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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 10

Momentum

AroucaMoreirense
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
10

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
Capacity
5,600
Surface
grass
Attendance
1,249

Teams

Coaches
Vasco Freire De Seabra · Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa
Position
15 · 6
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Pedro Miguel Torres Ramalho

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
15.1° (feels 14.4°)
Wind
2.0
Humidity
67%

Where to watch · 7

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Arouca

LWLDL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 3 GA 13 · xG 3.55–12.6 · xPts 2.63

  • L A Benfica 0–5 xG 0.4–4.49 PRT PL
  • D H Famalicão 1–1 xG 0.59–1.83 PRT PL
  • L H Porto 0–4 xG 0.9–2.33 PRT PL
  • W A Nacional 2–1 xG 0.86–2.83 PRT PL
  • L H Casa Pia 0–2 xG 0.8–1.12 PRT PL

Moreirense

WLWLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 8 GA 10 · xG 5.44–11.68 · xPts 4.31

  • L H Porto 1–2 xG 0.32–2.09 PRT PL
  • L A Nacional 2–3 xG 1.71–2.53 PRT PL
  • W H Casa Pia 2–1 xG 1.3–1.56 PRT PL
  • L A Sporting CP 0–3 xG 0.17–4.25 PRT PL
  • W H Rio Ave 3–1 xG 1.94–1.26 PRT PL

All meetings · 15 matches since 2015

Arouca 52 draws8 Moreirense

Goals 19–18 · 2.47 per match · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 47%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Arouca 32 draws5 Moreirense

Goals 11–12 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Arouca 30 draws2 Moreirense

Goals 7–5 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Arouca 4–0 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Moreirense 0–1 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Arouca 0–2 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Arouca 1–0 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Moreirense 3–1 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Moreirense 1–0 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Arouca 0–1 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Arouca 1–1 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Moreirense 2–1 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Arouca 2–2 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricArouca all · 34Arouca at home · 17Moreirense all · 34Moreirense away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.241.471.260.94
W / D / L12 / 6 / 167 / 4 / 612 / 7 / 154 / 4 / 9
Goals for / match1.381.591.091.00
Goals against / match1.881.761.441.65
Clean sheets21%18%26%24%
Failed to score26%24%32%35%
Both teams scored56%59%47%47%
Over 2.568%71%50%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.041.200.910.88
xG against / match1.511.491.541.74
xG difference-0.48-0.29-0.63-0.85
Finishing vs xG0.340.380.180.12
xPts / match1.141.211.020.93
Points vs xPts0.090.260.250.01
Game state
Scored first50%59%44%41%
PPG when scoring first1.821.902.202.00
PPG when conceding first0.630.860.470.11
Came back from behind24%33%25%18%
Leads held60%58%71%57%
Minutes leading20%30%22%26%
Minutes level50%45%52%43%
Minutes trailing30%25%26%31%
First goal (min)37303526
First goal conceded (min)35374038
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half62%63%60%47%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%53%61%64%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.240.180.12
Late goals against0.410.410.350.47
Style
Possession50%50%50%49%
Shots10.710.88.98.5
On target3.64.23.23.4
Shot conversion13%15%12%12%
Shots inside box58%63%59%60%
Big chances created2.12.61.72.1
Corners3.74.13.63.3
xG from set plays24%20%27%24%
Goals from headers34%30%24%18%
Pressure index10.710.410.611.0
Dominant minutes43.442.842.938.5
Pass accuracy82%81%83%82%
Fouls13.914.413.914.1
Cards3.324.002.712.82

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Arouca

0–15'910
16–30'28
31–45'714
46–60'119
61–75'129
76–90'614

Moreirense

0–15'85
16–30'47
31–45'37
46–60'710
61–75'98
76–90'612

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Arouca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)-0.146
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.092

Game state

When ahead-0.193
When level-0.036
When behind+0.093
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.534

Situations

At home+0.203
Away-0.233
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
As favourite+0.292
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog-0.482

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.196
Conceded when ahead+0.433
Conceded late (76+)-0.095

Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level +0.12

Moreirense · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.31) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.316
Early press (0-15, level)-0.526
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.282

Game state

When ahead-0.163
When level-0.416
When behind-0.334
10 min after conceding-0.435
10 min after scoring+0.184

Situations

At home-0.293
Away-0.333
4+ days rest-0.316

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.443
v bottom-tier opponents-0.242
Evenly matched-0.212
As underdog-0.384

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.796
Conceded when ahead+0.703
Conceded late (76+)+0.344

Ahead vs level +0.25 · Behind vs level +0.09

Arouca

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-132 94%1.311.441.881.041.52
4-3-31 3%0.01.03.00.852.32
5-4-11 3%0.00.01.01.080.66

Moreirense

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%1.611.171.220.91.53
4-3-38 24%0.881.131.631.021.45
4-4-24 12%1.01.01.50.751.72
3-4-32 6%1.51.51.51.192.06
5-4-11 3%0.00.01.00.61.23

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.55Home 37% P 37%3.2Draw 30% P 30%2.87Away 33% P 33%

Double Chance

1.4FC Arouca or Draw 34% P 34%1.36FC Arouca or Moreirense 35% P 35%1.5Draw or Moreirense 32% P 31%

Draw No Bet

1.721 54%2.02 46%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50% P 52%1.9No 50% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.15Over 44% P 44%1.66Under 56% P 56%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.756 - 8 32%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 32.5–35% · 702 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home37%36%35%-1.6
Draw30%30%32%+2.1
Away33%34%33%-0.6

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 46%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Pedro Miguel Torres Ramalho

Career
19 matches · 3 seasons
Cards / match
6.63 (6.21 yellow · 0.32 red)
Fouls / match
28.1 · 4.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.47
Cards to home side
54%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 17 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.415.66+0.9888
Fouls / match28.327.9+0.22
Fouls per card4.44.9-0.82 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.530.37+1.1988
Time added9.47.7+2.12100
First card
29' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 41% in last 15'
Cards to home side
54% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.25

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-08-24 40 350 49'8
2025-08-15 90 401 16'14
2025-05-05 100 331 17'8
2025-04-19 90 250 16'10
2025-02-01 · Arouca 71 341 24'9
2024-12-07 70 300 41'10