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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 9

Momentum

SCBCasa Pia
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
9

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga
Capacity
30,286
Surface
grass
Attendance
11,384

Teams

Coaches
Carlos Vicens · João Jorge Gândara Mendes Pereira
Position
11 · 14
Formation
3-4-3 · 3-4-3

Referee

Carlos André Fernandes Macedo

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
20.2° (feels 19.7°)
Wind
2.5
Humidity
52%

Where to watch · 15

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Sporting Braga

WLWDW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 2 · xG 5.47–4.53 · xPts 7.68

  • W H Crvena Zvezda 2–0 xG 1.27–0.47 UEFA EL
  • D A Sporting CP 1–1 xG 1.32–1.42 PRT PL
  • W A Celtic 2–0 xG 1.35–0.77 UEFA EL
  • L H Nacional 0–1 xG 0.59–1.59 PRT PL
  • W H Feyenoord 1–0 xG 0.95–0.28 UEFA EL

Casa Pia

LWDLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 5.93–5.65 · xPts 7.06

  • D H Estoril 2–2 xG 1.46–0.75 PRT PL
  • L A Moreirense 1–2 xG 1.56–1.3 PRT PL
  • D H Famalicão 1–1 xG 1.13–1.93 PRT PL
  • W A Arouca 2–0 xG 1.12–0.8 PRT PL
  • L H Nacional 0–2 xG 0.66–0.88 PRT PL

All meetings · 8 matches since 2022

Sporting Braga 50 draws3 Casa Pia

Goals 15–9 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 62%

Last 10 · 8 matches

Sporting Braga 50 draws3 Casa Pia

Goals 15–9 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 62%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Sporting Braga 30 draws2 Casa Pia

Goals 11–7 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Casa Pia 0–1 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting Braga 4–0 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Casa Pia 2–1 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting Braga 1–2 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting Braga 4–3 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Casa Pia 1–3 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Casa Pia 0–1 Sporting Braga neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting Braga 0–1 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricSporting Braga all · 34Sporting Braga at home · 17Casa Pia all · 34Casa Pia away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.741.760.880.88
W / D / L16 / 11 / 78 / 6 / 36 / 12 / 164 / 3 / 10
Goals for / match1.882.000.910.76
Goals against / match1.061.061.681.82
Clean sheets35%35%21%29%
Failed to score9%12%44%47%
Both teams scored56%53%47%35%
Over 2.568%71%44%59%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.671.640.940.91
xG against / match1.060.811.561.63
xG difference0.610.83-0.62-0.72
Finishing vs xG0.210.36-0.03-0.14
xPts / match1.751.891.000.94
Points vs xPts-0.01-0.12-0.12-0.06
Game state
Scored first71%71%29%29%
PPG when scoring first2.212.251.501.80
PPG when conceding first0.600.600.550.40
Came back from behind53%62%30%17%
Leads held59%57%46%67%
Minutes leading39%42%17%14%
Minutes level44%39%53%46%
Minutes trailing17%19%30%40%
First goal (min)29254244
First goal conceded (min)40383928
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half42%41%48%62%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%44%56%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.410.410.180.18
Late goals against0.240.240.320.29
Style
Possession63%62%41%41%
Shots11.711.08.99.4
On target4.74.32.93.0
Shot conversion16%18%10%8%
Shots inside box67%66%62%62%
Big chances created2.72.71.71.6
Corners5.35.34.04.5
xG from set plays46%50%38%34%
Goals from headers14%15%19%15%
Pressure index21.319.87.15.3
Dominant minutes64.964.535.629.6
Pass accuracy87%87%72%74%
Fouls11.711.615.915.0
Cards2.442.243.002.76

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sporting Braga

0–15'113
16–30'157
31–45'118
46–60'74
61–75'66
76–90'148

Casa Pia

0–15'57
16–30'33
31–45'815
46–60'49
61–75'512
76–90'611

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sporting Braga · 11 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.33) · stands out: when level +0.43

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.3311
Early press (0-15, level)+0.4011
Late push (76+, level)+0.085

Game state

When ahead+0.179
When level+0.4311
When behind+0.202
10 min after conceding+0.093
10 min after scoring+0.239

Situations

At home+0.335
Away+0.346
4+ days rest+0.3310

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.393
As favourite+0.3311

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.3011
Conceded when ahead-0.349
Conceded late (76+)-0.3410

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level -0.23

Casa Pia · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.156
Early press (0-15, level)-0.136
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.654

Game state

When level-0.046
When behind+0.335
10 min after conceding+0.075

Situations

At home+0.423
Away-0.053
4+ days rest+0.156

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.122
v mid-tier opponents-0.102
As underdog+0.005

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.146
Conceded late (76+)-0.265

Ahead vs level +2.48 · Behind vs level +0.37

Sporting Braga

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-115 44%1.671.930.931.591.21
3-4-310 29%2.52.20.92.060.93
3-4-1-25 15%0.81.21.60.931.13
4-4-22 6%1.51.50.51.650.72
4-2-3-11 3%1.02.02.02.211.24

Casa Pia

Current: winless 7 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-323 68%1.041.091.611.021.49
3-4-2-14 12%0.250.252.00.691.55
5-4-13 9%0.330.672.330.72.23
3-5-22 6%0.00.52.00.851.51
4-1-4-11 3%3.02.01.01.621.64

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.42Home 65% P 68%4.5Draw 21% P 20%6.5Away 14% P 12%

Double Chance

1.1Braga or Draw 43% P 44%1.18Braga or Casa Pia 40% P 40%2.75Draw or Casa Pia 17% P 16%

Draw No Bet

1.121 84%6.02 16%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 46%1.8No 52% P 54%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.75Over 54% P 53%2.05Under 46% P 47%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 67.5–70% · away 10–12.5% · 543 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home68%69%72%+3.5
Draw20%20%18%-1.5
Away12%11%9%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes46%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%55%+0.8

Carlos André Fernandes Macedo

Career
43 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.6 (4.3 yellow · 0.21 red)
Fouls / match
27.9 · 6.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.4
Cards to home side
50%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 42 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.45.66-1.576
Fouls / match27.927.8+0.05
Fouls per card6.54.9+1.76 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.380.37+0.1548
Time added6.37.7-1.516
First card
37' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 39% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.2

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-21 40 291 55'4
2025-08-31 40 240 34'9
2025-05-10 40 320 38'6
2025-04-27 40 230 33'3
2025-04-01 41 341 59'6
2025-03-10 30 350 73'3
2025-01-24 30 290 37'6
2024-12-30 60 241 27'7
2024-11-30 60 320 38'7
2024-11-09 · Casa Pia 70 291 4'7