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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 6

Momentum

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Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

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Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
6

Venue

Stadium
Estádio D. Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
Capacity
30,029
Surface
grass
Attendance
25,114

Teams

Coaches
Luís Correia Pinto · Carlos Vicens
Position
10 · 7
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

António Emanuel Carvalho Nobre

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
24.4° (feels 24.0°)
Wind
4.9
Humidity
41%

Where to watch · 11

  • Brazil Disney+ Premium Brazil
  • France beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports MAX 4 · Free
  • Greece Cosmote Sport 9
  • International Bet365
  • Liechtenstein Blue Sport
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen
  • Switzerland Blue Sport
  • Ukraine Megogo
  • United States fuboTV

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Vitória Guimarães

LWLDW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 4.83–5.62 · xPts 6.33

  • W A Estrela Amadora 2–0 xG 1.49–0.49 PRT PL
  • D H Arouca 1–1 xG 0.54–0.51 PRT PL
  • L A Moreirense 0–2 xG 0.34–1.81 PRT PL
  • W H Estoril 3–2 xG 1.94–0.98 PRT PL
  • L A Porto 0–3 xG 0.53–1.83 PRT PL

Sporting Braga

WDWDL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 13 GA 6 · xG 6.19–2.75 · xPts 6.32

  • L H Gil Vicente 0–1 xG 1.74–1.07 PRT PL
  • D A Rio Ave 2–2 xG 2.21–1.24 PRT PL
  • W H Lincoln Red Imps 5–1 UEFA EL
  • D H AVS 2–2 xG 2.25–0.45 PRT PL
  • W A Lincoln Red Imps 4–0 UEFA EL

All meetings · 41 matches since 2005

Vitória Guimarães 910 draws22 Sporting Braga

Goals 33–60 · 2.27 per match · BTTS 39% · over 2.5 39%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Vitória Guimarães 33 draws4 Sporting Braga

Goals 12–12 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Vitória Guimarães 12 draws2 Sporting Braga

Goals 5–5 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • L Sporting Braga 1–0 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting Braga 3–2 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Vitória Guimarães 1–1 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Vitória Guimarães 0–0 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting Braga 0–2 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Vitória Guimarães 2–3 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Sporting Braga 1–1 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Vitória Guimarães 2–1 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting Braga 1–0 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Vitória Guimarães 2–1 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricVitória Guimarães all · 34Vitória Guimarães at home · 17Sporting Braga all · 34Sporting Braga away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.241.651.741.71
W / D / L12 / 6 / 168 / 4 / 516 / 11 / 78 / 5 / 4
Goals for / match1.151.531.881.76
Goals against / match1.501.121.061.06
Clean sheets29%29%35%35%
Failed to score35%24%9%6%
Both teams scored41%53%56%59%
Over 2.544%53%68%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.271.331.671.70
xG against / match1.291.211.061.31
xG difference-0.020.130.610.39
Finishing vs xG-0.120.200.210.06
xPts / match1.381.481.751.61
Points vs xPts-0.150.17-0.010.09
Game state
Scored first41%41%71%71%
PPG when scoring first2.142.432.212.17
PPG when conceding first0.561.110.600.60
Came back from behind20%44%53%43%
Leads held71%80%59%62%
Minutes leading16%20%39%36%
Minutes level55%60%44%49%
Minutes trailing29%20%17%15%
First goal (min)45452933
First goal conceded (min)37444041
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%65%42%43%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%58%50%56%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.180.410.41
Late goals against0.290.290.240.24
Style
Possession51%50%63%64%
Shots13.313.511.712.4
On target3.94.14.75.1
Shot conversion9%11%16%14%
Shots inside box56%58%67%68%
Big chances created1.61.62.72.6
Corners4.44.45.35.3
xG from set plays35%43%46%42%
Goals from headers16%15%14%14%
Pressure index12.914.021.322.8
Dominant minutes53.853.964.965.2
Pass accuracy82%82%87%86%
Fouls14.515.511.711.7
Cards2.412.762.442.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Vitória Guimarães

0–15'27
16–30'87
31–45'79
46–60'68
61–75'1010
76–90'610

Sporting Braga

0–15'113
16–30'157
31–45'118
46–60'74
61–75'66
76–90'148

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Vitória Guimarães · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.22) · stands out: at home +0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.226
Late push (76+, level)+0.163
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.154

Game state

When level+0.176
When behind+0.434
10 min after conceding+0.224
10 min after scoring+0.373

Situations

At home+0.493
Away-0.073
4+ days rest+0.226

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.312
v bottom-tier opponents+0.464
As favourite+0.464
As underdog-0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.246
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.27

Sporting Braga · 11 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.33) · stands out: when level +0.43

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.3311
Early press (0-15, level)+0.4011
Late push (76+, level)+0.085

Game state

When ahead+0.179
When level+0.4311
When behind+0.202
10 min after conceding+0.093
10 min after scoring+0.239

Situations

At home+0.335
Away+0.346
4+ days rest+0.3310

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.393
As favourite+0.3311

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.3011
Conceded when ahead-0.349
Conceded late (76+)-0.3410

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level -0.23

Vitória Guimarães

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-125 74%1.160.961.481.191.32
4-4-23 9%2.02.01.331.451.41
4-3-32 6%2.03.00.52.440.4
3-4-32 6%1.51.52.01.141.39
4-1-4-11 3%0.00.02.01.351.13

Sporting Braga

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-115 44%1.671.930.931.591.21
3-4-310 29%2.52.20.92.060.93
3-4-1-25 15%0.81.21.60.931.13
4-4-22 6%1.51.50.51.650.72
4-4-1-11 3%1.02.02.02.250.45

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.5Home 21% P 23%3.5Draw 27% P 28%1.83Away 52% P 50%

Double Chance

1.9Guimaraes or Draw 24% P 25%1.28Guimaraes or Braga 36% P 36%1.18Draw or Braga 39% P 39%

Draw No Bet

3.251 29%1.332 71%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50% P 53%1.9No 50% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 47%1.8Under 53% P 53%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 22.5–25% · away 47.5–50% · 385 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home23%24%22%-2.1
Draw28%27%28%+1.0
Away50%49%50%+1.1

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 50%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.547%46%45%-1.2

António Emanuel Carvalho Nobre

Career
133 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
5.92 (5.53 yellow · 0.21 red)
Fouls / match
28.8 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.35
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 73 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.185.66+0.6973
Fouls / match28.227.8+0.18
Fouls per card4.84.9-0.40 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.340.37-0.1246
Time added7.17.7-0.5721
First card
29' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 41% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.21

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-13 70 390 20'10
2025-08-29 30 300 74'6
2025-08-21 40 220 9'6
2025-08-14 20 201 86'7
2025-08-11 · Vitória Guimarães 40 270 15'8
2025-07-29 20 121 63'3
2025-05-03 · Sporting Braga 60 300 63'8
2025-04-13 40 181 43'2
2025-03-16 · Vitória Guimarães 30 320 12'5
2025-03-08 30 350 42'4