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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 10

Momentum

PortoSCB
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
10

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Do Dragão, Porto
Capacity
50,033
Surface
grass
Attendance
48,473

Teams

Coaches
Francesco Farioli · Carlos Vicens
Position
2 · 7
Formation
4-3-3 · 3-4-3

Referee

Fabio Verssimo

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
15.8° (feels 15.0°)
Wind
3.5
Humidity
61%

Where to watch · 25

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Porto

WWDLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 4 · xG 8.76–4.38 · xPts 9.91

  • W A Moreirense 2–1 xG 2.09–0.32 PRT PL
  • L A Nottingham Forest 0–2 xG 0.92–2.25 UEFA EL
  • D H Benfica 0–0 xG 1.04–0.13 PRT PL
  • W H Crvena Zvezda 2–1 xG 2.38–0.78 UEFA EL
  • W A Arouca 4–0 xG 2.33–0.9 PRT PL

Sporting Braga

LWDWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 2 · xG 6.56–4.42 · xPts 8.37

  • W H Casa Pia 4–0 xG 2.04–0.18 PRT PL
  • W H Crvena Zvezda 2–0 xG 1.27–0.47 UEFA EL
  • D A Sporting CP 1–1 xG 1.32–1.42 PRT PL
  • W A Celtic 2–0 xG 1.35–0.77 UEFA EL
  • L H Nacional 0–1 xG 0.59–1.59 PRT PL

All meetings · 43 matches since 2005

Porto 297 draws7 Sporting Braga

Goals 72–34 · 2.47 per match · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 46%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Porto 71 draws2 Sporting Braga

Goals 14–6 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Porto 40 draws1 Sporting Braga

Goals 7–4 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Sporting Braga 1–2 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Porto 2–1 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting Braga 1–0 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Porto 2–1 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting Braga 0–1 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Porto 2–0 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Sporting Braga 0–0 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Porto 4–1 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting Braga 1–0 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Porto 1–0 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricPorto all · 34Porto at home · 17Sporting Braga all · 34Sporting Braga away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.592.651.741.71
W / D / L28 / 4 / 214 / 3 / 016 / 11 / 78 / 5 / 4
Goals for / match1.941.941.881.76
Goals against / match0.530.351.061.06
Clean sheets62%71%35%35%
Failed to score3%6%9%6%
Both teams scored38%29%56%59%
Over 2.556%47%68%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.861.851.671.70
xG against / match0.710.581.061.31
xG difference1.161.270.610.39
Finishing vs xG0.080.090.210.06
xPts / match2.072.121.751.61
Points vs xPts0.520.53-0.010.09
Game state
Scored first85%94%71%71%
PPG when scoring first2.792.752.212.17
PPG when conceding first1.500.600.60
Came back from behind50%53%43%
Leads held90%88%59%62%
Minutes leading51%54%39%36%
Minutes level43%46%44%49%
Minutes trailing6%0%17%15%
First goal (min)36332933
First goal conceded (min)56654041
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%52%42%43%
Goals conceded in 2nd half78%100%50%56%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.470.410.41
Late goals against0.180.120.240.24
Style
Possession55%56%63%64%
Shots14.514.611.712.4
On target5.35.44.75.1
Shot conversion13%13%16%14%
Shots inside box66%68%67%68%
Big chances created2.92.92.72.6
Corners5.65.65.35.3
xG from set plays31%33%46%42%
Goals from headers14%6%14%14%
Pressure index19.920.821.322.8
Dominant minutes64.864.964.965.2
Pass accuracy84%85%87%86%
Fouls13.913.611.711.7
Cards2.532.122.442.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Porto

0–15'91
16–30'82
31–45'121
46–60'135
61–75'123
76–90'126

Sporting Braga

0–15'113
16–30'157
31–45'118
46–60'74
61–75'66
76–90'148

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Porto · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.40) · stands out: when level +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.407
Early press (0-15, level)+0.717

Game state

When ahead+0.146
When level+0.807
When behind+0.193
10 min after conceding+0.203
10 min after scoring+0.616

Situations

At home+0.414
Away+0.393
4+ days rest+0.407

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.605
As favourite+0.566

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.077
Conceded when ahead+0.126
Conceded late (76+)+0.016

Ahead vs level -0.67 · Behind vs level -0.61

Sporting Braga · 11 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.33) · stands out: when level +0.43

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.3311
Early press (0-15, level)+0.4011
Late push (76+, level)+0.085

Game state

When ahead+0.179
When level+0.4311
When behind+0.202
10 min after conceding+0.093
10 min after scoring+0.239

Situations

At home+0.335
Away+0.346
4+ days rest+0.3310

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.393
As favourite+0.3311

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.3011
Conceded when ahead-0.349
Conceded late (76+)-0.3410

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level -0.23

Porto

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-334 100%2.591.940.531.860.71

Sporting Braga

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-115 44%1.671.930.931.591.21
3-4-310 29%2.52.20.92.060.93
3-4-1-25 15%0.81.21.60.931.13
4-4-22 6%1.51.50.51.650.72
4-2-3-11 3%1.02.02.02.211.24

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.57Home 60% P 62%4.0Draw 24% P 23%6.0Away 16% P 15%

Double Chance

1.11FC Porto or Draw 42% P 43%1.25FC Porto or Braga 38% P 38%2.37Draw or Braga 20% P 19%

Draw No Bet

1.161 81%5.02 19%

Both Teams To Score

2.05Yes 45% P 48%1.7No 55% P 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.05Over 46% P 49%1.75Under 54% P 51%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 12.5–15% · 241 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home62%61%62%+0.4
Draw23%24%24%-0.3
Away15%14%14%-0.1

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes48%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Fabio Verssimo

Career
18 matches · 2 seasons
Cards / match
6.17 (6.11 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match
26.9 · 4.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.5
Cards to home side
53%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 20 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.75.66+0.0842
Fouls / match25.627.9-1.16
Fouls per card4.54.9-0.71 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.40.37+0.2958
Time added6.57.7-1.279
First card
24' on average
Card timing
22% in first 30' · 25% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-29 · Porto 81 210 3'6
2024-12-09 60 310 6'9
2024-11-04 110 291 24'7