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La Liga · Matchweek 31
MallorcaMallorca
3–0
FT
Rayo VallecanoRAY

Momentum

– MallorcaRAY –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
31

Venue

Stadium
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
Capacity
26,020
Surface
grass
Attendance
16,323

Teams

Coaches
Martín Demichelis · Iñigo Pérez
Position
18 · 13
Formation
4-3-1-2 · 4-3-3

Referee

Jesús Gil Manzano

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
15.3° (feels 15.2°)
Wind
6.7
Humidity
88%

Where to watch · 482

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Barcelona 383116 953659 94 WWLWL
2 Real Madrid 382756 773542 86 WLWWW
3 Villarreal 3822610 724626 72 WDLLW
4 Atlético de Madrid 3821611 624418 69 WLWWL
5 Real Betis 3815158 594811 60 WDWLW
6 Celta de Vigo 38141212 53485 54 WWLDW
7 Getafe 3815617 3238-6 51 LDWLW
8 Rayo Vallecano 38121412 4144-3 50 WDDWW
9 Valencia 38131015 4655-9 49 LWDWW
10 Real Sociedad 38111314 5961-2 46 LDDLD
11 Espanyol 38121016 4355-12 46 LLWWD
12 Athletic Club 3813619 4358-15 45 WLLDL
13 Sevilla 3812719 4660-14 43 WWWLL
14 Deportivo Alavés 38111017 4456-12 43 LDWWL
15 Elche 38101315 4957-8 43 LDLWD
16 Levante 3811918 4761-14 42 LWWWL
17 Osasuna 3811918 4450-6 42 LLLLL
18 Mallorca 3811918 4757-10 42 WDLLW
19 Girona 3891415 3955-16 41 LDDLD
20 Real Oviedo 3861121 2660-34 29 LDLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Mallorca

LDWLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 7.21–7.5 · xPts 6.49

  • W H Real Madrid 2–1 xG 0.92–1.44 ESP PL
  • L A Elche 1–2 xG 1.51–1.65 ESP PL
  • W H Espanyol 2–1 xG 2.88–0.83 ESP PL
  • D A Osasuna 2–2 xG 1.28–2.6 ESP PL
  • L H Real Sociedad 0–1 xG 0.62–0.99 ESP PL

Rayo Vallecano

DLLWW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 3 · xG 8.02–6.02 · xPts 8.25

  • W H AEK Athens 3–0 xG 2.28–1.39 UEFA ECL
  • W H Elche 1–0 xG 1.38–0.49 ESP PL
  • L A FC Barcelona 0–1 xG 1.38–1.59 ESP PL
  • L H Samsunspor 0–1 xG 1.45–1.05 UEFA ECL
  • D H Levante 1–1 xG 1.54–1.5 ESP PL

All meetings · 14 matches since 2012

Mallorca 83 draws3 Rayo Vallecano

Goals 20–12 · 2.29 per match · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Mallorca 62 draws2 Rayo Vallecano

Goals 17–9 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Mallorca 31 draws1 Rayo Vallecano

Goals 7–3 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Mallorca 3–0 Rayo Vallecano ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Mallorca ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Rayo Vallecano 0–0 Mallorca ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Mallorca 1–0 Rayo Vallecano ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Mallorca 2–1 Rayo Vallecano ESP PL · Regular Season
  • D Rayo Vallecano 2–2 Mallorca ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Mallorca 3–0 Rayo Vallecano ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Rayo Vallecano 0–2 Mallorca ESP PL · Regular Season
  • W Mallorca 2–1 Rayo Vallecano ESP PL · Regular Season
  • L Rayo Vallecano 3–1 Mallorca ESP PL · Regular Season
MetricMallorca all · 38Mallorca at home · 19Rayo Vallecano all · 38Rayo Vallecano away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.111.741.321.00
W / D / L11 / 9 / 189 / 6 / 412 / 14 / 125 / 4 / 10
Goals for / match1.241.631.080.89
Goals against / match1.501.111.161.53
Clean sheets16%21%32%21%
Failed to score24%10%32%47%
Both teams scored63%68%45%37%
Over 2.563%58%37%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.231.651.431.19
xG against / match1.591.241.351.61
xG difference-0.370.410.08-0.41
Finishing vs xG0.01-0.01-0.35-0.30
xPts / match1.131.591.441.13
Points vs xPts-0.020.15-0.12-0.13
Game state
Scored first42%53%42%26%
PPG when scoring first1.942.602.382.60
PPG when conceding first0.480.780.470.38
Came back from behind25%56%37%23%
Leads held61%82%67%71%
Minutes leading19%25%17%14%
Minutes level47%50%59%48%
Minutes trailing34%25%24%39%
First goal (min)46495043
First goal conceded (min)37403928
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%64%54%47%
Goals conceded in 2nd half46%33%57%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.340.580.260.16
Late goals against0.390.260.320.32
Style
Possession47%48%53%52%
Shots10.912.914.011.5
On target4.24.94.83.9
Shot conversion11%13%8%8%
Shots inside box67%71%55%56%
Big chances created2.13.12.72.3
Corners3.74.05.74.7
xG from set plays30%32%25%25%
Goals from headers19%13%15%6%
Pressure index8.611.512.69.5
Dominant minutes36.944.050.441.1
Pass accuracy80%80%82%82%
Fouls12.312.013.414.8
Cards2.392.163.033.63

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Mallorca

0–15'47
16–30'59
31–45'1015
46–60'33
61–75'128
76–90'1315

Rayo Vallecano

0–15'26
16–30'66
31–45'117
46–60'56
61–75'77
76–90'1012

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Mallorca

No pressure profile yet.

Rayo Vallecano · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.076
Early press (0-15, level)+0.306
Late push (76+, level)-0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.553

Game state

When ahead-0.135
When level+0.036
When behind-0.064
10 min after conceding-0.376
10 min after scoring+0.676

Situations

Against ten men+0.352
At home-0.083
Away-0.043
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.052
v mid-tier opponents-0.103
Evenly matched-0.103
As underdog-0.052

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.246
Conceded when ahead+0.155
Conceded late (76+)+0.396

Congested vs rested -0.10 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.10

Mallorca

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-120 53%1.01.151.61.081.56
4-3-1-29 24%1.671.561.01.411.52
5-3-24 10%0.251.01.751.12.13
4-4-23 8%1.01.332.331.471.78
4-3-31 3%0.00.01.00.620.99

Rayo Vallecano

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 63%1.51.211.081.471.37
4-3-35 13%1.40.61.41.481.19
4-4-25 13%0.40.81.61.391.63
4-1-4-13 8%1.671.670.671.40.91
4-4-1-11 3%0.00.01.00.381.66

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.6h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.45Home 39% P 40%3.4Draw 28% P 29%2.8Away 34% P 31%

Double Chance

1.36Mallorca or Draw 35%1.36Mallorca or Rayo Vallecano 35%1.57Draw or Rayo Vallecano 30%

Draw No Bet

1.611 58%2.22 42%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48%1.8No 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 47%1.66Under 57% P 53%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

5.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 30–32.5% · 800 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home40%39%39%-0.2
Draw29%30%31%+1.5
Away31%31%30%-1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 44%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.547%46%45%-1.2

Jesús Gil Manzano

Career
182 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
5.09 (4.8 yellow · 0.16 red)
Fouls / match
26.3 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
48%

Style in La Liga (5-year window · 97 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.465.08+0.6679
Fouls / match25.125.7-0.49
Fouls per card4.75.1-0.75 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.360.34+0.3571
Time added7.47.7-0.2629
First card
29' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.45

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-21 50 351 38'11
2026-03-14 40 320 55'12
2026-03-10 50 290 33'15
2026-02-22 60 232 23'12
2026-02-17 21 151 21'8
2026-02-08 60 291 21'6
2026-01-28 20 200 74'4
2026-01-18 71 210 37'14
2026-01-04 62 310 10'8
2025-12-13 60 350 21'6