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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 9

Momentum

FamalicãoVSC
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
9

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho, Vila Nova de Famalicão
Capacity
5,307
Surface
grass
Attendance
4,384

Teams

Coaches
Hugo Filipe Carvalho Oliveira · Luís Correia Pinto
Position
6 · 9
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Sérgio José dos Santos Guelho

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
19.6° (feels 18.9°)
Wind
3.5
Humidity
52%

Where to watch · 5

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Famalicão

WLDDD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 4 · xG 8.24–4.29 · xPts 9.18

  • D A Arouca 1–1 xG 1.83–0.59 PRT PL
  • D H Rio Ave 0–0 xG 2.82–0.6 PRT PL
  • D A Casa Pia 1–1 xG 1.93–1.13 PRT PL
  • L H Sporting CP 1–2 xG 0.8–1.19 PRT PL
  • W A AVS 1–0 xG 0.86–0.78 PRT PL

Vitória Guimarães

DWDLW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 6.44–5.33 · xPts 7.59

  • W H Santa Clara 2–1 xG 1.71–1.42 PRT PL
  • L A Alverca 0–2 xG 1.37–1.47 PRT PL
  • D H Sporting Braga 1–1 xG 1.33–1.46 PRT PL
  • W A Estrela Amadora 2–0 xG 1.49–0.49 PRT PL
  • D H Arouca 1–1 xG 0.54–0.51 PRT PL

All meetings · 14 matches since 2019

Famalicão 42 draws8 Vitória Guimarães

Goals 15–25 · 2.86 per match · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 64%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Famalicão 31 draws6 Vitória Guimarães

Goals 12–15 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Famalicão 21 draws2 Vitória Guimarães

Goals 5–4 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Vitória Guimarães 1–2 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Famalicão 2–0 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Famalicão 0–0 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Vitória Guimarães 2–1 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Vitória Guimarães 1–0 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Famalicão 1–3 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Famalicão 2–1 Vitória Guimarães neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Vitória Guimarães 3–2 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Vitória Guimarães 2–1 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Famalicão 1–2 Vitória Guimarães neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricFamalicão all · 34Famalicão at home · 17Vitória Guimarães all · 34Vitória Guimarães away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.651.821.240.82
W / D / L15 / 11 / 89 / 4 / 412 / 6 / 164 / 2 / 11
Goals for / match1.241.591.150.76
Goals against / match0.850.711.501.88
Clean sheets50%59%29%29%
Failed to score26%18%35%47%
Both teams scored35%35%41%29%
Over 2.538%47%44%35%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.421.601.271.20
xG against / match1.000.881.291.37
xG difference0.420.71-0.02-0.16
Finishing vs xG-0.18-0.01-0.12-0.44
xPts / match1.661.831.381.29
Points vs xPts-0.01-0.01-0.15-0.46
Game state
Scored first53%59%41%41%
PPG when scoring first2.442.402.141.86
PPG when conceding first0.671.000.560.00
Came back from behind43%43%20%0%
Leads held75%82%71%57%
Minutes leading24%27%16%13%
Minutes level60%54%55%50%
Minutes trailing16%19%29%38%
First goal (min)47434545
First goal conceded (min)39233730
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half64%59%56%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%33%55%53%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.410.180.18
Late goals against0.260.000.290.29
Style
Possession52%54%51%52%
Shots12.414.313.313.2
On target4.35.13.93.8
Shot conversion10%11%9%6%
Shots inside box67%67%56%53%
Big chances created2.52.71.61.6
Corners5.55.74.44.5
xG from set plays31%29%35%28%
Goals from headers26%22%16%17%
Pressure index13.816.212.911.7
Dominant minutes53.556.353.853.6
Pass accuracy82%82%82%82%
Fouls15.715.414.513.5
Cards2.682.712.412.06

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Famalicão

0–15'34
16–30'65
31–45'64
46–60'85
61–75'102
76–90'99

Vitória Guimarães

0–15'27
16–30'87
31–45'79
46–60'68
61–75'1010
76–90'610

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Famalicão · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.34

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.026
Early press (0-15, level)-0.196
Late push (76+, level)-0.345
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.154

Game state

When ahead-0.013
When level-0.106
When behind+0.284
10 min after conceding-0.235
10 min after scoring+0.114

Situations

At home+0.003
Away-0.043
4+ days rest-0.026

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.192
As favourite+0.092
Evenly matched-0.043

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.046
Conceded when ahead-0.013
Conceded late (76+)+0.026

Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level +0.37

Vitória Guimarães · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.22) · stands out: at home +0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.226
Late push (76+, level)+0.163
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.154

Game state

When level+0.176
When behind+0.434
10 min after conceding+0.224
10 min after scoring+0.373

Situations

At home+0.493
Away-0.073
4+ days rest+0.226

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.312
v bottom-tier opponents+0.464
As favourite+0.464
As underdog-0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.246
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.27

Famalicão

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 6 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-125 74%1.61.240.921.41.07
4-3-37 21%1.861.140.571.610.69
4-1-4-12 6%1.51.51.01.031.17

Vitória Guimarães

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-125 74%1.160.961.481.191.32
4-4-23 9%2.02.01.331.451.41
3-4-32 6%1.51.52.01.141.39
4-3-32 6%2.03.00.52.440.4
4-4-1-11 3%0.00.03.00.531.83

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.75Home 53% P 54%3.7Draw 25% P 26%4.33Away 22% P 20%

Double Chance

1.22Famalicao or Draw 39% P 40%1.3Famalicao or Guimaraes 36% P 37%1.9Draw or Guimaraes 25% P 24%

Draw No Bet

1.361 69%3.02 31%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 53%1.95No 48% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.95Over 49% P 49%1.85Under 51% P 51%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 17.5–20% · 551 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home54%54%52%-1.7
Draw26%27%27%+0.4
Away20%19%20%+1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 45%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Sérgio José dos Santos Guelho

Career
25 matches · 3 seasons
Cards / match
4.8 (4.8 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match
27.6 · 5.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.08
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 25 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.685.66-1.2215
Fouls / match27.627.9-0.16
Fouls per card5.94.9+1.00 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.040.37-2.250
Time added7.77.7+0.1342
First card
28' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-23 60 330 10'11
2025-09-20 100 370 7'10
2025-08-31 40 191 15'11
2025-08-24 40 190 28'4
2025-08-09 20 300 18'5
2025-05-03 · Vitória Guimarães 50 280 34'7
2025-04-18 40 290 5'7
2025-03-16 30 240 45'11
2025-02-22 30 230 25'5
2025-02-08 30 260 50'6