Alverca v Nacional · KickoffDNA

Liga Portugal · Matchweek 13

AlvercaAlverca

1–0

NacionalNacional

Momentum

– AlvercaNacional –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Stats

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Season context

Alverca	at home	Stat	league	away	Nacional
44.9 #15	–	Ball possession	50.0	–	46.1 #14
9.7 #16	–	Shots total	12.1	–	12.6 #6
3.5 #13	–	Shots on target	4.1	–	4.2 #7
4.4 #9	–	Corners	4.7	–	4.4 #9
12.5 #15	–	Fouls	13.7	–	14.8 #4
1.2 #16	–	Offsides	1.5	–	1.4 #13
16.0 #6	–	Tackles	15.6	–	16.2 #5
79.4 #13	–	Attacks	90.3	–	90.6 #7
38.7 #10	–	Dangerous attacks	42.1	–	37.9 #11
365.4 #13	–	Passes	405.0	–	332.8 #16
2.2 #15	–	Yellowcards	2.6	–	3.2 #2
0.0 #12	–	Redcards	0.1	–	0.1 #10
0.7 #10	–	Assists	0.9	–	0.7 #14
– #3	–	Btts	48.0	–	– #8
– #15	–	Cleansheet	29.2	–	– #10
– #10	–	Draw	27.1	–	– #13
1.2 #11	–	Expected goals	1.3	–	1.2 #9
-0.1 #16	–	Expected goals difference	0.0	–	-0.1 #15
– #10	–	Failed to score	29.2	–	– #8
1.0 #13	1.1	Goals	1.3	0.8	1.1 #11
1.5 #8	1.4	Goals conceded	1.3	1.3	1.3 #11
0.3 #5	–	Injury time goals	0.2	–	0.3 #3
7.8 #16	–	Interceptions	8.6	–	9.2 #6
– #9	–	Lost	36.4	–	– #2
0.1 #10	–	Penalties scored	0.2	–	0.2 #7
6.7 #11	–	Rating	6.8	–	6.8 #7
2.3 #17	–	Shots blocked	3.2	–	3.1 #9
6.1 #14	–	Shots insidebox	7.4	–	7.4 #9
3.9 #15	–	Shots off target	4.8	–	5.3 #6
3.5 #17	–	Shots outsidebox	4.6	–	5.2 #5
– #10	–	Win	36.4	–	– #12

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.

League this season · 2025/2026

Played: 306 of 306
Goals / match: 2.68 (home 1.5 · away 1.19)
Home / draw / away: 41% · 27% · 32%
BTTS · over 2.5: 48% · 54%
Cards / match: 5.01 (reds 0.13)

Lineups

Waiting for lineups…

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Alverca · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Figueiredo 22 · Left Wing

On the bench

Rating 7.01 (80th pct) · G+A 6 + 2 (23% of team goals) · 62% of minutes

Team 1.17 ppg with (24) · 1.1 without (10)

Nabil Touaizi 2 · Right Midfield

Starts

Rating 6.75 (44th pct) · G+A 1 + 5 (17% of team goals) · 92% of minutes

Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira 10 · Left Wing

Injury · Unknown Injury

Rating 6.99 (76th pct) · G+A 2 + 4 (17% of team goals) · 49% of minutes

Team 0.89 ppg with (18) · 1.44 without (16)

All key players

Nacional · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Ze Vitor 38 · Centre Back

Starts

Rating 7.0 (87th pct) · G+A 4 + 1 (14% of team goals) · 87% of minutes

Léo Santos 34 · Centre Back

Starts

Rating 6.85 (69th pct) · G+A 3 + 2 (14% of team goals) · 89% of minutes

Liziero 28 · Central Midfield

Starts

Rating 7.04 (89th pct) · G+A 0 + 4 (11% of team goals) · 77% of minutes

Team 1.04 ppg with (27) · 0.86 without (7)

All key players

Absences

Alverca

injury Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira #3 key player attacker · Unknown Injury · 14 missed · until 2026-01-01

Nacional

injury Filipe Soares #8 key player midfielder · Unknown Injury · 18 missed · until 2026-03-16

Competition

Stage: Regular Season
Round: 13

Venue

Stadium: Complexo Desportivo do FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo
Capacity: 7,705
Surface: grass
Attendance: 1,296

Teams

Coaches: Custodio · Tiago Carvalho Margarido
Position: 11 · 13
Formation: 3-4-3 · 4-3-3

Referee

Gustavo Mota Correia

Weather

Conditions: few clouds
Temperature: 14.8° (feels 14.6°)
Wind: 2.6
Humidity: 86%

Where to watch · 3

International Bet365
Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen
Ukraine Megogo

2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	34	28	4	2	66	18	48	88	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	34	25	7	2	89	24	65	82	DDWWW
3	Benfica	34	23	11	0	74	25	49	80	WWDDW
4	Sporting Braga	34	16	11	7	64	36	28	59	WLDDD
5	Famalicão	34	15	11	8	42	29	13	56	DWDDW
6	Gil Vicente	34	13	11	10	47	38	9	50	LWDLL
7	Moreirense	34	12	7	15	37	49	-12	43	WLWLD
8	Arouca	34	12	6	16	47	64	-17	42	WLDWW
9	Vitória Guimarães	34	12	6	16	39	51	-12	42	WWLLL
10	Estoril	34	10	9	15	54	57	-3	39	LLDDL
11	Alverca	34	10	9	15	35	52	-17	39	LWLDL
12	Rio Ave	34	8	12	14	35	57	-22	36	DLDLD
13	Santa Clara	34	9	9	16	32	41	-9	36	DWDWL
14	Nacional	34	9	7	18	37	45	-8	34	WWLLW
15	Estrela Amadora	34	6	12	16	38	56	-18	30	LLLDD
16	Casa Pia	34	6	12	16	31	57	-26	30	LLLWD
17	Tondela	34	6	10	18	27	55	-28	28	LDWWL
18	AVS	34	3	12	19	27	67	-40	21	DDWWD

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	17	14	3	0	33	6	27	45	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	17	13	2	2	51	11	40	41	DDWWW
3	Benfica	17	11	6	0	41	13	28	39	WWDDW
4	Famalicão	17	9	4	4	27	12	15	31	DWDDW
5	Sporting Braga	17	8	6	3	34	18	16	30	WLDDD
6	Gil Vicente	17	9	3	5	28	17	11	30	LWDLL
7	Vitória Guimarães	17	8	4	5	26	19	7	28	WWLLL
8	Moreirense	17	8	3	6	20	21	-1	27	WLWLD
9	Alverca	17	7	5	5	18	23	-5	26	LWLDL
10	Arouca	17	7	4	6	27	30	-3	25	WLDWW
11	Estoril	17	6	5	6	29	26	3	23	LLDDL
12	Santa Clara	17	7	2	8	17	17	0	23	DWDWL
13	Nacional	17	6	2	9	23	23	0	20	WWLLW
14	Estrela Amadora	17	4	6	7	21	24	-3	18	LLLDD
15	Casa Pia	17	2	9	6	18	26	-8	15	LLLWD
16	Rio Ave	17	3	6	8	17	29	-12	15	DLDLD
17	Tondela	17	2	7	8	13	21	-8	13	LDWWL
18	AVS	17	2	6	9	15	27	-12	12	DDWWD

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	17	14	1	2	33	12	21	43	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	17	12	5	0	38	13	25	41	DDWWW
3	Benfica	17	12	5	0	33	12	21	41	WWDDW
4	Sporting Braga	17	8	5	4	30	18	12	29	WLDDD
5	Famalicão	17	6	7	4	15	17	-2	25	DWDDW
6	Rio Ave	17	5	6	6	18	28	-10	21	DLDLD
7	Gil Vicente	17	4	8	5	19	21	-2	20	LWDLL
8	Arouca	17	5	2	10	20	34	-14	17	WLDWW
9	Estoril	17	4	4	9	25	31	-6	16	LLDDL
10	Moreirense	17	4	4	9	17	28	-11	16	WLWLD
11	Casa Pia	17	4	3	10	13	31	-18	15	LLLWD
12	Tondela	17	4	3	10	14	34	-20	15	LDWWL
13	Nacional	17	3	5	9	14	22	-8	14	WWLLW
14	Vitória Guimarães	17	4	2	11	13	32	-19	14	WWLLL
15	Santa Clara	17	2	7	8	15	24	-9	13	DWDWL
16	Alverca	17	3	4	10	17	29	-12	13	LWLDL
17	Estrela Amadora	17	2	6	9	17	32	-15	12	LLLDD
18	AVS	17	1	6	10	12	40	-28	9	DDWWD

UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Alverca

WLLDW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 6.72–5.89 · xPts 8.08

W A Casa Pia 2–0 xG 1.2–0.29 PRT PL
D H Rio Ave 1–1 xG 1.77–0.6 PRT PL
L A Sporting CP 0–2 xG 0.31–2.85 PRT PL
L H Gil Vicente 0–4 xG 1.47–1.44 PRT PL
W A AVS 3–1 xG 1.97–0.71 PRT PL

Nacional

WDLDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 6.36–9.79 · xPts 4.85

L H Benfica 1–2 xG 0.44–2.53 PRT PL
D A Estrela Amadora 1–1 xG 1.65–2.17 PRT PL
L H Famalicão 0–1 xG 0.37–1.76 PRT PL
D A Estoril 1–1 xG 1.37–1.61 PRT PL
W H Moreirense 3–2 xG 2.53–1.71 PRT PL

All meetings · 3 matches since 2025

Alverca 20 draws1 Nacional

Goals 4–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 33%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Alverca 20 draws1 Nacional

Goals 4–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 33%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Alverca 20 draws1 Nacional

Goals 4–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 33%

Recent meetings

W Nacional 1–3 Alverca PRT PL · Regular Season
L Nacional 1–0 Alverca PRT PL · Regular Season
W Alverca 1–0 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season

Metric	Alverca all · 34	Alverca at home · 17	Nacional all · 34	Nacional away · 17
Results
Matches	34	17	34	17
Points per game	1.15	1.53	1.00	0.82
W / D / L	10 / 9 / 15	7 / 5 / 5	9 / 7 / 18	3 / 5 / 9
Goals for / match	1.03	1.06	1.09	0.82
Goals against / match	1.53	1.35	1.32	1.29
Clean sheets	18%	29%	24%	18%
Failed to score	29%	24%	32%	35%
Both teams scored	56%	53%	47%	47%
Over 2.5	50%	47%	41%	29%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.16	1.39	1.22	1.13
xG against / match	1.34	1.19	1.63	1.64
xG difference	-0.18	0.20	-0.41	-0.51
Finishing vs xG	-0.13	-0.33	-0.13	-0.30
xPts / match	1.29	1.51	1.18	1.12
Points vs xPts	-0.14	0.02	-0.18	-0.29
Game state
Scored first	35%	47%	38%	29%
PPG when scoring first	2.33	2.50	1.77	2.20
PPG when conceding first	0.48	0.63	0.50	0.25
Came back from behind	29%	38%	25%	25%
Leads held	71%	78%	56%	60%
Minutes leading	18%	20%	19%	17%
Minutes level	53%	48%	53%	53%
Minutes trailing	29%	31%	27%	30%
First goal (min)	49	56	44	48
First goal conceded (min)	40	35	42	45
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	60%	72%	60%	43%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	54%	52%	60%	59%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.35	0.47	0.24	0.18
Late goals against	0.26	0.18	0.35	0.24
Style
Possession	45%	47%	46%	44%
Shots	9.6	10.6	12.6	12.6
On target	3.5	3.6	4.2	4.2
Shot conversion	11%	10%	9%	6%
Shots inside box	64%	65%	58%	58%
Big chances created	2.1	2.5	1.9	1.8
Corners	4.4	4.6	4.4	4.0
xG from set plays	42%	48%	41%	27%
Goals from headers	26%	28%	19%	21%
Pressure index	8.4	9.3	8.3	6.8
Dominant minutes	39.1	44.4	36.7	32.2
Pass accuracy	80%	81%	76%	75%
Fouls	12.5	13.0	14.9	15.5
Cards	2.38	1.88	3.35	2.94

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Alverca

0–15'57

16–30'37

31–45'610

46–60'410

61–75'59

76–90'129

Nacional

0–15'48

16–30'43

31–45'77

46–60'67

61–75'88

76–90'812

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Alverca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046

Early press (0-15, level)-0.066

Late push (76+, level)-0.382

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead-0.304

When level-0.126

When behind+0.164

10 min after conceding+0.176

10 min after scoring+0.035

Situations

At home-0.153

Away+0.123

4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.033

v bottom-tier opponents+0.152

Evenly matched-0.292

As underdog-0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036

Conceded when ahead+0.414

Conceded late (76+)+0.126

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level +0.28

Nacional · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.24) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.33

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.246

Early press (0-15, level)-0.176

Late push (76+, level)-0.192

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.284

Game state

When ahead-0.492

When level-0.226

When behind-0.185

10 min after conceding-0.325

10 min after scoring+0.334

Situations

At home-0.193

Away-0.283

4+ days rest-0.246

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.162

v bottom-tier opponents-0.262

Evenly matched-0.193

As underdog-0.283

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.126

Conceded when ahead+0.192

Conceded late (76+)-0.136

Ahead vs level -0.27 · Behind vs level +0.03

Alverca

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 15

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-3	25 74%	1.24	1.08	1.36	1.23	1.27
3-4-2-1	7 21%	1.14	1.0	2.0	1.06	1.42
5-4-1	2 6%	0.0	0.5	2.0	0.64	1.93

Nacional

Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-3-3	18 53%	1.0	0.83	1.11	1.0	1.73
4-2-3-1	9 26%	0.89	1.22	1.56	1.32	1.58
5-4-1	3 9%	1.33	1.0	1.0	1.35	1.58
4-1-4-1	2 6%	0.0	0.5	2.5	2.22	1.28
3-4-3	1 3%	3.0	4.0	0.0	1.23	0.8

Metric	Alverca all · 10	Alverca at home · 10	Nacional all · 10	Nacional away · 10
Results
Matches	10	10	10	10
Points per game	0.90	1.20	1.00	0.50
W / D / L	2 / 3 / 5	2 / 6 / 2	3 / 1 / 6	1 / 2 / 7
Goals for / match	1.10	1.30	1.20	0.60
Goals against / match	1.50	1.40	1.50	1.60
Clean sheets	0%	10%	30%	10%
Failed to score	30%	10%	30%	60%
Both teams scored	70%	90%	40%	30%
Over 2.5	50%	50%	40%	30%
Expected goals
xG for / match	0.97	1.08	1.24	0.91
xG against / match	1.43	1.12	1.78	2.09
xG difference	-0.45	-0.04	-0.53	-1.18
Finishing vs xG	0.13	0.22	-0.04	-0.31
xPts / match	1.06	1.35	1.10	0.78
Points vs xPts	-0.16	-0.15	-0.10	-0.28
Game state
Scored first	50%	50%	50%	10%
PPG when scoring first	1.60	1.20	1.80	3.00
PPG when conceding first	0.20	1.25	0.20	0.22
Came back from behind	17%	60%	14%	22%
Leads held	33%	29%	60%	100%
Minutes leading	22%	27%	19%	8%
Minutes level	48%	55%	45%	46%
Minutes trailing	30%	18%	36%	46%
First goal (min)	42	44	40	50
First goal conceded (min)	50	52	26	35
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	46%	69%	50%	33%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	73%	86%	33%	50%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.10	0.30	0.30	0.10
Late goals against	0.30	0.40	0.20	0.20
Style
Possession	43%	47%	50%	45%
Shots	9.2	9.5	12.2	10.5
On target	3.2	2.7	3.3	3.9
Shot conversion	12%	14%	10%	6%
Shots inside box	60%	62%	57%	57%
Big chances created	2.0	2.0	1.8	1.4
Corners	4.6	5.8	4.3	3.5
xG from set plays	44%	40%	30%	33%
Goals from headers	46%	38%	33%	33%
Pressure index	8.8	10.2	9.1	6.4
Dominant minutes	39.1	50.4	42.0	34.3
Pass accuracy	80%	79%	79%	78%
Fouls	13.3	12.6	11.3	13.1
Cards	2.40	1.30	2.10	2.50

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Alverca

0–15'22

16–30'10

31–45'32

46–60'17

61–75'31

76–90'13

Nacional

0–15'21

16–30'14

31–45'35

46–60'01

61–75'32

76–90'32

Alverca

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 15

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-3	5 50%	0.6	0.8	1.4	1.14	1.67
3-4-2-1	5 50%	1.2	1.4	1.6	0.81	1.18

Nacional

Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	4 40%	0.75	1.0	1.75	1.65	1.67
3-4-2-1	4 40%	0.75	1.0	1.5	0.86	2.06
3-4-3	1 10%	1.0	2.0	2.0	1.25	1.5
4-3-3	1 10%	3.0	2.0	0.0	1.13	1.35

Metric	Alverca all · 35	Alverca at home · 17	Nacional all · 35	Nacional away · 17
Results
Matches	35	17	35	17
Points per game	1.14	1.47	0.97	0.65
W / D / L	10 / 10 / 15	6 / 7 / 4	9 / 7 / 19	2 / 5 / 10
Goals for / match	1.09	1.18	1.14	0.76
Goals against / match	1.54	1.35	1.37	1.47
Clean sheets	14%	24%	23%	12%
Failed to score	29%	18%	31%	41%
Both teams scored	60%	65%	49%	47%
Over 2.5	49%	47%	46%	35%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.15	1.34	1.26	1.11
xG against / match	1.37	1.16	1.67	1.78
xG difference	-0.22	0.18	-0.41	-0.67
Finishing vs xG	-0.06	-0.16	-0.12	-0.35
xPts / match	1.25	1.48	1.19	1.06
Points vs xPts	-0.11	-0.01	-0.22	-0.41
Game state
Scored first	37%	53%	37%	24%
PPG when scoring first	2.15	2.00	1.77	2.00
PPG when conceding first	0.52	0.86	0.48	0.23
Came back from behind	32%	50%	24%	23%
Leads held	62%	54%	56%	50%
Minutes leading	18%	20%	18%	13%
Minutes level	53%	56%	55%	54%
Minutes trailing	29%	23%	28%	33%
First goal (min)	50	54	44	45
First goal conceded (min)	44	46	40	43
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	63%	75%	62%	38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	63%	74%	54%	56%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.34	0.41	0.26	0.12
Late goals against	0.29	0.24	0.29	0.24
Style
Possession	45%	47%	48%	45%
Shots	9.7	10.0	12.7	12.2
On target	3.5	3.2	4.2	4.1
Shot conversion	11%	12%	9%	6%
Shots inside box	63%	65%	58%	59%
Big chances created	2.0	2.4	1.9	1.7
Corners	4.6	4.8	3.9	3.6
xG from set plays	44%	53%	39%	32%
Goals from headers	29%	30%	18%	15%
Pressure index	9.2	10.2	9.0	7.3
Dominant minutes	41.0	47.4	39.7	34.6
Pass accuracy	80%	80%	78%	77%
Fouls	12.4	12.7	13.4	13.8
Cards	2.31	1.76	2.89	2.41

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Alverca

0–15'56

16–30'46

31–45'58

46–60'515

61–75'79

76–90'1210

Nacional

0–15'48

16–30'45

31–45'79

46–60'67

61–75'109

76–90'910

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Alverca · 35 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.32

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.0735

Early press (0-15, level)-0.1435

Late push (76+, level)-0.3215

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2613

Game state

When ahead-0.1316

When level-0.1035

When behind+0.0322

10 min after conceding-0.1430

10 min after scoring+0.1424

Situations

With ten men-0.304

At home-0.0517

Away-0.0918

4+ days rest-0.0735

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.149

v mid-tier opponents-0.279

v bottom-tier opponents+0.0510

As favourite+0.147

Evenly matched-0.0913

As underdog-0.1715

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.1635

Conceded when ahead+0.1916

Conceded late (76+)+0.1131

Ahead vs level -0.03 · Behind vs level +0.12

Nacional · 35 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: v top-tier opponents -0.43

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.1535

Early press (0-15, level)+0.0035

Late push (76+, level)-0.1215

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1718

Game state

When ahead-0.3716

When level-0.1035

When behind-0.1225

10 min after conceding-0.1827

10 min after scoring+0.0424

Situations

With ten men-0.105

Against ten men-0.073

At home-0.1318

Away-0.1817

4+ days rest-0.1535

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.437

v mid-tier opponents-0.209

v bottom-tier opponents-0.0411

As favourite-0.056

Evenly matched-0.0515

As underdog-0.3114

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.2735

Conceded when ahead+0.4616

Conceded late (76+)+0.0533

Ahead vs level -0.26 · Behind vs level -0.01

Alverca

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 15

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-3	24 69%	1.25	1.13	1.33	1.26	1.28
3-4-2-1	10 29%	1.0	1.1	2.0	0.96	1.43
5-4-1	1 3%	0.0	0.0	2.0	0.31	2.85

Nacional

Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-3-3	13 37%	1.08	0.85	0.92	1.07	1.75
4-2-3-1	10 29%	0.8	1.2	1.7	1.41	1.57
3-4-2-1	4 11%	0.75	1.0	1.5	0.86	2.06
5-4-1	3 9%	1.33	1.0	1.0	1.35	1.58
4-1-4-1	2 6%	0.0	0.5	2.5	2.22	1.28

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.1Home 45% P 44%3.25Draw 29% P 31%3.6Away 26% P 24%

Double Chance

1.28Alverca or Draw 37% P 38%1.33Alverca or Nacional 35% P 35%1.7Draw or Nacional 28% P 28%

Draw No Bet

1.51 62%2.52 38%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50% P 52%1.9No 50% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.15Over 44% P 43%1.66Under 56% P 57%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 22.5–25% · 143 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	44%	44%	48%	+3.5
Draw	31%	32%	30%	-1.7
Away	24%	24%	22%	-1.8

In those fixtures: 2.1 goals a game · BTTS 45% · over 2.5 36%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Yes	52%	51%	51%	-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	43%	44%	43%	-1.2

Gustavo Mota Correia

No career statistics.

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 7 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 5.86 cards, 27.1 fouls per match.

Recent matches

Date	Y	R	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2025-11-09	5	0	16	2	13'	6

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2025/2026

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Alverca · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Nacional · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Absences

Alverca

Nacional

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 3

Alverca

Nacional

All meetings · 3 matches since 2025

Last 10 · 3 matches

Last 5 · 3 matches

Recent meetings

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Alverca

Nacional

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Alverca · 6 matches

Nacional · 6 matches

Alverca

Nacional

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Alverca

Nacional

Alverca

Nacional

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Alverca

Nacional

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Alverca · 35 matches

Nacional · 35 matches

Alverca

Nacional

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 22.5–25% · 143 fixtures

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures

Gustavo Mota Correia

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 7 matches)

Recent matches