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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 7

Momentum

LYOToulouse
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
Groupama Stadium, Décines-Charpieu
Capacity
59,186
Surface
grass
Attendance
51,414

Teams

Coaches
Paulo Rodrigues Fonseca · Carles Martínez Novell
Position
3 · 11
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3

Referee

Thomas Léonard

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
14.6° (feels 13.7°)
Wind
5.2
Humidity
63%

Where to watch · 191

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Olympique Lyonnais

LWWWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 3 · xG 7.5–7.19 · xPts 6.85

  • W H Salzburg 2–0 xG 2.92–0.48 UEFA EL
  • W A LOSC Lille 1–0 xG 0.52–1.64 FRA L1
  • W A FC Utrecht 1–0 xG 1.14–1.16 UEFA EL
  • W H Angers SCO 1–0 xG 1.7–1.45 FRA L1
  • L A Rennes 1–3 xG 1.22–2.46 FRA L1

Toulouse

WLLLD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 11 · xG 9.01–8.41 · xPts 7.44

  • D H Nantes 2–2 xG 2.27–1.45 FRA L1
  • L A Auxerre 0–1 xG 2.3–0.58 FRA L1
  • L A LOSC Lille 1–2 xG 0.89–2.49 FRA L1
  • L H Paris Saint Germain 3–6 xG 2.36–2.75 FRA L1
  • W H Brest 2–0 xG 1.19–1.14 FRA L1

All meetings · 39 matches since 2005

Olympique Lyonnais 229 draws8 Toulouse

Goals 68–40 · 2.77 per match · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 62%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Olympique Lyonnais 62 draws2 Toulouse

Goals 18–9 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Olympique Lyonnais 21 draws2 Toulouse

Goals 6–5 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Toulouse 0–2 Olympique Lyonnais FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Toulouse 2–1 Olympique Lyonnais FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Lyonnais 1–2 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Lyonnais 0–0 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Toulouse 1–2 Olympique Lyonnais FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Toulouse 2–3 Olympique Lyonnais FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Olympique Lyonnais 3–0 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Toulouse 1–2 Olympique Lyonnais FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Lyonnais 1–1 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Olympique Lyonnais 3–0 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricOlympique Lyonnais all · 34Olympique Lyonnais at home · 17Toulouse all · 33Toulouse away · 16
Results
Matches34173316
Points per game1.762.181.331.25
W / D / L18 / 6 / 1012 / 1 / 412 / 8 / 136 / 2 / 8
Goals for / match1.561.761.421.38
Goals against / match1.181.061.391.38
Clean sheets44%47%27%19%
Failed to score18%6%30%25%
Both teams scored50%47%48%56%
Over 2.556%59%54%56%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.541.791.381.11
xG against / match1.391.251.261.38
xG difference0.150.540.12-0.26
Finishing vs xG0.02-0.030.040.26
xPts / match1.471.701.471.24
Points vs xPts0.300.48-0.130.01
Game state
Scored first62%71%39%44%
PPG when scoring first2.332.502.381.86
PPG when conceding first0.781.400.610.78
Came back from behind23%43%38%33%
Leads held78%86%80%67%
Minutes leading36%34%24%24%
Minutes level50%54%45%47%
Minutes trailing14%11%31%29%
First goal (min)37454141
First goal conceded (min)46464044
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%57%57%41%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%56%52%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.290.480.38
Late goals against0.440.290.300.38
Style
Possession55%56%42%41%
Shots12.313.512.810.9
On target4.74.84.33.8
Shot conversion13%13%11%13%
Shots inside box68%68%65%60%
Big chances created2.73.11.91.7
Corners5.96.54.53.8
xG from set plays26%25%38%36%
Goals from headers17%13%15%23%
Pressure index14.517.98.67.6
Dominant minutes53.458.138.235.5
Pass accuracy85%86%80%79%
Fouls13.013.314.414.8
Cards2.151.822.583.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Olympique Lyonnais

0–15'63
16–30'93
31–45'129
46–60'105
61–75'75
76–90'915

Toulouse

0–15'95
16–30'49
31–45'78
46–60'58
61–75'66
76–90'1610

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Olympique Lyonnais · 8 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.42

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.028
Early press (0-15, level)-0.118
Late push (76+, level)-0.353
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.332

Game state

When ahead+0.155
When level-0.128
When behind-0.052
10 min after conceding-0.145
10 min after scoring+0.427

Situations

At home+0.094
Away-0.134
4+ days rest-0.017

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.032
v mid-tier opponents-0.242
v bottom-tier opponents+0.102
As favourite+0.094
Evenly matched-0.163

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.008
Conceded when ahead-0.115
Conceded late (76+)-0.327

Congested vs rested -0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.07

Toulouse · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.20) · stands out: when level +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.204
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)+0.262
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.182

Game state

When level+0.354
When behind+0.033
10 min after conceding-0.264
10 min after scoring+0.392

Situations

At home+0.422
Away-0.012
4+ days rest+0.204

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.422
v mid-tier opponents-0.012
Evenly matched+0.063

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.044
Conceded late (76+)+0.104

Ahead vs level -0.73 · Behind vs level -0.32

Olympique Lyonnais

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-117 50%1.351.411.291.621.38
4-3-37 21%2.571.290.711.251.15
4-3-1-24 12%1.51.752.251.461.94
3-4-2-13 9%2.01.670.331.611.37
4-1-4-12 6%2.01.50.51.571.37

Toulouse

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 10

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-123 70%1.01.041.391.251.2
3-4-39 27%2.332.220.891.611.24
5-4-11 3%0.03.06.02.362.75

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.05Home 47% P 47%3.4Draw 28% P 29%3.75Away 25% P 24%

Double Chance

1.25Lyon or Draw 37% P 38%1.3Lyon or Toulouse 36% P 36%1.72Draw or Toulouse 27% P 26%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 53%1.95No 48% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 47%1.8Under 53% P 53%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 22.5–25% · 565 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home47%46%48%+1.4
Draw29%30%28%-1.5
Away24%24%24%+0.2

In those fixtures: 2.3 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 41%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.547%46%45%-1.2

Thomas Léonard

Career
156 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.08 (3.84 yellow · 0.18 red)
Fouls / match
24.6 · 6.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 88 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.924.06-0.3632
Fouls / match24.524.3+0.17
Fouls per card6.26.0+0.30 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.320.36-0.4332
Time added6.86.7+0.1648
First card
35' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.29

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-27 30 270 24'10
2025-09-12 51 231 10'9
2025-08-16 · Toulouse 50 250 46'11
2025-05-17 · Toulouse 50 170 30'10
2025-05-10 20 200 40'10
2025-05-04 50 280 12'11
2025-04-20 40 210 22'8
2025-04-05 60 291 17'6
2025-03-30 10 260 45'11
2025-03-08 40 270 53'6