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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 7
LOSC LilleLOSC Lille
1–1
FT
Paris Saint GermainPSG

Momentum

– LOSC LillePSG –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
Capacity
50,186
Surface
grass
Attendance
47,355

Teams

Coaches
Bruno Génésio · Luis Enrique
Position
7 · 2
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-3-3

Referee

Benoît Bastien

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
14.1° (feels 13.0°)
Wind
7.0
Humidity
54%

Where to watch · 204

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

LOSC Lille

WLWLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 8.73–8.02 · xPts 7.71

  • W A Roma 1–0 xG 1.11–2.87 UEFA EL
  • L H Olympique Lyonnais 0–1 xG 1.64–0.52 FRA L1
  • W H Brann 2–1 xG 1.59–1.2 UEFA EL
  • L A Lens 0–3 xG 1.9–2.55 FRA L1
  • W H Toulouse 2–1 xG 2.49–0.89 FRA L1

Paris Saint Germain

WWLWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 2 · xG 8.03–4.81 · xPts 8.56

  • W A FC Barcelona 2–1 xG 1.45–1.0 UEFA CL
  • W H Auxerre 2–0 xG 1.45–0.73 FRA L1
  • L A Olympique Marseille 0–1 xG 0.66–1.17 FRA L1
  • W H Atalanta 4–0 xG 3.24–0.73 UEFA CL
  • W H Lens 2–0 xG 1.23–1.18 FRA L1

All meetings · 43 matches since 2005

LOSC Lille 514 draws24 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 38–79 · 2.72 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 54%

Last 10 · 10 matches

LOSC Lille 03 draws7 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 12–33 · 4.5 per match · BTTS 90% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

LOSC Lille 02 draws3 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 5–13 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • D LOSC Lille 2–2 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 3–0 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D LOSC Lille 1–1 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 4–1 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L LOSC Lille 1–3 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 3–1 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D LOSC Lille 1–1 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 4–3 LOSC Lille neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L LOSC Lille 1–7 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L LOSC Lille 1–5 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricLOSC Lille all · 34LOSC Lille at home · 17Paris Saint Germain all · 34Paris Saint Germain away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.791.712.242.06
W / D / L18 / 7 / 98 / 5 / 424 / 4 / 611 / 2 / 4
Goals for / match1.531.412.181.94
Goals against / match1.091.000.851.00
Clean sheets38%35%53%41%
Failed to score29%24%6%12%
Both teams scored38%47%41%47%
Over 2.538%29%62%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.581.711.991.74
xG against / match1.040.890.981.16
xG difference0.540.831.010.58
Finishing vs xG-0.05-0.300.180.20
xPts / match1.711.891.991.74
Points vs xPts0.09-0.180.250.32
Game state
Scored first53%47%85%82%
PPG when scoring first2.672.502.622.50
PPG when conceding first0.791.000.000.00
Came back from behind40%50%14%0%
Leads held86%80%83%79%
Minutes leading26%18%44%37%
Minutes level52%59%45%52%
Minutes trailing22%22%11%11%
First goal (min)48603841
First goal conceded (min)44473846
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half71%71%55%52%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%65%55%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.680.650.530.47
Late goals against0.210.240.240.41
Style
Possession56%57%69%68%
Shots13.614.817.715.2
On target4.64.86.76.4
Shot conversion11%10%12%13%
Shots inside box70%73%63%66%
Big chances created2.83.13.73.8
Corners5.76.46.45.2
xG from set plays30%30%29%26%
Goals from headers10%8%15%18%
Pressure index15.215.827.424.6
Dominant minutes61.463.073.068.8
Pass accuracy85%85%91%91%
Fouls10.710.59.18.6
Cards2.412.061.181.12

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

LOSC Lille

0–15'53
16–30'54
31–45'57
46–60'99
61–75'57
76–90'237

Paris Saint Germain

0–15'113
16–30'76
31–45'154
46–60'115
61–75'123
76–90'188

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

LOSC Lille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.05) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.055
Early press (0-15, level)+0.255

Game state

When ahead-0.065
When level+0.025
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.385

Situations

At home+0.023
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.182
As favourite+0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.265
Conceded when ahead+0.155
Conceded late (76+)-0.165

Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.26

Paris Saint Germain · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: when behind +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.475
Early press (0-15, level)+0.635
Late push (76+, level)-0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.203

Game state

When ahead+0.283
When level+0.405
When behind+0.673
10 min after conceding+0.143
10 min after scoring+0.665

Situations

At home+0.582
Away+0.433
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.232
v mid-tier opponents+0.472
As favourite+0.475

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.325
Conceded when ahead-0.223
Conceded late (76+)-0.424

Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level +0.26

LOSC Lille

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-129 85%1.931.550.91.580.98
4-3-32 6%0.50.52.00.861.28
4-4-21 3%3.04.02.03.730.93
4-3-1-21 3%1.01.01.00.640.59
5-4-11 3%0.01.04.01.963.0

Paris Saint Germain

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 36 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-333 97%2.32.240.852.030.97
3-5-21 3%0.00.01.00.661.17

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.6Home 26% P 27%3.5Draw 27% P 27%2.0Away 47% P 47%

Double Chance

1.8Lille or Draw 26% P 27%1.28Lille or PSG 37% P 36%1.28Draw or PSG 37% P 36%

Draw No Bet

2.51 38%1.52 62%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61% P 62%2.37No 39% P 38%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 58%2.2Under 43% P 42%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 52%1.83Under 50% P 48%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 45–47.5% · 466 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home27%26%26%-0.3
Draw27%28%28%+0.2
Away47%46%46%+0.1

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 51%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes62%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.558%59%60%+0.8

Benoît Bastien

Career
347 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.35 (4.09 yellow · 0.18 red)
Fouls / match
23.7 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.37
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 92 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.264.06+0.3472
Fouls / match24.624.3+0.19
Fouls per card5.86.0-0.30 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.380.36+0.1652
Time added7.36.7+0.5280
First card
31' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.22

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-27 50 301 58'11
2025-09-20 40 280 18'10
2025-08-31 31 251 8'12
2025-08-28 50 210 9'9
2025-08-17 · Paris Saint Germain 20 120 45'9
2025-08-12 110 520 49'7
2025-05-10 60 340 9'9
2025-04-26 10 170 37'8
2025-04-12 30 241 9'7
2025-04-06 21 220 90'10