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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 14

Momentum

Sporting CPAVS
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
14

Venue

Stadium
Estádio José Alvalade, Lisboa
Capacity
52,095
Surface
grass
Attendance
38,713

Teams

Coaches
Rui Borges · Paulo Sousa
Position
2 · 18
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 5-4-1

Referee

Iancu Ioan Vasilica

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
14.4° (feels 13.8°)
Wind
5.1
Humidity
71%

Where to watch · 16

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Sporting CP

WWWDL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 5 · xG 6.1–5.11 · xPts 7.77

  • L A FC Bayern München 1–3 xG 0.33–2.21 UEFA CL
  • D A Benfica 1–1 xG 0.41–1.57 PRT PL
  • W H Estrela Amadora 4–0 xG 1.62–0.17 PRT PL
  • W H Club Brugge 3–0 xG 2.14–0.62 UEFA CL
  • W A Santa Clara 2–1 xG 1.6–0.53 PRT PL

AVS

LDDLL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 11 · xG 4.95–10.13 · xPts 3.78

  • L H Rio Ave 1–2 xG 0.97–2.54 PRT PL
  • L A Vitória Guimarães 0–4 xG 1.04–1.43 PRT PL
  • D H Gil Vicente 1–1 xG 1.77–2.26 PRT PL
  • D H Tondela 2–2 xG 0.93–1.84 PRT PL
  • L A Santa Clara 0–2 xG 0.24–2.06 PRT PL

All meetings · 4 matches since 2024

Sporting CP 22 draws0 AVS

Goals 12–3 · 3.75 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 75%

Last 10 · 4 matches

Sporting CP 22 draws0 AVS

Goals 12–3 · 3.75 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 75%

Last 5 · 4 matches

Sporting CP 22 draws0 AVS

Goals 12–3 · 3.75 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 75%

Recent meetings

  • D AVS 1–1 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting CP 6–0 AVS PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D AVS 2–2 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting CP 3–0 AVS PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricSporting CP all · 34Sporting CP at home · 17AVS all · 34AVS away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.412.410.620.53
W / D / L25 / 7 / 213 / 2 / 23 / 12 / 191 / 6 / 10
Goals for / match2.623.000.790.71
Goals against / match0.710.651.972.35
Clean sheets44%59%15%18%
Failed to score0%0%53%59%
Both teams scored56%41%44%41%
Over 2.571%82%59%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.092.290.910.91
xG against / match0.820.741.851.88
xG difference1.271.55-0.94-0.97
Finishing vs xG0.530.71-0.11-0.20
xPts / match2.122.250.820.81
Points vs xPts0.300.16-0.20-0.28
Game state
Scored first76%82%15%6%
PPG when scoring first2.542.711.400.00
PPG when conceding first2.001.000.400.46
Came back from behind75%33%30%29%
Leads held81%87%33%25%
Minutes leading45%50%9%6%
Minutes level48%44%50%46%
Minutes trailing7%6%42%48%
First goal (min)39424854
First goal conceded (min)50623024
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%55%63%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half67%82%52%48%
Late goals for (76'+)0.650.710.210.24
Late goals against0.320.410.260.29
Style
Possession62%61%39%39%
Shots17.619.111.110.7
On target6.87.53.12.5
Shot conversion15%16%7%7%
Shots inside box68%70%54%53%
Big chances created3.63.81.41.4
Corners6.96.23.73.9
xG from set plays24%24%39%39%
Goals from headers16%16%11%17%
Pressure index24.626.75.34.9
Dominant minutes69.670.529.125.1
Pass accuracy88%88%73%72%
Fouls12.212.113.813.4
Cards2.181.532.501.94

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sporting CP

0–15'74
16–30'103
31–45'211
46–60'132
61–75'163
76–90'2211

AVS

0–15'111
16–30'410
31–45'511
46–60'414
61–75'612
76–90'79

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sporting CP · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.16) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.167
Early press (0-15, level)-0.037
Late push (76+, level)-0.192

Game state

When ahead+0.107
When level+0.317
10 min after conceding-0.495
10 min after scoring+0.187

Situations

At home+0.054
Away+0.323
4+ days rest+0.167

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.013
v bottom-tier opponents+0.363
As favourite+0.167

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.157
Conceded when ahead-0.237
Conceded late (76+)-0.196

Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.80

AVS

No pressure profile yet.

Sporting CP

Current: unbeaten 12 · winless 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-132 94%2.382.530.722.020.83
4-4-22 6%3.04.00.53.230.69

AVS

Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-113 38%0.541.082.311.061.82
4-3-38 24%0.880.751.250.941.88
4-1-4-16 18%0.830.671.50.831.78
5-4-14 12%0.00.03.50.532.14
3-4-2-11 3%0.01.02.00.972.54

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.06Home 89% P 91%15.0Draw 6% P 6%19.0Away 5% P 3%

Double Chance

1.02Sporting or Draw 48%1.04Sporting or AVS 47%9.0Draw or AVS 5%

Draw No Bet

1.031 94%15.02 6%

Both Teams To Score

3.25Yes 29% P 30%1.33No 71% P 70%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.4Over 67% P 70%2.87Under 33% P 30%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%9.0Over 14 10%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 90–95% · away 0–5% · 124 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home91%92%97%+5.1
Draw6%6%3%-2.6
Away3%3%0%-2.5

In those fixtures: 4.3 goals a game · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 82%

Both teams to score · yes 30–40% · 559 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes30%37%40%+2.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 70–72.5% · 478 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.570%71%70%-1.3

Iancu Ioan Vasilica

Career
60 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
4.48 (4.25 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
29.6 · 6.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.27
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 39 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.085.66-1.980
Fouls / match27.627.8-0.13
Fouls per card6.94.9+2.31 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.20.37-1.0912
Time added8.27.7+0.7179
First card
37' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.23

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-29 60 180 55'13
2025-05-04 81 280 17'11
2025-04-19 31 201 25'6
2025-04-07 60 390 20'13
2025-03-15 40 340 18'6
2025-02-10 10 300 57'8
2025-02-01 11 262 12'9
2025-01-25 · Sporting CP 20 280 18'8
2025-01-19 40 310 79'6
2024-12-23 71 330 51'8