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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 7

Momentum

MetzOM
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
Stade Saint-Symphorien, Longeville-lès-Metz
Capacity
28,786
Surface
grass
Attendance
28,551

Teams

Coaches
Stéphane Le Mignan · Roberto De Zerbi
Position
18 · 3
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Clément Turpin

Weather

Conditions
heavy intensity rain
Temperature
14.2° (feels 14.0°)
Wind
11.2
Humidity
90%

Where to watch · 197

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Metz

LLDLD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 12 · xG 6.75–10.55 · xPts 4.92

  • D H Le Havre 0–0 xG 0.59–0.4 FRA L1
  • L A Monaco 2–5 xG 1.78–2.9 FRA L1
  • D H Angers SCO 1–1 xG 1.76–2.06 FRA L1
  • L A Paris 2–3 xG 1.55–3.08 FRA L1
  • L A Olympique Lyonnais 0–3 xG 1.07–2.12 FRA L1

Olympique Marseille

WLWWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 12 GA 3 · xG 6.95–6.76 · xPts 7.89

  • W H Ajax 4–0 xG 1.08–0.87 UEFA CL
  • W A Strasbourg 2–1 xG 1.74–1.05 FRA L1
  • W H Paris Saint Germain 1–0 xG 1.17–0.66 FRA L1
  • L A Real Madrid 1–2 xG 1.12–3.99 UEFA CL
  • W H Lorient 4–0 xG 1.85–0.19 FRA L1

All meetings · 19 matches since 2005

Metz 26 draws11 Olympique Marseille

Goals 17–37 · 2.84 per match · BTTS 63% · over 2.5 53%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Metz 06 draws4 Olympique Marseille

Goals 11–20 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Metz 02 draws3 Olympique Marseille

Goals 5–11 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Olympique Marseille 3–1 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Metz 0–3 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Marseille 1–1 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Metz 2–2 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Metz 1–2 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Marseille 0–0 Metz neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Metz 1–1 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Olympique Marseille 1–1 Metz neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Metz 1–1 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Marseille 6–3 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricMetz all · 34Metz at home · 17Olympique Marseille all · 34Olympique Marseille away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.500.591.741.29
W / D / L3 / 8 / 232 / 4 / 1118 / 5 / 117 / 1 / 9
Goals for / match0.940.881.851.29
Goals against / match2.241.881.321.47
Clean sheets21%24%26%24%
Failed to score44%47%24%41%
Both teams scored50%47%50%35%
Over 2.562%53%62%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.001.161.701.61
xG against / match1.771.411.201.35
xG difference-0.77-0.250.490.25
Finishing vs xG-0.06-0.280.16-0.31
xPts / match0.931.211.691.55
Points vs xPts-0.43-0.620.04-0.26
Game state
Scored first21%18%59%47%
PPG when scoring first1.141.332.402.38
PPG when conceding first0.180.270.790.33
Came back from behind8%8%31%10%
Leads held38%50%72%78%
Minutes leading6%6%38%28%
Minutes level52%58%41%43%
Minutes trailing42%35%21%29%
First goal (min)42483638
First goal conceded (min)31394647
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%60%59%54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%56%69%68%
Late goals for (76'+)0.320.350.500.29
Late goals against0.710.710.440.29
Style
Possession49%50%57%56%
Shots10.111.815.114.4
On target3.23.85.75.1
Shot conversion9%8%12%9%
Shots inside box62%61%64%64%
Big chances created1.41.83.02.6
Corners4.24.95.24.8
xG from set plays33%31%26%26%
Goals from headers16%13%10%4%
Pressure index8.710.117.615.8
Dominant minutes40.346.858.355.6
Pass accuracy85%86%87%87%
Fouls11.411.512.712.5
Cards1.761.472.532.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Metz

0–15'412
16–30'49
31–45'613
46–60'59
61–75'29
76–90'1124

Olympique Marseille

0–15'95
16–30'106
31–45'73
46–60'1010
61–75'106
76–90'1715

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Metz

No pressure profile yet.

Olympique Marseille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.56

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.105
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.064

Game state

When level+0.245
When behind-0.024
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.563

Situations

At home+0.282
Away-0.033
4+ days rest+0.105

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.173
As favourite+0.282
As underdog-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.065
Conceded late (76+)-0.325

Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level -0.27

Metz

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 22 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-119 56%0.581.112.051.041.7
3-4-2-15 15%0.20.42.60.771.98
4-3-34 12%0.250.753.01.022.05
4-1-4-13 9%1.00.671.331.421.38
5-3-22 6%0.00.02.00.321.82

Olympique Marseille

Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%2.172.441.171.91.23
3-4-2-19 26%1.441.671.441.521.09
3-4-1-22 6%1.51.01.01.310.95
4-1-4-11 3%0.00.02.01.670.83
3-5-1-11 3%1.01.01.01.811.38

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

5.75Home 16% P 16%4.33Draw 22% P 23%1.53Away 62% P 61%

Double Chance

2.37Metz or Draw 20% P 19%1.2Metz or Marseille 39% P 39%1.14Draw or Marseille 41% P 42%

Draw No Bet

4.331 22%1.22 78%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53% P 53%2.0No 47% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 56%2.1Under 45% P 44%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 45%1.83Under 50% P 55%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 15–17.5% · away 60–62.5% · 275 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home16%16%15%-1.7
Draw23%23%20%-3.0
Away61%61%66%+4.7

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 61%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.556%56%56%-0.2

Clément Turpin

Career
414 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.74 (3.47 yellow · 0.21 red)
Fouls / match
21.9 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.38
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 91 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.474.06-1.2512
Fouls / match23.724.3-0.25
Fouls per card6.96.0+1.17 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.290.36-0.7416
Time added6.16.7-0.3424
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.11

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-30 80 261 36'13
2025-09-19 40 260 20'6
2025-08-27 60 351 37'8
2025-08-17 30 240 15'13
2025-08-05 30 241 19'6
2025-05-17 40 231 49'4
2025-05-10 40 160 45'6
2025-04-30 20 210 59'5
2025-04-26 10 250 23'7
2025-04-17 50 160 39'6