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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 14

Momentum

FamalicãoEstoril
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
14

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho, Vila Nova de Famalicão
Capacity
5,307
Surface
grass
Attendance
3,366

Teams

Coaches
Hugo Filipe Carvalho Oliveira · Ian Cathro
Position
7 · 12
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-2-2

Referee

Carlos André Fernandes Macedo

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
13.8° (feels 13.1°)
Wind
0.8
Humidity
71%

Where to watch · 5

  • International Bet365
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
  • Ukraine Megogo
  • United States fuboTV

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Famalicão

WWLDL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 7.5–6.59 · xPts 7.7

  • L H Sporting Braga 1–2 xG 1.73–2.95 PRT PL
  • D A Moreirense 2–2 xG 2.07–1.25 PRT PL
  • L H Porto 0–1 xG 0.32–1.48 PRT PL
  • W A Nacional 1–0 xG 1.76–0.37 PRT PL
  • W H Vitória Guimarães 2–0 xG 1.62–0.53 PRT PL

Estoril

DWWLD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 12 GA 8 · xG 8.4–5.62 · xPts 7.99

  • D H Moreirense 3–3 xG 0.71–1.44 PRT PL
  • L A Porto 0–1 xG 0.72–1.37 PRT PL
  • W H Arouca 4–3 xG 1.98–1.15 PRT PL
  • W A Rio Ave 4–0 xG 3.39–0.29 PRT PL
  • D H Nacional 1–1 xG 1.61–1.37 PRT PL

All meetings · 11 matches since 2021

Famalicão 53 draws3 Estoril

Goals 17–10 · 2.45 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 46%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Famalicão 52 draws3 Estoril

Goals 15–8 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Famalicão 31 draws1 Estoril

Goals 10–3 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Estoril 1–1 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estoril 0–1 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Famalicão 4–0 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Famalicão 3–0 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Estoril 2–1 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Estoril 1–0 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Famalicão 1–1 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Famalicão 1–0 Estoril neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Estoril 2–0 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Famalicão 3–1 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricFamalicão all · 34Famalicão at home · 17Estoril all · 34Estoril away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.651.821.150.94
W / D / L15 / 11 / 89 / 4 / 410 / 9 / 154 / 4 / 9
Goals for / match1.241.591.591.47
Goals against / match0.850.711.681.82
Clean sheets50%59%15%18%
Failed to score26%18%29%35%
Both teams scored35%35%59%47%
Over 2.538%47%62%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.421.601.201.18
xG against / match1.000.881.591.52
xG difference0.420.71-0.39-0.34
Finishing vs xG-0.18-0.010.390.29
xPts / match1.661.831.131.15
Points vs xPts-0.01-0.010.02-0.21
Game state
Scored first53%59%38%47%
PPG when scoring first2.442.401.851.75
PPG when conceding first0.671.000.700.22
Came back from behind43%43%40%31%
Leads held75%82%59%50%
Minutes leading24%27%23%23%
Minutes level60%54%40%31%
Minutes trailing16%19%37%45%
First goal (min)47433430
First goal conceded (min)39233027
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half64%59%52%52%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%33%46%48%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.410.260.24
Late goals against0.260.000.240.35
Style
Possession52%54%53%52%
Shots12.414.311.711.3
On target4.35.14.13.6
Shot conversion10%11%14%13%
Shots inside box67%67%64%66%
Big chances created2.52.72.22.2
Corners5.55.74.44.1
xG from set plays31%29%32%39%
Goals from headers26%22%13%8%
Pressure index13.816.211.210.3
Dominant minutes53.556.346.844.4
Pass accuracy82%82%81%81%
Fouls15.715.413.013.5
Cards2.682.712.532.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Famalicão

0–15'34
16–30'65
31–45'64
46–60'85
61–75'102
76–90'99

Estoril

0–15'615
16–30'87
31–45'129
46–60'118
61–75'810
76–90'98

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Famalicão · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.34

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.026
Early press (0-15, level)-0.196
Late push (76+, level)-0.345
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.154

Game state

When ahead-0.013
When level-0.106
When behind+0.284
10 min after conceding-0.235
10 min after scoring+0.114

Situations

At home+0.003
Away-0.043
4+ days rest-0.026

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.192
As favourite+0.092
Evenly matched-0.043

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.046
Conceded when ahead-0.013
Conceded late (76+)+0.026

Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level +0.37

Estoril · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.136
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.164

Game state

When level+0.036
When behind-0.165
10 min after conceding-0.395
10 min after scoring+0.222

Situations

With ten men-0.212
At home+0.153
Away-0.233
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.242
v bottom-tier opponents-0.302
Evenly matched-0.113
As underdog-0.242

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.016
Conceded late (76+)-0.176

Behind vs level -0.19

Famalicão

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 6 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-125 74%1.61.240.921.41.07
4-3-37 21%1.861.140.571.610.69
4-1-4-12 6%1.51.51.01.031.17

Estoril

Current: winless 14 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-37 21%1.142.142.141.161.44
4-3-36 18%1.331.331.171.221.36
3-4-2-15 15%0.80.81.20.841.46
4-3-1-25 15%0.61.42.61.122.41
4-4-24 12%1.752.751.51.671.61

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.66Home 56% P 56%3.9Draw 24% P 24%4.75Away 20% P 20%

Double Chance

1.18Famalicao or Draw 40% P 40%1.25Famalicao or Estoril 38% P 38%2.15Draw or Estoril 22% P 22%

Draw No Bet

1.251 75%3.752 25%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 54%1.95No 48% P 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 54%2.0Under 47% P 46%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 17.5–20% · 762 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home56%56%53%-2.8
Draw24%25%26%+1.0
Away20%19%21%+1.8

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes54%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%55%+0.8

Carlos André Fernandes Macedo

Career
43 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.6 (4.3 yellow · 0.21 red)
Fouls / match
27.9 · 6.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.4
Cards to home side
50%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 42 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.45.66-1.576
Fouls / match27.927.8+0.05
Fouls per card6.54.9+1.76 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.380.37+0.1548
Time added6.37.7-1.516
First card
37' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 39% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.2

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-26 40 321 42'3
2025-09-21 · Estoril 40 291 55'4
2025-08-31 40 240 34'9
2025-05-10 40 320 38'6
2025-04-27 40 230 33'3
2025-04-01 41 341 59'6
2025-03-10 · Famalicão 30 350 73'3
2025-01-24 30 290 37'6
2024-12-30 · Famalicão 60 241 27'7