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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 7

Momentum

EstorilSporting CP
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
Capacity
8,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
4,882

Teams

Coaches
Ian Cathro · Rui Borges
Position
12 · 3
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
18.2° (feels 18.4°)
Wind
16.3
Humidity
89%

Where to watch · 24

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Estoril

LDLWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 6.5–9.78 · xPts 5.12

  • L A Gil Vicente 0–2 xG 0.58–2.68 PRT PL
  • W H AVS 3–1 xG 2.23–0.89 PRT PL
  • L H Santa Clara 0–1 xG 0.86–1.71 PRT PL
  • D A Tondela 2–2 xG 1.85–2.56 PRT PL
  • L A Vitória Guimarães 2–3 xG 0.98–1.94 PRT PL

Sporting CP

WLWWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 14 GA 5 · xG 13.07–4.15 · xPts 10.97

  • W H Moreirense 3–0 xG 4.25–0.17 PRT PL
  • W H Kairat 4–1 xG 3.47–0.82 UEFA CL
  • W A Famalicão 2–1 xG 1.19–0.8 PRT PL
  • L H Porto 1–2 xG 1.27–1.63 PRT PL
  • W A Nacional 4–1 xG 2.89–0.73 PRT PL

All meetings · 22 matches since 2012

Estoril 33 draws16 Sporting CP

Goals 15–42 · 2.59 per match · BTTS 36% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Estoril 00 draws10 Sporting CP

Goals 2–24 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Estoril 00 draws5 Sporting CP

Goals 1–11 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Sporting CP 3–0 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Estoril 0–1 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting CP 3–1 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Estoril 0–3 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Estoril 0–1 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting CP 5–1 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting CP 2–0 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Estoril 0–2 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting CP 3–0 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Estoril 0–1 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricEstoril all · 34Estoril at home · 17Sporting CP all · 34Sporting CP away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.151.352.412.41
W / D / L10 / 9 / 156 / 5 / 625 / 7 / 212 / 5 / 0
Goals for / match1.591.712.622.24
Goals against / match1.681.530.710.76
Clean sheets15%12%44%29%
Failed to score29%24%0%0%
Both teams scored59%71%56%71%
Over 2.562%59%71%59%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.201.222.091.90
xG against / match1.591.650.820.91
xG difference-0.39-0.431.270.99
Finishing vs xG0.390.480.530.34
xPts / match1.131.102.121.98
Points vs xPts0.020.250.300.44
Game state
Scored first38%29%76%71%
PPG when scoring first1.852.002.542.33
PPG when conceding first0.701.092.002.60
Came back from behind40%50%75%100%
Leads held59%67%81%75%
Minutes leading23%24%45%41%
Minutes level40%48%48%51%
Minutes trailing37%28%7%8%
First goal (min)34373937
First goal conceded (min)30345042
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half52%52%57%60%
Goals conceded in 2nd half46%42%67%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.290.650.59
Late goals against0.240.120.320.24
Style
Possession53%53%62%63%
Shots11.712.117.616.1
On target4.14.56.86.1
Shot conversion14%14%15%14%
Shots inside box64%62%68%65%
Big chances created2.22.13.63.3
Corners4.44.66.97.5
xG from set plays32%26%24%23%
Goals from headers13%17%16%17%
Pressure index11.212.124.622.6
Dominant minutes46.849.369.668.8
Pass accuracy81%81%88%88%
Fouls13.012.512.212.3
Cards2.532.712.182.82

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Estoril

0–15'615
16–30'87
31–45'129
46–60'118
61–75'810
76–90'98

Sporting CP

0–15'74
16–30'103
31–45'211
46–60'132
61–75'163
76–90'2211

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Estoril · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.136
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.164

Game state

When level+0.036
When behind-0.165
10 min after conceding-0.395
10 min after scoring+0.222

Situations

With ten men-0.212
At home+0.153
Away-0.233
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.242
v bottom-tier opponents-0.302
Evenly matched-0.113
As underdog-0.242

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.016
Conceded late (76+)-0.176

Behind vs level -0.19

Sporting CP · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.16) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.167
Early press (0-15, level)-0.037
Late push (76+, level)-0.192

Game state

When ahead+0.107
When level+0.317
10 min after conceding-0.495
10 min after scoring+0.187

Situations

At home+0.054
Away+0.323
4+ days rest+0.167

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.013
v bottom-tier opponents+0.363
As favourite+0.167

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.157
Conceded when ahead-0.237
Conceded late (76+)-0.196

Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.80

Estoril

Current: winless 14 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-37 21%1.142.142.141.161.44
4-3-36 18%1.331.331.171.221.36
3-4-2-15 15%0.80.81.20.841.46
4-3-1-25 15%0.61.42.61.122.41
4-4-24 12%1.752.751.51.671.61

Sporting CP

Current: unbeaten 12 · winless 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-132 94%2.382.530.722.020.83
4-4-22 6%3.04.00.53.230.69

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

11.0Home 8% P 9%6.25Draw 15% P 14%1.22Away 77% P 77%

Double Chance

4.0Estoril or Draw 12% P 12%1.12Estoril or Sporting 43% P 43%1.05Draw or Sporting 45% P 45%

Draw No Bet

9.01 11%1.072 89%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 50%1.8No 52% P 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.44Over 65% P 65%2.7Under 35% P 35%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 7.5–10% · away 75–77.5% · 163 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home9%9%7%-1.3
Draw14%15%11%-4.1
Away77%76%82%+5.4

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 63%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes50%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.565%66%69%+3.2

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Career
221 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
5.43 (5.18 yellow · 0.11 red)
Fouls / match
29.9 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 90 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.895.66+0.3248
Fouls / match28.827.8+0.51
Fouls per card5.04.9-0.15 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.37+0.3764
Time added7.77.7+0.1342
First card
32' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 41% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.39

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-24 40 260 42'10
2025-09-13 60 201 30'13
2025-08-10 60 350 61'8
2025-08-07 10 80 72'12
2025-07-09 30 120 17'8
2025-05-10 32 7
2025-04-18 50 230 50'8
2025-04-07 · Sporting CP 81 320 14'8
2025-03-08 61 300 6'8
2025-02-23 60 360 21'7