Arouca v Porto · KickoffDNA

Liga Portugal · Matchweek 7

AroucaArouca

0–4

PortoPorto

Momentum

– AroucaPorto –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Stats

Loading statistics…

Season context

Arouca	at home	Stat	league	away	Porto
50.3 #8	–	Ball possession	50.0	–	55.0 #4
10.7 #13	–	Shots total	12.1	–	14.5 #3
3.6 #11	–	Shots on target	4.1	–	5.3 #3
3.7 #15	–	Corners	4.7	–	5.7 #3
13.8 #10	–	Fouls	13.7	–	13.9 #8
1.4 #9	–	Offsides	1.5	–	2.1 #1
14.2 #17	–	Tackles	15.6	–	14.9 #12
85.4 #11	–	Attacks	90.3	–	104.3 #4
33.6 #14	–	Dangerous attacks	42.1	–	51.4 #4
413.8 #7	–	Passes	405.0	–	449.7 #4
2.8 #5	–	Yellowcards	2.6	–	2.3 #14
0.2 #1	–	Redcards	0.1	–	0.0 #12
1.0 #6	–	Assists	0.9	–	1.3 #3
– #3	–	Btts	48.0	–	– #16
– #12	–	Cleansheet	29.2	–	– #1
– #16	–	Draw	27.1	–	– #18
1.0 #15	–	Expected goals	1.3	–	1.9 #3
0.3 #3	–	Expected goals difference	0.0	–	0.1 #6
– #12	–	Failed to score	29.2	–	– #17
1.4 #6	1.6	Goals	1.3	1.9	1.9 #3
1.9 #2	1.8	Goals conceded	1.3	0.7	0.5 #18
0.2 #6	–	Injury time goals	0.2	–	0.1 #15
8.5 #12	–	Interceptions	8.6	–	9.2 #6
– #4	–	Lost	36.4	–	– #16
0.0 #16	–	Penalties scored	0.2	–	0.2 #3
6.7 #16	–	Rating	6.8	–	6.9 #3
2.4 #16	–	Shots blocked	3.2	–	4.0 #3
6.2 #13	–	Shots insidebox	7.4	–	9.6 #3
4.7 #10	–	Shots off target	4.8	–	5.2 #7
4.5 #10	–	Shots outsidebox	4.6	–	4.9 #8
– #7	–	Win	36.4	–	– #1

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.

League this season · 2025/2026

Played: 306 of 306
Goals / match: 2.68 (home 1.5 · away 1.19)
Home / draw / away: 41% · 27% · 32%
BTTS · over 2.5: 48% · 54%
Cards / match: 5.01 (reds 0.13)

Lineups

Waiting for lineups…

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Arouca · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Naïs Djouahra 7 · Left Wing

Starts

Rating 6.83 (56th pct) · G+A 6 + 3 (19% of team goals) · 90% of minutes

Tiago Esgaio 28 · Right Back

Starts

Rating 6.87 (72th pct) · G+A 3 + 5 (17% of team goals) · 80% of minutes

Team 1.41 ppg with (27) · 0.57 without (7)

Taichi Fukui 8 · Central Midfield

Starts

Rating 6.86 (62th pct) · G+A 4 + 3 (15% of team goals) · 83% of minutes

Team 1.28 ppg with (29) · 1.0 without (5)

All key players

Porto · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Victor Froholdt 8 · Central Midfield

Starts

Rating 6.99 (82th pct) · G+A 6 + 7 (20% of team goals) · 94% of minutes

Samu Aghehowa 9 · Centre Forward

Starts

Rating 7.11 (93th pct) · G+A 13 + 1 (21% of team goals) · 46% of minutes

Team 2.63 ppg with (19) · 2.53 without (15)

Alberto Costa 20 · Right Back

On the bench

Rating 7.03 (89th pct) · G+A 1 + 8 (14% of team goals) · 73% of minutes

Team 2.56 ppg with (25) · 2.67 without (9)

All key players

Absences

Arouca

suspension José Fontán #6 key player defender · Indirect Card Suspension · until 2025-09-30

Porto

injury Nehuén Pérez #14 key player defender · Unknown Injury · 38 missed · until 2026-04-01
suspension Tomás Pérez midfielder · Called Up To National Team · 3 missed · until 2025-10-23

Competition

Stage: Regular Season
Round: 7

Venue

Stadium: Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
Capacity: 5,600
Surface: grass
Attendance: 4,192

Teams

Coaches: Vasco Freire De Seabra · Francesco Farioli
Position: 8 · 1
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Fabio Verssimo

Weather

Conditions: sky is clear
Temperature: 23.3° (feels 22.8°)
Wind: 2.8
Humidity: 41%

Where to watch · 14

Austria Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Cyprus Cytavision on the Go · Cytavision Sports 7
France beIN SPORTS CONNECT · Free
Germany Sportdigital FUSSBALL
International Bet365
Italy DAZN Italia
Liechtenstein Blue Sport
Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
Switzerland Blue Sport · Sportdigital FUSSBALL
United States fuboTV

2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	34	28	4	2	66	18	48	88	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	34	25	7	2	89	24	65	82	DDWWW
3	Benfica	34	23	11	0	74	25	49	80	WWDDW
4	Sporting Braga	34	16	11	7	64	36	28	59	WLDDD
5	Famalicão	34	15	11	8	42	29	13	56	DWDDW
6	Gil Vicente	34	13	11	10	47	38	9	50	LWDLL
7	Moreirense	34	12	7	15	37	49	-12	43	WLWLD
8	Arouca	34	12	6	16	47	64	-17	42	WLDWW
9	Vitória Guimarães	34	12	6	16	39	51	-12	42	WWLLL
10	Estoril	34	10	9	15	54	57	-3	39	LLDDL
11	Alverca	34	10	9	15	35	52	-17	39	LWLDL
12	Rio Ave	34	8	12	14	35	57	-22	36	DLDLD
13	Santa Clara	34	9	9	16	32	41	-9	36	DWDWL
14	Nacional	34	9	7	18	37	45	-8	34	WWLLW
15	Estrela Amadora	34	6	12	16	38	56	-18	30	LLLDD
16	Casa Pia	34	6	12	16	31	57	-26	30	LLLWD
17	Tondela	34	6	10	18	27	55	-28	28	LDWWL
18	AVS	34	3	12	19	27	67	-40	21	DDWWD

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	17	14	3	0	33	6	27	45	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	17	13	2	2	51	11	40	41	DDWWW
3	Benfica	17	11	6	0	41	13	28	39	WWDDW
4	Famalicão	17	9	4	4	27	12	15	31	DWDDW
5	Sporting Braga	17	8	6	3	34	18	16	30	WLDDD
6	Gil Vicente	17	9	3	5	28	17	11	30	LWDLL
7	Vitória Guimarães	17	8	4	5	26	19	7	28	WWLLL
8	Moreirense	17	8	3	6	20	21	-1	27	WLWLD
9	Alverca	17	7	5	5	18	23	-5	26	LWLDL
10	Arouca	17	7	4	6	27	30	-3	25	WLDWW
11	Estoril	17	6	5	6	29	26	3	23	LLDDL
12	Santa Clara	17	7	2	8	17	17	0	23	DWDWL
13	Nacional	17	6	2	9	23	23	0	20	WWLLW
14	Estrela Amadora	17	4	6	7	21	24	-3	18	LLLDD
15	Casa Pia	17	2	9	6	18	26	-8	15	LLLWD
16	Rio Ave	17	3	6	8	17	29	-12	15	DLDLD
17	Tondela	17	2	7	8	13	21	-8	13	LDWWL
18	AVS	17	2	6	9	15	27	-12	12	DDWWD

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	17	14	1	2	33	12	21	43	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	17	12	5	0	38	13	25	41	DDWWW
3	Benfica	17	12	5	0	33	12	21	41	WWDDW
4	Sporting Braga	17	8	5	4	30	18	12	29	WLDDD
5	Famalicão	17	6	7	4	15	17	-2	25	DWDDW
6	Rio Ave	17	5	6	6	18	28	-10	21	DLDLD
7	Gil Vicente	17	4	8	5	19	21	-2	20	LWDLL
8	Arouca	17	5	2	10	20	34	-14	17	WLDWW
9	Estoril	17	4	4	9	25	31	-6	16	LLDDL
10	Moreirense	17	4	4	9	17	28	-11	16	WLWLD
11	Casa Pia	17	4	3	10	13	31	-18	15	LLLWD
12	Tondela	17	4	3	10	14	34	-20	15	LDWWL
13	Nacional	17	3	5	9	14	22	-8	14	WWLLW
14	Vitória Guimarães	17	4	2	11	13	32	-19	14	WWLLL
15	Santa Clara	17	2	7	8	15	24	-9	13	DWDWL
16	Alverca	17	3	4	10	17	29	-12	13	LWLDL
17	Estrela Amadora	17	2	6	9	17	32	-15	12	LLLDD
18	AVS	17	1	6	10	12	40	-28	9	DDWWD

UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Arouca

LDDLW 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 13 · xG 3.33–8.47 · xPts 3.87

W A Nacional 2–1 xG 0.86–2.83 PRT PL
L H Casa Pia 0–2 xG 0.8–1.12 PRT PL
D A Vitória Guimarães 1–1 xG 0.51–0.54 PRT PL
D H Rio Ave 3–3 xG 0.94–1.47 PRT PL
L A Sporting CP 0–6 xG 0.22–2.51 PRT PL

Porto

WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 1 · xG 9.46–3.16 · xPts 10.91

W A Salzburg 1–0 xG 1.26–1.2 UEFA EL
W A Rio Ave 3–0 xG 2.69–0.32 PRT PL
W H Nacional 1–0 xG 1.98–0.12 PRT PL
W A Sporting CP 2–1 xG 1.63–1.27 PRT PL
W H Casa Pia 4–0 xG 1.91–0.26 PRT PL

All meetings · 19 matches since 2013

Arouca 21 draws16 Porto

Goals 11–53 · 3.37 per match · BTTS 42% · over 2.5 68%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Arouca 11 draws8 Porto

Goals 6–26 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Arouca 00 draws5 Porto

Goals 1–15 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

L Porto 2–0 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
L Porto 3–1 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
L Arouca 0–4 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
L Arouca 0–2 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
L Porto 4–0 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
W Arouca 3–2 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
D Porto 1–1 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
L Arouca 0–1 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
L Porto 5–1 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
L Arouca 0–2 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season

Metric	Arouca all · 34	Arouca at home · 17	Porto all · 34	Porto away · 17
Results
Matches	34	17	34	17
Points per game	1.24	1.47	2.59	2.53
W / D / L	12 / 6 / 16	7 / 4 / 6	28 / 4 / 2	14 / 1 / 2
Goals for / match	1.38	1.59	1.94	1.94
Goals against / match	1.88	1.76	0.53	0.71
Clean sheets	21%	18%	62%	53%
Failed to score	26%	24%	3%	0%
Both teams scored	56%	59%	38%	47%
Over 2.5	68%	71%	56%	65%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.04	1.20	1.86	1.87
xG against / match	1.51	1.49	0.71	0.83
xG difference	-0.48	-0.29	1.16	1.04
Finishing vs xG	0.34	0.38	0.08	0.07
xPts / match	1.14	1.21	2.07	2.03
Points vs xPts	0.09	0.26	0.52	0.50
Game state
Scored first	50%	59%	85%	76%
PPG when scoring first	1.82	1.90	2.79	2.85
PPG when conceding first	0.63	0.86	1.50	1.50
Came back from behind	24%	33%	50%	50%
Leads held	60%	58%	90%	93%
Minutes leading	20%	30%	51%	48%
Minutes level	50%	45%	43%	40%
Minutes trailing	30%	25%	6%	12%
First goal (min)	37	30	36	39
First goal conceded (min)	35	37	56	51
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	62%	63%	56%	61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	50%	53%	78%	67%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.18	0.24	0.35	0.24
Late goals against	0.41	0.41	0.18	0.24
Style
Possession	50%	50%	55%	54%
Shots	10.7	10.8	14.5	14.4
On target	3.6	4.2	5.3	5.2
Shot conversion	13%	15%	13%	14%
Shots inside box	58%	63%	66%	65%
Big chances created	2.1	2.6	2.9	2.8
Corners	3.7	4.1	5.6	5.6
xG from set plays	24%	20%	31%	29%
Goals from headers	34%	30%	14%	22%
Pressure index	10.7	10.4	19.9	19.0
Dominant minutes	43.4	42.8	64.8	64.6
Pass accuracy	82%	81%	84%	84%
Fouls	13.9	14.4	13.9	14.2
Cards	3.32	4.00	2.53	2.94

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Arouca

0–15'910

16–30'28

31–45'714

46–60'119

61–75'129

76–90'614

Porto

0–15'91

16–30'82

31–45'121

46–60'135

61–75'123

76–90'126

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Arouca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046

Early press (0-15, level)-0.146

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.092

Game state

When ahead-0.193

When level-0.036

When behind+0.093

10 min after conceding-0.073

10 min after scoring+0.534

Situations

At home+0.203

Away-0.233

4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222

As favourite+0.292

Evenly matched+0.162

As underdog-0.482

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.196

Conceded when ahead+0.433

Conceded late (76+)-0.095

Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level +0.12

Porto · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.40) · stands out: when level +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.407

Early press (0-15, level)+0.717

Game state

When ahead+0.146

When level+0.807

When behind+0.193

10 min after conceding+0.203

10 min after scoring+0.616

Situations

At home+0.404

Away+0.393

4+ days rest+0.407

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.605

As favourite+0.566

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.077

Conceded when ahead+0.126

Conceded late (76+)+0.026

Ahead vs level -0.67 · Behind vs level -0.61

Arouca

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	32 94%	1.31	1.44	1.88	1.04	1.52
5-4-1	1 3%	0.0	0.0	1.0	1.08	0.66
4-3-3	1 3%	0.0	1.0	3.0	0.85	2.32

Porto

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-3-3	34 100%	2.59	1.94	0.53	1.86	0.71

Metric	Arouca all · 10	Arouca at home · 10	Porto all · 10	Porto away · 10
Results
Matches	10	10	10	10
Points per game	1.70	2.20	2.40	2.20
W / D / L	5 / 2 / 3	7 / 1 / 2	8 / 0 / 2	7 / 1 / 2
Goals for / match	1.70	2.30	1.80	2.10
Goals against / match	1.10	1.20	0.70	1.10
Clean sheets	30%	30%	60%	20%
Failed to score	20%	0%	10%	10%
Both teams scored	60%	70%	30%	70%
Over 2.5	70%	90%	40%	80%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.11	1.54	1.96	1.84
xG against / match	1.35	1.34	1.09	1.20
xG difference	-0.24	0.21	0.87	0.64
Finishing vs xG	0.59	0.76	-0.16	0.26
xPts / match	1.27	1.51	1.86	1.76
Points vs xPts	0.42	0.69	0.54	0.44
Game state
Scored first	50%	60%	60%	60%
PPG when scoring first	2.60	2.17	3.00	2.67
PPG when conceding first	0.75	2.25	1.50	1.50
Came back from behind	25%	60%	50%	50%
Leads held	83%	78%	100%	88%
Minutes leading	26%	39%	45%	56%
Minutes level	56%	46%	42%	27%
Minutes trailing	19%	15%	14%	17%
First goal (min)	38	30	37	27
First goal conceded (min)	38	29	33	50
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	65%	56%	50%	38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	54%	33%	57%	64%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.50	0.40	0.30	0.30
Late goals against	0.20	0.20	0.20	0.40
Style
Possession	53%	52%	55%	48%
Shots	11.3	12.1	14.4	13.7
On target	4.0	5.3	5.1	4.3
Shot conversion	15%	19%	12%	15%
Shots inside box	56%	65%	69%	61%
Big chances created	2.1	3.4	3.1	2.9
Corners	3.3	3.6	6.7	4.9
xG from set plays	16%	18%	32%	27%
Goals from headers	35%	39%	29%	20%
Pressure index	10.4	10.1	16.3	13.5
Dominant minutes	46.5	47.5	56.6	51.5
Pass accuracy	85%	83%	84%	80%
Fouls	11.3	13.7	12.7	13.0
Cards	3.10	3.80	1.00	3.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Arouca

0–15'12

16–30'32

31–45'21

46–60'40

61–75'24

76–90'52

Porto

0–15'30

16–30'12

31–45'51

46–60'32

61–75'30

76–90'32

Arouca

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	10 100%	1.7	1.7	1.1	1.11	1.35

Porto

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-3-3	10 100%	2.4	1.8	0.7	1.96	1.09

Metric	Arouca all · 35	Arouca at home · 17	Porto all · 48	Porto away · 24
Results
Matches	35	17	48	24
Points per game	1.34	1.59	2.40	2.25
W / D / L	14 / 5 / 16	8 / 3 / 6	36 / 7 / 5	17 / 3 / 4
Goals for / match	1.37	1.65	1.81	1.79
Goals against / match	1.60	1.59	0.65	0.75
Clean sheets	29%	24%	50%	46%
Failed to score	26%	18%	8%	8%
Both teams scored	51%	59%	44%	46%
Over 2.5	66%	76%	50%	54%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.07	1.28	1.85	1.77
xG against / match	1.54	1.47	0.86	0.94
xG difference	-0.47	-0.19	0.99	0.83
Finishing vs xG	0.30	0.37	-0.04	0.02
xPts / match	1.16	1.28	1.97	1.90
Points vs xPts	0.18	0.31	0.43	0.35
Game state
Scored first	49%	53%	73%	62%
PPG when scoring first	1.94	2.00	2.77	2.87
PPG when conceding first	0.75	1.13	1.42	1.22
Came back from behind	20%	33%	58%	56%
Leads held	67%	67%	90%	94%
Minutes leading	21%	29%	45%	42%
Minutes level	52%	46%	43%	38%
Minutes trailing	27%	24%	12%	20%
First goal (min)	39	34	36	41
First goal conceded (min)	34	32	43	38
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	60%	57%	52%	56%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	46%	41%	58%	50%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.17	0.24	0.35	0.33
Late goals against	0.34	0.29	0.19	0.21
Style
Possession	50%	49%	54%	55%
Shots	10.8	11.4	14.2	14.1
On target	3.6	4.5	5.1	5.0
Shot conversion	13%	14%	13%	13%
Shots inside box	58%	62%	66%	65%
Big chances created	2.2	2.7	2.8	2.6
Corners	3.6	3.9	5.7	5.8
xG from set plays	22%	17%	32%	33%
Goals from headers	35%	36%	14%	20%
Pressure index	10.7	10.1	20.0	18.9
Dominant minutes	42.9	41.5	61.4	61.8
Pass accuracy	82%	81%	84%	83%
Fouls	13.1	13.7	13.0	13.0
Cards	3.34	4.06	2.19	2.63

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Arouca

0–15'89

16–30'39

31–45'812

46–60'137

61–75'107

76–90'612

Porto

0–15'145

16–30'114

31–45'174

46–60'147

61–75'142

76–90'179

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Arouca · 35 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.47

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.0235

Early press (0-15, level)-0.0334

Late push (76+, level)-0.4712

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0213

Game state

When ahead-0.2021

When level-0.0134

When behind+0.1020

10 min after conceding-0.1025

10 min after scoring+0.1526

Situations

With ten men-0.205

Against ten men+0.208

At home-0.1017

Away+0.0418

4+ days rest-0.0235

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.348

v mid-tier opponents-0.199

v bottom-tier opponents+0.0710

As favourite-0.074

Evenly matched+0.2214

As underdog-0.2317

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.1535

Conceded when ahead+0.2521

Conceded late (76+)+0.1029

Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level +0.11

Porto · 48 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.90

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.4748

Early press (0-15, level)+0.5847

Late push (76+, level)+0.3814

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.076

Game state

When ahead+0.4439

When level+0.4947

When behind+0.5012

10 min after conceding+0.2622

10 min after scoring+0.9043

Situations

With ten men+0.364

Against ten men+0.616

At home+0.4124

Away+0.5424

3 days rest or fewer+0.249

4+ days rest+0.5239

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.1711

v mid-tier opponents+0.517

v bottom-tier opponents+0.7116

As favourite+0.6040

Evenly matched-0.065

As underdog-0.323

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.1348

Conceded when ahead-0.0539

Conceded late (76+)-0.2743

Congested vs rested -0.29 · Ahead vs level -0.05 · Behind vs level +0.01

Arouca

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	33 94%	1.42	1.42	1.58	1.08	1.54
4-3-3	1 3%	0.0	1.0	3.0	0.85	2.32
5-4-1	1 3%	0.0	0.0	1.0	1.08	0.66

Porto

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-3-3	48 100%	2.4	1.81	0.65	1.85	0.86

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

10.0Home 9% P 8%6.25Draw 15% P 15%1.25Away 75% P 77%

Double Chance

3.75FC Arouca or Draw 13% P 11%1.12FC Arouca or FC Porto 42% P 42%1.06Draw or FC Porto 45% P 46%

Draw No Bet

9.01 11%1.072 89%

Both Teams To Score

2.1Yes 44% P 46%1.66No 56% P 54%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.53Over 61% P 61%2.4Under 39% P 39%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 7.5–10% · away 75–77.5% · 163 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	8%	9%	7%	-1.3
Draw	15%	15%	11%	-4.1
Away	77%	76%	82%	+5.4

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 63%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Yes	46%	46%	47%	+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,029 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	61%	61%	63%	+1.6

Fabio Verssimo

Career: 18 matches · 2 seasons
Cards / match: 6.17 (6.11 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match: 26.9 · 4.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.5
Cards to home side: 53%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 20 matches)

Metric	Referee	League	vs peers	pct
Cards / match	5.7	5.66	+0.08	42
Fouls / match	25.6	27.8	-1.15
Fouls per card	4.5	4.9	-0.71 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match	0.4	0.37	+0.29	58
Time added	6.5	7.7	-1.27	9

First card: 24' on average
Card timing: 22% in first 30' · 25% in last 15'
Cards to home side: 51% (league 48%)
VAR events / match: 1.0

Recent matches

Date	Y	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2024-12-09 · Arouca	6	31	0	6'	9
2024-11-04	11	29	1	24'	7
2024-10-26	2	17	0	22'	10

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2025/2026

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Arouca · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Porto · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Absences

Arouca

Porto

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 14

Arouca

Porto

All meetings · 19 matches since 2013

Last 10 · 10 matches

Last 5 · 5 matches

Recent meetings

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Arouca

Porto

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Arouca · 6 matches

Porto · 7 matches

Arouca

Porto

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Arouca

Porto

Arouca

Porto

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Arouca

Porto

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Arouca · 35 matches

Porto · 48 matches

Arouca

Porto

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 7.5–10% · away 75–77.5% · 163 fixtures

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,029 fixtures

Fabio Verssimo

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 20 matches)

Recent matches