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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 8

Momentum

AVSAlverca
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
8

Venue

Stadium
Estádio do Clube Desportivo das Aves, Vila das Aves
Capacity
8,560
Surface
grass
Attendance
1,100

Teams

Coaches
Paulo Sousa · Custodio
Position
18 · 13
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3

Referee

David Rafael Oliveira Silva

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
27.1° (feels 27.0°)
Wind
4.4
Humidity
40%

Where to watch · 4

  • International Bet365
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
  • Ukraine Megogo

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

AVS

DLLLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 3 GA 12 · xG 3.58–9.84 · xPts 3.18

  • L A Estrela Amadora 0–3 xG 0.7–2.0 PRT PL
  • L H Benfica 0–3 xG 0.78–2.51 PRT PL
  • L A Estoril 1–3 xG 0.89–2.23 PRT PL
  • L H Famalicão 0–1 xG 0.78–0.86 PRT PL
  • D A Sporting Braga 2–2 xG 0.45–2.25 PRT PL

Alverca

DLWLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 4.8–9.22 · xPts 4.29

  • W H Vitória Guimarães 2–0 xG 1.47–1.37 PRT PL
  • L A Santa Clara 1–2 xG 0.31–1.67 PRT PL
  • W H Tondela 1–0 xG 1.16–2.36 PRT PL
  • L H Benfica 1–2 xG 0.97–1.0 PRT PL
  • D A Estrela Amadora 2–2 xG 0.89–2.81 PRT PL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

AVS 01 draws1 Alverca

Goals 1–3 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

AVS 01 draws1 Alverca

Goals 1–3 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

AVS 01 draws1 Alverca

Goals 1–3 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • D Alverca 0–0 AVS PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L AVS 1–3 Alverca PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricAVS all · 34AVS at home · 17Alverca all · 34Alverca away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.620.711.150.76
W / D / L3 / 12 / 192 / 6 / 910 / 9 / 153 / 4 / 10
Goals for / match0.790.881.031.00
Goals against / match1.971.591.531.71
Clean sheets15%12%18%6%
Failed to score53%47%29%35%
Both teams scored44%47%56%59%
Over 2.559%47%50%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.910.911.160.93
xG against / match1.851.821.341.49
xG difference-0.94-0.91-0.18-0.56
Finishing vs xG-0.11-0.02-0.130.07
xPts / match0.820.831.291.06
Points vs xPts-0.20-0.12-0.14-0.30
Game state
Scored first15%24%35%24%
PPG when scoring first1.401.752.332.00
PPG when conceding first0.400.330.480.38
Came back from behind30%31%29%23%
Leads held33%40%71%60%
Minutes leading9%11%18%16%
Minutes level50%53%53%58%
Minutes trailing42%36%29%26%
First goal (min)48444940
First goal conceded (min)30364043
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half63%60%60%47%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%59%54%55%
Late goals for (76'+)0.210.180.350.24
Late goals against0.260.240.260.35
Style
Possession39%40%45%43%
Shots11.111.49.68.7
On target3.13.63.53.4
Shot conversion7%8%11%12%
Shots inside box54%54%64%62%
Big chances created1.41.52.11.6
Corners3.73.54.44.1
xG from set plays39%40%42%33%
Goals from headers11%7%26%24%
Pressure index5.35.78.47.5
Dominant minutes29.133.239.133.7
Pass accuracy73%74%80%79%
Fouls13.814.212.511.9
Cards2.503.062.382.88

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

AVS

0–15'111
16–30'410
31–45'511
46–60'414
61–75'612
76–90'79

Alverca

0–15'57
16–30'37
31–45'610
46–60'410
61–75'59
76–90'129

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

AVS

No pressure profile yet.

Alverca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)-0.066
Late push (76+, level)-0.382
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead-0.304
When level-0.126
When behind+0.164
10 min after conceding+0.176
10 min after scoring+0.035

Situations

At home-0.153
Away+0.123
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.033
v bottom-tier opponents+0.152
Evenly matched-0.292
As underdog-0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.414
Conceded late (76+)+0.126

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level +0.28

AVS

Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-113 38%0.541.082.311.061.82
4-3-38 24%0.880.751.250.941.88
4-1-4-16 18%0.830.671.50.831.78
5-4-14 12%0.00.03.50.532.14
3-4-2-11 3%0.01.02.00.972.54

Alverca

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 15

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-325 74%1.241.081.361.231.27
3-4-2-17 21%1.141.02.01.061.42
5-4-12 6%0.00.52.00.641.93

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.25Home 29% P 29%3.25Draw 29% P 30%2.25Away 42% P 42%

Double Chance

1.61AVS or Draw 29% P 29%1.33AVS or Alverca 35% P 35%1.33Draw or Alverca 35% P 36%

Draw No Bet

2.251 41%1.572 59%

Both Teams To Score

2.05Yes 45% P 48%1.7No 55% P 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.35Over 40% P 40%1.57Under 60% P 60%

Total Corners

6.0Under 6 14%2.56 - 8 34%2.759 - 11 31%6.012 - 14 14%15.0Over 14 6%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 40–42.5% · 469 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home29%29%31%+2.1
Draw30%30%25%-4.9
Away42%41%44%+2.7

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 46%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes48%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.540%41%41%-0.4

David Rafael Oliveira Silva

Career
50 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
6.72 (6.38 yellow · 0.22 red)
Fouls / match
29.5 · 4.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 43 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.235.66+0.7582
Fouls / match29.927.8+1.05
Fouls per card4.84.9-0.35 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.190.37-1.239
Time added8.17.7+0.5976
First card
32' on average
Card timing
10% in first 30' · 44% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.19

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-08-17 90 380 42'9
2025-08-09 90 370 42'8
2025-04-26 80 311 34'10
2025-04-12 71 280 23'10
2025-03-02 · AVS 40 361 8'9
2025-02-16 · AVS 70 330 56'7
2024-12-08 72 241 47'6
2024-11-03 20 160 36'5
2024-10-25 61 290 48'8
2024-10-05 · AVS 50 211 7'7