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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 7

Momentum

AlvercaVSC
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
Complexo Desportivo do FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo
Capacity
7,705
Surface
grass
Attendance
2,877

Teams

Coaches
Custodio · Luís Correia Pinto
Position
16 · 8
Formation
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Bruno José Ribeiro Pires Costa

Weather

Conditions
heavy intensity rain
Temperature
18.8° (feels 19.2°)
Wind
10.1
Humidity
95%

Where to watch · 3

  • International Bet365
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Alverca

LDLWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 9 · xG 5.11–9.75 · xPts 4.17

  • L A Santa Clara 1–2 xG 0.31–1.67 PRT PL
  • W H Tondela 1–0 xG 1.16–2.36 PRT PL
  • L H Benfica 1–2 xG 0.97–1.0 PRT PL
  • D A Estrela Amadora 2–2 xG 0.89–2.81 PRT PL
  • L H Sporting Braga 0–3 xG 1.77–1.9 PRT PL

Vitória Guimarães

WLDWD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 5.64–5.24 · xPts 7.11

  • D H Sporting Braga 1–1 xG 1.33–1.46 PRT PL
  • W A Estrela Amadora 2–0 xG 1.49–0.49 PRT PL
  • D H Arouca 1–1 xG 0.54–0.51 PRT PL
  • L A Moreirense 0–2 xG 0.34–1.81 PRT PL
  • W H Estoril 3–2 xG 1.94–0.98 PRT PL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Alverca 11 draws0 Vitória Guimarães

Goals 3–1 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Alverca 11 draws0 Vitória Guimarães

Goals 3–1 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Alverca 11 draws0 Vitória Guimarães

Goals 3–1 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

  • D Vitória Guimarães 1–1 Alverca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Alverca 2–0 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricAlverca all · 34Alverca at home · 17Vitória Guimarães all · 34Vitória Guimarães away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.151.531.240.82
W / D / L10 / 9 / 157 / 5 / 512 / 6 / 164 / 2 / 11
Goals for / match1.031.061.150.76
Goals against / match1.531.351.501.88
Clean sheets18%29%29%29%
Failed to score29%24%35%47%
Both teams scored56%53%41%29%
Over 2.550%47%44%35%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.161.391.271.20
xG against / match1.341.191.291.37
xG difference-0.180.20-0.02-0.16
Finishing vs xG-0.13-0.33-0.12-0.44
xPts / match1.291.511.381.29
Points vs xPts-0.140.02-0.15-0.46
Game state
Scored first35%47%41%41%
PPG when scoring first2.332.502.141.86
PPG when conceding first0.480.630.560.00
Came back from behind29%38%20%0%
Leads held71%78%71%57%
Minutes leading18%20%16%13%
Minutes level53%48%55%50%
Minutes trailing29%31%29%38%
First goal (min)49564545
First goal conceded (min)40353730
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%72%56%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half54%52%55%53%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.470.180.18
Late goals against0.260.180.290.29
Style
Possession45%47%51%52%
Shots9.610.613.313.2
On target3.53.63.93.8
Shot conversion11%10%9%6%
Shots inside box64%65%56%53%
Big chances created2.12.51.61.6
Corners4.44.64.44.5
xG from set plays42%48%35%28%
Goals from headers26%28%16%17%
Pressure index8.49.312.911.7
Dominant minutes39.144.453.853.6
Pass accuracy80%81%82%82%
Fouls12.513.014.513.5
Cards2.381.882.412.06

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Alverca

0–15'57
16–30'37
31–45'610
46–60'410
61–75'59
76–90'129

Vitória Guimarães

0–15'27
16–30'87
31–45'79
46–60'68
61–75'1010
76–90'610

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Alverca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)-0.066
Late push (76+, level)-0.382
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead-0.304
When level-0.126
When behind+0.164
10 min after conceding+0.176
10 min after scoring+0.035

Situations

At home-0.153
Away+0.123
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.033
v bottom-tier opponents+0.152
Evenly matched-0.292
As underdog-0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.414
Conceded late (76+)+0.126

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level +0.28

Vitória Guimarães · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.22) · stands out: at home +0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.226
Late push (76+, level)+0.163
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.154

Game state

When level+0.176
When behind+0.434
10 min after conceding+0.224
10 min after scoring+0.373

Situations

At home+0.493
Away-0.073
4+ days rest+0.226

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.312
v bottom-tier opponents+0.464
As favourite+0.464
As underdog-0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.246
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.27

Alverca

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 15

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-325 74%1.241.081.361.231.27
3-4-2-17 21%1.141.02.01.061.42
5-4-12 6%0.00.52.00.641.93

Vitória Guimarães

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-125 74%1.160.961.481.191.32
4-4-23 9%2.02.01.331.451.41
4-3-32 6%2.03.00.52.440.4
3-4-32 6%1.51.52.01.141.39
4-1-4-11 3%0.00.02.01.351.13

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.7Home 35% P 35%3.0Draw 31% P 33%2.8Away 34% P 32%

Double Chance

1.4Alverca or Draw 33% P 34%1.36Alverca or Guimaraes 34% P 34%1.44Draw or Guimaraes 32% P 33%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

2.05Yes 45% P 45%1.7No 55% P 55%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.6Over 36% P 37%1.47Under 64% P 63%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 30–35% · away 30–35% · 424 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home35%34%36%+2.0
Draw33%32%29%-3.3
Away32%34%35%+1.3

In those fixtures: 2.2 goals a game · BTTS 45% · over 2.5 38%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes45%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 35–37.5% · 819 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.537%36%41%+4.2

Bruno José Ribeiro Pires Costa

Career
45 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.73 (4.53 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
27.4 · 5.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.4
Cards to home side
41%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 46 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.435.66-1.539
Fouls / match27.527.8-0.17
Fouls per card6.24.9+1.41 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.390.37+0.2352
Time added8.47.7+0.9491
First card
31' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
40% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.26

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-20 20 281 29'8
2025-08-23 51 250 26'8
2025-05-16 80 290 17'5
2025-05-10 50 230 18'12
2025-04-13 81 390 28'2
2025-03-29 40 210 61'8
2025-03-09 30 260 52'6
2025-02-22 30 240 7'6
2025-02-08 10 241 45'11
2024-12-28 40 311 16'7