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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 8

Momentum

AroucaFamalicão
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
8

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
Capacity
5,600
Surface
grass
Attendance
1,491

Teams

Coaches
Vasco Freire De Seabra · Hugo Filipe Carvalho Oliveira
Position
11 · 6
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Weather

Conditions
sky is clear
Temperature
25.5° (feels 25.1°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
37%

Where to watch · 7

  • France beIN SPORTS CONNECT · Free
  • International Bet365
  • Israel Sport 2
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
  • Ukraine Megogo

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Arouca

DDLWL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 11 · xG 4.01–8.29 · xPts 4.26

  • L H Porto 0–4 xG 0.9–2.33 PRT PL
  • W A Nacional 2–1 xG 0.86–2.83 PRT PL
  • L H Casa Pia 0–2 xG 0.8–1.12 PRT PL
  • D A Vitória Guimarães 1–1 xG 0.51–0.54 PRT PL
  • D H Rio Ave 3–3 xG 0.94–1.47 PRT PL

Famalicão

DWLDD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 3 GA 3 · xG 7.27–5.64 · xPts 7.64

  • D H Rio Ave 0–0 xG 2.82–0.6 PRT PL
  • D A Casa Pia 1–1 xG 1.93–1.13 PRT PL
  • L H Sporting CP 1–2 xG 0.8–1.19 PRT PL
  • W A AVS 1–0 xG 0.86–0.78 PRT PL
  • D H Gil Vicente 0–0 xG 0.86–1.93 PRT PL

All meetings · 10 matches since 2021

Arouca 43 draws3 Famalicão

Goals 12–9 · 2.1 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 40%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Arouca 43 draws3 Famalicão

Goals 12–9 · 2.1 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Arouca 12 draws2 Famalicão

Goals 5–6 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Famalicão 1–0 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Arouca 1–1 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Arouca 1–2 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Famalicão 0–0 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Arouca 3–2 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Famalicão 1–0 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Famalicão 0–1 Arouca neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Arouca 4–1 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Famalicão 0–0 Arouca neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Arouca 2–1 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricArouca all · 34Arouca at home · 17Famalicão all · 34Famalicão away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.241.471.651.47
W / D / L12 / 6 / 167 / 4 / 615 / 11 / 86 / 7 / 4
Goals for / match1.381.591.240.88
Goals against / match1.881.760.851.00
Clean sheets21%18%50%41%
Failed to score26%24%26%35%
Both teams scored56%59%35%35%
Over 2.568%71%38%29%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.041.201.421.24
xG against / match1.511.491.001.12
xG difference-0.48-0.290.420.12
Finishing vs xG0.340.38-0.18-0.36
xPts / match1.141.211.661.48
Points vs xPts0.090.26-0.01-0.01
Game state
Scored first50%59%53%47%
PPG when scoring first1.821.902.442.50
PPG when conceding first0.630.860.670.43
Came back from behind24%33%43%43%
Leads held60%58%75%67%
Minutes leading20%30%24%20%
Minutes level50%45%60%67%
Minutes trailing30%25%16%13%
First goal (min)37304752
First goal conceded (min)35373950
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half62%63%64%73%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%53%55%71%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.240.260.12
Late goals against0.410.410.260.53
Style
Possession50%50%52%49%
Shots10.710.812.410.5
On target3.64.24.33.6
Shot conversion13%15%10%8%
Shots inside box58%63%67%68%
Big chances created2.12.62.52.2
Corners3.74.15.55.2
xG from set plays24%20%31%32%
Goals from headers34%30%26%33%
Pressure index10.710.413.811.5
Dominant minutes43.442.853.550.7
Pass accuracy82%81%82%81%
Fouls13.914.415.716.0
Cards3.324.002.682.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Arouca

0–15'910
16–30'28
31–45'714
46–60'119
61–75'129
76–90'614

Famalicão

0–15'34
16–30'65
31–45'64
46–60'85
61–75'102
76–90'99

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Arouca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)-0.146
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.092

Game state

When ahead-0.193
When level-0.036
When behind+0.093
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.534

Situations

At home+0.203
Away-0.233
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
As favourite+0.292
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog-0.482

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.196
Conceded when ahead+0.433
Conceded late (76+)-0.095

Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level +0.12

Famalicão · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.34

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.026
Early press (0-15, level)-0.196
Late push (76+, level)-0.345
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.154

Game state

When ahead-0.013
When level-0.106
When behind+0.284
10 min after conceding-0.235
10 min after scoring+0.114

Situations

At home+0.003
Away-0.043
4+ days rest-0.026

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.192
As favourite+0.092
Evenly matched-0.043

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.046
Conceded when ahead-0.013
Conceded late (76+)+0.026

Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level +0.37

Arouca

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-132 94%1.311.441.881.041.52
5-4-11 3%0.00.01.01.080.66
4-3-31 3%0.01.03.00.852.32

Famalicão

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 6 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-125 74%1.61.240.921.41.07
4-3-37 21%1.861.140.571.610.69
4-1-4-12 6%1.51.51.01.031.17

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.1Home 23% P 23%3.5Draw 27% P 27%1.85Away 51% P 50%

Double Chance

1.9FC Arouca or Draw 25% P 25%1.28FC Arouca or Famalicao 37% P 37%1.22Draw or Famalicao 39% P 38%

Draw No Bet

3.01 31%1.362 69%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 54%1.95No 48% P 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.95Over 49% P 49%1.85Under 51% P 51%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 22.5–25% · away 47.5–50% · 385 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home23%24%22%-2.1
Draw27%27%28%+1.0
Away50%49%50%+1.1

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 50%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes54%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Career
221 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
5.43 (5.18 yellow · 0.11 red)
Fouls / match
29.9 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 90 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.895.66+0.3248
Fouls / match28.827.8+0.51
Fouls per card5.04.9-0.15 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.37+0.3764
Time added7.77.7+0.1342
First card
32' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 41% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.39

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-27 60 250 48'7
2025-09-24 40 260 42'10
2025-09-13 60 201 30'13
2025-08-10 · Famalicão 60 350 61'8
2025-08-07 10 80 72'12
2025-07-09 30 120 17'8
2025-05-10 32 7
2025-04-18 50 230 50'8
2025-04-07 81 320 14'8
2025-03-08 61 300 6'8