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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 7

Momentum

MoreirenseCasa Pia
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos
Capacity
6,150
Surface
grass
Attendance
1,821

Teams

Coaches
Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa · João Jorge Gândara Mendes Pereira
Position
5 · 11
Formation
3-4-3 · 3-4-3

Referee

José Armando Torres Bessa

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
18.0° (feels 18.1°)
Wind
13.8
Humidity
87%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Moreirense

WWLWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 5.5–7.57 · xPts 6.83

  • L A Sporting CP 0–3 xG 0.17–4.25 PRT PL
  • W H Rio Ave 3–1 xG 1.94–1.26 PRT PL
  • L A Gil Vicente 0–2 xG 0.77–1.05 PRT PL
  • W H Vitória Guimarães 2–0 xG 1.81–0.34 PRT PL
  • W A Santa Clara 1–0 xG 0.81–0.67 PRT PL

Casa Pia

WLLWD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 4.5–6.76 · xPts 5.35

  • D H Famalicão 1–1 xG 1.13–1.93 PRT PL
  • W A Arouca 2–0 xG 1.12–0.8 PRT PL
  • L H Nacional 0–2 xG 0.66–0.88 PRT PL
  • L A Porto 0–4 xG 0.26–1.91 PRT PL
  • W A AVS 2–0 xG 1.33–1.25 PRT PL

All meetings · 7 matches since 2024

Moreirense 41 draws2 Casa Pia

Goals 10–11 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 71% · over 2.5 57%

Last 10 · 7 matches

Moreirense 41 draws2 Casa Pia

Goals 10–11 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 71% · over 2.5 57%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Moreirense 31 draws1 Casa Pia

Goals 8–7 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Casa Pia 0–1 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Casa Pia 1–1 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Moreirense 2–1 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Moreirense 3–2 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Casa Pia 3–1 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Casa Pia 0–1 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Moreirense 1–4 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricMoreirense all · 34Moreirense at home · 17Casa Pia all · 34Casa Pia away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.261.590.880.88
W / D / L12 / 7 / 158 / 3 / 66 / 12 / 164 / 3 / 10
Goals for / match1.091.180.910.76
Goals against / match1.441.241.681.82
Clean sheets26%29%21%29%
Failed to score32%29%44%47%
Both teams scored47%47%47%35%
Over 2.550%53%44%59%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.910.940.940.91
xG against / match1.541.341.561.63
xG difference-0.63-0.41-0.62-0.72
Finishing vs xG0.180.24-0.03-0.14
xPts / match1.021.101.000.94
Points vs xPts0.250.49-0.12-0.06
Game state
Scored first44%47%29%29%
PPG when scoring first2.202.381.501.80
PPG when conceding first0.470.880.550.40
Came back from behind25%33%30%17%
Leads held71%80%46%67%
Minutes leading22%18%17%14%
Minutes level52%60%53%46%
Minutes trailing26%21%30%40%
First goal (min)35434244
First goal conceded (min)40423928
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%70%48%62%
Goals conceded in 2nd half61%57%56%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.240.180.18
Late goals against0.350.240.320.29
Style
Possession50%50%41%41%
Shots8.99.48.99.4
On target3.23.12.93.0
Shot conversion12%13%10%8%
Shots inside box59%58%62%62%
Big chances created1.71.41.71.6
Corners3.64.04.04.5
xG from set plays27%30%38%34%
Goals from headers24%30%19%15%
Pressure index10.610.27.15.3
Dominant minutes42.947.335.629.6
Pass accuracy83%83%72%74%
Fouls13.913.815.915.0
Cards2.712.593.002.76

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Moreirense

0–15'85
16–30'47
31–45'37
46–60'710
61–75'98
76–90'612

Casa Pia

0–15'57
16–30'33
31–45'815
46–60'49
61–75'512
76–90'611

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Moreirense · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.31) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.316
Early press (0-15, level)-0.526
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.282

Game state

When ahead-0.163
When level-0.416
When behind-0.334
10 min after conceding-0.435
10 min after scoring+0.184

Situations

At home-0.293
Away-0.333
4+ days rest-0.316

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.443
v bottom-tier opponents-0.242
Evenly matched-0.212
As underdog-0.384

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.796
Conceded when ahead+0.703
Conceded late (76+)+0.344

Ahead vs level +0.25 · Behind vs level +0.09

Casa Pia · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.156
Early press (0-15, level)-0.136
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.654

Game state

When level-0.046
When behind+0.335
10 min after conceding+0.075

Situations

At home+0.423
Away-0.053
4+ days rest+0.156

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.122
v mid-tier opponents-0.102
As underdog+0.005

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.146
Conceded late (76+)-0.265

Ahead vs level +2.48 · Behind vs level +0.37

Moreirense

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%1.611.171.220.91.53
4-3-38 24%0.881.131.631.021.45
4-4-24 12%1.01.01.50.751.72
3-4-32 6%1.51.51.51.192.06
4-1-4-11 3%0.00.04.00.660.96

Casa Pia

Current: winless 7 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-323 68%1.041.091.611.021.49
3-4-2-14 12%0.250.252.00.691.55
5-4-13 9%0.330.672.330.72.23
3-5-22 6%0.00.52.00.851.51
4-1-4-11 3%3.02.01.01.621.64

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.05Home 46% P 46%3.2Draw 29% P 29%3.7Away 25% P 25%

Double Chance

1.28Moreirense or Draw 37% P 38%1.36Moreirense or Casa Pia 35% P 35%1.72Draw or Casa Pia 28% P 27%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 47% P 45%1.75No 53% P 55%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.35Over 40% P 40%1.57Under 60% P 60%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 22.5–25% · 565 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home46%46%48%+1.4
Draw29%30%28%-1.5
Away25%24%24%+0.2

In those fixtures: 2.3 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 41%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes45%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 37.5–40% · 1,310 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.540%39%39%+0.7

José Armando Torres Bessa

Career
32 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
6.13 (5.78 yellow · 0.19 red)
Fouls / match
26.8 · 4.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
53%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 32 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.225.66+0.7476
Fouls / match26.827.8-0.54
Fouls per card4.34.9-0.95 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.310.37-0.3336
Time added7.97.7+0.3667
First card
24' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
53% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.11

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-14 50 190 18'10
2025-08-31 101 300 18'7
2025-08-16 70 351 43'16
2025-05-17 81 262 13'5
2025-05-10 92 370 26'9
2025-04-27 30 230 24'5
2025-04-06 · Moreirense 70 290 17'8
2025-03-30 40 360 6'3
2025-03-02 · Moreirense 60 330 36'9
2025-02-22 31 171 26'5