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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 13

Momentum

CFEAArouca
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
13

Venue

Stadium
Estádio José Gomes, Amadora
Capacity
9,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
3,019

Teams

Coaches
Nuno Silva Soto Lopes · Vasco Freire De Seabra
Position
14 · 17
Formation
3-4-3 · 4-3-3

Referee

João António Ferreira Gonçalves

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
13.9° (feels 13.7°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
89%

Where to watch · 6

  • International Bet365
  • Liechtenstein Blue Sport
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · TV 4 Sport
  • Switzerland Blue Sport
  • Ukraine Megogo

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Estrela Amadora

LLWDL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 12 · xG 6.35–7.71 · xPts 6.02

  • L A Sporting CP 0–4 xG 0.17–1.62 PRT PL
  • D H Nacional 1–1 xG 2.17–1.65 PRT PL
  • W A Casa Pia 5–3 xG 2.3–1.2 PRT PL
  • L H Rio Ave 1–2 xG 0.83–0.66 PRT PL
  • L A Gil Vicente 0–2 xG 0.89–2.59 PRT PL

Arouca

DLLLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 16 · xG 3.01–12.0 · xPts 2.67

  • L H Sporting Braga 0–4 xG 0.11–2.65 PRT PL
  • L A Estoril 3–4 xG 1.15–1.98 PRT PL
  • L H Moreirense 0–2 xG 0.76–1.06 PRT PL
  • L A Benfica 0–5 xG 0.4–4.49 PRT PL
  • D H Famalicão 1–1 xG 0.59–1.83 PRT PL

All meetings · 6 matches since 2023

Estrela Amadora 21 draws3 Arouca

Goals 6–8 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 6 matches

Estrela Amadora 21 draws3 Arouca

Goals 6–8 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Estrela Amadora 21 draws2 Arouca

Goals 5–4 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Arouca 1–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estrela Amadora 3–1 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Arouca 1–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estrela Amadora 2–1 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Arouca 0–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Estrela Amadora 1–4 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricEstrela Amadora all · 34Estrela Amadora at home · 17Arouca all · 34Arouca away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.881.061.241.00
W / D / L6 / 12 / 164 / 6 / 712 / 6 / 165 / 2 / 10
Goals for / match1.121.241.381.18
Goals against / match1.651.411.882.00
Clean sheets24%29%21%24%
Failed to score44%41%26%29%
Both teams scored47%41%56%53%
Over 2.553%53%68%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.131.351.040.87
xG against / match1.631.531.511.54
xG difference-0.50-0.18-0.48-0.66
Finishing vs xG-0.02-0.110.340.30
xPts / match1.071.261.141.08
Points vs xPts-0.19-0.200.09-0.08
Game state
Scored first26%29%50%41%
PPG when scoring first1.562.401.821.71
PPG when conceding first0.550.400.630.44
Came back from behind33%36%24%17%
Leads held50%67%60%62%
Minutes leading15%17%20%11%
Minutes level52%50%50%54%
Minutes trailing33%32%30%34%
First goal (min)40403744
First goal conceded (min)33323532
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half50%48%62%60%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%58%50%47%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.180.180.12
Late goals against0.180.060.410.41
Style
Possession47%50%50%51%
Shots10.813.010.710.6
On target3.63.93.62.9
Shot conversion10%10%13%11%
Shots inside box55%54%58%52%
Big chances created2.02.52.11.4
Corners3.33.63.73.4
xG from set plays41%39%24%30%
Goals from headers13%14%34%40%
Pressure index8.911.010.711.0
Dominant minutes38.446.143.444.0
Pass accuracy79%81%82%82%
Fouls14.414.213.913.3
Cards2.852.883.322.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Estrela Amadora

0–15'59
16–30'65
31–45'811
46–60'413
61–75'912
76–90'66

Arouca

0–15'910
16–30'28
31–45'714
46–60'119
61–75'129
76–90'614

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Estrela Amadora · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.036
Early press (0-15, level)-0.496
Late push (76+, level)+0.195

Game state

When ahead+0.135
When level-0.046
When behind+0.085
10 min after conceding-0.046
10 min after scoring+0.416

Situations

At home-0.023
Away+0.083
4+ days rest+0.036

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.102
v bottom-tier opponents-0.062
Evenly matched+0.233
As underdog-0.173

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.016
Conceded when ahead-0.205
Conceded late (76+)-0.296

Ahead vs level +0.18 · Behind vs level +0.12

Arouca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)-0.146
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.092

Game state

When ahead-0.193
When level-0.036
When behind+0.093
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.534

Situations

At home+0.203
Away-0.233
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
As favourite+0.292
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog-0.482

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.196
Conceded when ahead+0.433
Conceded late (76+)-0.095

Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level +0.12

Estrela Amadora

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-310 29%1.51.61.61.281.78
4-2-3-110 29%0.71.22.31.072.09
4-3-34 12%0.751.01.01.40.89
5-3-23 9%0.330.671.671.551.6
3-1-4-22 6%0.51.01.50.910.76

Arouca

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-132 94%1.311.441.881.041.52
5-4-11 3%0.00.01.01.080.66
4-3-31 3%0.01.03.00.852.32

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.95Home 48% P 50%3.3Draw 28% P 27%4.0Away 23% P 23%

Double Chance

1.22Estrela Amadora or Draw 39% P 38%1.33Estrela Amadora or FC Arouca 36% P 36%1.83Draw or FC Arouca 26% P 25%

Draw No Bet

1.361 69%3.02 31%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50% P 51%1.9No 50% P 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.07Over 45% P 45%1.72Under 55% P 55%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 22.5–25% · 809 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home50%49%47%-1.9
Draw27%28%29%+1.6
Away23%24%24%+0.2

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes51%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%46%45%-1.2

João António Ferreira Gonçalves

Career
75 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
5.87 (5.36 yellow · 0.23 red)
Fouls / match
26.8 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.41
Cards to home side
51%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 69 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.935.66+0.3755
Fouls / match27.027.8-0.43
Fouls per card4.64.9-0.55 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.390.37+0.2352
Time added8.77.7+1.2994
First card
26' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.15

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-08 133 230 1'8
2025-10-27 50 281 43'15
2025-10-04 90 280 13'10
2025-09-26 71 341 51'14
2025-09-20 · Arouca 42 282 5'12
2025-08-30 80 230 17'9
2025-08-24 50 211 37'11
2025-07-17 82 211 7'6
2025-05-17 101 350 7'6
2025-05-03 40 281 28'10