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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 8

Momentum

Rio AveTondela
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
8

Venue

Stadium
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, Vila do Conde
Capacity
12,815
Surface
grass
Attendance
2,066

Teams

Coaches
Sotiris Silaidopoulos · Ivo Abreu Vieira
Position
16 · 17
Formation
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

António Emanuel Carvalho Nobre

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
20.7° (feels 20.4°)
Wind
6.6
Humidity
62%

Where to watch · 4

  • International Bet365
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · TV 4 Sport
  • Ukraine Megogo

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Rio Ave

DLLDD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 9 · xG 3.64–12.1 · xPts 2.42

  • D A Famalicão 0–0 xG 0.6–2.82 PRT PL
  • D A Benfica 1–1 xG 0.22–2.43 PRT PL
  • L H Porto 0–3 xG 0.32–2.69 PRT PL
  • L A Moreirense 1–3 xG 1.26–1.94 PRT PL
  • D H Sporting Braga 2–2 xG 1.24–2.21 PRT PL

Tondela

LDLDW 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 7 · xG 9.28–8.65 · xPts 7.43

  • W A Santa Clara 2–1 xG 1.85–2.06 PRT PL
  • D H Estrela Amadora 0–0 xG 1.86–1.1 PRT PL
  • L A Alverca 0–1 xG 2.36–1.16 PRT PL
  • D H Estoril 2–2 xG 2.56–1.85 PRT PL
  • L A Benfica 0–3 xG 0.65–2.47 PRT PL

All meetings · 14 matches since 2016

Rio Ave 65 draws3 Tondela

Goals 25–19 · 3.14 per match · BTTS 86% · over 2.5 64%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Rio Ave 54 draws1 Tondela

Goals 18–12 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Rio Ave 41 draws0 Tondela

Goals 9–3 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Tondela 0–1 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Rio Ave 3–0 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Rio Ave 2–1 Tondela neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Tondela 1–1 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Tondela 1–2 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Rio Ave 2–4 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Rio Ave 2–2 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Tondela 1–1 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Rio Ave 1–1 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Tondela 1–3 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricRio Ave all · 34Rio Ave at home · 17Tondela all · 34Tondela away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.060.880.820.88
W / D / L8 / 12 / 143 / 6 / 86 / 10 / 184 / 3 / 10
Goals for / match1.031.000.790.82
Goals against / match1.681.711.622.00
Clean sheets18%18%21%18%
Failed to score38%41%53%47%
Both teams scored53%53%35%35%
Over 2.559%65%50%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.051.301.271.18
xG against / match1.641.591.561.60
xG difference-0.59-0.29-0.30-0.41
Finishing vs xG-0.02-0.30-0.47-0.36
xPts / match1.061.261.231.15
Points vs xPts0.00-0.37-0.40-0.27
Game state
Scored first35%47%32%41%
PPG when scoring first1.921.631.732.00
PPG when conceding first0.530.000.300.10
Came back from behind33%11%25%17%
Leads held50%38%46%57%
Minutes leading18%23%14%17%
Minutes level51%43%56%48%
Minutes trailing31%34%29%36%
First goal (min)42294144
First goal conceded (min)39374240
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half63%41%63%64%
Goals conceded in 2nd half56%45%60%59%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.120.150.12
Late goals against0.320.240.440.53
Style
Possession47%48%44%42%
Shots10.412.410.69.1
On target3.94.13.43.3
Shot conversion10%8%8%9%
Shots inside box62%62%60%56%
Big chances created2.02.42.01.9
Corners4.35.14.04.0
xG from set plays31%30%46%58%
Goals from headers18%12%12%8%
Pressure index8.29.78.37.7
Dominant minutes34.840.638.135.2
Pass accuracy82%82%78%80%
Fouls12.912.214.415.0
Cards2.973.062.713.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Rio Ave

0–15'34
16–30'69
31–45'412
46–60'88
61–75'813
76–90'611

Tondela

0–15'64
16–30'29
31–45'29
46–60'66
61–75'612
76–90'515

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Rio Ave · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.64

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.336
Late push (76+, level)-0.022
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.643

Game state

When level-0.166
When behind-0.225
10 min after conceding-0.355
10 min after scoring-0.152

Situations

At home-0.303
Away-0.153
4+ days rest-0.226

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.272
v mid-tier opponents-0.012
As underdog-0.195

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.326
Conceded late (76+)+0.544

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.06

Tondela

No pressure profile yet.

Rio Ave

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-318 53%1.111.221.780.961.85
4-2-3-113 38%1.231.01.231.321.33
3-4-2-13 9%0.00.03.00.421.71

Tondela

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-121 62%0.860.761.711.431.57
5-4-14 12%1.251.01.00.911.77
3-4-33 9%0.00.332.330.861.51
4-3-33 9%0.671.331.671.261.7
4-4-22 6%1.51.01.01.281.13

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.5Home 38% P 37%3.3Draw 28% P 29%2.75Away 34% P 34%

Double Chance

1.4Rio Ave or Draw 33% P 33%1.33Rio Ave or Tondela 35% P 35%1.5Draw or Tondela 31% P 32%

Draw No Bet

1.81 51%1.92 49%

Both Teams To Score

1.7Yes 55% P 57%2.05No 45% P 43%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.95Over 49% P 49%1.85Under 51% P 51%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 32.5–35% · 702 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home37%36%35%-1.6
Draw29%30%32%+2.1
Away34%34%33%-0.6

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 46%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes57%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

António Emanuel Carvalho Nobre

Career
133 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
5.92 (5.53 yellow · 0.21 red)
Fouls / match
28.8 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.35
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 73 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.185.66+0.6973
Fouls / match28.227.9+0.17
Fouls per card4.84.9-0.40 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.340.37-0.1246
Time added7.17.7-0.5721
First card
29' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 41% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.21

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-02 20 190 45'4
2025-09-20 50 291 45'12
2025-09-13 70 390 20'10
2025-08-29 30 300 74'6
2025-08-21 40 220 9'6
2025-08-14 20 201 86'7
2025-08-11 40 270 15'8
2025-07-29 20 121 63'3
2025-05-03 60 300 63'8
2025-04-13 40 181 43'2