Rating 6.99 (82th pct) · G+A 6 + 7 (20% of team goals) · 94% of minutes
Liga Portugal · Matchweek 12
Momentum
– PortoEstoril –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Porto | at home | Stat | league | away | Estoril |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55.0 #4 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 52.7 #5 |
| 14.5 #3 | – | Shots total | 12.1 | – | 11.7 #9 |
| 5.3 #3 | – | Shots on target | 4.1 | – | 4.1 #8 |
| 5.7 #3 | – | Corners | 4.7 | – | 4.4 #9 |
| 13.9 #8 | – | Fouls | 13.7 | – | 13.0 #13 |
| 2.1 #1 | – | Offsides | 1.5 | – | 1.3 #14 |
| 14.9 #12 | – | Tackles | 15.6 | – | 14.7 #14 |
| 104.3 #4 | – | Attacks | 90.3 | – | 99.5 #5 |
| 51.4 #4 | – | Dangerous attacks | 42.1 | – | 43.7 #8 |
| 449.7 #4 | – | Passes | 405.0 | – | 444.9 #5 |
| 2.3 #14 | – | Yellowcards | 2.6 | – | 2.6 #10 |
| 0.0 #12 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.0 #17 |
| 1.3 #3 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 1.2 #4 |
| – #16 | – | Btts | 48.0 | – | – #1 |
| – #1 | – | Cleansheet | 29.2 | – | – #17 |
| – #18 | – | Draw | 27.1 | – | – #10 |
| 1.9 #3 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 1.2 #10 |
| 0.1 #6 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | 0.4 #2 |
| – #17 | – | Failed to score | 29.2 | – | – #10 |
| 1.9 #3 | 1.9 | Goals | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.6 #5 |
| 0.5 #18 | 0.3 | Goals conceded | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.7 #3 |
| 0.1 #15 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.3 #3 |
| 9.2 #6 | – | Interceptions | 8.6 | – | 9.6 #2 |
| – #16 | – | Lost | 36.4 | – | – #9 |
| 0.2 #3 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #10 |
| 6.9 #3 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #8 |
| 4.0 #3 | – | Shots blocked | 3.2 | – | 2.7 #12 |
| 9.6 #3 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.4 | – | 7.5 #7 |
| 5.2 #7 | – | Shots off target | 4.8 | – | 4.9 #8 |
| 4.9 #8 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.6 | – | 4.2 #12 |
| – #1 | – | Win | 36.4 | – | – #10 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 306 of 306
- Goals / match
- 2.68 (home 1.5 · away 1.19)
- Home / draw / away
- 41% · 27% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 48% · 54%
- Cards / match
- 5.01 (reds 0.13)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Porto · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal
Rating 7.11 (93th pct) · G+A 13 + 1 (21% of team goals) · 46% of minutes
Team 2.63 ppg with (19) · 2.53 without (15)
Rating 7.03 (89th pct) · G+A 1 + 8 (14% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Team 2.56 ppg with (25) · 2.67 without (9)
Estoril · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal
Rating 7.15 (99th pct) · G+A 1 + 7 (15% of team goals) · 93% of minutes
Rating 7.14 (98th pct) · G+A 6 + 12 (33% of team goals) · 91% of minutes
Rating 7.04 (85th pct) · G+A 20 + 1 (39% of team goals) · 89% of minutes
Absences
Porto
- injury Nehuén Pérez #14 key player defender · Unknown Injury · 38 missed · until 2026-04-01
- suspension Tomás Pérez midfielder · Called Up To National Team · 3 missed · until 2025-10-23
Estoril
- injury Xeka #12 key player midfielder · Unknown Injury · 24 missed · until 2025-12-31
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 12
Venue
- Stadium
- Estádio Do Dragão, Porto
- Capacity
- 50,033
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 45,092
Teams
- Coaches
- Francesco Farioli · Ian Cathro
- Position
- 1 · 10
- Formation
- 4-3-3 · 4-3-3
Referee
André Filipe Domingues Narciso
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 6.7° (feels 3.8°)
- Wind
- 4.1
- Humidity
- 93%
Where to watch · 21
Austria
Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Brazil
Claro TV+ · Disney+ Premium Brazil · Sky+ · Vivo Play · Zapping
France
beIN SPORTS CONNECT · Free
Germany
DAZN Germany · Sportdigital FUSSBALL- International Bet365
Italy
DAZN Italia
Liechtenstein
Blue Sport
Netherlands
Ziggo Sport
North Macedonia
MaxTV Go
Portugal
Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
Switzerland
Blue Sport · Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Ukraine
Megogo
United States
fuboTV
2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto |
34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66 | 18 | 48 | 88 | WWWLW |
| 2 |  Sporting CP |
34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 82 | DDWWW |
| 3 |  Benfica |
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74 | 25 | 49 | 80 | WWDDW |
| 4 |  Sporting Braga |
34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 59 | WLDDD |
| 5 |  Famalicão |
34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 56 | DWDDW |
| 6 |  Gil Vicente |
34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 50 | LWDLL |
| 7 |  Moreirense |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 | WLWLD |
| 8 |  Arouca |
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47 | 64 | -17 | 42 | WLDWW |
| 9 |  Vitória Guimarães |
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 42 | WWLLL |
| 10 |  Estoril |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 39 | LLDDL |
| 11 |  Alverca |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 39 | LWLDL |
| 12 |  Rio Ave |
34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 36 | DLDLD |
| 13 |  Santa Clara |
34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 36 | DWDWL |
| 14 |  Nacional |
34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 34 | WWLLW |
| 15 |  Estrela Amadora |
34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 30 | LLLDD |
| 16 |  Casa Pia |
34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 | LLLWD |
| 17 |  Tondela |
34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 28 | LDWWL |
| 18 |  AVS |
34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27 | 67 | -40 | 21 | DDWWD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto |
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 33 | 6 | 27 | 45 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Sporting CP |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 11 | 40 | 41 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Benfica |
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 41 | 13 | 28 | 39 | WWDDW |
| 4 | Famalicão |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 31 | DWDDW |
| 5 | Sporting Braga |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 30 | WLDDD |
| 6 | Gil Vicente |
17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 30 | LWDLL |
| 7 | Vitória Guimarães |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 28 | WWLLL |
| 8 | Moreirense |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 27 | WLWLD |
| 9 | Alverca |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 26 | LWLDL |
| 10 | Arouca |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 25 | WLDWW |
| 11 | Estoril |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 23 | LLDDL |
| 12 | Santa Clara |
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 | DWDWL |
| 13 | Nacional |
17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 20 | WWLLW |
| 14 | Estrela Amadora |
17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 18 | LLLDD |
| 15 | Casa Pia |
17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 15 | LLLWD |
| 16 | Rio Ave |
17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 | DLDLD |
| 17 | Tondela |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 13 | LDWWL |
| 18 | AVS |
17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 12 | DDWWD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto |
17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 43 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Sporting CP |
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 38 | 13 | 25 | 41 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Benfica |
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 | WWDDW |
| 4 | Sporting Braga |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 29 | WLDDD |
| 5 | Famalicão |
17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 | DWDDW |
| 6 | Rio Ave |
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 21 | DLDLD |
| 7 | Gil Vicente |
17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 20 | LWDLL |
| 8 | Arouca |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 17 | WLDWW |
| 9 | Estoril |
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 16 | LLDDL |
| 10 | Moreirense |
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 16 | WLWLD |
| 11 | Casa Pia |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 15 | LLLWD |
| 12 | Tondela |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 34 | -20 | 15 | LDWWL |
| 13 | Nacional |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 14 | WWLLW |
| 14 | Vitória Guimarães |
17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 14 | WWLLL |
| 15 | Santa Clara |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 | DWDWL |
| 16 | Alverca |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Estrela Amadora |
17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 | LLLDD |
| 18 | AVS |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 40 | -28 | 9 | DDWWD |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Porto
WWDWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 9 GA 3 · xG 7.31–3.14 · xPts 9.75
- W
H
Nice
3–0
xG 1.31–0.81
UEFA EL - W
A
Famalicão
1–0
xG 1.48–0.32
PRT PL
- D
A
FC Utrecht
1–1
xG 1.68–0.63
UEFA EL - W
H
Sporting Braga
2–1
xG 0.75–1.06
PRT PL
- W
A
Moreirense
2–1
xG 2.09–0.32
PRT PL
WWWDLWWDWW 7W 2D 1L · 23 pts (2.3 ppg) · GF 16 GA 6 · xG 15.24–8.4 · xPts 18.53
- W
H
Nice
3–0
xG 1.31–0.81
UEFA EL
- W
A
Famalicão
1–0
xG 1.48–0.32
PRT PL
- D
A
FC Utrecht
1–1
xG 1.68–0.63
UEFA EL
- W
H
Sporting Braga
2–1
xG 0.75–1.06
PRT PL
- W
A
Moreirense
2–1
xG 2.09–0.32
PRT PL
- L
A
Nottingham Forest
0–2
xG 0.92–2.25
UEFA EL - D
H
Benfica
0–0
xG 1.04–0.13
PRT PL
- W
H
Crvena Zvezda
2–1
xG 2.38–0.78
UEFA EL - W
A
Arouca
4–0
xG 2.33–0.9
PRT PL
- W
A
Salzburg
1–0
xG 1.26–1.2
UEFA EL
Estoril
LDDWW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 11 GA 7 · xG 8.01–5.66 · xPts 7.64
- W
H
Arouca
4–3
xG 1.98–1.15
PRT PL
- W
A
Rio Ave
4–0
xG 3.39–0.29
PRT PL
- D
H
Nacional
1–1
xG 1.61–1.37
PRT PL
- D
A
Casa Pia
2–2
xG 0.75–1.46
PRT PL
- L
H
Sporting CP
0–1
xG 0.28–1.38
PRT PL
LDLWLLDDWW 3W 3D 4L · 12 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 18 GA 16 · xG 14.51–15.43 · xPts 12.76
- W
H
Arouca
4–3
xG 1.98–1.15
PRT PL
- W
A
Rio Ave
4–0
xG 3.39–0.29
PRT PL
- D
H
Nacional
1–1
xG 1.61–1.37
PRT PL
- D
A
Casa Pia
2–2
xG 0.75–1.46
PRT PL
- L
H
Sporting CP
0–1
xG 0.28–1.38
PRT PL
- L
A
Gil Vicente
0–2
xG 0.58–2.68
PRT PL
- W
H
AVS
3–1
xG 2.23–0.89
PRT PL
- L
H
Santa Clara
0–1
xG 0.86–1.71
PRT PL
- D
A
Tondela
2–2
xG 1.85–2.56
PRT PL
- L
A
Vitória Guimarães
2–3
xG 0.98–1.94
PRT PL
All meetings · 22 matches since 2012
Goals 47–18 · 2.95 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 59%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 19–9 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 10–3 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- W Estoril 1–3 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Porto 1–0 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Estoril 1–2 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Porto 4–0 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Estoril 1–0 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Porto 0–1 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Porto 3–2 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Estoril 1–1 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Porto 2–0 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Estoril 2–3 Porto neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Porto all · 34 | Porto at home · 17 | Estoril all · 34 | Estoril away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 2.59 | 2.65 | 1.15 | 0.94 |
| W / D / L | 28 / 4 / 2 | 14 / 3 / 0 | 10 / 9 / 15 | 4 / 4 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 1.94 | 1.94 | 1.59 | 1.47 |
| Goals against / match | 0.53 | 0.35 | 1.68 | 1.82 |
| Clean sheets | 62% | 71% | 15% | 18% |
| Failed to score | 3% | 6% | 29% | 35% |
| Both teams scored | 38% | 29% | 59% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 47% | 62% | 65% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.86 | 1.85 | 1.20 | 1.18 |
| xG against / match | 0.71 | 0.58 | 1.59 | 1.52 |
| xG difference | 1.16 | 1.27 | -0.39 | -0.34 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.08 | 0.09 | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| xPts / match | 2.07 | 2.12 | 1.13 | 1.15 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.52 | 0.53 | 0.02 | -0.21 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 85% | 94% | 38% | 47% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.79 | 2.75 | 1.85 | 1.75 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.50 | – | 0.70 | 0.22 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | – | 40% | 31% |
| Leads held | 90% | 88% | 59% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 51% | 54% | 23% | 23% |
| Minutes level | 43% | 46% | 40% | 31% |
| Minutes trailing | 6% | 0% | 37% | 45% |
| First goal (min) | 36 | 33 | 34 | 30 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 56 | 65 | 30 | 27 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 56% | 52% | 52% | 52% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 78% | 100% | 46% | 48% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.35 | 0.47 | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| Late goals against | 0.18 | 0.12 | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 55% | 56% | 53% | 52% |
| Shots | 14.5 | 14.6 | 11.7 | 11.3 |
| On target | 5.3 | 5.4 | 4.1 | 3.6 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 13% | 14% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 68% | 64% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 2.9 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 5.6 | 4.4 | 4.1 |
| xG from set plays | 31% | 33% | 32% | 39% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 6% | 13% | 8% |
| Pressure index | 19.9 | 20.8 | 11.2 | 10.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 64.8 | 64.9 | 46.8 | 44.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 85% | 81% | 81% |
| Fouls | 13.9 | 13.6 | 13.0 | 13.5 |
| Cards | 2.53 | 2.12 | 2.53 | 2.35 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Porto
0–15'91
16–30'82
31–45'121
46–60'135
61–75'123
76–90'126
Estoril
0–15'615
16–30'87
31–45'129
46–60'118
61–75'810
76–90'98
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Porto · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.40) · stands out: when level +0.80
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.407
Early press (0-15, level)+0.717
Game state
When ahead+0.146
When level+0.807
When behind+0.193
10 min after conceding+0.203
10 min after scoring+0.616
Situations
At home+0.404
Away+0.393
4+ days rest+0.407
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.605
As favourite+0.566
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.077
Conceded when ahead+0.126
Conceded late (76+)+0.026
Ahead vs level -0.67 · Behind vs level -0.61
Estoril · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.39
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.136
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.164
Game state
When level+0.036
When behind-0.165
10 min after conceding-0.395
10 min after scoring+0.222
Situations
With ten men-0.212
At home+0.153
Away-0.233
4+ days rest-0.046
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.242
v bottom-tier opponents-0.302
Evenly matched-0.113
As underdog-0.242
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.016
Conceded late (76+)-0.176
Behind vs level -0.19
Porto
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 34 100% | 2.59 | 1.94 | 0.53 | 1.86 | 0.71 |
Estoril
Current: winless 14 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 7 21% | 1.14 | 2.14 | 2.14 | 1.16 | 1.44 |
| 4-3-3 | 6 18% | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.17 | 1.22 | 1.36 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 5 15% | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.84 | 1.46 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 5 15% | 0.6 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 1.12 | 2.41 |
| 4-4-2 | 4 12% | 1.75 | 2.75 | 1.5 | 1.67 | 1.61 |
| Metric | Porto all · 10 | Porto at home · 10 | Estoril all · 10 | Estoril away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.40 | 2.30 | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 2 | 7 / 2 / 1 | 0 / 4 / 6 | 1 / 2 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.80 | 1.50 | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| Goals against / match | 0.70 | 0.60 | 1.40 | 1.70 |
| Clean sheets | 60% | 60% | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 10% | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 30% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 20% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.96 | 1.85 | 0.89 | 0.74 |
| xG against / match | 1.09 | 1.07 | 1.55 | 1.46 |
| xG difference | 0.87 | 0.78 | -0.65 | -0.72 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.16 | -0.35 | -0.39 | -0.14 |
| xPts / match | 1.86 | 1.79 | 0.97 | 0.89 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.54 | 0.52 | -0.57 | -0.39 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 80% | 0% | 20% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 2.50 | – | 1.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.50 | 1.50 | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 50% | 33% | 22% |
| Leads held | 100% | 78% | – | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 45% | 38% | 0% | 12% |
| Minutes level | 42% | 56% | 55% | 44% |
| Minutes trailing | 14% | 7% | 45% | 45% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 37 | 74 | 44 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 33 | 34 | 37 | 35 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 53% | 100% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 57% | 67% | 43% | 53% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 55% | 52% | 48% | 50% |
| Shots | 14.4 | 14.4 | 12.1 | 9.2 |
| On target | 5.1 | 5.6 | 4.0 | 2.6 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 10% | 4% | 6% |
| Shots inside box | 69% | 68% | 59% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 3.1 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Corners | 6.7 | 6.4 | 4.6 | 3.2 |
| xG from set plays | 32% | 32% | 16% | 19% |
| Goals from headers | 29% | 13% | 0% | 17% |
| Pressure index | 16.3 | 16.0 | 10.2 | 8.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 56.6 | 57.3 | 43.3 | 40.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 84% | 82% | 82% |
| Fouls | 12.7 | 12.1 | 12.7 | 13.2 |
| Cards | 1.00 | 1.70 | 2.70 | 3.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Porto
0–15'30
16–30'12
31–45'51
46–60'32
61–75'30
76–90'32
Estoril
0–15'04
16–30'02
31–45'02
46–60'12
61–75'12
76–90'32
Porto
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 10 100% | 2.4 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 1.96 | 1.09 |
Estoril
Current: winless 14 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 50% | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.93 | 1.43 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 20% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.63 | 1.24 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 20% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.56 | 1.19 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 3.44 |
| Metric | Porto all · 48 | Porto at home · 24 | Estoril all · 35 | Estoril away · 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 48 | 24 | 35 | 18 |
| Points per game | 2.40 | 2.54 | 1.03 | 0.83 |
| W / D / L | 36 / 7 / 5 | 19 / 4 / 1 | 9 / 9 / 17 | 4 / 3 / 11 |
| Goals for / match | 1.81 | 1.83 | 1.37 | 1.22 |
| Goals against / match | 0.65 | 0.54 | 1.63 | 1.72 |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 54% | 17% | 17% |
| Failed to score | 8% | 8% | 37% | 44% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 42% | 51% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 46% | 54% | 56% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.85 | 1.93 | 1.11 | 1.06 |
| xG against / match | 0.86 | 0.79 | 1.57 | 1.53 |
| xG difference | 0.99 | 1.15 | -0.46 | -0.47 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.04 | -0.10 | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| xPts / match | 1.97 | 2.03 | 1.08 | 1.06 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.43 | 0.51 | -0.05 | -0.23 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 73% | 83% | 26% | 33% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.77 | 2.70 | 2.11 | 2.17 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.42 | 2.00 | 0.63 | 0.17 |
| Came back from behind | 58% | 67% | 37% | 21% |
| Leads held | 90% | 86% | 69% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 45% | 49% | 17% | 19% |
| Minutes level | 43% | 47% | 43% | 35% |
| Minutes trailing | 12% | 4% | 40% | 46% |
| First goal (min) | 36 | 30 | 39 | 35 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 43 | 48 | 28 | 30 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 52% | 48% | 56% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 58% | 69% | 42% | 48% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.35 | 0.38 | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| Late goals against | 0.19 | 0.17 | 0.23 | 0.39 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 54% | 53% | 51% | 50% |
| Shots | 14.2 | 14.4 | 11.5 | 10.3 |
| On target | 5.1 | 5.2 | 4.0 | 3.3 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 67% | 64% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 2.8 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 5.6 | 4.6 | 3.9 |
| xG from set plays | 32% | 30% | 32% | 35% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 9% | 15% | 9% |
| Pressure index | 20.0 | 21.1 | 11.0 | 10.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 61.4 | 60.9 | 44.8 | 42.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 84% | 81% | 81% |
| Fouls | 13.0 | 13.0 | 12.8 | 13.3 |
| Cards | 2.19 | 1.75 | 2.46 | 2.61 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Porto
0–15'145
16–30'114
31–45'174
46–60'147
61–75'142
76–90'179
Estoril
0–15'516
16–30'67
31–45'1010
46–60'107
61–75'89
76–90'98
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Porto · 48 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.90
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.4748
Early press (0-15, level)+0.5847
Late push (76+, level)+0.3814
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.076
Game state
When ahead+0.4439
When level+0.4947
When behind+0.5012
10 min after conceding+0.2622
10 min after scoring+0.9043
Situations
With ten men+0.364
Against ten men+0.616
At home+0.4124
Away+0.5424
3 days rest or fewer+0.249
4+ days rest+0.5239
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1711
v mid-tier opponents+0.517
v bottom-tier opponents+0.7116
As favourite+0.6040
Evenly matched-0.065
As underdog-0.323
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1348
Conceded when ahead-0.0539
Conceded late (76+)-0.2743
Congested vs rested -0.29 · Ahead vs level -0.05 · Behind vs level +0.01
Estoril · 35 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.05) · stands out: against ten men -0.47
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0535
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0635
Late push (76+, level)-0.0611
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1918
Game state
When ahead-0.0713
When level-0.0135
When behind-0.0927
10 min after conceding-0.2528
10 min after scoring+0.3122
Situations
With ten men+0.083
Against ten men-0.473
At home+0.0117
Away-0.1118
4+ days rest-0.0535
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1610
v mid-tier opponents+0.067
v bottom-tier opponents-0.0713
As favourite+0.088
Evenly matched+0.0113
As underdog-0.1814
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0935
Conceded when ahead+0.0813
Conceded late (76+)-0.0831
Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level -0.09
Porto
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 48 100% | 2.4 | 1.81 | 0.65 | 1.85 | 0.86 |
Estoril
Current: winless 14 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 6 17% | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.17 | 1.22 | 1.36 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 17% | 0.83 | 0.83 | 1.17 | 0.97 | 1.32 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 5 14% | 0.6 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 1.12 | 2.41 |
| 3-4-3 | 5 14% | 1.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0.94 | 1.31 |
| 4-4-2 | 4 11% | 1.75 | 2.75 | 1.5 | 1.67 | 1.61 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.22Home 77% P 80%5.75Draw 16% P 14%13.0Away 7% P 6%
Double Chance
1.04FC Porto or Draw 46% P 47%1.14FC Porto or Estoril 42% P 43%4.0Draw or Estoril 12% P 10%
Draw No Bet
1.051 91%11.02 9%
Both Teams To Score
2.2Yes 42% P 42%1.61No 58% P 58%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.53Over 61% P 61%2.4Under 39% P 39%
Total Corners
9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 77.5–80% · away 5–7.5% · 360 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 80% | 79% | 82% | +3.0 |
| Draw | 14% | 14% | 13% | -1.5 |
| Away | 6% | 7% | 5% | -1.5 |
In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 63%
Both teams to score · yes 40–42.5% · 664 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42% | 41% | 41% | -0.7 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,029 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 61% | 63% | +1.6 |
André Filipe Domingues Narciso
- Career
- 107 matches · 9 seasons
- Cards / match
- 5.62 (5.36 yellow · 0.13 red)
- Fouls / match
- 31.4 · 5.6 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.36
- Cards to home side
- 48%
Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 71 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 5.34 | 5.66 | -0.38 | 30 |
| Fouls / match | 29.5 | 27.8 | +0.86 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.5 | 4.9 | +0.56 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.42 | 0.37 | +0.45 | 67 |
| Time added | 7.2 | 7.7 | -0.46 | 27 |
- First card
- 30' on average
- Card timing
- 15% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 48% (league 48%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.28
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 56' | 6 |
| 2025-05-17 | 3 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 33' | 6 |
| 2025-05-03 | 10 | 1 | 41 | 0 | 9' | 8 |
| 2025-04-04 · Estoril | 4 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 56' | 6 |
| 2025-03-08 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 3 | 19' | 6 |
| 2025-03-01 | 11 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 22' | 11 |
| 2025-02-23 | 6 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 30' | 12 |
| 2025-02-08 | 5 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 34' | 7 |
| 2025-01-26 · Porto | 10 | 1 | 35 | 2 | 12' | 10 |
| 2025-01-05 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 17' | 6 |