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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 9

Momentum

CFEARio Ave
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
9

Venue

Stadium
Estádio José Gomes, Amadora
Capacity
9,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
1,827

Teams

Coaches
Nuno Silva Soto Lopes · Sotiris Silaidopoulos
Position
15 · 12
Formation
3-1-4-2 · 3-4-3

Referee

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
21.8° (feels 21.8°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
68%

Where to watch · 4

  • International Bet365
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
  • Ukraine Megogo

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Estrela Amadora

DLDWL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 4 · xG 4.59–7.58 · xPts 4.74

  • L A Gil Vicente 0–2 xG 0.89–2.59 PRT PL
  • W H AVS 3–0 xG 2.0–0.7 PRT PL
  • D A Tondela 0–0 xG 1.1–1.86 PRT PL
  • L H Vitória Guimarães 0–2 xG 0.49–1.49 PRT PL
  • D A Santa Clara 0–0 xG 0.11–0.95 PRT PL

Rio Ave

LLDDW 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 3.7–10.91 · xPts 3.17

  • W H Tondela 3–0 xG 1.3–1.02 PRT PL
  • D A Famalicão 0–0 xG 0.6–2.82 PRT PL
  • D A Benfica 1–1 xG 0.22–2.43 PRT PL
  • L H Porto 0–3 xG 0.32–2.69 PRT PL
  • L A Moreirense 1–3 xG 1.26–1.94 PRT PL

All meetings · 11 matches since 2005

Estrela Amadora 24 draws5 Rio Ave

Goals 13–16 · 2.64 per match · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 54%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Estrela Amadora 24 draws4 Rio Ave

Goals 12–14 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Estrela Amadora 11 draws3 Rio Ave

Goals 6–9 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Rio Ave 3–3 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Rio Ave 2–1 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Estrela Amadora 1–2 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Rio Ave 2–0 Estrela Amadora neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estrela Amadora 1–0 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Estrela Amadora 2–2 Rio Ave neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Rio Ave 1–1 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Rio Ave 2–1 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estrela Amadora 2–0 Rio Ave neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Estrela Amadora 0–0 Rio Ave neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricEstrela Amadora all · 34Estrela Amadora at home · 17Rio Ave all · 34Rio Ave away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.881.061.061.24
W / D / L6 / 12 / 164 / 6 / 78 / 12 / 145 / 6 / 6
Goals for / match1.121.241.031.06
Goals against / match1.651.411.681.65
Clean sheets24%29%18%18%
Failed to score44%41%38%35%
Both teams scored47%41%53%53%
Over 2.553%53%59%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.131.351.050.80
xG against / match1.631.531.641.70
xG difference-0.50-0.18-0.59-0.89
Finishing vs xG-0.02-0.11-0.020.26
xPts / match1.071.261.060.86
Points vs xPts-0.19-0.200.000.37
Game state
Scored first26%29%35%24%
PPG when scoring first1.562.401.922.50
PPG when conceding first0.550.400.530.83
Came back from behind33%36%33%50%
Leads held50%67%50%62%
Minutes leading15%17%18%14%
Minutes level52%50%51%58%
Minutes trailing33%32%31%28%
First goal (min)40404255
First goal conceded (min)33323940
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half50%48%63%83%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%58%56%68%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.180.180.24
Late goals against0.180.060.320.41
Style
Possession47%50%47%46%
Shots10.813.010.48.5
On target3.63.93.93.6
Shot conversion10%10%10%12%
Shots inside box55%54%62%63%
Big chances created2.02.52.01.6
Corners3.33.64.33.4
xG from set plays41%39%31%34%
Goals from headers13%14%18%22%
Pressure index8.911.08.26.6
Dominant minutes38.446.134.828.9
Pass accuracy79%81%82%81%
Fouls14.414.212.913.6
Cards2.852.882.972.88

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Estrela Amadora

0–15'59
16–30'65
31–45'811
46–60'413
61–75'912
76–90'66

Rio Ave

0–15'34
16–30'69
31–45'412
46–60'88
61–75'813
76–90'611

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Estrela Amadora · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.036
Early press (0-15, level)-0.496
Late push (76+, level)+0.195

Game state

When ahead+0.135
When level-0.046
When behind+0.085
10 min after conceding-0.046
10 min after scoring+0.416

Situations

At home-0.023
Away+0.083
4+ days rest+0.036

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.102
v bottom-tier opponents-0.062
Evenly matched+0.233
As underdog-0.173

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.016
Conceded when ahead-0.205
Conceded late (76+)-0.296

Ahead vs level +0.18 · Behind vs level +0.12

Rio Ave · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.64

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.336
Late push (76+, level)-0.022
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.643

Game state

When level-0.166
When behind-0.225
10 min after conceding-0.355
10 min after scoring-0.152

Situations

At home-0.303
Away-0.153
4+ days rest-0.226

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.272
v mid-tier opponents-0.012
As underdog-0.195

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.326
Conceded late (76+)+0.544

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.06

Estrela Amadora

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-310 29%1.51.61.61.281.78
4-2-3-110 29%0.71.22.31.072.09
4-3-34 12%0.751.01.01.40.89
5-3-23 9%0.330.671.671.551.6
4-1-4-12 6%0.00.52.00.781.49

Rio Ave

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-318 53%1.111.221.780.961.85
4-2-3-113 38%1.231.01.231.321.33
3-4-2-13 9%0.00.03.00.421.71

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.0Home 32% P 31%3.25Draw 29% P 30%2.4Away 39% P 39%

Double Chance

1.36Estrela Amadora or Draw 35% P 30%1.36Estrela Amadora or Rio Ave 35% P 35%1.53Draw or Rio Ave 31% P 35%

Draw No Bet

1.661 56%2.12 44%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 53%1.95No 48% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.07Over 45% P 46%1.72Under 55% P 54%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 37.5–40% · 556 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home31%31%31%-0.2
Draw30%30%31%+1.5
Away39%39%38%-1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 44%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Career
221 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
5.43 (5.18 yellow · 0.11 red)
Fouls / match
29.9 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 90 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.895.66+0.3248
Fouls / match28.827.9+0.50
Fouls per card5.04.9-0.16 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.37+0.3664
Time added7.77.7+0.1342
First card
32' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 41% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.39

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-05 61 340 61'10
2025-09-27 60 250 48'7
2025-09-24 40 260 42'10
2025-09-13 60 201 30'13
2025-08-10 60 350 61'8
2025-08-07 10 80 72'12
2025-07-09 30 120 17'8
2025-05-10 32 7
2025-04-18 50 230 50'8
2025-04-07 81 320 14'8