Arouca v Alverca · KickoffDNA

Liga Portugal · Matchweek 14

AroucaArouca

1–0

AlvercaAlverca

Momentum

– AroucaAlverca –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Stats

Loading statistics…

Season context

Arouca	at home	Stat	league	away	Alverca
50.3 #8	–	Ball possession	50.0	–	44.9 #15
10.7 #13	–	Shots total	12.1	–	9.7 #16
3.6 #11	–	Shots on target	4.1	–	3.5 #13
3.7 #15	–	Corners	4.7	–	4.4 #9
13.8 #10	–	Fouls	13.7	–	12.5 #15
1.4 #9	–	Offsides	1.5	–	1.2 #16
14.2 #17	–	Tackles	15.6	–	16.0 #6
85.4 #11	–	Attacks	90.3	–	79.4 #13
33.6 #14	–	Dangerous attacks	42.1	–	38.7 #10
413.8 #7	–	Passes	405.0	–	365.4 #13
2.8 #5	–	Yellowcards	2.6	–	2.2 #15
0.2 #1	–	Redcards	0.1	–	0.0 #12
1.0 #6	–	Assists	0.9	–	0.7 #10
– #3	–	Btts	48.0	–	– #3
– #12	–	Cleansheet	29.2	–	– #15
– #16	–	Draw	27.1	–	– #10
1.0 #15	–	Expected goals	1.3	–	1.2 #11
0.3 #3	–	Expected goals difference	0.0	–	-0.1 #16
– #12	–	Failed to score	29.2	–	– #10
1.4 #6	1.6	Goals	1.3	1.0	1.0 #13
1.9 #2	1.8	Goals conceded	1.3	1.7	1.5 #8
0.2 #6	–	Injury time goals	0.2	–	0.3 #5
8.5 #12	–	Interceptions	8.6	–	7.8 #16
– #4	–	Lost	36.4	–	– #9
0.0 #16	–	Penalties scored	0.2	–	0.1 #10
6.7 #16	–	Rating	6.8	–	6.7 #11
2.4 #16	–	Shots blocked	3.2	–	2.3 #17
6.2 #13	–	Shots insidebox	7.4	–	6.1 #14
4.7 #10	–	Shots off target	4.8	–	3.9 #15
4.5 #10	–	Shots outsidebox	4.6	–	3.5 #17
– #7	–	Win	36.4	–	– #10

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.

League this season · 2025/2026

Played: 306 of 306
Goals / match: 2.68 (home 1.5 · away 1.19)
Home / draw / away: 41% · 27% · 32%
BTTS · over 2.5: 48% · 54%
Cards / match: 5.01 (reds 0.13)

Lineups

Waiting for lineups…

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Arouca · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Naïs Djouahra 7 · Left Wing

Starts

Rating 6.83 (56th pct) · G+A 6 + 3 (19% of team goals) · 90% of minutes

Tiago Esgaio 28 · Right Back

Starts

Rating 6.87 (72th pct) · G+A 3 + 5 (17% of team goals) · 80% of minutes

Team 1.41 ppg with (27) · 0.57 without (7)

Taichi Fukui 8 · Central Midfield

Not in the squad

Rating 6.86 (62th pct) · G+A 4 + 3 (15% of team goals) · 83% of minutes

Team 1.28 ppg with (29) · 1.0 without (5)

All key players

Alverca · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Figueiredo 22 · Left Wing

Starts

Rating 7.01 (80th pct) · G+A 6 + 2 (23% of team goals) · 62% of minutes

Team 1.17 ppg with (24) · 1.1 without (10)

Nabil Touaizi 2 · Right Midfield

Starts

Rating 6.75 (44th pct) · G+A 1 + 5 (17% of team goals) · 92% of minutes

Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira 10 · Left Wing

Injury · Unknown Injury

Rating 6.99 (76th pct) · G+A 2 + 4 (17% of team goals) · 49% of minutes

Team 0.89 ppg with (18) · 1.44 without (16)

All key players

Absences

Arouca

injury Mateo Flores #17 key player midfielder · Meniscus Tear · 16 missed · until 2026-01-05

Alverca

injury Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira #3 key player attacker · Unknown Injury · 14 missed · until 2026-01-01

Competition

Stage: Regular Season
Round: 14

Venue

Stadium: Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
Capacity: 5,600
Surface: grass
Attendance: 856

Teams

Coaches: Vasco Freire De Seabra · Custodio
Position: 17 · 9
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

David Rafael Oliveira Silva

Weather

Conditions: overcast clouds
Temperature: 7.8° (feels 6.5°)
Wind: 2.1
Humidity: 83%

Where to watch · 6

Brazil Claro TV+ · Sky+ · Vivo Play
International Bet365
Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1

2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	34	28	4	2	66	18	48	88	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	34	25	7	2	89	24	65	82	DDWWW
3	Benfica	34	23	11	0	74	25	49	80	WWDDW
4	Sporting Braga	34	16	11	7	64	36	28	59	WLDDD
5	Famalicão	34	15	11	8	42	29	13	56	DWDDW
6	Gil Vicente	34	13	11	10	47	38	9	50	LWDLL
7	Moreirense	34	12	7	15	37	49	-12	43	WLWLD
8	Arouca	34	12	6	16	47	64	-17	42	WLDWW
9	Vitória Guimarães	34	12	6	16	39	51	-12	42	WWLLL
10	Estoril	34	10	9	15	54	57	-3	39	LLDDL
11	Alverca	34	10	9	15	35	52	-17	39	LWLDL
12	Rio Ave	34	8	12	14	35	57	-22	36	DLDLD
13	Santa Clara	34	9	9	16	32	41	-9	36	DWDWL
14	Nacional	34	9	7	18	37	45	-8	34	WWLLW
15	Estrela Amadora	34	6	12	16	38	56	-18	30	LLLDD
16	Casa Pia	34	6	12	16	31	57	-26	30	LLLWD
17	Tondela	34	6	10	18	27	55	-28	28	LDWWL
18	AVS	34	3	12	19	27	67	-40	21	DDWWD

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	17	14	3	0	33	6	27	45	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	17	13	2	2	51	11	40	41	DDWWW
3	Benfica	17	11	6	0	41	13	28	39	WWDDW
4	Famalicão	17	9	4	4	27	12	15	31	DWDDW
5	Sporting Braga	17	8	6	3	34	18	16	30	WLDDD
6	Gil Vicente	17	9	3	5	28	17	11	30	LWDLL
7	Vitória Guimarães	17	8	4	5	26	19	7	28	WWLLL
8	Moreirense	17	8	3	6	20	21	-1	27	WLWLD
9	Alverca	17	7	5	5	18	23	-5	26	LWLDL
10	Arouca	17	7	4	6	27	30	-3	25	WLDWW
11	Estoril	17	6	5	6	29	26	3	23	LLDDL
12	Santa Clara	17	7	2	8	17	17	0	23	DWDWL
13	Nacional	17	6	2	9	23	23	0	20	WWLLW
14	Estrela Amadora	17	4	6	7	21	24	-3	18	LLLDD
15	Casa Pia	17	2	9	6	18	26	-8	15	LLLWD
16	Rio Ave	17	3	6	8	17	29	-12	15	DLDLD
17	Tondela	17	2	7	8	13	21	-8	13	LDWWL
18	AVS	17	2	6	9	15	27	-12	12	DDWWD

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	17	14	1	2	33	12	21	43	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	17	12	5	0	38	13	25	41	DDWWW
3	Benfica	17	12	5	0	33	12	21	41	WWDDW
4	Sporting Braga	17	8	5	4	30	18	12	29	WLDDD
5	Famalicão	17	6	7	4	15	17	-2	25	DWDDW
6	Rio Ave	17	5	6	6	18	28	-10	21	DLDLD
7	Gil Vicente	17	4	8	5	19	21	-2	20	LWDLL
8	Arouca	17	5	2	10	20	34	-14	17	WLDWW
9	Estoril	17	4	4	9	25	31	-6	16	LLDDL
10	Moreirense	17	4	4	9	17	28	-11	16	WLWLD
11	Casa Pia	17	4	3	10	13	31	-18	15	LLLWD
12	Tondela	17	4	3	10	14	34	-20	15	LDWWL
13	Nacional	17	3	5	9	14	22	-8	14	WWLLW
14	Vitória Guimarães	17	4	2	11	13	32	-19	14	WWLLL
15	Santa Clara	17	2	7	8	15	24	-9	13	DWDWL
16	Alverca	17	3	4	10	17	29	-12	13	LWLDL
17	Estrela Amadora	17	2	6	9	17	32	-15	12	LLLDD
18	AVS	17	1	6	10	12	40	-28	9	DDWWD

UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Arouca

LLLLL 0W 0D 5L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 18 · xG 3.27–12.49 · xPts 2.66

L A Estrela Amadora 1–3 xG 0.85–2.32 PRT PL
L H Sporting Braga 0–4 xG 0.11–2.65 PRT PL
L A Estoril 3–4 xG 1.15–1.98 PRT PL
L H Moreirense 0–2 xG 0.76–1.06 PRT PL
L A Benfica 0–5 xG 0.4–4.49 PRT PL

Alverca

LLDWW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 7 · xG 6.7–6.3 · xPts 7.79

W H Nacional 1–0 xG 1.95–1.12 PRT PL
W A Casa Pia 2–0 xG 1.2–0.29 PRT PL
D H Rio Ave 1–1 xG 1.77–0.6 PRT PL
L A Sporting CP 0–2 xG 0.31–2.85 PRT PL
L H Gil Vicente 0–4 xG 1.47–1.44 PRT PL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Arouca 10 draws1 Alverca

Goals 2–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Arouca 10 draws1 Alverca

Goals 2–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Arouca 10 draws1 Alverca

Goals 2–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

L Alverca 2–1 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
W Arouca 1–0 Alverca PRT PL · Regular Season

Metric	Arouca all · 34	Arouca at home · 17	Alverca all · 34	Alverca away · 17
Results
Matches	34	17	34	17
Points per game	1.24	1.47	1.15	0.76
W / D / L	12 / 6 / 16	7 / 4 / 6	10 / 9 / 15	3 / 4 / 10
Goals for / match	1.38	1.59	1.03	1.00
Goals against / match	1.88	1.76	1.53	1.71
Clean sheets	21%	18%	18%	6%
Failed to score	26%	24%	29%	35%
Both teams scored	56%	59%	56%	59%
Over 2.5	68%	71%	50%	53%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.04	1.20	1.16	0.93
xG against / match	1.51	1.49	1.34	1.49
xG difference	-0.48	-0.29	-0.18	-0.56
Finishing vs xG	0.34	0.38	-0.13	0.07
xPts / match	1.14	1.21	1.29	1.06
Points vs xPts	0.09	0.26	-0.14	-0.30
Game state
Scored first	50%	59%	35%	24%
PPG when scoring first	1.82	1.90	2.33	2.00
PPG when conceding first	0.63	0.86	0.48	0.38
Came back from behind	24%	33%	29%	23%
Leads held	60%	58%	71%	60%
Minutes leading	20%	30%	18%	16%
Minutes level	50%	45%	53%	58%
Minutes trailing	30%	25%	29%	26%
First goal (min)	37	30	49	40
First goal conceded (min)	35	37	40	43
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	62%	63%	60%	47%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	50%	53%	54%	55%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.18	0.24	0.35	0.24
Late goals against	0.41	0.41	0.26	0.35
Style
Possession	50%	50%	45%	43%
Shots	10.7	10.8	9.6	8.7
On target	3.6	4.2	3.5	3.4
Shot conversion	13%	15%	11%	12%
Shots inside box	58%	63%	64%	62%
Big chances created	2.1	2.6	2.1	1.6
Corners	3.7	4.1	4.4	4.1
xG from set plays	24%	20%	42%	33%
Goals from headers	34%	30%	26%	24%
Pressure index	10.7	10.4	8.4	7.5
Dominant minutes	43.4	42.8	39.1	33.7
Pass accuracy	82%	81%	80%	79%
Fouls	13.9	14.4	12.5	11.9
Cards	3.32	4.00	2.38	2.88

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Arouca

0–15'910

16–30'28

31–45'714

46–60'119

61–75'129

76–90'614

Alverca

0–15'57

16–30'37

31–45'610

46–60'410

61–75'59

76–90'129

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Arouca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046

Early press (0-15, level)-0.146

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.092

Game state

When ahead-0.193

When level-0.036

When behind+0.093

10 min after conceding-0.073

10 min after scoring+0.534

Situations

At home+0.203

Away-0.233

4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222

As favourite+0.292

Evenly matched+0.162

As underdog-0.482

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.196

Conceded when ahead+0.433

Conceded late (76+)-0.095

Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level +0.12

Alverca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046

Early press (0-15, level)-0.066

Late push (76+, level)-0.382

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead-0.304

When level-0.126

When behind+0.164

10 min after conceding+0.176

10 min after scoring+0.035

Situations

At home-0.153

Away+0.123

4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.033

v bottom-tier opponents+0.152

Evenly matched-0.292

As underdog-0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036

Conceded when ahead+0.414

Conceded late (76+)+0.126

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level +0.28

Arouca

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	32 94%	1.31	1.44	1.88	1.04	1.52
5-4-1	1 3%	0.0	0.0	1.0	1.08	0.66
4-3-3	1 3%	0.0	1.0	3.0	0.85	2.32

Alverca

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 15

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-3	25 74%	1.24	1.08	1.36	1.23	1.27
3-4-2-1	7 21%	1.14	1.0	2.0	1.06	1.42
5-4-1	2 6%	0.0	0.5	2.0	0.64	1.93

Metric	Arouca all · 10	Arouca at home · 10	Alverca all · 10	Alverca away · 10
Results
Matches	10	10	10	10
Points per game	1.70	2.20	0.90	0.90
W / D / L	5 / 2 / 3	7 / 1 / 2	2 / 3 / 5	2 / 3 / 5
Goals for / match	1.70	2.30	1.10	1.00
Goals against / match	1.10	1.20	1.50	1.40
Clean sheets	30%	30%	0%	0%
Failed to score	20%	0%	30%	40%
Both teams scored	60%	70%	70%	60%
Over 2.5	70%	90%	50%	40%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.11	1.54	0.97	1.13
xG against / match	1.35	1.34	1.43	1.45
xG difference	-0.24	0.21	-0.45	-0.32
Finishing vs xG	0.59	0.76	0.13	-0.13
xPts / match	1.27	1.51	1.06	1.14
Points vs xPts	0.42	0.69	-0.16	-0.24
Game state
Scored first	50%	60%	50%	30%
PPG when scoring first	2.60	2.17	1.60	2.33
PPG when conceding first	0.75	2.25	0.20	0.29
Came back from behind	25%	60%	17%	29%
Leads held	83%	78%	33%	67%
Minutes leading	26%	39%	22%	24%
Minutes level	56%	46%	48%	42%
Minutes trailing	19%	15%	30%	34%
First goal (min)	38	30	42	41
First goal conceded (min)	38	29	50	50
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	65%	56%	46%	40%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	54%	33%	73%	64%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.50	0.40	0.10	0.20
Late goals against	0.20	0.20	0.30	0.30
Style
Possession	53%	52%	43%	46%
Shots	11.3	12.1	9.2	11.1
On target	4.0	5.3	3.2	4.5
Shot conversion	15%	19%	12%	9%
Shots inside box	56%	65%	60%	61%
Big chances created	2.1	3.4	2.0	2.0
Corners	3.3	3.6	4.6	5.7
xG from set plays	16%	18%	44%	33%
Goals from headers	35%	39%	46%	30%
Pressure index	10.4	10.1	8.8	9.3
Dominant minutes	46.5	47.5	39.1	39.2
Pass accuracy	85%	83%	80%	82%
Fouls	11.3	13.7	13.3	11.2
Cards	3.10	3.80	2.40	2.80

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Arouca

0–15'12

16–30'32

31–45'21

46–60'40

61–75'24

76–90'52

Alverca

0–15'22

16–30'10

31–45'32

46–60'17

61–75'31

76–90'13

Arouca

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	10 100%	1.7	1.7	1.1	1.11	1.35

Alverca

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 15

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-2-1	5 50%	1.2	1.4	1.6	0.81	1.18
3-4-3	5 50%	0.6	0.8	1.4	1.14	1.67

Metric	Arouca all · 35	Arouca at home · 17	Alverca all · 35	Alverca away · 18
Results
Matches	35	17	35	18
Points per game	1.34	1.59	1.14	0.83
W / D / L	14 / 5 / 16	8 / 3 / 6	10 / 10 / 15	4 / 3 / 11
Goals for / match	1.37	1.65	1.09	1.00
Goals against / match	1.60	1.59	1.54	1.72
Clean sheets	29%	24%	14%	6%
Failed to score	26%	18%	29%	39%
Both teams scored	51%	59%	60%	56%
Over 2.5	66%	76%	49%	50%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.07	1.28	1.15	0.97
xG against / match	1.54	1.47	1.37	1.57
xG difference	-0.47	-0.19	-0.22	-0.60
Finishing vs xG	0.30	0.37	-0.06	0.03
xPts / match	1.16	1.28	1.25	1.03
Points vs xPts	0.18	0.31	-0.11	-0.19
Game state
Scored first	49%	53%	37%	22%
PPG when scoring first	1.94	2.00	2.15	2.50
PPG when conceding first	0.75	1.13	0.52	0.36
Came back from behind	20%	33%	32%	21%
Leads held	67%	67%	62%	80%
Minutes leading	21%	29%	18%	17%
Minutes level	52%	46%	53%	49%
Minutes trailing	27%	24%	29%	34%
First goal (min)	39	34	50	44
First goal conceded (min)	34	32	44	42
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	60%	57%	63%	50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	46%	41%	63%	55%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.17	0.24	0.34	0.28
Late goals against	0.34	0.29	0.29	0.33
Style
Possession	50%	49%	45%	43%
Shots	10.8	11.4	9.7	9.4
On target	3.6	4.5	3.5	3.8
Shot conversion	13%	14%	11%	11%
Shots inside box	58%	62%	63%	61%
Big chances created	2.2	2.7	2.0	1.7
Corners	3.6	3.9	4.6	4.4
xG from set plays	22%	17%	44%	32%
Goals from headers	35%	36%	29%	28%
Pressure index	10.7	10.1	9.2	8.2
Dominant minutes	42.9	41.5	41.0	34.9
Pass accuracy	82%	81%	80%	80%
Fouls	13.1	13.7	12.4	12.1
Cards	3.34	4.06	2.31	2.83

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Arouca

0–15'89

16–30'39

31–45'812

46–60'137

61–75'107

76–90'612

Alverca

0–15'56

16–30'46

31–45'58

46–60'515

61–75'79

76–90'1210

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Arouca · 35 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.47

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.0235

Early press (0-15, level)-0.0334

Late push (76+, level)-0.4712

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0213

Game state

When ahead-0.2021

When level-0.0134

When behind+0.1020

10 min after conceding-0.1025

10 min after scoring+0.1526

Situations

With ten men-0.205

Against ten men+0.208

At home-0.1017

Away+0.0418

4+ days rest-0.0235

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.348

v mid-tier opponents-0.199

v bottom-tier opponents+0.0710

As favourite-0.074

Evenly matched+0.2214

As underdog-0.2317

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.1535

Conceded when ahead+0.2521

Conceded late (76+)+0.1029

Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level +0.11

Alverca · 35 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.32

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.0735

Early press (0-15, level)-0.1435

Late push (76+, level)-0.3215

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2613

Game state

When ahead-0.1316

When level-0.1035

When behind+0.0322

10 min after conceding-0.1430

10 min after scoring+0.1424

Situations

With ten men-0.304

At home-0.0517

Away-0.0918

4+ days rest-0.0735

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.149

v mid-tier opponents-0.279

v bottom-tier opponents+0.0510

As favourite+0.147

Evenly matched-0.0913

As underdog-0.1715

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.1635

Conceded when ahead+0.1916

Conceded late (76+)+0.1131

Ahead vs level -0.03 · Behind vs level +0.12

Arouca

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	33 94%	1.42	1.42	1.58	1.08	1.54
5-4-1	1 3%	0.0	0.0	1.0	1.08	0.66
4-3-3	1 3%	0.0	1.0	3.0	0.85	2.32

Alverca

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 15

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-3	24 69%	1.25	1.13	1.33	1.26	1.28
3-4-2-1	10 29%	1.0	1.1	2.0	0.96	1.43
5-4-1	1 3%	0.0	0.0	2.0	0.31	2.85

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.2Home 29% P 29%3.2Draw 29% P 30%2.3Away 41% P 41%

Double Chance

1.53FC Arouca or Draw 31% P 30%1.36FC Arouca or Alverca 35% P 35%1.36Draw or Alverca 35% P 35%

Draw No Bet

2.11 44%1.662 56%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 49%1.8No 52% P 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.25Over 42% P 42%1.61Under 58% P 58%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%15.0Over 14 6%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 40–42.5% · 469 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	29%	29%	31%	+2.1
Draw	30%	30%	25%	-4.9
Away	41%	41%	44%	+2.7

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 46%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Yes	49%	49%	49%	+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	42%	41%	41%	-0.4

David Rafael Oliveira Silva

Career: 50 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match: 6.72 (6.38 yellow · 0.22 red)
Fouls / match: 29.5 · 4.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.24
Cards to home side: 48%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 43 matches)

Metric	Referee	League	vs peers	pct
Cards / match	6.23	5.66	+0.75	82
Fouls / match	29.9	27.8	+1.05
Fouls per card	4.8	4.9	-0.35 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match	0.19	0.37	-1.23	9
Time added	8.1	7.7	+0.59	76

First card: 32' on average
Card timing: 10% in first 30' · 44% in last 15'
Cards to home side: 48% (league 48%)
VAR events / match: 1.19

Recent matches

Date	Y	R	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2025-11-29	9	1	39	0	19'	8
2025-10-04 · Alverca	5	0	22	0	24'	13
2025-08-17	9	0	38	0	42'	9
2025-08-09	9	0	37	0	42'	8
2025-04-26	8	0	31	1	34'	10
2025-04-12	7	1	28	0	23'	10
2025-03-02	4	0	36	1	8'	9
2025-02-16	7	0	33	0	56'	7

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2025/2026

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Arouca · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Alverca · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Absences

Arouca

Alverca

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 6

Arouca

Alverca

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Last 10 · 2 matches

Last 5 · 2 matches

Recent meetings

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Arouca

Alverca

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Arouca · 6 matches

Alverca · 6 matches

Arouca

Alverca

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Arouca

Alverca

Arouca

Alverca

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Arouca

Alverca

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Arouca · 35 matches

Alverca · 35 matches

Arouca

Alverca

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 40–42.5% · 469 fixtures

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

David Rafael Oliveira Silva

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 43 matches)

Recent matches