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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 13

Momentum

TondelaPorto
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
13

Venue

Stadium
Estádio João Cardoso, Tondela
Capacity
5,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
4,133

Teams

Coaches
António Rocha Simão · Francesco Farioli
Position
15 · 1
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
12.2° (feels 12.0°)
Wind
0.7
Humidity
95%

Where to watch · 13

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Tondela

LLDLW 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 3 GA 9 · xG 6.16–7.44 · xPts 6.5

  • W A Gil Vicente 1–0 xG 0.92–0.63 PRT PL
  • L H Vitória Guimarães 0–1 xG 1.75–1.51 PRT PL
  • D A AVS 2–2 xG 1.84–0.93 PRT PL
  • L H Sporting CP 0–3 xG 0.63–3.07 PRT PL
  • L A Rio Ave 0–3 xG 1.02–1.3 PRT PL

Porto

WDWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 8 GA 2 · xG 6.59–3.54 · xPts 9.06

  • W H Estoril 1–0 xG 1.37–0.72 PRT PL
  • W H Nice 3–0 xG 1.31–0.81 UEFA EL
  • W A Famalicão 1–0 xG 1.48–0.32 PRT PL
  • D A FC Utrecht 1–1 xG 1.68–0.63 UEFA EL
  • W H Sporting Braga 2–1 xG 0.75–1.06 PRT PL

All meetings · 16 matches since 2015

Tondela 11 draws14 Porto

Goals 6–34 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 19% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Tondela 00 draws10 Porto

Goals 5–27 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Tondela 00 draws5 Porto

Goals 1–13 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Porto 2–0 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Tondela 0–2 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Porto 4–0 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Tondela 1–3 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Tondela 0–2 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Porto 4–3 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Tondela 1–3 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Porto 3–0 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Tondela 0–3 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Porto 1–0 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricTondela all · 34Tondela at home · 17Porto all · 34Porto away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.820.762.592.53
W / D / L6 / 10 / 182 / 7 / 828 / 4 / 214 / 1 / 2
Goals for / match0.790.761.941.94
Goals against / match1.621.240.530.71
Clean sheets21%24%62%53%
Failed to score53%59%3%0%
Both teams scored35%35%38%47%
Over 2.550%35%56%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.271.351.861.87
xG against / match1.561.530.710.83
xG difference-0.30-0.181.161.04
Finishing vs xG-0.47-0.590.080.07
xPts / match1.231.302.072.03
Points vs xPts-0.40-0.540.520.50
Game state
Scored first32%24%85%76%
PPG when scoring first1.731.252.792.85
PPG when conceding first0.300.501.501.50
Came back from behind25%33%50%50%
Leads held46%33%90%93%
Minutes leading14%12%51%48%
Minutes level56%65%43%40%
Minutes trailing29%23%6%12%
First goal (min)41383639
First goal conceded (min)42445651
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half63%62%56%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half60%62%78%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.180.350.24
Late goals against0.440.350.180.24
Style
Possession44%45%55%54%
Shots10.612.114.514.4
On target3.43.55.35.2
Shot conversion8%6%13%14%
Shots inside box60%63%66%65%
Big chances created2.02.02.92.8
Corners4.03.95.65.6
xG from set plays46%36%31%29%
Goals from headers12%17%14%22%
Pressure index8.38.919.919.0
Dominant minutes38.141.164.864.6
Pass accuracy78%77%84%84%
Fouls14.413.913.914.2
Cards2.712.412.532.94

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Tondela

0–15'64
16–30'29
31–45'29
46–60'66
61–75'612
76–90'515

Porto

0–15'91
16–30'82
31–45'121
46–60'135
61–75'123
76–90'126

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Tondela

No pressure profile yet.

Porto · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.40) · stands out: when level +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.407
Early press (0-15, level)+0.717

Game state

When ahead+0.146
When level+0.807
When behind+0.193
10 min after conceding+0.203
10 min after scoring+0.616

Situations

At home+0.404
Away+0.393
4+ days rest+0.407

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.605
As favourite+0.566

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.077
Conceded when ahead+0.126
Conceded late (76+)+0.026

Ahead vs level -0.67 · Behind vs level -0.61

Tondela

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-121 62%0.860.761.711.431.57
5-4-14 12%1.251.01.00.911.77
3-4-33 9%0.00.332.330.861.51
4-3-33 9%0.671.331.671.261.7
4-4-22 6%1.51.01.01.281.13

Porto

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-334 100%2.591.940.531.860.71

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

11.0Home 9% P 9%6.0Draw 16% P 17%1.25Away 76% P 75%

Double Chance

3.75Tondela or Draw 13% P 12%1.12Tondela or FC Porto 42% P 42%1.05Draw or FC Porto 45% P 46%

Draw No Bet

8.01 12%1.082 88%

Both Teams To Score

2.2Yes 42% P 42%1.61No 58% P 58%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.7Over 55% P 55%2.1Under 45% P 45%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 7.5–10% · away 72.5–75% · 152 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home9%9%7%-2.5
Draw17%17%18%+0.7
Away75%74%76%+1.8

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 56%

Both teams to score · yes 40–42.5% · 664 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes42%41%41%-0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.555%54%55%+0.8

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Career
221 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
5.43 (5.18 yellow · 0.11 red)
Fouls / match
29.9 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 90 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.895.66+0.3248
Fouls / match28.827.8+0.51
Fouls per card5.04.9-0.15 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.37+0.3764
Time added7.77.7+0.1342
First card
32' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 41% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.39

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-05 20 250 6'6
2025-10-25 90 360 10'8
2025-10-05 61 340 61'10
2025-09-27 60 250 48'7
2025-09-24 40 260 42'10
2025-09-13 · Porto 60 201 30'13
2025-08-10 60 350 61'8
2025-08-07 10 80 72'12
2025-07-09 30 120 17'8
2025-05-10 32 7