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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 9

Momentum

TondelaSporting CP
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
9

Venue

Stadium
Estádio João Cardoso, Tondela
Capacity
5,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
4,519

Teams

Coaches
Ivo Abreu Vieira · Rui Borges
Position
17 · 3
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

José Armando Torres Bessa

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
18.1° (feels 17.4°)
Wind
5.7
Humidity
57%

Where to watch · 18

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Tondela

DLDWL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 7 · xG 9.64–7.47 · xPts 8.2

  • L A Rio Ave 0–3 xG 1.02–1.3 PRT PL
  • W A Santa Clara 2–1 xG 1.85–2.06 PRT PL
  • D H Estrela Amadora 0–0 xG 1.86–1.1 PRT PL
  • L A Alverca 0–1 xG 2.36–1.16 PRT PL
  • D H Estoril 2–2 xG 2.56–1.85 PRT PL

Sporting CP

WWLDW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 4 · xG 9.64–3.2 · xPts 10.22

  • W H Olympique Marseille 2–1 xG 1.15–0.69 UEFA CL
  • D H Sporting Braga 1–1 xG 1.42–1.32 PRT PL
  • L A Napoli 1–2 xG 1.44–0.75 UEFA CL
  • W A Estoril 1–0 xG 1.38–0.28 PRT PL
  • W H Moreirense 3–0 xG 4.25–0.17 PRT PL

All meetings · 16 matches since 2015

Tondela 24 draws10 Sporting CP

Goals 13–32 · 2.81 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 56%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Tondela 22 draws6 Sporting CP

Goals 7–19 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Tondela 01 draws4 Sporting CP

Goals 3–11 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Sporting CP 2–2 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Tondela 0–3 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Tondela 1–3 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting CP 2–0 Tondela neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Tondela 0–1 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting CP 4–0 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting CP 2–0 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Tondela 1–0 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Sporting CP 1–1 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Tondela 2–1 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricTondela all · 34Tondela at home · 17Sporting CP all · 34Sporting CP away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.820.762.412.41
W / D / L6 / 10 / 182 / 7 / 825 / 7 / 212 / 5 / 0
Goals for / match0.790.762.622.24
Goals against / match1.621.240.710.76
Clean sheets21%24%44%29%
Failed to score53%59%0%0%
Both teams scored35%35%56%71%
Over 2.550%35%71%59%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.271.352.091.90
xG against / match1.561.530.820.91
xG difference-0.30-0.181.270.99
Finishing vs xG-0.47-0.590.530.34
xPts / match1.231.302.121.98
Points vs xPts-0.40-0.540.300.44
Game state
Scored first32%24%76%71%
PPG when scoring first1.731.252.542.33
PPG when conceding first0.300.502.002.60
Came back from behind25%33%75%100%
Leads held46%33%81%75%
Minutes leading14%12%45%41%
Minutes level56%65%48%51%
Minutes trailing29%23%7%8%
First goal (min)41383937
First goal conceded (min)42445042
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half63%62%57%60%
Goals conceded in 2nd half60%62%67%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.180.650.59
Late goals against0.440.350.320.24
Style
Possession44%45%62%63%
Shots10.612.117.616.1
On target3.43.56.86.1
Shot conversion8%6%15%14%
Shots inside box60%63%68%65%
Big chances created2.02.03.63.3
Corners4.03.96.97.5
xG from set plays46%36%24%23%
Goals from headers12%17%16%17%
Pressure index8.38.924.622.6
Dominant minutes38.141.169.668.8
Pass accuracy78%77%88%88%
Fouls14.413.912.212.3
Cards2.712.412.182.82

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Tondela

0–15'64
16–30'29
31–45'29
46–60'66
61–75'612
76–90'515

Sporting CP

0–15'74
16–30'103
31–45'211
46–60'132
61–75'163
76–90'2211

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Tondela

No pressure profile yet.

Sporting CP · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.16) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.167
Early press (0-15, level)-0.037
Late push (76+, level)-0.192

Game state

When ahead+0.107
When level+0.317
10 min after conceding-0.495
10 min after scoring+0.187

Situations

At home+0.054
Away+0.323
4+ days rest+0.167

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.013
v bottom-tier opponents+0.363
As favourite+0.167

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.157
Conceded when ahead-0.237
Conceded late (76+)-0.196

Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.80

Tondela

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-121 62%0.860.761.711.431.57
5-4-14 12%1.251.01.00.911.77
3-4-33 9%0.00.332.330.861.51
4-3-33 9%0.671.331.671.261.7
4-4-22 6%1.51.01.01.281.13

Sporting CP

Current: unbeaten 12 · winless 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-132 94%2.382.530.722.020.83
4-4-22 6%3.04.00.53.230.69

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

9.5Home 10% P 8%6.25Draw 15% P 14%1.25Away 75% P 78%

Double Chance

3.75Tondela or Draw 13% P 11%1.12Tondela or Sporting 43% P 43%1.07Draw or Sporting 45% P 46%

Draw No Bet

9.01 11%1.072 89%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 46%1.8No 52% P 54%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.53Over 61% P 63%2.4Under 39% P 37%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 5–10% · away 75–80% · 344 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home8%8%7%-1.0
Draw14%15%12%-3.0
Away78%77%81%+4.1

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 64%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes46%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.563%64%63%-0.4

José Armando Torres Bessa

Career
32 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
6.13 (5.78 yellow · 0.19 red)
Fouls / match
26.8 · 4.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
53%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 32 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.225.66+0.7476
Fouls / match26.827.9-0.55
Fouls per card4.34.9-0.95 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.310.37-0.3336
Time added7.97.7+0.3667
First card
24' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
53% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.11

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-27 100 280 35'10
2025-09-14 50 190 18'10
2025-08-31 101 300 18'7
2025-08-16 70 351 43'16
2025-05-17 81 262 13'5
2025-05-10 92 370 26'9
2025-04-27 30 230 24'5
2025-04-06 70 290 17'8
2025-03-30 40 360 6'3
2025-03-02 60 330 36'9