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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 6

Momentum

Gil VicenteEstoril
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
6

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos
Capacity
12,046
Surface
grass
Attendance
7,259

Teams

Coaches
César Peixoto · Ian Cathro
Position
6 · 12
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Carlos André Fernandes Macedo

Weather

Conditions
sky is clear
Temperature
20.4° (feels 19.6°)
Wind
7.0
Humidity
42%

Where to watch · 4

  • International Bet365
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
  • Ukraine Megogo

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Gil Vicente

WLDWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 2 · xG 6.14–6.5 · xPts 6.61

  • W A Sporting Braga 1–0 xG 1.07–1.74 PRT PL
  • W H Moreirense 2–0 xG 1.05–0.77 PRT PL
  • D A Famalicão 0–0 xG 1.93–0.86 PRT PL
  • L H Porto 0–2 xG 1.28–1.93 PRT PL
  • W A Nacional 2–0 xG 0.81–1.2 PRT PL

Estoril

DLDLW 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 6.87–8.13 · xPts 6.09

  • W H AVS 3–1 xG 2.23–0.89 PRT PL
  • L H Santa Clara 0–1 xG 0.86–1.71 PRT PL
  • D A Tondela 2–2 xG 1.85–2.56 PRT PL
  • L A Vitória Guimarães 2–3 xG 0.98–1.94 PRT PL
  • D H Estrela Amadora 1–1 xG 0.95–1.04 PRT PL

All meetings · 16 matches since 2013

Gil Vicente 46 draws6 Estoril

Goals 19–21 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Gil Vicente 33 draws4 Estoril

Goals 14–13 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Gil Vicente 21 draws2 Estoril

Goals 7–6 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Estoril 3–1 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Gil Vicente 2–0 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Gil Vicente 1–2 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Estoril 0–0 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estoril 1–3 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Gil Vicente 5–3 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Estoril 1–0 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Gil Vicente 0–1 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Gil Vicente 0–0 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Estoril 2–2 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricGil Vicente all · 34Gil Vicente at home · 17Estoril all · 34Estoril away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.471.761.150.94
W / D / L13 / 11 / 109 / 3 / 510 / 9 / 154 / 4 / 9
Goals for / match1.381.651.591.47
Goals against / match1.121.001.681.82
Clean sheets35%35%15%18%
Failed to score26%18%29%35%
Both teams scored47%47%59%47%
Over 2.553%53%62%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.431.421.201.18
xG against / match1.150.991.591.52
xG difference0.280.43-0.39-0.34
Finishing vs xG-0.040.230.390.29
xPts / match1.541.611.131.15
Points vs xPts-0.070.150.02-0.21
Game state
Scored first56%59%38%47%
PPG when scoring first2.162.601.851.75
PPG when conceding first0.500.570.700.22
Came back from behind38%38%40%31%
Leads held62%82%59%50%
Minutes leading28%33%23%23%
Minutes level53%46%40%31%
Minutes trailing19%21%37%45%
First goal (min)33393430
First goal conceded (min)41403027
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%61%52%52%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%53%46%48%
Late goals for (76'+)0.320.530.260.24
Late goals against0.240.120.240.35
Style
Possession50%50%53%52%
Shots13.814.611.711.3
On target4.55.04.13.6
Shot conversion10%11%14%13%
Shots inside box57%57%64%66%
Big chances created2.12.32.22.2
Corners5.65.44.44.1
xG from set plays45%44%32%39%
Goals from headers17%18%13%8%
Pressure index14.815.511.210.3
Dominant minutes54.156.046.844.4
Pass accuracy80%82%81%81%
Fouls13.613.413.013.5
Cards2.502.292.532.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Gil Vicente

0–15'84
16–30'26
31–45'147
46–60'64
61–75'69
76–90'118

Estoril

0–15'615
16–30'87
31–45'129
46–60'118
61–75'810
76–90'98

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Gil Vicente · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.05) · stands out: at home +0.33

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.055
Early press (0-15, level)-0.105
Late push (76+, level)-0.073
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.192

Game state

When ahead-0.213
When level-0.305
When behind+1.202
10 min after conceding-0.172
10 min after scoring-0.173

Situations

At home+0.333
Away-0.392
4+ days rest+0.055

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.592
As favourite-0.192
As underdog-0.392

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.205
Conceded when ahead+0.403
Conceded late (76+)+0.125

Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level +1.50

Estoril · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.136
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.164

Game state

When level+0.036
When behind-0.165
10 min after conceding-0.395
10 min after scoring+0.222

Situations

With ten men-0.212
At home+0.153
Away-0.233
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.242
v bottom-tier opponents-0.302
Evenly matched-0.113
As underdog-0.242

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.016
Conceded late (76+)-0.176

Behind vs level -0.19

Gil Vicente

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 79%1.441.371.191.421.16
4-1-4-14 12%1.751.750.751.751.04
4-4-22 6%0.51.01.51.271.39
4-3-31 3%3.01.00.00.580.8

Estoril

Current: winless 14 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-37 21%1.142.142.141.161.44
4-3-36 18%1.331.331.171.221.36
3-4-2-15 15%0.80.81.20.841.46
4-3-1-25 15%0.61.42.61.122.41
4-4-24 12%1.752.751.51.671.61

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.0Home 47% P 48%3.3Draw 29% P 28%4.0Away 24% P 24%

Double Chance

1.22Gil Vicente or Draw 39% P 38%1.33Gil Vicente or Estoril 35% P 36%1.8Draw or Estoril 26% P 26%

Draw No Bet

1.41 66%2.752 34%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 51%1.8No 52% P 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.15Over 44% P 44%1.66Under 56% P 56%

Total Corners

6.5Under 6 13%2.626 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 31%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 22.5–25% · 808 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home48%49%47%-1.9
Draw28%28%29%+1.7
Away24%24%24%+0.3

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes51%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Carlos André Fernandes Macedo

Career
43 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.6 (4.3 yellow · 0.21 red)
Fouls / match
27.9 · 6.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.4
Cards to home side
50%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 42 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.45.66-1.576
Fouls / match27.927.9+0.04
Fouls per card6.54.9+1.76 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.380.37+0.1548
Time added6.37.7-1.516
First card
37' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 39% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.2

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-08-31 40 240 34'9
2025-05-10 · Gil Vicente 40 320 38'6
2025-04-27 40 230 33'3
2025-04-01 · Gil Vicente 41 341 59'6
2025-03-10 30 350 73'3
2025-01-24 30 290 37'6
2024-12-30 60 241 27'7
2024-11-30 60 320 38'7
2024-11-09 70 291 4'7
2024-10-26 · Estoril 60 331 21'4