Estoril v Arouca · KickoffDNA

Liga Portugal · Matchweek 11

EstorilEstoril

4–3

AroucaArouca

Momentum

– EstorilArouca –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Stats

Loading statistics…

Season context

Estoril	at home	Stat	league	away	Arouca
52.7 #5	–	Ball possession	50.0	–	50.3 #8
11.7 #9	–	Shots total	12.1	–	10.7 #13
4.1 #8	–	Shots on target	4.1	–	3.6 #11
4.4 #9	–	Corners	4.7	–	3.7 #15
13.0 #13	–	Fouls	13.7	–	13.8 #10
1.3 #14	–	Offsides	1.5	–	1.4 #9
14.7 #14	–	Tackles	15.6	–	14.2 #17
99.5 #5	–	Attacks	90.3	–	85.4 #11
43.7 #8	–	Dangerous attacks	42.1	–	33.6 #14
444.9 #5	–	Passes	405.0	–	413.8 #7
2.6 #10	–	Yellowcards	2.6	–	2.8 #5
0.0 #17	–	Redcards	0.1	–	0.2 #1
1.2 #4	–	Assists	0.9	–	1.0 #6
– #1	–	Btts	48.0	–	– #3
– #17	–	Cleansheet	29.2	–	– #12
– #10	–	Draw	27.1	–	– #16
1.2 #10	–	Expected goals	1.3	–	1.0 #15
0.4 #2	–	Expected goals difference	0.0	–	0.3 #3
– #10	–	Failed to score	29.2	–	– #12
1.6 #5	1.7	Goals	1.3	1.2	1.4 #6
1.7 #3	1.5	Goals conceded	1.3	2.0	1.9 #2
0.3 #3	–	Injury time goals	0.2	–	0.2 #6
9.6 #2	–	Interceptions	8.6	–	8.5 #12
– #9	–	Lost	36.4	–	– #4
0.1 #10	–	Penalties scored	0.2	–	0.0 #16
6.8 #8	–	Rating	6.8	–	6.7 #16
2.7 #12	–	Shots blocked	3.2	–	2.4 #16
7.5 #7	–	Shots insidebox	7.4	–	6.2 #13
4.9 #8	–	Shots off target	4.8	–	4.7 #10
4.2 #12	–	Shots outsidebox	4.6	–	4.5 #10
– #10	–	Win	36.4	–	– #7

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.

League this season · 2025/2026

Played: 306 of 306
Goals / match: 2.68 (home 1.5 · away 1.19)
Home / draw / away: 41% · 27% · 32%
BTTS · over 2.5: 48% · 54%
Cards / match: 5.01 (reds 0.13)

Lineups

Waiting for lineups…

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Estoril · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Jordan Holsgrove 10 · Defensive Midfield

Starts

Rating 7.15 (99th pct) · G+A 1 + 7 (15% of team goals) · 93% of minutes

João Carvalho 12 · Attacking Midfield

Starts

Rating 7.14 (98th pct) · G+A 6 + 12 (33% of team goals) · 91% of minutes

Yanis Begraoui 14 · Centre Forward

Starts

Rating 7.04 (85th pct) · G+A 20 + 1 (39% of team goals) · 89% of minutes

All key players

Arouca · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Naïs Djouahra 7 · Left Wing

Starts

Rating 6.83 (56th pct) · G+A 6 + 3 (19% of team goals) · 90% of minutes

Tiago Esgaio 28 · Right Back

Starts

Rating 6.87 (72th pct) · G+A 3 + 5 (17% of team goals) · 80% of minutes

Team 1.41 ppg with (27) · 0.57 without (7)

Taichi Fukui 8 · Central Midfield

Starts

Rating 6.86 (62th pct) · G+A 4 + 3 (15% of team goals) · 83% of minutes

Team 1.28 ppg with (29) · 1.0 without (5)

All key players

Absences

Estoril

injury Xeka #12 key player midfielder · Unknown Injury · 24 missed · until 2025-12-31

Competition

Stage: Regular Season
Round: 11

Venue

Stadium: Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
Capacity: 8,000
Surface: grass
Attendance: 1,856

Teams

Coaches: Ian Cathro · Vasco Freire De Seabra
Position: 12 · 15
Formation: 3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Luis Claudio Pereira dos Santos

Weather

Conditions: heavy intensity rain
Temperature: 17.5° (feels 17.8°)
Wind: 10.1
Humidity: 97%

Where to watch · 5

International Bet365
Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
Ukraine Megogo
United States fuboTV

2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	34	28	4	2	66	18	48	88	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	34	25	7	2	89	24	65	82	DDWWW
3	Benfica	34	23	11	0	74	25	49	80	WWDDW
4	Sporting Braga	34	16	11	7	64	36	28	59	WLDDD
5	Famalicão	34	15	11	8	42	29	13	56	DWDDW
6	Gil Vicente	34	13	11	10	47	38	9	50	LWDLL
7	Moreirense	34	12	7	15	37	49	-12	43	WLWLD
8	Arouca	34	12	6	16	47	64	-17	42	WLDWW
9	Vitória Guimarães	34	12	6	16	39	51	-12	42	WWLLL
10	Estoril	34	10	9	15	54	57	-3	39	LLDDL
11	Alverca	34	10	9	15	35	52	-17	39	LWLDL
12	Rio Ave	34	8	12	14	35	57	-22	36	DLDLD
13	Santa Clara	34	9	9	16	32	41	-9	36	DWDWL
14	Nacional	34	9	7	18	37	45	-8	34	WWLLW
15	Estrela Amadora	34	6	12	16	38	56	-18	30	LLLDD
16	Casa Pia	34	6	12	16	31	57	-26	30	LLLWD
17	Tondela	34	6	10	18	27	55	-28	28	LDWWL
18	AVS	34	3	12	19	27	67	-40	21	DDWWD

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	17	14	3	0	33	6	27	45	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	17	13	2	2	51	11	40	41	DDWWW
3	Benfica	17	11	6	0	41	13	28	39	WWDDW
4	Famalicão	17	9	4	4	27	12	15	31	DWDDW
5	Sporting Braga	17	8	6	3	34	18	16	30	WLDDD
6	Gil Vicente	17	9	3	5	28	17	11	30	LWDLL
7	Vitória Guimarães	17	8	4	5	26	19	7	28	WWLLL
8	Moreirense	17	8	3	6	20	21	-1	27	WLWLD
9	Alverca	17	7	5	5	18	23	-5	26	LWLDL
10	Arouca	17	7	4	6	27	30	-3	25	WLDWW
11	Estoril	17	6	5	6	29	26	3	23	LLDDL
12	Santa Clara	17	7	2	8	17	17	0	23	DWDWL
13	Nacional	17	6	2	9	23	23	0	20	WWLLW
14	Estrela Amadora	17	4	6	7	21	24	-3	18	LLLDD
15	Casa Pia	17	2	9	6	18	26	-8	15	LLLWD
16	Rio Ave	17	3	6	8	17	29	-12	15	DLDLD
17	Tondela	17	2	7	8	13	21	-8	13	LDWWL
18	AVS	17	2	6	9	15	27	-12	12	DDWWD

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	17	14	1	2	33	12	21	43	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	17	12	5	0	38	13	25	41	DDWWW
3	Benfica	17	12	5	0	33	12	21	41	WWDDW
4	Sporting Braga	17	8	5	4	30	18	12	29	WLDDD
5	Famalicão	17	6	7	4	15	17	-2	25	DWDDW
6	Rio Ave	17	5	6	6	18	28	-10	21	DLDLD
7	Gil Vicente	17	4	8	5	19	21	-2	20	LWDLL
8	Arouca	17	5	2	10	20	34	-14	17	WLDWW
9	Estoril	17	4	4	9	25	31	-6	16	LLDDL
10	Moreirense	17	4	4	9	17	28	-11	16	WLWLD
11	Casa Pia	17	4	3	10	13	31	-18	15	LLLWD
12	Tondela	17	4	3	10	14	34	-20	15	LDWWL
13	Nacional	17	3	5	9	14	22	-8	14	WWLLW
14	Vitória Guimarães	17	4	2	11	13	32	-19	14	WWLLL
15	Santa Clara	17	2	7	8	15	24	-9	13	DWDWL
16	Alverca	17	3	4	10	17	29	-12	13	LWLDL
17	Estrela Amadora	17	2	6	9	17	32	-15	12	LLLDD
18	AVS	17	1	6	10	12	40	-28	9	DDWWD

UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Estoril

LLDDW 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 6.61–7.19 · xPts 6.03

W A Rio Ave 4–0 xG 3.39–0.29 PRT PL
D H Nacional 1–1 xG 1.61–1.37 PRT PL
D A Casa Pia 2–2 xG 0.75–1.46 PRT PL
L H Sporting CP 0–1 xG 0.28–1.38 PRT PL
L A Gil Vicente 0–2 xG 0.58–2.68 PRT PL

Arouca

WLDLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 3 GA 13 · xG 3.51–12.54 · xPts 2.64

L H Moreirense 0–2 xG 0.76–1.06 PRT PL
L A Benfica 0–5 xG 0.4–4.49 PRT PL
D H Famalicão 1–1 xG 0.59–1.83 PRT PL
L H Porto 0–4 xG 0.9–2.33 PRT PL
W A Nacional 2–1 xG 0.86–2.83 PRT PL

All meetings · 19 matches since 2013

Estoril 75 draws7 Arouca

Goals 31–27 · 3.05 per match · BTTS 68% · over 2.5 47%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Estoril 32 draws5 Arouca

Goals 18–18 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Estoril 22 draws1 Arouca

Goals 11–8 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

D Estoril 0–0 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
L Arouca 3–2 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
W Estoril 4–3 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
D Arouca 1–1 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
W Estoril 4–1 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
L Estoril 1–2 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
L Arouca 4–3 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
W Estoril 2–0 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
L Arouca 2–0 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
L Estoril 1–2 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season

Metric	Estoril all · 34	Estoril at home · 17	Arouca all · 34	Arouca away · 17
Results
Matches	34	17	34	17
Points per game	1.15	1.35	1.24	1.00
W / D / L	10 / 9 / 15	6 / 5 / 6	12 / 6 / 16	5 / 2 / 10
Goals for / match	1.59	1.71	1.38	1.18
Goals against / match	1.68	1.53	1.88	2.00
Clean sheets	15%	12%	21%	24%
Failed to score	29%	24%	26%	29%
Both teams scored	59%	71%	56%	53%
Over 2.5	62%	59%	68%	65%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.20	1.22	1.04	0.87
xG against / match	1.59	1.65	1.51	1.54
xG difference	-0.39	-0.43	-0.48	-0.66
Finishing vs xG	0.39	0.48	0.34	0.30
xPts / match	1.13	1.10	1.14	1.08
Points vs xPts	0.02	0.25	0.09	-0.08
Game state
Scored first	38%	29%	50%	41%
PPG when scoring first	1.85	2.00	1.82	1.71
PPG when conceding first	0.70	1.09	0.63	0.44
Came back from behind	40%	50%	24%	17%
Leads held	59%	67%	60%	62%
Minutes leading	23%	24%	20%	11%
Minutes level	40%	48%	50%	54%
Minutes trailing	37%	28%	30%	34%
First goal (min)	34	37	37	44
First goal conceded (min)	30	34	35	32
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	52%	52%	62%	60%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	46%	42%	50%	47%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.26	0.29	0.18	0.12
Late goals against	0.24	0.12	0.41	0.41
Style
Possession	53%	53%	50%	51%
Shots	11.7	12.1	10.7	10.6
On target	4.1	4.5	3.6	2.9
Shot conversion	14%	14%	13%	11%
Shots inside box	64%	62%	58%	52%
Big chances created	2.2	2.1	2.1	1.4
Corners	4.4	4.6	3.7	3.4
xG from set plays	32%	26%	24%	30%
Goals from headers	13%	17%	34%	40%
Pressure index	11.2	12.1	10.7	11.0
Dominant minutes	46.8	49.3	43.4	44.0
Pass accuracy	81%	81%	82%	82%
Fouls	13.0	12.5	13.9	13.3
Cards	2.53	2.71	3.32	2.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Estoril

0–15'615

16–30'87

31–45'129

46–60'118

61–75'810

76–90'98

Arouca

0–15'910

16–30'28

31–45'714

46–60'119

61–75'129

76–90'614

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Estoril · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046

Early press (0-15, level)+0.136

Late push (76+, level)+0.013

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.164

Game state

When level+0.036

When behind-0.165

10 min after conceding-0.395

10 min after scoring+0.222

Situations

With ten men-0.212

At home+0.153

Away-0.233

4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.242

v bottom-tier opponents-0.302

Evenly matched-0.113

As underdog-0.242

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.016

Conceded late (76+)-0.176

Behind vs level -0.19

Arouca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046

Early press (0-15, level)-0.146

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.092

Game state

When ahead-0.193

When level-0.036

When behind+0.093

10 min after conceding-0.073

10 min after scoring+0.534

Situations

At home+0.203

Away-0.233

4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222

As favourite+0.292

Evenly matched+0.162

As underdog-0.482

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.196

Conceded when ahead+0.433

Conceded late (76+)-0.095

Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level +0.12

Estoril

Current: winless 14 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-3	7 21%	1.14	2.14	2.14	1.16	1.44
4-3-3	6 18%	1.33	1.33	1.17	1.22	1.36
3-4-2-1	5 15%	0.8	0.8	1.2	0.84	1.46
4-3-1-2	5 15%	0.6	1.4	2.6	1.12	2.41
4-4-2	4 12%	1.75	2.75	1.5	1.67	1.61

Arouca

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	32 94%	1.31	1.44	1.88	1.04	1.52
4-3-3	1 3%	0.0	1.0	3.0	0.85	2.32
5-4-1	1 3%	0.0	0.0	1.0	1.08	0.66

Metric	Estoril all · 10	Estoril at home · 10	Arouca all · 10	Arouca away · 10
Results
Matches	10	10	10	10
Points per game	0.40	0.70	1.70	1.00
W / D / L	0 / 4 / 6	1 / 4 / 5	5 / 2 / 3	3 / 1 / 6
Goals for / match	0.50	0.90	1.70	0.90
Goals against / match	1.40	1.50	1.10	1.30
Clean sheets	10%	20%	30%	30%
Failed to score	50%	40%	20%	40%
Both teams scored	50%	60%	60%	40%
Over 2.5	20%	50%	70%	40%
Expected goals
xG for / match	0.89	1.07	1.11	0.83
xG against / match	1.55	1.72	1.35	1.50
xG difference	-0.65	-0.64	-0.24	-0.67
Finishing vs xG	-0.39	-0.18	0.59	0.07
xPts / match	0.97	0.99	1.27	1.04
Points vs xPts	-0.57	-0.29	0.42	-0.04
Game state
Scored first	0%	10%	50%	40%
PPG when scoring first	–	0.00	2.60	2.25
PPG when conceding first	0.33	0.71	0.75	0.00
Came back from behind	33%	38%	25%	0%
Leads held	–	50%	83%	75%
Minutes leading	0%	6%	26%	11%
Minutes level	55%	55%	56%	63%
Minutes trailing	45%	39%	19%	27%
First goal (min)	74	51	38	52
First goal conceded (min)	37	25	38	44
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	100%	56%	65%	78%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	43%	33%	54%	62%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.30	0.30	0.50	0.10
Late goals against	0.20	0.00	0.20	0.40
Style
Possession	48%	54%	53%	51%
Shots	12.1	13.1	11.3	9.5
On target	4.0	4.6	4.0	2.6
Shot conversion	4%	7%	15%	10%
Shots inside box	59%	60%	56%	54%
Big chances created	1.3	1.8	2.1	1.7
Corners	4.6	5.4	3.3	2.8
xG from set plays	16%	18%	16%	30%
Goals from headers	0%	33%	35%	44%
Pressure index	10.2	11.3	10.4	8.8
Dominant minutes	43.3	48.7	46.5	43.9
Pass accuracy	82%	82%	85%	84%
Fouls	12.7	12.5	11.3	11.6
Cards	2.70	1.80	3.10	2.40

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Estoril

0–15'04

16–30'02

31–45'02

46–60'12

61–75'12

76–90'32

Arouca

0–15'12

16–30'32

31–45'21

46–60'40

61–75'24

76–90'52

Estoril

Current: winless 14 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	5 50%	0.4	0.2	1.2	0.93	1.43
3-4-2-1	2 20%	0.5	0.5	1.0	0.56	1.19
3-4-3	2 20%	0.5	1.0	1.5	0.63	1.24
4-3-1-2	1 10%	0.0	1.0	3.0	1.9	3.44

Arouca

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	10 100%	1.7	1.7	1.1	1.11	1.35

Metric	Estoril all · 35	Estoril at home · 17	Arouca all · 35	Arouca away · 18
Results
Matches	35	17	35	18
Points per game	1.03	1.24	1.34	1.11
W / D / L	9 / 9 / 17	5 / 6 / 6	14 / 5 / 16	6 / 2 / 10
Goals for / match	1.37	1.53	1.37	1.11
Goals against / match	1.63	1.53	1.60	1.61
Clean sheets	17%	18%	29%	33%
Failed to score	37%	29%	26%	33%
Both teams scored	51%	65%	51%	44%
Over 2.5	54%	53%	66%	56%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.11	1.17	1.07	0.88
xG against / match	1.57	1.62	1.54	1.61
xG difference	-0.46	-0.45	-0.47	-0.72
Finishing vs xG	0.26	0.36	0.30	0.23
xPts / match	1.08	1.10	1.16	1.05
Points vs xPts	-0.05	0.14	0.18	0.06
Game state
Scored first	26%	18%	49%	44%
PPG when scoring first	2.11	2.00	1.94	1.88
PPG when conceding first	0.63	1.08	0.75	0.38
Came back from behind	37%	54%	20%	9%
Leads held	69%	71%	67%	67%
Minutes leading	17%	16%	21%	13%
Minutes level	43%	51%	52%	58%
Minutes trailing	40%	34%	27%	29%
First goal (min)	39	42	39	45
First goal conceded (min)	28	25	34	36
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	56%	58%	60%	65%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	42%	35%	46%	52%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.26	0.29	0.17	0.11
Late goals against	0.23	0.06	0.34	0.39
Style
Possession	51%	52%	50%	51%
Shots	11.5	12.8	10.8	10.2
On target	4.0	4.8	3.6	2.8
Shot conversion	12%	12%	13%	11%
Shots inside box	64%	62%	58%	54%
Big chances created	2.0	2.1	2.2	1.6
Corners	4.6	5.3	3.6	3.3
xG from set plays	32%	29%	22%	28%
Goals from headers	15%	19%	35%	35%
Pressure index	11.0	12.1	10.7	11.3
Dominant minutes	44.8	47.3	42.9	44.2
Pass accuracy	81%	81%	82%	83%
Fouls	12.8	12.3	13.1	12.6
Cards	2.46	2.29	3.34	2.67

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Estoril

0–15'516

16–30'67

31–45'1010

46–60'107

61–75'89

76–90'98

Arouca

0–15'89

16–30'39

31–45'812

46–60'137

61–75'107

76–90'612

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Estoril · 35 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.05) · stands out: against ten men -0.47

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.0535

Early press (0-15, level)-0.0635

Late push (76+, level)-0.0611

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1918

Game state

When ahead-0.0713

When level-0.0135

When behind-0.0927

10 min after conceding-0.2528

10 min after scoring+0.3122

Situations

With ten men+0.083

Against ten men-0.473

At home+0.0117

Away-0.1118

4+ days rest-0.0535

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.1610

v mid-tier opponents+0.067

v bottom-tier opponents-0.0713

As favourite+0.088

Evenly matched+0.0113

As underdog-0.1814

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.0935

Conceded when ahead+0.0813

Conceded late (76+)-0.0831

Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level -0.09

Arouca · 35 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.47

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.0235

Early press (0-15, level)-0.0334

Late push (76+, level)-0.4712

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0213

Game state

When ahead-0.2021

When level-0.0134

When behind+0.1020

10 min after conceding-0.1025

10 min after scoring+0.1526

Situations

With ten men-0.205

Against ten men+0.208

At home-0.1017

Away+0.0418

4+ days rest-0.0235

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.348

v mid-tier opponents-0.199

v bottom-tier opponents+0.0710

As favourite-0.074

Evenly matched+0.2214

As underdog-0.2317

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.1535

Conceded when ahead+0.2521

Conceded late (76+)+0.1029

Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level +0.11

Estoril

Current: winless 14 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-3-3	6 17%	1.33	1.33	1.17	1.22	1.36
4-2-3-1	6 17%	0.83	0.83	1.17	0.97	1.32
4-3-1-2	5 14%	0.6	1.4	2.6	1.12	2.41
3-4-3	5 14%	1.2	2.2	2.2	0.94	1.31
3-4-2-1	4 11%	0.25	0.25	1.25	0.5	1.61

Arouca

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	33 94%	1.42	1.42	1.58	1.08	1.54
5-4-1	1 3%	0.0	0.0	1.0	1.08	0.66
4-3-3	1 3%	0.0	1.0	3.0	0.85	2.32

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.95Home 48% P 49%3.6Draw 26% P 28%3.6Away 26% P 23%

Double Chance

1.28Estoril or Draw 37% P 38%1.28Estoril or FC Arouca 37% P 36%1.8Draw or FC Arouca 26% P 26%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 55%1.95No 48% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.95Over 49% P 49%1.85Under 51% P 51%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.756 - 8 32%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 22.5–25% · 809 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	49%	49%	47%	-1.9
Draw	28%	28%	29%	+1.6
Away	23%	24%	24%	+0.2

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Yes	55%	56%	57%	+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	49%	49%	50%	+1.3

Luis Claudio Pereira dos Santos

Career: 11 matches · 1 seasons
Cards / match: 5.64 (5.55 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match: 30.2 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.18
Cards to home side: 52%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 16 matches)

Metric	Referee	League	vs peers	pct
Cards / match	4.81	5.66	-1.05	18
Fouls / match	28.6	27.8	+0.40
Fouls per card	6.0	4.9	+1.08 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match	0.12	0.37	-1.66	6
Time added	7.8	7.7	+0.24	61

First card: 41' on average
Card timing: 11% in first 30' · 39% in last 15'
Cards to home side: 46% (league 48%)
VAR events / match: 1.0

Recent matches

Date	Y	R	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2025-11-01	10	1	33	0	25'	9
2025-10-05	9	0	32	1	39'	9
2025-09-28	9	0	34	0	16'	12
2025-01-25	4	0	29	0	62'	7
2024-12-27 · Arouca	1	0	32	0	82'	4
2024-12-21	3	0	23	0	42'	3
2024-11-30	10	0	27	0	22'	12

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2025/2026

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Estoril · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Arouca · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Absences

Estoril

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 5

Estoril

Arouca

All meetings · 19 matches since 2013

Last 10 · 10 matches

Last 5 · 5 matches

Recent meetings

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Estoril

Arouca

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Estoril · 6 matches

Arouca · 6 matches

Estoril

Arouca

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Estoril

Arouca

Estoril

Arouca

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Estoril

Arouca

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Estoril · 35 matches

Arouca · 35 matches

Estoril

Arouca

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 22.5–25% · 809 fixtures

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

Luis Claudio Pereira dos Santos

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 16 matches)

Recent matches