Estoril v Moreirense · KickoffDNA

Liga Portugal · Matchweek 13

EstorilEstoril

3–3

MoreirenseMoreirense

Momentum

– EstorilMoreirense –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Stats

Loading statistics…

Season context

Estoril	at home	Stat	league	away	Moreirense
52.7 #5	–	Ball possession	50.0	–	49.5 #10
11.7 #9	–	Shots total	12.1	–	8.9 #17
4.1 #8	–	Shots on target	4.1	–	3.2 #15
4.4 #9	–	Corners	4.7	–	3.6 #17
13.0 #13	–	Fouls	13.7	–	13.9 #9
1.3 #14	–	Offsides	1.5	–	1.2 #16
14.7 #14	–	Tackles	15.6	–	14.3 #16
99.5 #5	–	Attacks	90.3	–	77.3 #16
43.7 #8	–	Dangerous attacks	42.1	–	31.3 #17
444.9 #5	–	Passes	405.0	–	430.8 #6
2.6 #10	–	Yellowcards	2.6	–	2.7 #7
0.0 #17	–	Redcards	0.1	–	0.1 #5
1.2 #4	–	Assists	0.9	–	0.9 #7
– #1	–	Btts	48.0	–	– #8
– #17	–	Cleansheet	29.2	–	– #9
– #10	–	Draw	27.1	–	– #13
1.2 #10	–	Expected goals	1.3	–	0.9 #17
0.4 #2	–	Expected goals difference	0.0	–	0.2 #5
– #10	–	Failed to score	29.2	–	– #8
1.6 #5	1.7	Goals	1.3	1.0	1.1 #11
1.7 #3	1.5	Goals conceded	1.3	1.6	1.4 #10
0.3 #3	–	Injury time goals	0.2	–	0.2 #6
9.6 #2	–	Interceptions	8.6	–	8.7 #9
– #9	–	Lost	36.4	–	– #9
0.1 #10	–	Penalties scored	0.2	–	0.0 #16
6.8 #8	–	Rating	6.8	–	6.7 #14
2.7 #12	–	Shots blocked	3.2	–	2.4 #15
7.5 #7	–	Shots insidebox	7.4	–	5.3 #18
4.9 #8	–	Shots off target	4.8	–	3.3 #18
4.2 #12	–	Shots outsidebox	4.6	–	3.6 #16
– #10	–	Win	36.4	–	– #7

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.

League this season · 2025/2026

Played: 306 of 306
Goals / match: 2.68 (home 1.5 · away 1.19)
Home / draw / away: 41% · 27% · 32%
BTTS · over 2.5: 48% · 54%
Cards / match: 5.01 (reds 0.13)

Lineups

Waiting for lineups…

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Estoril · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Jordan Holsgrove 10 · Defensive Midfield

Suspension · Yellow Card Suspension

Rating 7.15 (99th pct) · G+A 1 + 7 (15% of team goals) · 93% of minutes

João Carvalho 12 · Attacking Midfield

Starts

Rating 7.14 (98th pct) · G+A 6 + 12 (33% of team goals) · 91% of minutes

Yanis Begraoui 14 · Centre Forward

Starts

Rating 7.04 (85th pct) · G+A 20 + 1 (39% of team goals) · 89% of minutes

All key players

Moreirense · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Dinis Lourenço Casals Namura Borges Pinto 76 · Right Back

Starts

Rating 6.9 (77th pct) · G+A 1 + 6 (19% of team goals) · 65% of minutes

Team 1.35 ppg with (23) · 1.09 without (11)

Jóbson de Brito Gonzaga 26 · Centre Back

Suspension · Indirect Card Suspension

Rating 6.82 (65th pct) · G+A 4 + 0 (11% of team goals) · 85% of minutes

Team 1.31 ppg with (29) · 1.0 without (5)

Francisco Miguel Ribeiro Tomé Tavares Bondoso 10 · Left Wing

On the bench

Rating 6.67 (30th pct) · G+A 1 + 4 (14% of team goals) · 66% of minutes

Team 1.48 ppg with (25) · 0.67 without (9)

All key players

Absences

Estoril

injury Xeka #12 key player midfielder · Unknown Injury · 24 missed · until 2025-12-31
suspension Jordan Holsgrove #1 key player midfielder · Yellow Card Suspension · until 2025-12-08

Moreirense

injury Lawrence Ofori midfielder · Adductor Injury · 1 missed · until 2025-09-23
suspension Jóbson de Brito Gonzaga #2 key player defender · Indirect Card Suspension · until 2025-12-08

Competition

Stage: Regular Season
Round: 13

Venue

Stadium: Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
Capacity: 8,000
Surface: grass
Attendance: 1,964

Teams

Coaches: Ian Cathro · Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa
Position: 12 · 7
Formation: 3-4-3 · 4-3-3

Referee

Hélder Miguel Azevedo Malheiro

Weather

Conditions: scattered clouds
Temperature: 15.6° (feels 15.5°)
Wind: 2.6
Humidity: 87%

Where to watch · 5

International Bet365
Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
Ukraine Megogo
United States fuboTV

2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	34	28	4	2	66	18	48	88	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	34	25	7	2	89	24	65	82	DDWWW
3	Benfica	34	23	11	0	74	25	49	80	WWDDW
4	Sporting Braga	34	16	11	7	64	36	28	59	WLDDD
5	Famalicão	34	15	11	8	42	29	13	56	DWDDW
6	Gil Vicente	34	13	11	10	47	38	9	50	LWDLL
7	Moreirense	34	12	7	15	37	49	-12	43	WLWLD
8	Arouca	34	12	6	16	47	64	-17	42	WLDWW
9	Vitória Guimarães	34	12	6	16	39	51	-12	42	WWLLL
10	Estoril	34	10	9	15	54	57	-3	39	LLDDL
11	Alverca	34	10	9	15	35	52	-17	39	LWLDL
12	Rio Ave	34	8	12	14	35	57	-22	36	DLDLD
13	Santa Clara	34	9	9	16	32	41	-9	36	DWDWL
14	Nacional	34	9	7	18	37	45	-8	34	WWLLW
15	Estrela Amadora	34	6	12	16	38	56	-18	30	LLLDD
16	Casa Pia	34	6	12	16	31	57	-26	30	LLLWD
17	Tondela	34	6	10	18	27	55	-28	28	LDWWL
18	AVS	34	3	12	19	27	67	-40	21	DDWWD

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	17	14	3	0	33	6	27	45	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	17	13	2	2	51	11	40	41	DDWWW
3	Benfica	17	11	6	0	41	13	28	39	WWDDW
4	Famalicão	17	9	4	4	27	12	15	31	DWDDW
5	Sporting Braga	17	8	6	3	34	18	16	30	WLDDD
6	Gil Vicente	17	9	3	5	28	17	11	30	LWDLL
7	Vitória Guimarães	17	8	4	5	26	19	7	28	WWLLL
8	Moreirense	17	8	3	6	20	21	-1	27	WLWLD
9	Alverca	17	7	5	5	18	23	-5	26	LWLDL
10	Arouca	17	7	4	6	27	30	-3	25	WLDWW
11	Estoril	17	6	5	6	29	26	3	23	LLDDL
12	Santa Clara	17	7	2	8	17	17	0	23	DWDWL
13	Nacional	17	6	2	9	23	23	0	20	WWLLW
14	Estrela Amadora	17	4	6	7	21	24	-3	18	LLLDD
15	Casa Pia	17	2	9	6	18	26	-8	15	LLLWD
16	Rio Ave	17	3	6	8	17	29	-12	15	DLDLD
17	Tondela	17	2	7	8	13	21	-8	13	LDWWL
18	AVS	17	2	6	9	15	27	-12	12	DDWWD

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	17	14	1	2	33	12	21	43	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	17	12	5	0	38	13	25	41	DDWWW
3	Benfica	17	12	5	0	33	12	21	41	WWDDW
4	Sporting Braga	17	8	5	4	30	18	12	29	WLDDD
5	Famalicão	17	6	7	4	15	17	-2	25	DWDDW
6	Rio Ave	17	5	6	6	18	28	-10	21	DLDLD
7	Gil Vicente	17	4	8	5	19	21	-2	20	LWDLL
8	Arouca	17	5	2	10	20	34	-14	17	WLDWW
9	Estoril	17	4	4	9	25	31	-6	16	LLDDL
10	Moreirense	17	4	4	9	17	28	-11	16	WLWLD
11	Casa Pia	17	4	3	10	13	31	-18	15	LLLWD
12	Tondela	17	4	3	10	14	34	-20	15	LDWWL
13	Nacional	17	3	5	9	14	22	-8	14	WWLLW
14	Vitória Guimarães	17	4	2	11	13	32	-19	14	WWLLL
15	Santa Clara	17	2	7	8	15	24	-9	13	DWDWL
16	Alverca	17	3	4	10	17	29	-12	13	LWLDL
17	Estrela Amadora	17	2	6	9	17	32	-15	12	LLLDD
18	AVS	17	1	6	10	12	40	-28	9	DDWWD

UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Estoril

DDWWL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 11 GA 7 · xG 8.45–5.64 · xPts 8.02

L A Porto 0–1 xG 0.72–1.37 PRT PL
W H Arouca 4–3 xG 1.98–1.15 PRT PL
W A Rio Ave 4–0 xG 3.39–0.29 PRT PL
D H Nacional 1–1 xG 1.61–1.37 PRT PL
D A Casa Pia 2–2 xG 0.75–1.46 PRT PL

Moreirense

LLWLD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 9 · xG 5.42–10.0 · xPts 4.33

D H Famalicão 2–2 xG 1.25–2.07 PRT PL
L A Sporting Braga 1–2 xG 1.08–2.56 PRT PL
W A Arouca 2–0 xG 1.06–0.76 PRT PL
L H Porto 1–2 xG 0.32–2.09 PRT PL
L A Nacional 2–3 xG 1.71–2.53 PRT PL

All meetings · 18 matches since 2012

Estoril 67 draws5 Moreirense

Goals 25–22 · 2.61 per match · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 39%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Estoril 23 draws5 Moreirense

Goals 12–17 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Estoril 03 draws2 Moreirense

Goals 8–10 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

L Moreirense 1–0 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
D Estoril 3–3 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
D Moreirense 2–2 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
D Estoril 2–2 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
L Moreirense 2–1 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
L Estoril 1–3 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
W Estoril 1–0 Moreirense neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
L Moreirense 1–0 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
W Moreirense 1–2 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
L Estoril 0–2 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season

Metric	Estoril all · 34	Estoril at home · 17	Moreirense all · 34	Moreirense away · 17
Results
Matches	34	17	34	17
Points per game	1.15	1.35	1.26	0.94
W / D / L	10 / 9 / 15	6 / 5 / 6	12 / 7 / 15	4 / 4 / 9
Goals for / match	1.59	1.71	1.09	1.00
Goals against / match	1.68	1.53	1.44	1.65
Clean sheets	15%	12%	26%	24%
Failed to score	29%	24%	32%	35%
Both teams scored	59%	71%	47%	47%
Over 2.5	62%	59%	50%	47%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.20	1.22	0.91	0.88
xG against / match	1.59	1.65	1.54	1.74
xG difference	-0.39	-0.43	-0.63	-0.85
Finishing vs xG	0.39	0.48	0.18	0.12
xPts / match	1.13	1.10	1.02	0.93
Points vs xPts	0.02	0.25	0.25	0.01
Game state
Scored first	38%	29%	44%	41%
PPG when scoring first	1.85	2.00	2.20	2.00
PPG when conceding first	0.70	1.09	0.47	0.11
Came back from behind	40%	50%	25%	18%
Leads held	59%	67%	71%	57%
Minutes leading	23%	24%	22%	26%
Minutes level	40%	48%	52%	43%
Minutes trailing	37%	28%	26%	31%
First goal (min)	34	37	35	26
First goal conceded (min)	30	34	40	38
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	52%	52%	60%	47%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	46%	42%	61%	64%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.26	0.29	0.18	0.12
Late goals against	0.24	0.12	0.35	0.47
Style
Possession	53%	53%	50%	49%
Shots	11.7	12.1	8.9	8.5
On target	4.1	4.5	3.2	3.4
Shot conversion	14%	14%	12%	12%
Shots inside box	64%	62%	59%	60%
Big chances created	2.2	2.1	1.7	2.1
Corners	4.4	4.6	3.6	3.3
xG from set plays	32%	26%	27%	24%
Goals from headers	13%	17%	24%	18%
Pressure index	11.2	12.1	10.6	11.0
Dominant minutes	46.8	49.3	42.9	38.5
Pass accuracy	81%	81%	83%	82%
Fouls	13.0	12.5	13.9	14.1
Cards	2.53	2.71	2.71	2.82

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Estoril

0–15'615

16–30'87

31–45'129

46–60'118

61–75'810

76–90'98

Moreirense

0–15'85

16–30'47

31–45'37

46–60'710

61–75'98

76–90'612

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Estoril · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046

Early press (0-15, level)+0.136

Late push (76+, level)+0.013

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.164

Game state

When level+0.036

When behind-0.165

10 min after conceding-0.395

10 min after scoring+0.222

Situations

With ten men-0.212

At home+0.153

Away-0.233

4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.242

v bottom-tier opponents-0.302

Evenly matched-0.113

As underdog-0.242

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.016

Conceded late (76+)-0.176

Behind vs level -0.19

Moreirense · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.31) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.316

Early press (0-15, level)-0.526

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.282

Game state

When ahead-0.163

When level-0.416

When behind-0.334

10 min after conceding-0.435

10 min after scoring+0.184

Situations

At home-0.293

Away-0.333

4+ days rest-0.316

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.443

v bottom-tier opponents-0.242

Evenly matched-0.212

As underdog-0.384

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.796

Conceded when ahead+0.703

Conceded late (76+)+0.344

Ahead vs level +0.25 · Behind vs level +0.09

Estoril

Current: winless 14 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-3	7 21%	1.14	2.14	2.14	1.16	1.44
4-3-3	6 18%	1.33	1.33	1.17	1.22	1.36
3-4-2-1	5 15%	0.8	0.8	1.2	0.84	1.46
4-3-1-2	5 15%	0.6	1.4	2.6	1.12	2.41
4-4-2	4 12%	1.75	2.75	1.5	1.67	1.61

Moreirense

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	18 53%	1.61	1.17	1.22	0.9	1.53
4-3-3	8 24%	0.88	1.13	1.63	1.02	1.45
4-4-2	4 12%	1.0	1.0	1.5	0.75	1.72
3-4-3	2 6%	1.5	1.5	1.5	1.19	2.06
4-1-4-1	1 3%	0.0	0.0	4.0	0.66	0.96

Metric	Estoril all · 10	Estoril at home · 10	Moreirense all · 10	Moreirense away · 10
Results
Matches	10	10	10	10
Points per game	0.40	0.70	1.10	0.80
W / D / L	0 / 4 / 6	1 / 4 / 5	3 / 2 / 5	2 / 2 / 6
Goals for / match	0.50	0.90	1.10	0.70
Goals against / match	1.40	1.50	2.10	1.90
Clean sheets	10%	20%	20%	10%
Failed to score	50%	40%	40%	40%
Both teams scored	50%	60%	50%	50%
Over 2.5	20%	50%	70%	50%
Expected goals
xG for / match	0.89	1.07	0.88	0.61
xG against / match	1.55	1.72	1.93	1.89
xG difference	-0.65	-0.64	-1.05	-1.27
Finishing vs xG	-0.39	-0.18	0.22	0.09
xPts / match	0.97	0.99	0.79	0.60
Points vs xPts	-0.57	-0.29	0.31	0.20
Game state
Scored first	0%	10%	30%	40%
PPG when scoring first	–	0.00	2.00	1.75
PPG when conceding first	0.33	0.71	0.67	0.17
Came back from behind	33%	38%	29%	14%
Leads held	–	50%	75%	50%
Minutes leading	0%	6%	17%	23%
Minutes level	55%	55%	40%	35%
Minutes trailing	45%	39%	43%	42%
First goal (min)	74	51	23	26
First goal conceded (min)	37	25	28	35
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	100%	56%	36%	29%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	43%	33%	48%	42%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.30	0.30	0.30	0.00
Late goals against	0.20	0.00	0.40	0.40
Style
Possession	48%	54%	45%	46%
Shots	12.1	13.1	8.9	6.9
On target	4.0	4.6	3.2	3.1
Shot conversion	4%	7%	12%	10%
Shots inside box	59%	60%	58%	58%
Big chances created	1.3	1.8	1.9	1.4
Corners	4.6	5.4	3.1	2.9
xG from set plays	16%	18%	40%	27%
Goals from headers	0%	33%	10%	0%
Pressure index	10.2	11.3	8.9	8.0
Dominant minutes	43.3	48.7	38.2	32.6
Pass accuracy	82%	82%	78%	79%
Fouls	12.7	12.5	13.6	13.8
Cards	2.70	1.80	3.10	3.40

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Estoril

0–15'04

16–30'02

31–45'02

46–60'12

61–75'12

76–90'32

Moreirense

0–15'13

16–30'54

31–45'14

46–60'04

61–75'12

76–90'34

Estoril

Current: winless 14 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	5 50%	0.4	0.2	1.2	0.93	1.43
3-4-3	2 20%	0.5	1.0	1.5	0.63	1.24
3-4-2-1	2 20%	0.5	0.5	1.0	0.56	1.19
4-3-1-2	1 10%	0.0	1.0	3.0	1.9	3.44

Moreirense

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	7 70%	1.43	1.0	1.86	1.05	1.78
4-3-3	1 10%	1.0	2.0	2.0	0.24	1.12
4-4-2	1 10%	0.0	1.0	4.0	0.43	2.46
3-4-3	1 10%	0.0	1.0	2.0	0.81	3.26

Metric	Estoril all · 35	Estoril at home · 17	Moreirense all · 35	Moreirense away · 18
Results
Matches	35	17	35	18
Points per game	1.03	1.24	1.09	0.89
W / D / L	9 / 9 / 17	5 / 6 / 6	10 / 8 / 17	4 / 4 / 10
Goals for / match	1.37	1.53	1.03	1.00
Goals against / match	1.63	1.53	1.66	1.78
Clean sheets	17%	18%	23%	22%
Failed to score	37%	29%	34%	33%
Both teams scored	51%	65%	49%	50%
Over 2.5	54%	53%	57%	56%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.11	1.17	0.84	0.87
xG against / match	1.57	1.62	1.69	1.87
xG difference	-0.46	-0.45	-0.84	-1.01
Finishing vs xG	0.26	0.36	0.19	0.13
xPts / match	1.08	1.10	0.90	0.85
Points vs xPts	-0.05	0.14	0.19	0.04
Game state
Scored first	26%	18%	40%	44%
PPG when scoring first	2.11	2.00	1.93	1.75
PPG when conceding first	0.63	1.08	0.47	0.11
Came back from behind	37%	54%	26%	17%
Leads held	69%	71%	62%	50%
Minutes leading	17%	16%	21%	25%
Minutes level	43%	51%	50%	42%
Minutes trailing	40%	34%	30%	33%
First goal (min)	39	42	33	27
First goal conceded (min)	28	25	37	36
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	56%	58%	50%	44%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	42%	35%	59%	56%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.26	0.29	0.20	0.11
Late goals against	0.23	0.06	0.34	0.44
Style
Possession	51%	52%	47%	47%
Shots	11.5	12.8	8.5	8.2
On target	4.0	4.8	3.1	3.5
Shot conversion	12%	12%	12%	12%
Shots inside box	64%	62%	58%	60%
Big chances created	2.0	2.1	1.6	1.9
Corners	4.6	5.3	3.4	3.2
xG from set plays	32%	29%	28%	20%
Goals from headers	15%	19%	20%	17%
Pressure index	11.0	12.1	10.1	10.7
Dominant minutes	44.8	47.3	38.8	37.0
Pass accuracy	81%	81%	81%	80%
Fouls	12.8	12.3	13.8	13.8
Cards	2.46	2.29	2.71	2.83

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Estoril

0–15'516

16–30'67

31–45'1010

46–60'107

61–75'89

76–90'98

Moreirense

0–15'86

16–30'79

31–45'39

46–60'412

61–75'710

76–90'712

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Estoril · 35 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.05) · stands out: against ten men -0.47

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.0535

Early press (0-15, level)-0.0635

Late push (76+, level)-0.0611

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1918

Game state

When ahead-0.0713

When level-0.0135

When behind-0.0927

10 min after conceding-0.2528

10 min after scoring+0.3122

Situations

With ten men+0.083

Against ten men-0.473

At home+0.0117

Away-0.1118

4+ days rest-0.0535

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.1610

v mid-tier opponents+0.067

v bottom-tier opponents-0.0713

As favourite+0.088

Evenly matched+0.0113

As underdog-0.1814

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.0935

Conceded when ahead+0.0813

Conceded late (76+)-0.0831

Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level -0.09

Moreirense · 35 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: as favourite +0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.0235

Early press (0-15, level)-0.0135

Late push (76+, level)-0.2213

Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0216

Game state

When ahead-0.0216

When level+0.0135

When behind-0.0923

10 min after conceding-0.2727

10 min after scoring+0.3223

Situations

With ten men-0.304

At home-0.1017

Away+0.0618

4+ days rest-0.0235

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.3711

v mid-tier opponents-0.105

v bottom-tier opponents+0.0311

As favourite+0.464

Evenly matched+0.0713

As underdog-0.2118

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.2235

Conceded when ahead+0.2616

Conceded late (76+)+0.1831

Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level -0.11

Estoril

Current: winless 14 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	6 17%	0.83	0.83	1.17	0.97	1.32
4-3-3	6 17%	1.33	1.33	1.17	1.22	1.36
4-3-1-2	5 14%	0.6	1.4	2.6	1.12	2.41
3-4-3	5 14%	1.2	2.2	2.2	0.94	1.31
3-4-2-1	4 11%	0.25	0.25	1.25	0.5	1.61

Moreirense

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	17 49%	1.35	1.0	1.59	0.8	1.75
4-3-3	9 26%	0.89	1.22	1.67	0.94	1.42
4-4-2	4 11%	1.0	1.0	1.5	0.75	1.72
3-4-3	3 9%	1.0	1.33	1.67	1.06	2.46
4-1-4-1	1 3%	0.0	0.0	4.0	0.66	0.96

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.2Home 43% P 43%3.4Draw 28% P 29%3.25Away 29% P 28%

Double Chance

1.33Estoril or Draw 35% P 36%1.3Estoril or Moreirense 36% P 35%1.66Draw or Moreirense 28% P 29%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50% P 53%1.9No 50% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.07Over 45% P 46%1.72Under 55% P 54%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	43%	44%	43%	-0.3
Draw	29%	28%	30%	+2.4
Away	28%	29%	26%	-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Yes	53%	54%	54%	-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	46%	46%	45%	-1.2

Hélder Miguel Azevedo Malheiro

Career: 155 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match: 5.72 (5.4 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match: 31.3 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.41
Cards to home side: 48%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 74 matches)

Metric	Referee	League	vs peers	pct
Cards / match	6.22	5.66	+0.74	76
Fouls / match	29.9	27.9	+1.08
Fouls per card	4.8	4.9	-0.32 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match	0.61	0.37	+1.75	97
Time added	8.3	7.7	+0.83	85

First card: 32' on average
Card timing: 16% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side: 48% (league 48%)
VAR events / match: 1.31

Recent matches

Date	Y	R	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2025-11-08	2	0	31	0	81'	7
2025-11-01	5	0	41	2	53'	14
2025-10-04 · Moreirense	4	1	28	2	15'	8
2025-09-27	5	2	31	0	59'	7
2025-09-21	3	0	39	1	6'	8
2025-08-17	1	1	14	1	24'	6
2025-08-10 · Moreirense	4	0	20	1	29'	8
2025-04-06	3	0	29	0	21'	9
2025-03-30 · Estoril	6	0	32	2	7'	9
2025-03-09	7	0	19	1	6'	8

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2025/2026

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Estoril · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Moreirense · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Absences

Estoril

Moreirense

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 5

Estoril

Moreirense

All meetings · 18 matches since 2012

Last 10 · 10 matches

Last 5 · 5 matches

Recent meetings

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Estoril

Moreirense

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Estoril · 6 matches

Moreirense · 6 matches

Estoril

Moreirense

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Estoril

Moreirense

Estoril

Moreirense

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Estoril

Moreirense

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Estoril · 35 matches

Moreirense · 35 matches

Estoril

Moreirense

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

Hélder Miguel Azevedo Malheiro

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 74 matches)

Recent matches