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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 7
BrestBrest
0–0
FT
NantesNantes

Momentum

– BrestNantes –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
Stade Francis-Le Ble, Brest
Capacity
15,097
Surface
grass
Attendance
14,941

Teams

Coaches
Eric Roy · Luís Ferreira de Castro
Position
10 · 16
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1

Referee

Gaël Angoula

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
14.5° (feels 13.7°)
Wind
9.7
Humidity
62%

Where to watch · 195

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Brest

LLLWW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 8.06–10.67 · xPts 6.28

  • W A Angers SCO 2–0 xG 1.19–0.83 FRA L1
  • W H Nice 4–1 xG 1.67–2.13 FRA L1
  • L H Paris 1–2 xG 2.97–1.74 FRA L1
  • L A Lens 1–3 xG 1.09–4.79 FRA L1
  • L A Toulouse 0–2 xG 1.14–1.19 FRA L1

Nantes

LWLDD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 4.82–8.23 · xPts 4.43

  • D A Toulouse 2–2 xG 1.45–2.27 FRA L1
  • D H Rennes 2–2 xG 1.93–1.32 FRA L1
  • L A Nice 0–1 xG 0.69–1.85 FRA L1
  • W H Auxerre 1–0 xG 0.24–1.03 FRA L1
  • L A Strasbourg 0–1 xG 0.51–1.76 FRA L1

All meetings · 13 matches since 2019

Brest 45 draws4 Nantes

Goals 17–18 · 2.69 per match · BTTS 62% · over 2.5 38%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Brest 44 draws2 Nantes

Goals 14–10 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Brest 23 draws0 Nantes

Goals 7–2 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Nantes 1–1 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Brest 0–0 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nantes 0–2 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Brest 4–1 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Brest 0–0 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nantes 0–2 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Brest 2–0 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nantes 4–1 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Brest 1–1 Nantes FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nantes 3–1 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricBrest all · 34Brest at home · 17Nantes all · 33Nantes away · 17
Results
Matches34173317
Points per game1.151.530.700.65
W / D / L10 / 9 / 157 / 5 / 55 / 8 / 202 / 5 / 10
Goals for / match1.261.650.880.65
Goals against / match1.621.351.581.47
Clean sheets26%41%21%24%
Failed to score32%24%42%53%
Both teams scored47%47%46%41%
Over 2.550%47%46%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.291.681.100.99
xG against / match1.541.421.491.56
xG difference-0.250.25-0.38-0.57
Finishing vs xG-0.03-0.03-0.22-0.35
xPts / match1.281.611.131.00
Points vs xPts-0.13-0.08-0.44-0.36
Game state
Scored first47%59%27%24%
PPG when scoring first1.942.302.002.00
PPG when conceding first0.380.200.100.00
Came back from behind21%17%9%0%
Leads held56%70%56%50%
Minutes leading24%33%19%14%
Minutes level44%43%50%61%
Minutes trailing32%24%30%25%
First goal (min)35263740
First goal conceded (min)33274346
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%50%45%36%
Goals conceded in 2nd half51%39%58%64%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.240.150.12
Late goals against0.320.180.580.53
Style
Possession43%44%42%40%
Shots11.213.911.310.6
On target3.54.53.33.1
Shot conversion11%12%8%6%
Shots inside box63%63%65%67%
Big chances created2.23.01.81.5
Corners3.94.63.73.4
xG from set plays36%33%36%38%
Goals from headers21%25%14%18%
Pressure index8.110.28.28.1
Dominant minutes36.740.736.235.1
Pass accuracy78%78%78%78%
Fouls12.712.612.712.9
Cards1.851.762.122.18

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Brest

0–15'98
16–30'612
31–45'77
46–60'86
61–75'511
76–90'811

Nantes

0–15'66
16–30'18
31–45'98
46–60'57
61–75'34
76–90'519

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Brest · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: when level +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.184
Early press (0-15, level)+0.434
Late push (76+, level)+1.122
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.012

Game state

When ahead-0.192
When level+0.654
When behind-0.073
10 min after conceding-0.204
10 min after scoring+0.453

Situations

At home+0.142
Away+0.212
4+ days rest+0.184

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.212
Evenly matched+0.313

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.124
Conceded when ahead+0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.204

Ahead vs level -0.84 · Behind vs level -0.72

Nantes

No pressure profile yet.

Brest

Current: winless 1 · conceding 13

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 71%1.421.381.421.351.38
4-3-35 15%0.21.02.21.512.04
4-1-4-12 6%0.51.53.50.512.69
3-4-31 3%0.00.01.00.271.95
4-2-2-21 3%0.00.02.00.90.43

Nantes

Current: winless 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-1-4-110 30%0.50.51.10.91.38
4-3-310 30%0.91.22.11.081.94
5-3-23 9%0.00.01.670.771.19
3-4-2-13 9%0.00.672.01.071.2
4-2-3-12 6%1.52.01.02.41.5

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.9Home 50% P 50%3.6Draw 26% P 27%4.0Away 24% P 23%

Double Chance

1.22Brest or Draw 38% P 38%1.28Brest or Nantes 36% P 37%1.83Draw or Nantes 25% P 25%

Draw No Bet

1.41 66%2.752 34%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 52%1.95No 48% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 49%1.8Under 53% P 51%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 22.5–25% · 808 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home50%49%47%-1.9
Draw27%28%29%+1.7
Away23%24%24%+0.3

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Gaël Angoula

Career
31 matches · 3 seasons
Cards / match
3.35 (3.26 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
22.6 · 6.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.32
Cards to home side
38%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 32 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.284.06-1.670
Fouls / match21.824.3-1.25
Fouls per card6.76.0+0.84 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.310.36-0.4828
Time added8.76.7+1.5392
First card
35' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
36% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.27

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-01-10 41 151 12'11
2024-12-15 · Brest · Nantes 60 240 15'10
2024-11-22 30 250 43'7
2024-11-03 20 261 35'10
2024-10-20 · Nantes 30 210 33'7