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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 7

Momentum

Santa ClaraTondela
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada
Capacity
13,277
Surface
grass
Attendance
1,808

Teams

Coaches
Vasco Matos · Ivo Abreu Vieira
Position
9 · 17
Formation
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Miguel Bertolo Nogueira

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
20.0° (feels 19.5°)
Wind
4.9
Humidity
56%

Where to watch · 5

  • International Bet365
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
  • Ukraine Megogo
  • United States fuboTV

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Santa Clara

DDWDW 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 2 · xG 5.19–2.93 · xPts 7.26

  • W H Alverca 2–1 xG 1.67–0.31 PRT PL
  • D A Benfica 1–1 xG 0.85–1.64 PRT PL
  • W A Estoril 1–0 xG 1.71–0.86 PRT PL
  • D H Estrela Amadora 0–0 xG 0.95–0.11 PRT PL
  • D A Shamrock Rovers 0–0 UEFA ECL

Tondela

LLDLD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 2 GA 7 · xG 8.53–7.74 · xPts 7.48

  • D H Estrela Amadora 0–0 xG 1.86–1.1 PRT PL
  • L A Alverca 0–1 xG 2.36–1.16 PRT PL
  • D H Estoril 2–2 xG 2.56–1.85 PRT PL
  • L A Benfica 0–3 xG 0.65–2.47 PRT PL
  • L H Famalicão 0–1 xG 1.11–1.15 PRT PL

All meetings · 10 matches since 2019

Santa Clara 24 draws4 Tondela

Goals 11–15 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Santa Clara 24 draws4 Tondela

Goals 11–15 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Santa Clara 03 draws2 Tondela

Goals 6–10 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • D Tondela 2–2 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Santa Clara 1–2 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Santa Clara 2–2 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Tondela 3–0 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Santa Clara 1–1 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Tondela 2–0 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Santa Clara 1–0 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Tondela 0–0 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Tondela 1–3 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Santa Clara 1–2 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricSanta Clara all · 34Santa Clara at home · 17Tondela all · 34Tondela away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.061.350.820.88
W / D / L9 / 9 / 167 / 2 / 86 / 10 / 184 / 3 / 10
Goals for / match0.941.000.790.82
Goals against / match1.211.001.622.00
Clean sheets29%41%21%18%
Failed to score38%35%53%47%
Both teams scored41%35%35%35%
Over 2.535%35%50%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.061.111.271.18
xG against / match1.070.921.561.60
xG difference-0.010.18-0.30-0.41
Finishing vs xG-0.12-0.11-0.47-0.36
xPts / match1.351.491.231.15
Points vs xPts-0.29-0.13-0.40-0.27
Game state
Scored first35%41%32%41%
PPG when scoring first2.082.571.732.00
PPG when conceding first0.420.380.300.10
Came back from behind30%11%25%17%
Leads held69%88%46%57%
Minutes leading15%19%14%17%
Minutes level55%57%56%48%
Minutes trailing29%24%29%36%
First goal (min)40424144
First goal conceded (min)36374240
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%65%63%64%
Goals conceded in 2nd half49%53%60%59%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.350.150.12
Late goals against0.180.120.440.53
Style
Possession48%49%44%42%
Shots11.711.610.69.1
On target3.23.23.43.3
Shot conversion8%9%8%9%
Shots inside box56%54%60%56%
Big chances created1.92.12.01.9
Corners4.64.54.04.0
xG from set plays39%42%46%58%
Goals from headers19%29%12%8%
Pressure index10.110.88.37.7
Dominant minutes46.149.238.135.2
Pass accuracy79%77%78%80%
Fouls14.916.614.415.0
Cards3.033.712.713.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Santa Clara

0–15'116
16–30'17
31–45'18
46–60'38
61–75'46
76–90'126

Tondela

0–15'64
16–30'29
31–45'29
46–60'66
61–75'612
76–90'515

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Santa Clara · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.116
Early press (0-15, level)-0.176
Late push (76+, level)-0.302

Game state

When ahead-0.085
When level-0.186
10 min after conceding-0.223
10 min after scoring+0.366

Situations

At home+0.073
Away-0.263
4+ days rest-0.116

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.184
As favourite+0.322
Evenly matched-0.274

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.006
Conceded when ahead+0.225
Conceded late (76+)-0.255

Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.44

Tondela

No pressure profile yet.

Santa Clara

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-39 26%1.330.890.670.971.01
3-4-37 21%1.290.861.141.251.06
4-2-3-16 18%1.331.00.831.080.96
3-4-2-13 9%0.01.02.331.261.82
5-4-13 9%0.00.331.330.391.04

Tondela

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-121 62%0.860.761.711.431.57
5-4-14 12%1.251.01.00.911.77
3-4-33 9%0.00.332.330.861.51
4-3-33 9%0.671.331.671.261.7
4-4-22 6%1.51.01.01.281.13

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.85Home 50% P 51%3.25Draw 29% P 30%4.5Away 21% P 19%

Double Chance

1.18Santa Clara or Draw 40% P 40%1.33Santa Clara or Tondela 35% P 35%1.9Draw or Tondela 25% P 24%

Draw No Bet

1.331 71%3.252 29%

Both Teams To Score

2.2Yes 42% P 43%1.61No 58% P 57%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.4Over 39% P 38%1.53Under 61% P 62%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 17.5–20% · 120 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home51%52%49%-2.4
Draw30%29%33%+4.1
Away19%19%18%-1.8

In those fixtures: 2.0 goals a game · BTTS 41% · over 2.5 38%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes43%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 37.5–40% · 1,310 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.538%39%39%+0.7

Miguel Bertolo Nogueira

Career
86 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
4.77 (4.48 yellow · 0.16 red)
Fouls / match
26.9 · 5.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 68 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.825.66-1.0421
Fouls / match26.227.8-0.83
Fouls per card5.54.9+0.55 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.340.37-0.1542
Time added7.47.7-0.2230
First card
35' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.2

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-14 20 210 71'12
2025-09-06 · Santa Clara 50 271 37'9
2025-08-17 30 211 24'7
2025-08-07 20 210 65'8
2025-07-29 31 320 5'9
2025-05-17 61 231 33'10
2025-04-27 70 280 43'5
2025-04-18 51 300 25'6
2025-03-28 60 251 19'7
2025-03-15 51 232 11'10