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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 6

Momentum

Santa ClaraAlverca
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
6

Venue

Stadium
Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada
Capacity
13,277
Surface
grass
Attendance
1,684

Teams

Coaches
Vasco Matos · Custodio
Position
11 · 13
Formation
3-4-3 · 3-4-3

Referee

Sérgio José dos Santos Guelho

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
20.0° (feels 19.5°)
Wind
5.6
Humidity
52%

Where to watch · 5

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Santa Clara

LDDWD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 3 GA 3 · xG 3.51–2.61 · xPts 4.89

  • D A Benfica 1–1 xG 0.85–1.64 PRT PL
  • W A Estoril 1–0 xG 1.71–0.86 PRT PL
  • D H Estrela Amadora 0–0 xG 0.95–0.11 PRT PL
  • D A Shamrock Rovers 0–0 UEFA ECL
  • L H Shamrock Rovers 1–2 UEFA ECL

Alverca

LLDLW 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 9 · xG 5.79–8.84 · xPts 5.28

  • W H Tondela 1–0 xG 1.16–2.36 PRT PL
  • L H Benfica 1–2 xG 0.97–1.0 PRT PL
  • D A Estrela Amadora 2–2 xG 0.89–2.81 PRT PL
  • L H Sporting Braga 0–3 xG 1.77–1.9 PRT PL
  • L A Moreirense 1–2 xG 1.0–0.77 PRT PL

All meetings · 3 matches since 2025

Santa Clara 12 draws0 Alverca

Goals 4–3 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 33%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Santa Clara 12 draws0 Alverca

Goals 4–3 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 33%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Santa Clara 12 draws0 Alverca

Goals 4–3 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 33%

Recent meetings

  • D Alverca 1–1 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Alverca 1–1 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Santa Clara 2–1 Alverca PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricSanta Clara all · 34Santa Clara at home · 17Alverca all · 34Alverca away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.061.351.150.76
W / D / L9 / 9 / 167 / 2 / 810 / 9 / 153 / 4 / 10
Goals for / match0.941.001.031.00
Goals against / match1.211.001.531.71
Clean sheets29%41%18%6%
Failed to score38%35%29%35%
Both teams scored41%35%56%59%
Over 2.535%35%50%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.061.111.160.93
xG against / match1.070.921.341.49
xG difference-0.010.18-0.18-0.56
Finishing vs xG-0.12-0.11-0.130.07
xPts / match1.351.491.291.06
Points vs xPts-0.29-0.13-0.14-0.30
Game state
Scored first35%41%35%24%
PPG when scoring first2.082.572.332.00
PPG when conceding first0.420.380.480.38
Came back from behind30%11%29%23%
Leads held69%88%71%60%
Minutes leading15%19%18%16%
Minutes level55%57%53%58%
Minutes trailing29%24%29%26%
First goal (min)40424940
First goal conceded (min)36374043
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%65%60%47%
Goals conceded in 2nd half49%53%54%55%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.350.350.24
Late goals against0.180.120.260.35
Style
Possession48%49%45%43%
Shots11.711.69.68.7
On target3.23.23.53.4
Shot conversion8%9%11%12%
Shots inside box56%54%64%62%
Big chances created1.92.12.11.6
Corners4.64.54.44.1
xG from set plays39%42%42%33%
Goals from headers19%29%26%24%
Pressure index10.110.88.47.5
Dominant minutes46.149.239.133.7
Pass accuracy79%77%80%79%
Fouls14.916.612.511.9
Cards3.033.712.382.88

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Santa Clara

0–15'116
16–30'17
31–45'18
46–60'38
61–75'46
76–90'126

Alverca

0–15'57
16–30'37
31–45'610
46–60'410
61–75'59
76–90'129

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Santa Clara · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.116
Early press (0-15, level)-0.176
Late push (76+, level)-0.302

Game state

When ahead-0.085
When level-0.186
10 min after conceding-0.223
10 min after scoring+0.366

Situations

At home+0.073
Away-0.263
4+ days rest-0.116

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.184
As favourite+0.322
Evenly matched-0.274

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.006
Conceded when ahead+0.225
Conceded late (76+)-0.255

Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.44

Alverca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)-0.066
Late push (76+, level)-0.382
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead-0.304
When level-0.126
When behind+0.164
10 min after conceding+0.176
10 min after scoring+0.035

Situations

At home-0.153
Away+0.123
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.033
v bottom-tier opponents+0.152
Evenly matched-0.292
As underdog-0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.414
Conceded late (76+)+0.126

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level +0.28

Santa Clara

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-39 26%1.330.890.670.971.01
3-4-37 21%1.290.861.141.251.06
4-2-3-16 18%1.331.00.831.080.96
3-4-2-13 9%0.01.02.331.261.82
5-4-13 9%0.00.331.330.391.04

Alverca

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 15

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-325 74%1.241.081.361.231.27
3-4-2-17 21%1.141.02.01.061.42
5-4-12 6%0.00.52.00.641.93

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.72Home 54% P 55%3.1Draw 30% P 28%6.0Away 16% P 17%

Double Chance

1.12Santa Clara or Draw 42% P 41%1.36Santa Clara or Alverca 35% P 36%2.05Draw or Alverca 23% P 23%

Draw No Bet

1.221 77%4.02 23%

Both Teams To Score

2.25Yes 41% P 42%1.57No 59% P 58%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.5Over 38% P 38%1.5Under 62% P 62%

Total Corners

5.5Under 6 16%2.56 - 8 35%2.879 - 11 30%6.512 - 14 13%17.0Over 14 5%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–55% · away 15–20% · 719 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home55%54%51%-2.4
Draw28%28%29%+1.7
Away17%19%20%+0.7

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 43%

Both teams to score · yes 40–42.5% · 664 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes42%41%41%-0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 37.5–40% · 1,310 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.538%39%39%+0.7

Sérgio José dos Santos Guelho

Career
25 matches · 3 seasons
Cards / match
4.8 (4.8 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match
27.6 · 5.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.08
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 25 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.685.66-1.2215
Fouls / match27.627.8-0.15
Fouls per card5.94.9+1.01 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.040.37-2.260
Time added7.77.7+0.1342
First card
28' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-08-31 40 191 15'11
2025-08-24 40 190 28'4
2025-08-09 20 300 18'5
2025-05-03 50 280 34'7
2025-04-18 · Santa Clara 40 290 5'7
2025-03-16 30 240 45'11
2025-02-22 30 230 25'5
2025-02-08 · Santa Clara 30 260 50'6
2025-01-19 60 300 29'11
2024-12-14 30 300 24'8