Rating 7.0 (87th pct) · G+A 4 + 1 (14% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Liga Portugal · Matchweek 6
Momentum
– NacionalArouca –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Nacional | at home | Stat | league | away | Arouca |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.1 #14 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 50.3 #8 |
| 12.6 #6 | – | Shots total | 12.1 | – | 10.7 #13 |
| 4.2 #7 | – | Shots on target | 4.1 | – | 3.6 #11 |
| 4.4 #9 | – | Corners | 4.7 | – | 3.7 #15 |
| 14.8 #4 | – | Fouls | 13.7 | – | 13.8 #10 |
| 1.4 #13 | – | Offsides | 1.5 | – | 1.4 #9 |
| 16.2 #5 | – | Tackles | 15.6 | – | 14.2 #17 |
| 90.6 #7 | – | Attacks | 90.3 | – | 85.4 #11 |
| 37.9 #11 | – | Dangerous attacks | 42.1 | – | 33.6 #14 |
| 332.8 #16 | – | Passes | 405.0 | – | 413.8 #7 |
| 3.2 #2 | – | Yellowcards | 2.6 | – | 2.8 #5 |
| 0.1 #10 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.2 #1 |
| 0.7 #14 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 1.0 #6 |
| – #8 | – | Btts | 48.0 | – | – #3 |
| – #10 | – | Cleansheet | 29.2 | – | – #12 |
| – #13 | – | Draw | 27.1 | – | – #16 |
| 1.2 #9 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 1.0 #15 |
| -0.1 #15 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | 0.3 #3 |
| – #8 | – | Failed to score | 29.2 | – | – #12 |
| 1.1 #11 | 1.4 | Goals | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.4 #6 |
| 1.3 #11 | 1.4 | Goals conceded | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.9 #2 |
| 0.3 #3 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #6 |
| 9.2 #6 | – | Interceptions | 8.6 | – | 8.5 #12 |
| – #2 | – | Lost | 36.4 | – | – #4 |
| 0.2 #7 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.0 #16 |
| 6.8 #7 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.7 #16 |
| 3.1 #9 | – | Shots blocked | 3.2 | – | 2.4 #16 |
| 7.4 #9 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.4 | – | 6.2 #13 |
| 5.3 #6 | – | Shots off target | 4.8 | – | 4.7 #10 |
| 5.2 #5 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.6 | – | 4.5 #10 |
| – #12 | – | Win | 36.4 | – | – #7 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 306 of 306
- Goals / match
- 2.68 (home 1.5 · away 1.19)
- Home / draw / away
- 41% · 27% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 48% · 54%
- Cards / match
- 5.01 (reds 0.13)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Nacional · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal
Rating 6.85 (69th pct) · G+A 3 + 2 (14% of team goals) · 89% of minutes
Rating 7.04 (89th pct) · G+A 0 + 4 (11% of team goals) · 77% of minutes
Team 1.04 ppg with (27) · 0.86 without (7)
Arouca · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal
Rating 6.83 (56th pct) · G+A 6 + 3 (19% of team goals) · 90% of minutes
Rating 6.87 (72th pct) · G+A 3 + 5 (17% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Team 1.41 ppg with (27) · 0.57 without (7)
Rating 6.86 (62th pct) · G+A 4 + 3 (15% of team goals) · 83% of minutes
Team 1.28 ppg with (29) · 1.0 without (5)
Absences
Nacional
- injury Miguel Baeza #7 key player midfielder · Knee Injury · 39 missed · until 2025-11-06
- injury Motez Nourani attacker · Unknown Injury · 65 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 6
Venue
- Stadium
- Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
- Capacity
- 5,132
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 1,529
Teams
- Coaches
- Tiago Carvalho Margarido · Vasco Freire De Seabra
- Position
- 14 · 12
- Formation
- 4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
João António Ferreira Gonçalves
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 25.2° (feels 24.8°)
- Wind
- 6.4
- Humidity
- 40%
Where to watch · 4
- International Bet365
Portugal
Sport TV Multiscreen · TV 4 Sport
Ukraine
Megogo
2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto |
34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66 | 18 | 48 | 88 | WWWLW |
| 2 |  Sporting CP |
34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 82 | DDWWW |
| 3 |  Benfica |
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74 | 25 | 49 | 80 | WWDDW |
| 4 |  Sporting Braga |
34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 59 | WLDDD |
| 5 |  Famalicão |
34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 56 | DWDDW |
| 6 |  Gil Vicente |
34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 50 | LWDLL |
| 7 |  Moreirense |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 | WLWLD |
| 8 |  Arouca |
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47 | 64 | -17 | 42 | WLDWW |
| 9 |  Vitória Guimarães |
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 42 | WWLLL |
| 10 |  Estoril |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 39 | LLDDL |
| 11 |  Alverca |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 39 | LWLDL |
| 12 |  Rio Ave |
34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 36 | DLDLD |
| 13 |  Santa Clara |
34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 36 | DWDWL |
| 14 |  Nacional |
34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 34 | WWLLW |
| 15 |  Estrela Amadora |
34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 30 | LLLDD |
| 16 |  Casa Pia |
34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 | LLLWD |
| 17 |  Tondela |
34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 28 | LDWWL |
| 18 |  AVS |
34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27 | 67 | -40 | 21 | DDWWD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto |
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 33 | 6 | 27 | 45 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Sporting CP |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 11 | 40 | 41 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Benfica |
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 41 | 13 | 28 | 39 | WWDDW |
| 4 | Famalicão |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 31 | DWDDW |
| 5 | Sporting Braga |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 30 | WLDDD |
| 6 | Gil Vicente |
17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 30 | LWDLL |
| 7 | Vitória Guimarães |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 28 | WWLLL |
| 8 | Moreirense |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 27 | WLWLD |
| 9 | Alverca |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 26 | LWLDL |
| 10 | Arouca |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 25 | WLDWW |
| 11 | Estoril |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 23 | LLDDL |
| 12 | Santa Clara |
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 | DWDWL |
| 13 | Nacional |
17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 20 | WWLLW |
| 14 | Estrela Amadora |
17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 18 | LLLDD |
| 15 | Casa Pia |
17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 15 | LLLWD |
| 16 | Rio Ave |
17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 | DLDLD |
| 17 | Tondela |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 13 | LDWWL |
| 18 | AVS |
17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 12 | DDWWD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto |
17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 43 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Sporting CP |
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 38 | 13 | 25 | 41 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Benfica |
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 | WWDDW |
| 4 | Sporting Braga |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 29 | WLDDD |
| 5 | Famalicão |
17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 | DWDDW |
| 6 | Rio Ave |
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 21 | DLDLD |
| 7 | Gil Vicente |
17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 20 | LWDLL |
| 8 | Arouca |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 17 | WLDWW |
| 9 | Estoril |
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 16 | LLDDL |
| 10 | Moreirense |
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 16 | WLWLD |
| 11 | Casa Pia |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 15 | LLLWD |
| 12 | Tondela |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 34 | -20 | 15 | LDWWL |
| 13 | Nacional |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 14 | WWLLW |
| 14 | Vitória Guimarães |
17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 14 | WWLLL |
| 15 | Santa Clara |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 | DWDWL |
| 16 | Alverca |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Estrela Amadora |
17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 | LLLDD |
| 18 | AVS |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 40 | -28 | 9 | DDWWD |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Nacional
LDLWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 8 · xG 4.16–8.38 · xPts 4.58
- L
A
Porto
0–1
xG 0.12–1.98
PRT PL
- W
A
Casa Pia
2–0
xG 0.88–0.66
PRT PL
- L
H
Sporting CP
1–4
xG 0.73–2.89
PRT PL
- D
A
Rio Ave
1–1
xG 1.23–2.04
PRT PL
- L
H
Gil Vicente
0–2
xG 1.2–0.81
PRT PL
LDLWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 8 · xG 4.16–8.38 · xPts 4.58
- L
A
Porto
0–1
xG 0.12–1.98
PRT PL
- W
A
Casa Pia
2–0
xG 0.88–0.66
PRT PL
- L
H
Sporting CP
1–4
xG 0.73–2.89
PRT PL
- D
A
Rio Ave
1–1
xG 1.23–2.04
PRT PL
- L
H
Gil Vicente
0–2
xG 1.2–0.81
PRT PL
Arouca
WLDDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 13 · xG 3.59–6.57 · xPts 4.98
- L
H
Casa Pia
0–2
xG 0.8–1.12
PRT PL
- D
A
Vitória Guimarães
1–1
xG 0.51–0.54
PRT PL
- D
H
Rio Ave
3–3
xG 0.94–1.47
PRT PL
- L
A
Sporting CP
0–6
xG 0.22–2.51
PRT PL
- W
H
AVS
3–1
xG 1.13–0.93
PRT PL
WLDDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 13 · xG 3.59–6.57 · xPts 4.98
- L
H
Casa Pia
0–2
xG 0.8–1.12
PRT PL
- D
A
Vitória Guimarães
1–1
xG 0.51–0.54
PRT PL
- D
H
Rio Ave
3–3
xG 0.94–1.47
PRT PL
- L
A
Sporting CP
0–6
xG 0.22–2.51
PRT PL
- W
H
AVS
3–1
xG 1.13–0.93
PRT PL
All meetings · 12 matches since 2013
Goals 11–21 · 2.67 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 10–19 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 3–9 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- L Arouca 3–0 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Nacional 1–2 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Nacional 1–2 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Arouca 1–0 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Nacional 1–1 Arouca neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Arouca 2–0 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Arouca 3–0 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Nacional 2–2 Arouca neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Arouca 3–3 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Nacional 2–0 Arouca neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Nacional all · 34 | Nacional at home · 17 | Arouca all · 34 | Arouca away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.18 | 1.24 | 1.00 |
| W / D / L | 9 / 7 / 18 | 6 / 2 / 9 | 12 / 6 / 16 | 5 / 2 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 1.09 | 1.35 | 1.38 | 1.18 |
| Goals against / match | 1.32 | 1.35 | 1.88 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheets | 24% | 29% | 21% | 24% |
| Failed to score | 32% | 29% | 26% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 47% | 56% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 | 41% | 53% | 68% | 65% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.22 | 1.31 | 1.04 | 0.87 |
| xG against / match | 1.63 | 1.63 | 1.51 | 1.54 |
| xG difference | -0.41 | -0.32 | -0.48 | -0.66 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.13 | 0.04 | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| xPts / match | 1.18 | 1.24 | 1.14 | 1.08 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.18 | -0.07 | 0.09 | -0.08 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 38% | 47% | 50% | 41% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.77 | 1.50 | 1.82 | 1.71 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | 0.88 | 0.63 | 0.44 |
| Came back from behind | 25% | 25% | 24% | 17% |
| Leads held | 56% | 54% | 60% | 62% |
| Minutes leading | 19% | 22% | 20% | 11% |
| Minutes level | 53% | 53% | 50% | 54% |
| Minutes trailing | 27% | 24% | 30% | 34% |
| First goal (min) | 44 | 40 | 37 | 44 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 38 | 35 | 32 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 60% | 70% | 62% | 60% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 60% | 61% | 50% | 47% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.24 | 0.29 | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| Late goals against | 0.35 | 0.47 | 0.41 | 0.41 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 46% | 48% | 50% | 51% |
| Shots | 12.6 | 12.5 | 10.7 | 10.6 |
| On target | 4.2 | 4.2 | 3.6 | 2.9 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 11% | 13% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 58% | 59% | 58% | 52% |
| Big chances created | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| Corners | 4.4 | 4.8 | 3.7 | 3.4 |
| xG from set plays | 41% | 54% | 24% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 19% | 17% | 34% | 40% |
| Pressure index | 8.3 | 9.8 | 10.7 | 11.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 36.7 | 41.1 | 43.4 | 44.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 76% | 82% | 82% |
| Fouls | 14.9 | 14.2 | 13.9 | 13.3 |
| Cards | 3.35 | 3.76 | 3.32 | 2.65 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Nacional
0–15'48
16–30'43
31–45'77
46–60'67
61–75'88
76–90'812
Arouca
0–15'910
16–30'28
31–45'714
46–60'119
61–75'129
76–90'614
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Nacional · 6 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.24) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.33
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.246
Early press (0-15, level)-0.176
Late push (76+, level)-0.192
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.284
Game state
When ahead-0.492
When level-0.226
When behind-0.185
10 min after conceding-0.325
10 min after scoring+0.334
Situations
At home-0.193
Away-0.283
4+ days rest-0.246
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.162
v bottom-tier opponents-0.262
Evenly matched-0.193
As underdog-0.283
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.126
Conceded when ahead+0.192
Conceded late (76+)-0.136
Ahead vs level -0.27 · Behind vs level +0.03
Arouca · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.53
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)-0.146
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.092
Game state
When ahead-0.193
When level-0.036
When behind+0.093
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.534
Situations
At home+0.203
Away-0.233
4+ days rest-0.046
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.222
As favourite+0.292
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog-0.482
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.196
Conceded when ahead+0.433
Conceded late (76+)-0.095
Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level +0.12
Nacional
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 18 53% | 1.0 | 0.83 | 1.11 | 1.0 | 1.73 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 26% | 0.89 | 1.22 | 1.56 | 1.32 | 1.58 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 9% | 1.33 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.35 | 1.58 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 2.22 | 1.28 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.81 | 2.04 |
Arouca
Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 32 94% | 1.31 | 1.44 | 1.88 | 1.04 | 1.52 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.08 | 0.66 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.85 | 2.32 |
| Metric | Nacional all · 10 | Nacional at home · 10 | Arouca all · 10 | Arouca away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 | 1.70 | 1.00 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 6 | 4 / 0 / 6 | 5 / 2 / 3 | 3 / 1 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.70 | 0.90 |
| Goals against / match | 1.50 | 1.20 | 1.10 | 1.30 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 20% | 20% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 40% | 60% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 40% | 70% | 40% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.24 | 1.27 | 1.11 | 0.83 |
| xG against / match | 1.78 | 1.37 | 1.35 | 1.50 |
| xG difference | -0.53 | -0.10 | -0.24 | -0.67 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.04 | -0.07 | 0.59 | 0.07 |
| xPts / match | 1.10 | 1.35 | 1.27 | 1.04 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.10 | -0.16 | 0.42 | -0.04 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 60% | 50% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.80 | 2.00 | 2.60 | 2.25 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.75 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 14% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| Leads held | 60% | 67% | 83% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 19% | 24% | 26% | 11% |
| Minutes level | 45% | 48% | 56% | 63% |
| Minutes trailing | 36% | 28% | 19% | 27% |
| First goal (min) | 40 | 44 | 38 | 52 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 26 | 30 | 38 | 44 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 75% | 65% | 78% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 33% | 42% | 54% | 62% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 51% | 53% | 51% |
| Shots | 12.2 | 13.8 | 11.3 | 9.5 |
| On target | 3.3 | 4.1 | 4.0 | 2.6 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 9% | 15% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 57% | 59% | 56% | 54% |
| Big chances created | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1.7 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 4.5 | 3.3 | 2.8 |
| xG from set plays | 30% | 27% | 16% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 33% | 17% | 35% | 44% |
| Pressure index | 9.1 | 10.2 | 10.4 | 8.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 42.0 | 44.6 | 46.5 | 43.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 78% | 85% | 84% |
| Fouls | 11.3 | 13.0 | 11.3 | 11.6 |
| Cards | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 2.40 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Nacional
0–15'21
16–30'14
31–45'35
46–60'01
61–75'32
76–90'32
Arouca
0–15'12
16–30'32
31–45'21
46–60'40
61–75'24
76–90'52
Nacional
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.75 | 1.65 | 1.67 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 40% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.86 | 2.06 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.25 | 1.5 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.13 | 1.35 |
Arouca
Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.11 | 1.35 |
| Metric | Nacional all · 35 | Nacional at home · 18 | Arouca all · 35 | Arouca away · 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 35 | 18 | 35 | 18 |
| Points per game | 0.97 | 1.28 | 1.34 | 1.11 |
| W / D / L | 9 / 7 / 19 | 7 / 2 / 9 | 14 / 5 / 16 | 6 / 2 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 1.14 | 1.50 | 1.37 | 1.11 |
| Goals against / match | 1.37 | 1.28 | 1.60 | 1.61 |
| Clean sheets | 23% | 33% | 29% | 33% |
| Failed to score | 31% | 22% | 26% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 50% | 51% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 56% | 66% | 56% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.26 | 1.41 | 1.07 | 0.88 |
| xG against / match | 1.67 | 1.57 | 1.54 | 1.61 |
| xG difference | -0.41 | -0.16 | -0.47 | -0.72 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.12 | 0.09 | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| xPts / match | 1.19 | 1.32 | 1.16 | 1.05 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.22 | -0.04 | 0.18 | 0.06 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 37% | 50% | 49% | 44% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.77 | 1.67 | 1.94 | 1.88 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.48 | 0.88 | 0.75 | 0.38 |
| Came back from behind | 24% | 25% | 20% | 9% |
| Leads held | 56% | 58% | 67% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 18% | 22% | 21% | 13% |
| Minutes level | 55% | 55% | 52% | 58% |
| Minutes trailing | 28% | 23% | 27% | 29% |
| First goal (min) | 44 | 44 | 39 | 45 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 37 | 34 | 36 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 62% | 74% | 60% | 65% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 54% | 52% | 46% | 52% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.26 | 0.39 | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| Late goals against | 0.29 | 0.33 | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | 50% | 50% | 51% |
| Shots | 12.7 | 13.3 | 10.8 | 10.2 |
| On target | 4.2 | 4.3 | 3.6 | 2.8 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 11% | 13% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 58% | 57% | 58% | 54% |
| Big chances created | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| Corners | 3.9 | 4.3 | 3.6 | 3.3 |
| xG from set plays | 39% | 44% | 22% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 18% | 18% | 35% | 35% |
| Pressure index | 9.0 | 10.7 | 10.7 | 11.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 39.7 | 44.4 | 42.9 | 44.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | 78% | 82% | 83% |
| Fouls | 13.4 | 13.1 | 13.1 | 12.6 |
| Cards | 2.89 | 3.33 | 3.34 | 2.67 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Nacional
0–15'48
16–30'45
31–45'79
46–60'67
61–75'109
76–90'910
Arouca
0–15'89
16–30'39
31–45'812
46–60'137
61–75'107
76–90'612
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Nacional · 35 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: v top-tier opponents -0.43
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1535
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0035
Late push (76+, level)-0.1215
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1718
Game state
When ahead-0.3716
When level-0.1035
When behind-0.1225
10 min after conceding-0.1827
10 min after scoring+0.0424
Situations
With ten men-0.105
Against ten men-0.073
At home-0.1318
Away-0.1817
4+ days rest-0.1535
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.437
v mid-tier opponents-0.209
v bottom-tier opponents-0.0411
As favourite-0.056
Evenly matched-0.0515
As underdog-0.3114
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2735
Conceded when ahead+0.4616
Conceded late (76+)+0.0533
Ahead vs level -0.26 · Behind vs level -0.01
Arouca · 35 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.47
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0235
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0334
Late push (76+, level)-0.4712
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0213
Game state
When ahead-0.2021
When level-0.0134
When behind+0.1020
10 min after conceding-0.1025
10 min after scoring+0.1526
Situations
With ten men-0.205
Against ten men+0.208
At home-0.1017
Away+0.0418
4+ days rest-0.0235
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.348
v mid-tier opponents-0.199
v bottom-tier opponents+0.0710
As favourite-0.074
Evenly matched+0.2214
As underdog-0.2317
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1535
Conceded when ahead+0.2521
Conceded late (76+)+0.1029
Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level +0.11
Nacional
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 13 37% | 1.08 | 0.85 | 0.92 | 1.07 | 1.75 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 29% | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.41 | 1.57 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 11% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.86 | 2.06 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 9% | 1.33 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.35 | 1.58 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 6% | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.24 | 1.15 |
Arouca
Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 33 94% | 1.42 | 1.42 | 1.58 | 1.08 | 1.54 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.08 | 0.66 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.85 | 2.32 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.25Home 42% P 42%3.25Draw 29% P 29%3.2Away 29% P 29%
Double Chance
1.36Nacional or Draw 35% P 36%1.33Nacional or FC Arouca 36% P 35%1.61Draw or FC Arouca 29% P 29%
Draw No Bet
1.571 59%2.252 41%
Both Teams To Score
1.95Yes 48% P 51%1.8No 52% P 49%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.15Over 44% P 44%1.66Under 56% P 56%
Total Corners
9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 27.5–30% · 815 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 42% | 41% | 42% | +0.5 |
| Draw | 29% | 30% | 27% | -2.4 |
| Away | 29% | 29% | 31% | +1.9 |
In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 43%
Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51% | 51% | 51% | -0.6 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 44% | 43% | -1.2 |
João António Ferreira Gonçalves
- Career
- 75 matches · 6 seasons
- Cards / match
- 5.87 (5.36 yellow · 0.23 red)
- Fouls / match
- 26.8 · 4.6 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.41
- Cards to home side
- 51%
Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 69 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 5.93 | 5.66 | +0.37 | 55 |
| Fouls / match | 27.0 | 27.8 | -0.43 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.6 | 4.9 | -0.55 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.39 | 0.37 | +0.23 | 52 |
| Time added | 8.7 | 7.7 | +1.29 | 94 |
- First card
- 26' on average
- Card timing
- 17% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 51% (league 48%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.15
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-30 | 8 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 17' | 9 |
| 2025-08-24 | 5 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 37' | 11 |
| 2025-07-17 | 8 | 2 | 21 | 1 | 7' | 6 |
| 2025-05-17 | 10 | 1 | 35 | 0 | 7' | 6 |
| 2025-05-03 | 4 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 28' | 10 |
| 2025-04-25 | 5 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 5' | 8 |
| 2025-03-16 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 1 | 58' | 5 |
| 2025-03-07 | 7 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 7' | 7 |
| 2025-03-01 · Arouca | 4 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 16' | 14 |
| 2025-02-16 | 8 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 4' | 6 |