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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 12

Momentum

MoreirenseFamalicão
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
12

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos
Capacity
6,150
Surface
grass
Attendance
1,999

Teams

Coaches
Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa · Hugo Filipe Carvalho Oliveira
Position
6 · 5
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

David Rafael Oliveira Silva

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
15.7° (feels 15.3°)
Wind
4.0
Humidity
74%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Moreirense

WLLWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 5.47–9.49 · xPts 4.64

  • L A Sporting Braga 1–2 xG 1.08–2.56 PRT PL
  • W A Arouca 2–0 xG 1.06–0.76 PRT PL
  • L H Porto 1–2 xG 0.32–2.09 PRT PL
  • L A Nacional 2–3 xG 1.71–2.53 PRT PL
  • W H Casa Pia 2–1 xG 1.3–1.56 PRT PL

Famalicão

DDWWL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 2 · xG 8.36–3.58 · xPts 9.85

  • L H Porto 0–1 xG 0.32–1.48 PRT PL
  • W A Nacional 1–0 xG 1.76–0.37 PRT PL
  • W H Vitória Guimarães 2–0 xG 1.62–0.53 PRT PL
  • D A Arouca 1–1 xG 1.83–0.59 PRT PL
  • D H Rio Ave 0–0 xG 2.82–0.6 PRT PL

All meetings · 12 matches since 2019

Moreirense 37 draws2 Famalicão

Goals 15–16 · 2.58 per match · BTTS 42% · over 2.5 42%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Moreirense 35 draws2 Famalicão

Goals 11–12 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Moreirense 13 draws1 Famalicão

Goals 4–5 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Famalicão 1–1 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Moreirense 2–2 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Famalicão 2–0 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Moreirense 0–0 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Moreirense 1–0 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Famalicão 0–0 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Famalicão 5–0 Moreirense neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Moreirense 2–2 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Moreirense 3–0 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Famalicão 0–2 Moreirense neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricMoreirense all · 34Moreirense at home · 17Famalicão all · 34Famalicão away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.261.591.651.47
W / D / L12 / 7 / 158 / 3 / 615 / 11 / 86 / 7 / 4
Goals for / match1.091.181.240.88
Goals against / match1.441.240.851.00
Clean sheets26%29%50%41%
Failed to score32%29%26%35%
Both teams scored47%47%35%35%
Over 2.550%53%38%29%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.910.941.421.24
xG against / match1.541.341.001.12
xG difference-0.63-0.410.420.12
Finishing vs xG0.180.24-0.18-0.36
xPts / match1.021.101.661.48
Points vs xPts0.250.49-0.01-0.01
Game state
Scored first44%47%53%47%
PPG when scoring first2.202.382.442.50
PPG when conceding first0.470.880.670.43
Came back from behind25%33%43%43%
Leads held71%80%75%67%
Minutes leading22%18%24%20%
Minutes level52%60%60%67%
Minutes trailing26%21%16%13%
First goal (min)35434752
First goal conceded (min)40423950
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%70%64%73%
Goals conceded in 2nd half61%57%55%71%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.240.260.12
Late goals against0.350.240.260.53
Style
Possession50%50%52%49%
Shots8.99.412.410.5
On target3.23.14.33.6
Shot conversion12%13%10%8%
Shots inside box59%58%67%68%
Big chances created1.71.42.52.2
Corners3.64.05.55.2
xG from set plays27%30%31%32%
Goals from headers24%30%26%33%
Pressure index10.610.213.811.5
Dominant minutes42.947.353.550.7
Pass accuracy83%83%82%81%
Fouls13.913.815.716.0
Cards2.712.592.682.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Moreirense

0–15'85
16–30'47
31–45'37
46–60'710
61–75'98
76–90'612

Famalicão

0–15'34
16–30'65
31–45'64
46–60'85
61–75'102
76–90'99

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Moreirense · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.31) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.316
Early press (0-15, level)-0.526
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.282

Game state

When ahead-0.163
When level-0.416
When behind-0.334
10 min after conceding-0.435
10 min after scoring+0.184

Situations

At home-0.293
Away-0.333
4+ days rest-0.316

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.443
v bottom-tier opponents-0.242
Evenly matched-0.212
As underdog-0.384

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.796
Conceded when ahead+0.703
Conceded late (76+)+0.344

Ahead vs level +0.25 · Behind vs level +0.09

Famalicão · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.34

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.026
Early press (0-15, level)-0.196
Late push (76+, level)-0.345
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.154

Game state

When ahead-0.013
When level-0.106
When behind+0.284
10 min after conceding-0.235
10 min after scoring+0.114

Situations

At home+0.003
Away-0.043
4+ days rest-0.026

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.192
As favourite+0.092
Evenly matched-0.043

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.046
Conceded when ahead-0.013
Conceded late (76+)+0.026

Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level +0.37

Moreirense

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%1.611.171.220.91.53
4-3-38 24%0.881.131.631.021.45
4-4-24 12%1.01.01.50.751.72
3-4-32 6%1.51.51.51.192.06
4-1-4-11 3%0.00.04.00.660.96

Famalicão

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 6 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-125 74%1.61.240.921.41.07
4-3-37 21%1.861.140.571.610.69
4-1-4-12 6%1.51.51.01.031.17

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.0Home 31% P 30%3.25Draw 29% P 30%2.35Away 40% P 40%

Double Chance

1.61Moreirense or Draw 29% P 30%1.33Moreirense or Famalicao 36% P 35%1.36Draw or Famalicao 35% P 35%

Draw No Bet

2.251 41%1.572 59%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50% P 52%1.9No 50% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 44%1.7Under 55% P 56%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 37.5–40% · 145 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home30%29%25%-4.4
Draw30%32%35%+3.5
Away40%39%40%+0.9

In those fixtures: 2.2 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 37%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

David Rafael Oliveira Silva

Career
50 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
6.72 (6.38 yellow · 0.22 red)
Fouls / match
29.5 · 4.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 43 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.235.66+0.7582
Fouls / match29.927.8+1.05
Fouls per card4.84.9-0.35 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.190.37-1.239
Time added8.17.7+0.5976
First card
32' on average
Card timing
10% in first 30' · 44% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.19

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-04 50 220 24'13
2025-08-17 · Moreirense 90 380 42'9
2025-08-09 90 370 42'8
2025-04-26 80 311 34'10
2025-04-12 71 280 23'10
2025-03-02 40 361 8'9
2025-02-16 70 330 56'7
2024-12-08 72 241 47'6