 3.08 | 2.44 | 2.07 | 2.43 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Rayo Vallecano
0–15'99
16–30'811
31–45'1611
46–60'1213
61–75'98
76–90'1515
Atlético de Madrid
0–15'195
16–30'1211
31–45'1615
46–60'1514
61–75'1712
76–90'2616
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Rayo Vallecano · 53 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.51
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1553
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1953
Late push (76+, level)-0.0624
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0417
Game state
When ahead+0.1731
When level+0.1853
When behind+0.0526
10 min after conceding-0.0836
10 min after scoring+0.5141
Situations
With ten men+0.136
Against ten men+0.305
At home+0.2427
Away+0.0526
3 days rest or fewer+0.0514
4+ days rest+0.1839
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.227
v mid-tier opponents+0.0520
v bottom-tier opponents+0.138
As favourite+0.3324
Evenly matched+0.0612
As underdog-0.0517
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0353
Conceded when ahead-0.0631
Conceded late (76+)-0.0747
Congested vs rested -0.13 · Ahead vs level -0.01 · Behind vs level -0.13
Atlético de Madrid · 56 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.31) · stands out: against ten men -0.62
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.3156
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2856
Late push (76+, level)+0.1617
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1717
Game state
When ahead+0.3343
When level+0.3556
When behind+0.1424
10 min after conceding-0.0838
10 min after scoring+0.6048
Situations
With ten men-0.116
Against ten men-0.624
At home+0.4628
Away+0.1728
3 days rest or fewer+0.3423
4+ days rest+0.2933
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0512
v mid-tier opponents+0.4224
v bottom-tier opponents+0.296
As favourite+0.4735
Evenly matched+0.1613
As underdog-0.108
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0756
Conceded when ahead-0.0743
Conceded late (76+)-0.2350
Congested vs rested +0.04 · Ahead vs level -0.01 · Behind vs level -0.21
Rayo Vallecano
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 36 68% | 1.44 | 1.28 | 1.28 | 1.44 | 1.49 |
| 4-3-3 | 10 19% | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.56 | 0.97 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 4 8% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.75 | 1.19 | 1.09 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 6% | 0.33 | 1.0 | 1.67 | 1.27 | 1.65 |
Atlético de Madrid
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 38 68% | 1.76 | 2.05 | 1.34 | 1.69 | 1.39 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 5 9% | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.01 | 1.12 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 7% | 1.75 | 1.75 | 2.0 | 1.78 | 2.16 |
| 5-3-2 | 3 5% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.67 | 2.47 | 1.06 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 4% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.87 | 2.31 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line -0.3h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
4.5Home 21% P 20%3.6Draw 26% P 26%1.8Away 53% P 54%
Double Chance
1.95Rayo Vallecano or Draw 24% P 23%1.28Rayo Vallecano or Atletico Madrid 36% P 37%1.18Draw or Atletico Madrid 40% P 40%
Draw No Bet
3.251 29%1.332 71%
Both Teams To Score
1.9Yes 50% P 49%1.9No 50% P 51%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.0Over 47% P 46%1.8Under 53% P 54%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%
Number of Cards
3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.1Over 44% P 42%1.66Under 56% P 58%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 17.5–20% · away 52.5–55% · 176 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 20% | 19% | 24% | +5.3 |
| Draw | 26% | 27% | 26% | -1.3 |
| Away | 54% | 54% | 50% | -4.0 |
In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 44%
Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49% | 49% | 49% | +0.0 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 46% | 45% | -1.2 |
Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea
- Career
- 222 matches · 12 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.63 (4.44 yellow · 0.12 red)
- Fouls / match
- 22.2 · 4.8 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.28
- Cards to home side
- 49%
Style in La Liga (5-year window · 99 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.49 | 5.08 | -0.89 | 18 |
| Fouls / match | 22.3 | 25.7 | -2.42 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.0 | 5.1 | -0.33 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.35 | 0.34 | +0.26 | 61 |
| Time added | 7.7 | 7.7 | +0.04 | 39 |
- First card
- 35' on average
- Card timing
- 15% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 51% (league 48%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.15
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 19' | 8 |
| 2026-01-29 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 1 | 35' | 8 |
| 2026-01-19 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 21' | 8 |
| 2026-01-03 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 53' | 11 |
| 2025-12-15 · Rayo Vallecano | 5 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 9' | 10 |
| 2025-12-02 · Atlético de Madrid | 2 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 41' | 10 |
| 2025-11-30 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 42' | 8 |
| 2025-11-27 | 8 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 21' | 6 |
| 2025-11-09 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 20' | 8 |
| 2025-10-25 | 6 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 11' | 7 |