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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 10

Momentum

Gil VicenteSanta Clara
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
10

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos
Capacity
12,046
Surface
grass
Attendance
5,475

Teams

Coaches
César Peixoto · Vasco Matos
Position
4 · 8
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-3-3

Referee

Sérgio José dos Santos Guelho

Weather

Conditions
sky is clear
Temperature
17.5° (feels 16.8°)
Wind
2.4
Humidity
55%

Where to watch · 5

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Gil Vicente

WWLWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 2 · xG 9.35–6.18 · xPts 8.66

  • W A Alverca 4–0 xG 1.44–1.47 PRT PL
  • W H Estrela Amadora 2–0 xG 2.59–0.89 PRT PL
  • L A Benfica 1–2 xG 1.57–1.5 PRT PL
  • W H Estoril 2–0 xG 2.68–0.58 PRT PL
  • W A Sporting Braga 1–0 xG 1.07–1.74 PRT PL

Santa Clara

DWLLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 8.06–5.76 · xPts 8.48

  • W H AVS 2–0 xG 2.06–0.24 PRT PL
  • L A Vitória Guimarães 1–2 xG 1.42–1.71 PRT PL
  • L H Tondela 1–2 xG 2.06–1.85 PRT PL
  • W H Alverca 2–1 xG 1.67–0.31 PRT PL
  • D A Benfica 1–1 xG 0.85–1.64 PRT PL

All meetings · 12 matches since 2019

Gil Vicente 33 draws6 Santa Clara

Goals 9–12 · 1.75 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 25%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Gil Vicente 32 draws5 Santa Clara

Goals 8–10 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Gil Vicente 10 draws4 Santa Clara

Goals 4–7 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Santa Clara 1–0 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Gil Vicente 1–0 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Gil Vicente 0–1 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Santa Clara 2–1 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Santa Clara 3–2 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Gil Vicente 1–0 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Gil Vicente 2–2 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Santa Clara 1–0 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Gil Vicente 1–0 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Santa Clara 0–0 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricGil Vicente all · 34Gil Vicente at home · 17Santa Clara all · 34Santa Clara away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.471.761.060.76
W / D / L13 / 11 / 109 / 3 / 59 / 9 / 162 / 7 / 8
Goals for / match1.381.650.940.88
Goals against / match1.121.001.211.41
Clean sheets35%35%29%18%
Failed to score26%18%38%41%
Both teams scored47%47%41%47%
Over 2.553%53%35%35%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.431.421.061.02
xG against / match1.150.991.071.22
xG difference0.280.43-0.01-0.20
Finishing vs xG-0.040.23-0.12-0.13
xPts / match1.541.611.351.22
Points vs xPts-0.070.15-0.29-0.46
Game state
Scored first56%59%35%29%
PPG when scoring first2.162.602.081.40
PPG when conceding first0.500.570.420.45
Came back from behind38%38%30%43%
Leads held62%82%69%40%
Minutes leading28%33%15%12%
Minutes level53%46%55%54%
Minutes trailing19%21%29%35%
First goal (min)33394036
First goal conceded (min)41403635
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%61%59%53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%53%49%46%
Late goals for (76'+)0.320.530.350.35
Late goals against0.240.120.180.24
Style
Possession50%50%48%48%
Shots13.814.611.711.8
On target4.55.03.23.2
Shot conversion10%11%8%8%
Shots inside box57%57%56%59%
Big chances created2.12.31.91.8
Corners5.65.44.64.7
xG from set plays45%44%39%35%
Goals from headers17%18%19%7%
Pressure index14.815.510.19.4
Dominant minutes54.156.046.142.9
Pass accuracy80%82%79%81%
Fouls13.613.414.913.2
Cards2.502.293.032.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Gil Vicente

0–15'84
16–30'26
31–45'147
46–60'64
61–75'69
76–90'118

Santa Clara

0–15'116
16–30'17
31–45'18
46–60'38
61–75'46
76–90'126

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Gil Vicente · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.05) · stands out: at home +0.33

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.055
Early press (0-15, level)-0.105
Late push (76+, level)-0.073
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.192

Game state

When ahead-0.213
When level-0.305
When behind+1.202
10 min after conceding-0.172
10 min after scoring-0.173

Situations

At home+0.333
Away-0.392
4+ days rest+0.055

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.592
As favourite-0.192
As underdog-0.392

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.205
Conceded when ahead+0.403
Conceded late (76+)+0.125

Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level +1.50

Santa Clara · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.116
Early press (0-15, level)-0.176
Late push (76+, level)-0.302

Game state

When ahead-0.085
When level-0.186
10 min after conceding-0.223
10 min after scoring+0.366

Situations

At home+0.073
Away-0.263
4+ days rest-0.116

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.184
As favourite+0.322
Evenly matched-0.274

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.006
Conceded when ahead+0.225
Conceded late (76+)-0.255

Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.44

Gil Vicente

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 79%1.441.371.191.421.16
4-1-4-14 12%1.751.750.751.751.04
4-4-22 6%0.51.01.51.271.39
4-3-31 3%3.01.00.00.580.8

Santa Clara

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-39 26%1.330.890.670.971.01
3-4-37 21%1.290.861.141.251.06
4-2-3-16 18%1.331.00.831.080.96
3-4-2-13 9%0.01.02.331.261.82
5-4-13 9%0.00.331.330.391.04

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.95Home 48% P 48%3.1Draw 30% P 32%4.33Away 22% P 21%

Double Chance

1.2Gil Vicente or Draw 39% P 39%1.36Gil Vicente or Santa Clara 35% P 35%1.8Draw or Santa Clara 26% P 26%

Draw No Bet

1.361 69%3.02 31%

Both Teams To Score

2.25Yes 41% P 40%1.57No 59% P 60%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.7Over 35% P 33%1.44Under 65% P 67%

Total Corners

6.0Under 6 15%2.66 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 32%6.012 - 14 15%15.0Over 14 6%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 20–22.5% · 338 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home48%49%47%-2.2
Draw32%29%33%+3.5
Away21%22%20%-1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 46%

Both teams to score · yes 37.5–40% · 337 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes40%39%41%+2.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 32.5–35% · 400 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.533%34%31%-3.0

Sérgio José dos Santos Guelho

Career
25 matches · 3 seasons
Cards / match
4.8 (4.8 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match
27.6 · 5.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.08
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 25 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.685.66-1.2215
Fouls / match27.627.9-0.16
Fouls per card5.94.9+1.00 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.040.37-2.250
Time added7.77.7+0.1342
First card
28' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-26 30 340 26'10
2025-09-23 60 330 10'11
2025-09-20 · Santa Clara 100 370 7'10
2025-08-31 40 191 15'11
2025-08-24 40 190 28'4
2025-08-09 20 300 18'5
2025-05-03 50 280 34'7
2025-04-18 · Santa Clara 40 290 5'7
2025-03-16 30 240 45'11
2025-02-22 30 230 25'5